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Mike Sixel

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Everything posted by Mike Sixel

  1. Mike Sixel
    Actually, Montreal did support the team before, just the owners wanted to move. The minor league stadium is not near the city. Put one in the city, and it would draw, imo. but I agree, it's not big enough to support a MLB team for 81 games.
  2. Mike Sixel
    that seems unlikely for travel, safety, and other cultural reasons. Mostly travel.
  3. Mike Sixel
    IMO, and we are all guessing...... Buxton was 15th in fWAR in the 2nd half of the year. If he did that all year, he'd be in the top 20 among hitters/fielders. I can't see him thinking anything short of "top 5-10 player in all of baseball" money as a FA. Like, $30-40MM per year money. The OP would have him give up at least $38MM in pay those 3 FA years, in exchange for a bit more earlier (is it more?), and more certainty. That's a lot of money to give up, imo. I think the 116MM number is more correct, but possibly still light if he aggressively values his probabilities and the FA market. I think that number might get it done, though.
  4. Mike Sixel
    I think being a FA a year later than Trout, and MLB inflation, means it has to be closer to 100MM, but we are all guessing at this point.
  5. Mike Sixel
    sure, "enough" money will get anyone signed. Trout signed for $24MM per year, and will be a FA when he's 29. So, I think Buxton would cost $20MM per year, maybe as little as $17MM per year. Just over 100MM total, or more like 120MM, I'd think.
  6. Mike Sixel
    Estimates are each existing team would get a check for 30-60MM on the day the franchise are sold, maybe up to 70MM. That makes up for missing 6 games a year pretty fast.....
  7. Mike Sixel
    and yet, almost none of hte superstars are signing such deals the last two years....
  8. Mike Sixel
    pitcher, pitcher who didn't make real money as a draftee, guy who didn't make real money as a draftee.....
  9. Mike Sixel
    Heh, if everyone would do that deal in a minute, there is no way any agent would.....
  10. Mike Sixel
    Correct, that's the one of the points of Dave's article on Fangraphs.
  11. Mike Sixel
    Imagine trying to convince a FA to move to OK City. Even the NBA, with all its money, struggles with that.
  12. Mike Sixel
    don't forget, more playoff games=more league revenue. Also, more revenue from hats, jerseys, etc. due to 2 more teams. But, I think your point, overall, has merit.
  13. Mike Sixel
    8 divisions>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>4 divisions. It's probably more > than that, but I was too lazy to hit enter 100000000x. And, I don't think for a minute Portland is a good idea. Not enough big businesses to buy up the boxes and season tickets.
  14. Mike Sixel
    Agreed. Seems light to me. Really good FA will get 20+MM per year within a year or two. Also, this: https://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/the-possible-extinction-of-the-early-career-superstar-extension/ If they pull it off, they'll have done something few other FOs have been able to do lately, despite all the young stars out there.
  15. Mike Sixel
    I guess if you think he's a 5 after next year, agreed, but why would you think that? and, the post said basically not to add anyone, to wait and see what happens. did I read the post wrong?
  16. Mike Sixel
    Penalizing Dozier's value because there were possible replacements on the roster, imo, makes zero sense. to me "how much did he contribute to winning" is the question. Dozier Buxton ..... ..... ..... Rosario and ESan Mauer No one else is close, though Sano would be 1, 2, or 3 had he been healthy.
  17. Mike Sixel
    no one pitches that many innings any more. All of 15 pitchers did that in 2017. I think you need to re-think your standards.
  18. Mike Sixel
    KLAW was impressed with Jay, btw. His overall comment is that that talent in the AFL is way down (for the games he could see in a week or so).
  19. Mike Sixel
    There has been research on this, the speed of the pitch has very little to do with the speed of the batted ball. Not nothing, but it is a tiny variable.
  20. Mike Sixel
    Kind of a self fulfilling prophecy.... Don't trade to get better, so you don't get better, so you don't add at the deadline.....
  21. Mike Sixel
    I'd say he's the most likely to take it, yes. But, I don't know his personality at all so I don't know if he would. edit: most likely of the hitters. I think Berrios takes a deal, but it is waaaaaaay to risky to do that with a pitcher, imo.
  22. Mike Sixel
    Why is he taking "bad" FA money to sign here?
  23. Mike Sixel
    Who is trading a controllable ace for 2 minor league players?
  24. Mike Sixel
    And yet, he was magically ready just a day or so after we were told he wasn't ready yet......because others were bad. He should have been in the rotation from day 1, IMO.
  25. Mike Sixel
    IMO, outcomes matter when judging what did happen.....not using stats about what might have happened differently or are likely to happen next year. And, innings pitched matters a lot when looking at overall value provided to the team. What happened is how you measure the past, not what might have happened differently. And what happened was that Santana produced better outcomes, whether thru luck or ability or both. And yes, he was their most valuable pitcher by far.
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