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Mike Sixel

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Everything posted by Mike Sixel

  1. Mike Sixel
    I'm not sure they have a lot to worry about on options for him.....and if they call him up in September, they don't use an option, do they?
  2. Mike Sixel
    Well, since he can't answer the question you asked, what would you like him to type? The Twins and Esobar's camp had talks, and did not come to agreement. Escobar was a free agent, on a bad team. Most FO would try to trade him, to make the system better. If they want him back, they can try to sign him in the off season. If he really did love it here, and they offer the most money, he'll be back. This is exactly the kind of thing Ryan did not do, and is part of the reason the minors were not deep enough when he left.
  3. Mike Sixel
    Uh, this is a board to talk about baseball.....what would be a better topic?
  4. Mike Sixel
    welcome to the site! Good first post.
  5. Mike Sixel
    You're buying the wrong groceries.....
  6. Mike Sixel
    ah, got it. We agree!
  7. Mike Sixel
    I literally just posted an article about trying to do this work..... and saying analytics types don't believe in chemistry is like saying they don't believe in scouting.....then you say it is part of analytics, then you type the last sentence. I'm not sure what your point is, actually.
  8. Mike Sixel
    Maybe it's not that these trades have been bad, but that lots of other things have been. IMO, your argument reads like "how good is Mike Trout, the Angels have never won anything". That might not be your intent, but that's how it reads. They could be the world's best team at making successful small trades, but if they don't draft well, and sign the right free agents, and make the right big trades....they might not win much.
  9. Mike Sixel
    Was this already posted here? Warning....long read.... https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2018/07/finding-the-formula-for-team-chemistry/561722/
  10. Mike Sixel
    Not sure who this is aimed at.......chemistry matters, talent matters more. Is that really controversial? Is it odd we never read about bad chemistry, until after things turn out badly? Is it odd we never read about great speeches given in losing games (they must happen). I don't think anyone has said chemistry doesn't matter......
  11. Mike Sixel
    Chemistry can help, but talent and luck win games, imo. You don't think anyone gives speeches like that, in losing games? We just never hear those stories....
  12. Mike Sixel
    thanks, it only slightly changes my opinion, but it lessons it a tiny bit. Like, barely can see it, it is so small....
  13. Mike Sixel
    IMO, the 8MM is irrelevant, I don't see any way, short of signing Machado or Harper, they spend their budget next year. I really think we under value certainty a lot when talking about moving to a minor league pitcher....we also under value the ability to send guys up and down. I would not be surprised if they keep him, I would not be surprised if they don't. As for the "better option"......IMO, given their depth, they aren't signing 2 (or trading for 2) new SP next year.
  14. Mike Sixel
    Both can be true.....a guys' friends can want more for him, and that he can not have earned it. While I've poo pooed the narrative, since we get these kinds of stories all the time when things don't turn out as expected.....it can be true that it is post hoc analysis .....and that the chemistry is bad (though I'd argue it's the talent/luck/injuries that put them in this spot, not chemistry). I am pretty convinced Dozier was traded for clubhouse reasons, with NO DATA to back that up, other than two things: No one wanted him all that badly last year, despite being awesome at his job No one offered much of value for him this year (and he's a better DH than most AL clubs have, who can also play 2B or maybe 1B, where he's better than some).
  15. Mike Sixel
    Two points: Certainty has real value. They can be relatively sure Odorizzi will pitch 30ish games next year. That has real value. I believe ODO has an option left....so if they want, they can send him down. Bonus: He strikes me as a guy that would REALLY do well with a move to the bullpen. If htey somehow have "too many" SPs next year, I'd move him over. You can always move him back, since he's a veteran.
  16. Mike Sixel
    over value Dozier? 2nd most WAR at 2B over the last three years..... No one here has called him the best 2B in the game..... Frankly, I'm baffled that teams didn't want him more than they did last year. There must be a reason, other than on field performance. He was a better 2B, 1B, DH than most teams had....
  17. Mike Sixel
    I'd be shocked if they feel they need more than 1, and that would only be for one of two reasons: leadership (and I think that matters more for pitchers, but they seem to really think it matter) TOP END pitching. They are set at number 4-AAAA types.....as you point out. So, I don't agree that SP should be the primary focus. That remains MIF and 1B and C. The other option is to upgrade the OF by trading Kepler and some minor league players for a better OF, but I checked the leaderboards last night....that's harder than it seems.
  18. Mike Sixel
    I'mm 100% convinced this is a clubhouse trade.
  19. Mike Sixel
    that's odd, I htought I posted that! thanks,
  20. Mike Sixel
    Austin Powers.....great headline....
  21. Mike Sixel
    Fangraphs has an ever so slightly different view of Alcala.... Their overall rankings for the Twins' minors are here (and include the new players)... https://www.fangraphs.com/scoutboard.aspx?draft=&type=&pos=&team=min Overall, I like that the FO traded off guys that have expiring deals, and have plenty of depth to deal for a veteran or two next off season (or in August).
  22. Mike Sixel
    Right now? The first baseman they just got, move him to MN and cut Morrison. Lamonte Wade.....move him to MN, cut Grossman.
  23. Mike Sixel
    You completely missed the point... The point being they lost because those two were not good, not because of chemistry issues.
  24. Mike Sixel
    Lazy people don't become professional athletes, they work their tails off. Despite what people say, this isn't a game, it is a profession, that requires serious work and dedication. And, it's not like the owners will lower ticket prices.....so, I guess you want the owners to get more money, or what?
  25. Mike Sixel
    another grade: Minnesota Twins (49–56, 8 GB in AL Central, 13.5 GB in AL wild card) In: CF Gilberto Celestino, RHP Jorge Alcala, OF Luke Raley, 2B Logan Forsythe, LHP Devin Smeltzer, 1B/OF Tyler Austin, RHP Luis Rijo, RF Ernie De La Trinidad, CF Gabriel Maciel, RHP Jhoan Duran, RHP Chase De Jong, 1B Ryan Costello Out: RHP Lance Lynn, RHP Ryan Pressly, 2B Brian Dozier, LHP Zach Duke, INF Eduardo Escobar I guess the good news is that the Twins got a lot of prospects back, and they at least got something for all of their notable free-agents-to-be. By sheer volume, at least one of these guys should turn out to be good. While this fire sale doesn’t include anyone the Twins were building around, and they got back the best prospects they could, it’s still a bummer for a 2017 wild-card team that was supposed to be on the rise and turned out to be one of baseball’s biggest disappointments. https://www.theringer.com/mlb/2018/7/31/17637434/trade-deadline-winners-losers-manny-machado-chris-archer-dodgers-pirates
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