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Major League Ready

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Everything posted by Major League Ready

  1. For those of us who are old enough to remember American Top Forty (Casey Kasem) it seemed to go over just fine on that show as well.
  2. This is not a Ryan / Gardenhire team and I don't think this regime will find it absolutely necessary to have 3 catchers. One of the interesting parts of this roster construction is that adding Simmons puts Polanco in the backup to SS role. This offers more flexibility in terms of the bench players. It will be interesting to see how they use that 26th spot on the roster.
  3. Kinda like judging a horse race by who gets out of the gate first.
  4. What I found interesting / encouraging is that his highest rated attribute with Fangraphs is control. Assuming the command remains with the uptick in velocity, he becomes a very intriguing prospect.
  5. Fangraphs has Rijo's fastball graded at 40. That's quite a leap. Do you know if this is something built over time or did they find something in his delivery that yielded a substantial uptick in velo relatively quickly? It's going to be a lot of fun to follow prospects in 2021. Wow, would it be great to have 2 or 3 pitching prospects break out.
  6. His contract would be roughly 30% of the Twins highest payroll in the history of the team. Can you site any team with below average revenue or any team for that matter that ever got to the WS with one player receiving 30% of the team's payroll? In the Twins case, Bauer and Donaldson would represent 45% of the payroll. I doubt any team has ever been constructed this way as I can't imagine anyone has ever held a GM job that does not understand the dysfunction of spending this percentage on a single player or two in this specific case. There should be plenty of examples if your position has merit. Let's see them.
  7. We are going to see a lot of guys get time after a 60 game season in 2020. It seems like we have some pretty legit depth and that could be big this season.
  8. I am pretty sure we got Cruz / Simmons / Happ / Colome / Robles and then traded a surplus replacement level guy from a position of depth for a pitcher that has a pretty good chance of contributing. Oh ... and we claimed a guy with a shot at contributing. I would add there are guys scattered around pretty much every playoff team that were acquired while relatively unproven that went on to be very good players. Just take a look at Tampa or even the Dodgers.
  9. Oooops! Of course, I meant Celestino not Canterino. Too many inos but I think both guys could be a pleasant surprise addition at some point this year.
  10. Don't agree... Much better off with Kepler given our depth of corner OFers. They can also keep Canterino at AAA and use him if Buxton goes down for a prolonged period.
  11. This roster has come together nicely. I think a couple rookies are going to make some noise too. Looking forward to the season!
  12. I am hoping they are not signing one of these mediocre vets because they are very confident in what they saw in one or more of our prospects last year at the alternate site. I have this feeling based on a few crumbs that Canterino is ready or very near ready. Maybe they are high on multiple SP prospects and want the room to audition them. That would be OK too. They are at $125M. The budget likely does not have room for a SP and a good RP. If they believe they have prospects that can perform at the same level as the available FAs, it makes more sense to good with prospects in SP roles and sign a good RP.
  13. What SPECIFICALLY comprised the players financially. They were to receive 100% compensation for 154 games. They actually left money on the table. I am not sure what their cut of expanded playoffs was to be but they certainly could have countered and easily gotten an incremental $100M for players on playoff teams. They were asked to adjust their schedule in the midst of a global pandemic but they could not be inconvenienced. And no we we are not talking Cul-de-sac money. The average player makes more in one season than those folks living in Chanhassen make in 50 years of working for a living. MLB players are about as fortunate as they come. BTW ... Had the income of those "average" folks increased at the same pace as MLB players over the last 50 years, those average folks would be making $3.17M year or roughly 45 times that or the average household. I would say MLB players have been extremely fortunate.
  14. If this rejected proposal is any indication of our odds to have a normal season or any season next year it does not look good. Players sited injury concerns. Last year the wanted the opposite. As many games jammed in as possible and playing into much colder weather. Of course, cold weather would promote injury and increase Covid danger. What is the players cut of the expanded playoffs? The net is that they turned down additional compensation (playoff cut), right? Their give was apparently adjusting their schedules. Does not bode well for baseball next year.
  15. This statement does not mean the budget will go back to 2020 levels. It simply means they will set there budget as they would in any other year. It means they will set the budget based on 2021 projected revenue without an additional reduction to off-set 2020 losses. Therefore, the budget for players would be set based on some or all of the expected revenue loss being deducted from the operating budget. Perhaps its easier to understand if you personalize it. If your income goes down substantially in 2021, will you spend $10K more than your normal budget?
  16. Rosario is not a bad player. I think their are two aspects of his value that you are not acknowledging even though they have been mentioned several times. One, the equation the FO office uses is not Eddie Rosario vs Rooker or Kirilloff or whomever. It's Eddie Rosario vs his replacement and $10M to spend on another asset. For example, one of Rooker / Kirilloff / Larnach / Cave + Simmons >>>>> Rosario. It's surprising you are at odds with the FO if you don't accept this premise. Two, Rosario has had one stretch where he was a great player. That wwas the last half of 2017 through the first half of 2018. The league adjusted and since then Rosario has produced 2.2 WAR an OPS of 760 and a wRC+ of 97. He has also been a poor defender. These are hard facts not a manipulation of statistics. You are valuing him based on one stretch. The rest of his career he has been a very average player. The undisputable recent data suggests he has been very average for quite sometime now. Could he find the best version of himself again. Sure! However, he has had plenty of time to adapt and the evidence is quite convincing that he can't adapt or is unwilling to adapt. Regardless, based on his performance over the past 2 1/2 seasons, replacing him with a prospect and using the money for a player like Simmons has far greater value to team performance.
  17. I would bet Cruz is back but I do worry about father time finally catching up with him. Those who suggest we might be just as well using Rooker/Kirilloff/Larnach/Garver/Sano to match up against specific pitchers might have a point. I am torn as I love Cruz but I would not be disappointed if the money was spent on pitching. BTW ... Rosario was 9th in wRC_on the Bomba squad and had the worst defensive rating on the team. We won't miss the current version of Rosario but I do leave room for the possibility he abandons the horrid approach he has at the plate.
  18. Have the Twins made any statements about budget? I keep seeing all of the estimates and have to wonder how they are derived. Revenue is the primary determinant in establishing an operating budget for any organization as well as for all of us unless you have a trust fund. Yet, I have not seen one single person support an estimate with anything other than conjecture. I still don't have much of a solid estimate of when fans will be vaccinated or when they will be allowed to attend.
  19. I am not sure what's the confusion. You will have to elaborate.
  20. He was 257th out of 267 players with 250 ABs in 2019. In 2020, he was 195th out of 203 with 150 ABs. He did not get better with plate discipline. He started taking defensive (weak swings) with 2 strikes. He hit many a slow rollers last year. I would put it a little differently ... He will be dangerous IF he ever develops plate discipline. The bad defensive decisions, poor base running and horrid plate discipline are all symptoms of a poor approach to the game.
  21. It really sucks he got hurt so soon. He looked good while he was here but a very SSS. Another 40 games would have helped to evaluate him. However, this situation plays out pretty nicely. He gets a look for at least a month while Kirilloff and Larnach get a chance to prove they are ready. Is my memory correct in that Arraez was not on anyone's top 100 list?
  22. I am not sure why Rooker is completely dismissed here. He is the most proven of the three (Kirilloff / Larnach) at advanced levels. Rooker produced an OPS of 933 at AAA and 960 in his brief MLB experience. Kirilloff will probably end up top be the better player but he has not put up numbers yet above high A. It makes much more sense to me to require Kirilloff to prove he can perform at a high level above A+ ball. Also, to give up a year of control when he has not excelled above A+ would be incompetent and this FO is quite competent. It's not going to happen. Rooker or Cave or an acquisition will be the starting LFer to start the season.
  23. They won't be in any hurry to trade Arraez. * He is under team control through 2025. * Who knows what his ceiling might be. He could be the next Tony Gwynn. * Lewis staying at SS is not a given. He could CF or a utility man. * Arraez is quite valuable in a utility role. Now, if someone offers a haul for Arraez it could make sense. Who is to say Polanco won't be the one to be traded. Again, no hurry. It does not make sense to trade Arraez or Polanco soon unless the haul can't be denied. It makes more sense to wait and see how Lewis and even Javier perform this year. How great would it be if Javier busted out this year?
  24. Having the AAA team a 1/2 hour away provides a great opportunity to use the AAA team as an extended bench. Spend whatever is left in the budget on Cruz and/or pitching.
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