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Mike Sixel

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Everything posted by Mike Sixel

  1. Mike Sixel
    I won't copy the whole thing, but here are two sentences from the ESPN analysis of the Wimmers' pick..... “There's some question whether he'll hold up as a starter, but I think average fastball/two plus pitches/control is a starter, until his performance proves otherwise. Wimmers is the closest thing to a Mike Leake this draft class has, although he's not the athlete that Leake is and hasn't pitched in a major baseball conference as Leake did.” Law did say he thought he was the closest to the majors of any pitcher in that draft (well, him or Chris Sale). Look, I get the pick, I just don’t see him as anywhere likely a #2. Name the number two pitchers (like, the 30-50th best pitchers in the league, maybe 20-35). Do we think it is LIKELY that Wimmers is (was) that? 20% likely? I just don’t think most pitchers reach that, especially not pitchers with an average or below average FB. His likely upside is a 3, with a more likely outcome a 4/5 if he's a starter someday. That’s mostly because that is the likely outcome for most pitching prospects that end up starters, not because he is a bad pitcher. Heck, most become relievers if they even make the majors. I did not kill the pick at the time, but I also didn’t expect him to be a 2. I expected him to be up this year, as a 4/5, with him becoming a 3/4 over a year or two.
  2. Mike Sixel
    No, Ryan was the GM when the drafts were done 4+ years ago, which is the track for college players, right? this is on both Ryan and Smith's time as GM, it's waaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaay too easy to blame this on Smith.
  3. Mike Sixel
    Also, with the wild card, would you deal for a rental player, for 1 playoff game maybe?
  4. Mike Sixel
    I did not pay attention to scouting reports when baker was in the minors. No idea.* *edited for spelling...
  5. Mike Sixel
    My opinion of wimmers upside has nothing to dwith his injury. He does not have Scott baker or better stuff not from any scouting report I have read. Maybe I am wrong, but to project someone as a two us to put them at or better than baker when baker is at his best. There just are not that many very good pitchers on the planet right now.
  6. Mike Sixel
    You think it is likely at all he is a two? That would make him one of the fifty best pitchers in the game. I see super low chance....like almost zero.
  7. Mike Sixel
    Mauer is overpaid given what they are willing to spend on the whole team. Happy now? Are we really going to do this every week? And how does this opinion make anyone a hater?
  8. Mike Sixel
    By your logic, you never sign a free agent, as none ever take you over the line. Will these two alone fix the twins? No. But you need to add players. And there are nit enough in the minors to do that. And if you want quality, you have to overpay in terms of years. That is the market.
  9. Mike Sixel
    Agreed with RPG, with Greinke being held out for precautionary sake, that is a big deal. 15 strikeouts don't hurt either. I think Toronto should not be buyers this year, not if Bautista is out long. I think the Reds should be buyers (and Pitts). Pittsburgh might be even more likely to deal now, as they might feel they can take advantage of the next three weeks. Too bad they couldn't sign Appel, making Tallion possibly available.....
  10. Mike Sixel
    Agreed, he could, but #3 pitchers (year after year) are pretty rare, really. It is possible, but not likely, that any pitcher becomes that in the majors, let alone a guy that wasn't in any top 100 list at the beginning of the year.....(I think that is right). To me, that ranking is about probability, not upside.
  11. Mike Sixel
    Ya, I think we are all sort of agreeing now, just nibbling around the edges....
  12. Mike Sixel
    Umm, an ERA of 3.5-4 is well better than the median....those are valuable pitchers.
  13. Mike Sixel
    Ouch, didn't notice that on Wimmers....and later picks.....not a fan of low risk picks in round 1, go for upside.....
  14. Mike Sixel
    And Appel would have been in the top 15 or so for all minor league pitchers.....so he's likely (if not hurt) to be in top of the class next year also (which is also what KLAW has been saying). Everyone loves Buxton....let's hope they are right.
  15. Mike Sixel
    The Royal's hitters are, and once Wil Meyers is up, they'll be pretty good on O. Their pitchers stink. If they signed two big time FA pitchers, they'd look better than the Twins at most positions, not all positions. Every strategy has risks, but keeping old vets around so you aren't the worst team in baseball, is fraught with badness (nice sentence, but I hope you get the point). They are unlikely to be very good at pitching next year, so Willingham should be dealt, imo.
  16. Mike Sixel
    I see Hendriks as a 4/5 long term. Good enough to let his team win around half of his starts, give or take depending on the year. Those guys have value. Better than Blackburn, not as good as Baker/Radke.
  17. Mike Sixel
    I am of the belief that keeping around vets just so you don't totally suck (how much worse can it get?) is a bad idea. Taking half a strategy is a bad idea. I'd be thrilled if they dealt Span and Willingham for very good to great prospects.
  18. Mike Sixel
    The point isn't that Liriano isn't a headcase, the point is that giving up a HR in that game is not PROOF that he is a headcase. That when he gives up runs, it is not necessarily because he is a headcase. That was the point..... Either way, another good episode.
  19. Mike Sixel
    Good news. It won't be great news until he is succeeding at AAA and the MLB level, which I expect no later than next year.
  20. Mike Sixel
    Yes, because I don't think they can get a hometown discount, and he's on a super hot streak that inflates his value in everyone's head, including his and his agent's.
  21. Mike Sixel
    Both? If both is not an option, I choose Willingham, he's 33 and not always noted for being healthy, and isn't great in the field. I'm operating under the assumption they won't sign a bunch of FAs, so they won't be good again next year, so the only way to get better is to have lots of guys in high A, or AA, that all come up together.
  22. Mike Sixel
    Terry Ryan has never once traded a package of minor league prospects for an in his prime player. Never. Not one time. Why do you think he would do that now? Every player on this roster is available, Ryan said that on the radio yesterday, and he's right. This team lost 99 games last year, and will likely lose around 90 this year. There is almost no help in AAA that looks likely to be successful (though it is possible Hendriks can be a 4/5 starter). They have to do something, something out of character. I'd bet they are more likely to sign FA(s), than to trade what few prospects they have.
  23. Mike Sixel
    Ah, well, with that I agree, ScottyB.
  24. Mike Sixel
    Cool, let's hope Benson is great for the rest of the year, and ready for the majors in 2013.
  25. Mike Sixel
    Seth, so you'd rather have Duensing stink as a starter, as bad as Hendriks or Blackburn, and not have him in the pen? It's silliness to have him start. He is a good reliever, and an awful starter. There is no upside this year or next, having him start games this year. It's just bad strategic use of your personnel, which shouldn't be surprising for this team....
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