Mike Sixel
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Everything posted by Mike Sixel
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Um, what is the point of brining in a old utility INF on a team likely to win less than 80 games? They should be rolling the dice on guys that might be good in 2-5 years. Go try the AAA/AAAA guys that are blocked. Go try a guy that was once thought of as maybe going to be good. Not sure why, unless you are doing a lot of other things to make them competitive, you want to bring in an old utility INF. It doesn't fit with the rest of what they need to do.
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If they are not maknig the playoffs, why risk Mauer's health behind the plate? What good comes from having him back there, unless you think they can really compete? Move Mauer to first, sign a catcher, have Pinto and random guy catch. 3B is covered in 6-12 months. Second base if hopefully covered. That leaves SS. I'd roll the dice on the guys they have, and spend money on pitching and a good catcher to pair with Pinto. Probably somone that can play 1B in a pinch.
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I wish I could watch, and not just listen..... I love how the coaches realize punting is stupid from the 30-40....love their approach to the game. Now if they could get some serious talent here.
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Very cool to get that interview. I enjoyed it. I take some of it with a grain of salt, but that does not mean it is intentionally misleading. It just means you might choose to rub off some the peaks and valleys of the comments. Or, you might just take it at face value. I don't think this is just PR, or negotiations.
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And yet, when Andy McPhail was the GM, he signed players to some of the largest contracts in the majors, even with those low revenues.
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Don't forget, they get tens of millions more in revenue next year....from the new tv deal.
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So we agree, they have something like $120MM to spend on payroll if htey spend the mythical 52%. We also know what the current payroll is. We also know what commitments they have, and will likely have, to current players. Not sure how we can look at that gap (which will be more than half of their available payroll), and conclude that there is significant risk in spending money on free agents. Either the $40-60MM is pocketed, or it is spent. On three year deals, not one person on this roster needs a real rasie, and they lose Willy and Doumy in that time frame. heck, on 5 year deals I can't see a guy that needs a real raise. Not to mention it is likely revenue will go up, not down, over time. It isn't a question of "can they spend as much as other teams". It is a question of "can they afford to spend more, and still have room to add other guys later". Not sure how that answer is anything but yes.
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Realistic SP for Twins (let's be real)
Mike Sixel replied to jcphitman's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
I missed the funny part where you said we "know" Meyer and May will be ready to be starters in 2015. -
Realistic SP for Twins (let's be real)
Mike Sixel replied to jcphitman's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
I agree with your premises and your conclusion. I think they believe in those three, and will have the others fight it out for the last spot, leaving 1 real open spot. I also agree they will think Meyer is nearly ready. I think your logic is spot on. -
Very entertaining style, thanks! I can't see them signing that many SPs, nor would I do so.
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What is short term? They have no money set aside for the next 5+ years. There is no downside risk here. None. They can not spend the money, and get nothing but profit. Or they can spend some money and maybe get better. From a fan's perspective, and from a baseball operations perspective, I fail to see the downside risk.
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Never said it "proved" anything. What is the risk of spending $20MM on free agents for the next 5 years? Who needs to be paid that is on the roster now? How would that stop them from spending another $40MM in years 3 and beyond? Willingham and Doumit and KC come off after this year, that's another $15MM free to spend. No one has offered a sufficient argument that, for this team with this money, signing free agents offers risk to their ability to sign other free agents in 3 years.
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I absolutely consider risk. I have an MBA and have done risk management at different times of my career. There is a bigger risk of a prospect not working out than of a FA being too expensive when you have 50-70MM in your budget. The vast majority of prospects don't work out to be good MLB players. And even if they blow $20MM on a guy, they have 1 player signed for more than $5MM in 2 years. One. And no one in the system needing a big contract in the next 4 or more years. There is really no risk at all to the budget of signing one or even two FAs to 5 year deals right now. There is risk they don't work out, but since they have plenty of budget room, the impact is near zero.
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And they have over 70MM available to spend right now...what is the financial risk? and why, why do they NEED to be of greatest productivity? Why not just make the team better if they can afford to?
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and propects aren't fraught with risk?
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why is that the question? Are most contracts worth it? The questions should be about what you can afford, not if it is worth it every year of the deal. Remember when everyone said Hunter would not be worth it in Anaheim?
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You didn't, I just wanted to be clear I did not have much first hand experience with hazing, thankfully.
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To be clear, I intentionally joined a house that did NOT haze. It was one of my criteria.
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Talk of specific players being blocked or not, instead of discussing "FA IS EVIL" is just what TR and the TWins want you doing.... you all fell nicely into the trap in less than 1 page of the thread!
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How is signing a FA a shortcut, but trading for guys is not? What is inherently "evil" about shortcuts? A shortcut is something that gets you to your destination faster. I've never read anyone here or anywhere say "stop drafting and developing players". This is a bogus boogeyman (worse than a straw man) Ryan has put out there as a PR effort. And, our great journalists in this state have let him get away with it. No one ever follows up and asks what a short cut is, or why trading for guys is ok, or how signing a FA that does not have a QO hurts in any way.
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As a flier, maybe. BUT....not as a first plan for anything.
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As a fraternity member, I heard all the excuses for hazing you can offer. It is about humility. It is about bonding. It is a tradition. It makes you stronger. It is about whatever. It really is about more powerful people bullying less powerful people. Are there degrees that might be acceptable? Probably. Getting coffee as a new employee might be ok. Having to dress up in clothing that gets you laughed at, probably not. Someplace between there is the likely grey line. YMMV, but the arguments for hazing are pretty weak in a modern world, imo. They are much like the arguments for many traditions that we have pushed aside as we have learned more about the real effects of them.
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This is complex, imo. On the one hand, how can any caring people turn their head and ignore genocide and other awful actions, and pull back to a smaller set of the world. Borders are fake lines we have imposed on humanity, and I feel there is a sense of duty to help people, no matter where or who they are. OTOH, you can't fix everything, and indeed, trying to fix other peoples' problems often is not effective in the long run. Also, given our current interest in not paying taxes because they are somehow evil, we as a people need to make some difficult decisions. We cannot afford to fix everything. So, should we fix the worst parts, or the parts we can most likely fix? Should we ignore people in other parts of the world, and only work on fixing the US? I just don't think flip answers (which I specialize in) capture the difficulty and nuance of these decisions. I've spent some 40 years trying to answer these questions, and still don't know the answers.
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Article: Would Signing Jason Kubel Make Sense?
Mike Sixel replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Not sure I understand what signng him does, other than make the roster older and less capable defensively. At least Choo or Ellsbury are good to great defenders, and get on base a lot......Kubel is the kind of guy a team signs when they are DHing Lew Ford, and are close to a championship, not the kind of guy a team that has fly ball pitchers that probably won't sniff the playoffs should sign. -
Oakland did that. It was not smiled on..... Value is a funny thing. If you aren't going to spend that money elsewhere, and your best pitcher is a number 4 or 5 quality pitcher, I'd think Tananka holds more value to you than to a team that already has 3 or more good pitchers. Also, if you have a budget of between 90 and 120MM, and you are only spending 60-70MM, he should be more affordable to you (regardless of value).