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Cris E

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Everything posted by Cris E

  1. Cris E
    Eh. Jeffers is a rental, true. But he's also been one of the top offensive catchers for several years now and the ones ahead of him just won't be available. Teams don't let guys like that get away. Caratini (and to a much lesser extent Jackson) are playing well and might make more today than they're signed for. VC's recent step up while Jeffers was away (plus the scarcity of hitting catchers) would probably get him several offers for more than what the Twins signed him for. Jackson has proven that he's not a complete zero at the plate and a half step above the usual freely available waiver wire suspects. He doesn't need to be better than the others to be valuable or coveted by other teams. I guess the TL;DR summary is that all are worth more now than they were in March.
  2. Cris E
    I think Tom P would be thrilled to call Not Selling! a "go for it" move. Others may disagree, but in the face of so many calling another fire sale the obvious move it would be a solid vote of confidence for his roster and something to sell the public. You may think that a playoff run does not have value, or that a further sell-off is the only way to advance the franchise, but he's trying to sell seats, engage his fanbase and pump up his players' confidence and experience. No, I really don't expect to see a lot of buying. But moving parts like Wallner, Larnach and even Jeffers or Martin plus a single decent body like ERod could advance team fortunes beyond this season. All it takes is one over-confident team...
  3. Cris E
    This has been the hard reality for many prospects, most even, for generations. Why does Fedko rate some soft and nurturing path to a job? He came out of no where, wasn't impressive outside his walks, and bubbled up thru the system until he started hitting the ball hard last year. There are better players surrounding him in St Paul, but he was able to get a look because his one advantage over them was being healthy when the opportunity came knocking. Alas he didn't perform, but his pattern all along has been to scuffle a bit in his first year at a level. The first time in his career he managed a decent showing in a debut was his 2025 AAA work last year, so if he hangs around he'll get another chance in Mpls and maybe he'll be better. MLB is a tough way to make a living so I'm not going to worry too much about fairness here. He got a shot many kids would give their eye teeth for and it didn't work out. Keep working and better luck next time.
  4. Cris E
    He was still in A ball, barely a catcher and behind Carantini, Tait, Diaw and now Lackey. His best value to the team was as a trade chip, so congrats on paying off, and good luck in your new organization.
  5. Cris E
    I dunno, who's this Jeffery guy that's getting his spot? I don't think he can play CF.
  6. Cris E
    Well a college guy hitting the heck out of the ball in A while learning to catch may appear better than he is, but it seems that's worth a thirty-five year old with three years of team control remaining, which may look worse than it is. Alas our bullpen is still in a state where guys like Nance can start a career and be very useful, so I won't complain at all. At least we're picking up average players for the MLB team.
  7. Cris E
    Editing is for the weak. Stay the course! Actually I have it on good advice that Trevor Lawrence threw seven innings in junior college (7 K, 4 BB, 8 hits) and that he threw out a first pitch before the home opener for the AAA Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp in 2023. So that's Yes he's probably available to pitch this week but No the Twins shouldn't try to pry him away from football.
  8. Cris E
    Consider the notion that there are three types of trade candidates: top shelf, prospects, and everyone else. How you view the current roster and season will dictate how you manage those three groups. I think the AL Central is a dumpster fire that could be won by just about anyone, I think we have more middling vets than we need, we have more kids to evaluate than spots, and I think some of those vets are not crucial to winning. I think a little development among the youth could make huge gains in the bullpen by displacing the worst of the innings being thrown out there, and i think we've finally started taking strides towards improving our defense. So right now, as in before bedtime tonight, I start calling to move some middling vets. Larnach is useful to many teams. Clemens has been good for us but could also be for someone else. Any of our utility guys should be marked down. Ober, Rogers, most of our second shelf pitchers in fact, should be on the block. In return we need pitching for the short term and talent for the longer term. Then promote kids and see how things shake out in the next three weeks. If we are still in it we listen to offers or even fill a hole or two. If we continue to sit in the mud we sell more. Leave it in the players' hands. Ownership screwed them last year, but a judicious trimming with several weeks to make their case could be good motivation.
  9. Cris E
    (dup - not loving my new work laptop so far)
  10. Cris E
    Well here's the thing about dumpster diving: anyone who isn't old, without velo and without control is going to be expensive. That's not a dumpster pitcher. Seriously, name another pitcher that's been on the waiver wire you think they should have been on but passed over. The budget hasn't changed, so the choices are trades or promoting kids or this recycling lottery. You only need to hit it occasionally for the strategy to work out (Hello Brock Stewart) but it's usually only good for the last couple spots (Yoendrys Gómez notwithstanding) and the Twins need a bunch of higher seats filled first. They dumped more than they had on hand in 2025 and they made little effort to replace anyone. This is last year's plan, not a Zoll 2026 problem.
  11. Cris E
    There are potential replacements for him in the org. Get them in a position to take over and he can gently move to a corner. It's not a real problem because they need those guys to move up anyway. Also of note, Betteridge's law of headlines is an adage that states: "Any headline that ends in a question mark can be answered by the word no." The clickbait is stupid.
  12. Cris E
    If either of those guys had ever walked...
  13. Cris E
    The injuries are the whole thing. They are why he hasn't moved up, hasn't been allowed to prove if he can hit those fastballs, or adjust his approach in ways that Julien could not. Law flat out said the injuries were why he wasn't ranked higher. Everyone loves him in concept, but he's been on the verge of MLB for so long they are believing the outages more than the game play. I expect Emma would have been called up by now if healthy, and Fedko is probably only going to stay until he's ready and they have to start choosing between the not quite young, not quite excellent corners like Martin, Larnach, Fedko, Wallner, etc. With any luck at all that'll give Fedko a couple weeks, and then ERod a couple and then it's mid-July and they can start shifting the 40 man around for real.
  14. Cris E
    His defense is not great but it's also not his primary problem, his hitting has been the issue, and last winter he was not blocking anyone at 1B or 3B so a position change was not called for. But when they gave up on Lee at SS last month he did need to move, and his bat was so bad that AAA was the place to handle two changes at once. He tuned up at 1B and 2B and here we are. If you want to question something then ask why Lee was moved off SS before a replacement was ready. He wasn't so bad that a parade of below-average gloves who can't hit was demanded. Similarly the defense at 3B was just poor, not "Bobby Bonilla is a menace to the fans behind first base" bad. It could have waited until Culpepper was ready. I don't see what the benefit was of this interlude of full-time utility guys; they hit and field like the worst parts of the guys they were intended to replace. ???
  15. Cris E
    I agree, and that 's what I meant. We already have too many IF right now so we don't need a second utility guy to cover Keaschall's spot while both of those guys are looking for work..
  16. Cris E
    To that I would reply that Clemens or Lewis are already here looking for roles and they can take over at 2B. I totally agree with keeping Kreidler though.
  17. Cris E
    I love this. The MLB roster is there to play and the manager is going to use the guys at hand to try to win. If you have people around who shouldn't be there then he's going to have trouble. When Buxton was missing half each season then the CF caddy needed to be good enough to play three days a week. But he's been healthier of late and so the quality of his backups has dropped. To put it another way, when Earl Weaver was asked where his backup SS was and he'd say "Rochester" which was his AAA team at the time. Over the past two years Outman and Margot should have been left in St Paul. And now that Shelton has been handed a handful of scarecrows instead of a full infield it's clear that the team is missing some important parts.
  18. Cris E
    I don't care which side these guys hit from, none are good enough hitters to do more than bat ninth. Do you want your utility guy to get a regular role because of his platoon advantage? No, he's a defensive fill-in first, then maybe a pinch hitter or runner, and finally maybe a longer-term injury option. The notion that he's got to pull his weight in the batting order is not right; if he could hit he'd be your starting SS or 2B or whatever. Willie Castro and Kyle Farmer were special utility guys because they were average hitters who could handle the middle infield. In the past the Twins have had a series of good ones, Castro, Ehire Adrianza, Marwin Gonzalez, and even Luis Arreaz for a couple seasons, but across baseball most are not that good. These guys need to flash leather, run, bunt, maybe pinch hit a little. I would try to option Grey and bring up Kulpepper, then maybe try to trade Arcia to some team with a tire fire in their infield. Lots of 2b/3b injuries this year where a cheap, expendable hand like him could be useful. You don't need to get much, but gaining roster space and a low A lottery ticket is better than just cutting him loose.
  19. Cris E
    I wonder if the Balls in Play metric is affected by the defense getting sleepy watching batters not swing. Does BABIP track with that sort of thing? Because in real life I used to not be sharp during long innings when my pitcher was not sharp.
  20. Cris E
    I'd say the same about Kenley Jansen. Didn't he pitch with the 1997 Braves?
  21. Cris E
    He did tear up St Paul, but there were some underlying hints that he might have been dominating the dojo more than folks may want to admit. Prospect Savant has a page for his 2026 AAA stats and it shows both the awesome success and maybe some lessons not learned. Red is great and Royce has lots. Golly look at those Exit Velocities. But then go down a bit and you start seeing some cold, hard blue. Fine, no walks, but who would when you're hitting like this. But then the Chase, the swinging strikes, the contact in the strike zone all below average among prospects. I guess I was hoping he'd focus on those things rather than whacking mistakes and feeling better about himself. If you think the latter was the goal of his hiatus well then maybe it helped. But I think he had some real work to do on pitch selection and getting his base settled and this maybe doesn't indicate that all happened. We'll see. I hope he's better (and not just better than AAA.) https://prospectsavant.com/player/668904
  22. Cris E
    OK two things: 1. You're a bad person for doing that. And you skipped over them picking up Yoendrys Gómez; it's not all bad, it's somehow worse when there's a 1% chance of being Brock Stewart. 2. You seem to be confusing different metaphors that come on rolls. You typed Lottery Ticket but may have meant TP.
  23. Cris E
    Was this supposed to be the other half of the "Send Down Luke" article? Why are they split up?
  24. Cris E
    Agree. Also, since when is sending down a second year player hitting poorly some sort of desperate scheme just crazy enough to work? It happens all the time, more often than not to be honest. Most guys don't show up in the majors and start hitting and then retire at 37 without some setbacks and resets. This is perfectly normal, or was before the internet allowed us to get too comfortable with our roster moves and career shapes and depth charts. He's not playing well, they have a young SS to evaluate, Lewis is ready to step in and try some 2B, maybe Luke can be the next Martin and head out to left field.
  25. Cris E
    This 200Ab stretch is the first time in his career he's been above average. He's been on a heater for the last week, but seven days ago his OPS was 65 points lower. Lets pump the brakes on 78th percentile hitter.
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