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Richie the Rally Goat

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Everything posted by Richie the Rally Goat

  1. Richie the Rally Goat
    I gotta think we’re a decent substitute For a customer focus group. I mean we all care enough to debate this stuff in January during a lockout.
  2. Richie the Rally Goat
    I’m with you on the luxury tax, if you have a floor, you need a soft ceiling too. I think the albatross trading like the NBA would be good for the game. To make it manageable you could augment, simplify and expand the rule 5, more picks, simpler age threshold, ways to move prospects around more so the Rays don’t just horde prospects received in trades taking on bad contracts.
  3. Richie the Rally Goat
    absolutely it could have, but the cost of doing business through spring training was a very small part of the calculation. It was 99.99999999999999% leverage based decision making for CBA negotiation. A few million per team on flights and coordination of ST is very small, compared to a bad CBA that takes effect for 5-10 years that can be hundreds of thousands to millions per player per year. if half your roster is effected by ML minimum, 20 roster spots * 300k*30 teams * 5 years is $900 million. There's alot at stake. Having a promise in good faith not to strike/lockout is a CBA, Collective Bargaining Agreement. I for one feel that the players would have chosen to start the season, and start the strike somewhere just before the all-star break to really put pressure on the owners to get the season restarted to stop the bleeding on lost All-Star revenue and the longer it goes on, the more likely it impacts post season revenue, to really pressure the owners to cave. The owners, under the same assumptions locked-out the players as early as possible, this takes away the player's leverage, and gives a relatively long deadline where they can be patient and let the players come to them. Now the players would try to be patient as well... the longer it takes the higher the likelihood it eats into the owners checkbook My guess is there won't be any movement until February at the earliest
  4. Richie the Rally Goat
    I get this and to an extent agree, except Donaldson and Sano have bad contracts in the current CBA/market. Offloading those two means paying a large portion of their salary and so there isn’t much savings or sending prospects with them, which I sincerely doubt this FO would ever do. If universal DH comes in, the calculus for Sano changes. At the trade deadline, the calculus for Donaldson might change. For now those two have more value playing for the Twins than in trade. Also, which pitcher is still a free agent that you wouldn’t classify as a dumpster dive? Signing both Rodon and Pineda would still result in a payroll under $120m with Sano and Donaldson on the books. Those are the two highest $ FA’s left… Arraez is one of the most valuable and tradeable assets the Twins have
  5. Richie the Rally Goat
    I agree, a disengaged fanbase would be very detrimental. The pitching, as it stands will put this team very much at risk of just that. the free agent options for pitching are very sparse. A trade for pitching seems like the best way to make ‘22 a competitive one. Trade inherently means someone of value leaves to return someone else. I think trading Arraez makes sense, but as others have pointed out, depends on return. As a package for a very good starting pitcher, I would be very happy. As a stand alone for a low level prospect, I would prefer to keep him.
  6. Richie the Rally Goat
    Absolutely, but “How” matters as much as “what”. Therein lies the issue with waiting out the market too long for leverage
  7. Richie the Rally Goat
    As @old nurse pointed out, it’s the Lance Lynn effect. Players will eventually take the lowball rather than sit out, but do you really want that? “I guess I’ll take it, if I have to”. Quite inspirational
  8. Richie the Rally Goat
    I did not propose or endorse a hard cap. I pointed out that a hard cap would not necessarily reduce the contracts as much as necessitate more flexible contracts. I do propose revenue generation and sharing more similar to NFL. The current TV contract model is terrible, but this is only tangentially related… I like the luxury tax model, I would propose a salary floor with punitive floor tax (that would raise the cost above the floor).
  9. Richie the Rally Goat
    Agreed, much better for the players to increase the pie than to divvy the pie up differently. Increasing revenue is better for COGS than decreasing cost, however good forecasting can identify future revenue reductions and allow for opportunities to backfill in advance or reduce cost to maintain margin. My model would probably reduce overall revenue for the league because a few teams have outsized TV contracts (relative to the rest of the league) that are unlikely to be re-upped or increased they'd be replaced with an in house solution (direct advertising and direct streaming fees). You'd have an opportunity to reduce cost even more, centralized broadcast production, most importantly not sharing as much cost with cable providers. The advantage would be scheduling to go Wall-To-Wall games for 18 hours a day, the ad revenue over the talking heads on MLBN would explode. Cable is dying, this would speed up an eventuality while still maintaining the cable subscribers you have left... and provide a more effective revenue sharing mechanism as it's all centralized (just like the NFL). While agreed that the NFL is not the beacon of parity, the revenue plan is a very good model that the MLB schedule just doesn't facilitate. Many of the arguments pro/con a stronger revenue sharing model is feasibility. It could more feasible than some think, and a possible eventuality as cable providers consolidate/disappear.
  10. Richie the Rally Goat
    I disagree, it would probably reduce the amount guaranteed on those long term high AAV block buster signings. You still have the huge long term deals in the NFL, they are not fully guaranteed
  11. Richie the Rally Goat
    How can an MLB game be highly rated when no one can watch it? Half the teams or more are stuck in that Bally Sports debacle. Further The other half have very lucrative deals that make them relatively rich. the conundrum of doing what’s right for the league would significantly impact the Yankees and Dodgers but would probably increase the total profit, might decrease the total revenue
  12. Richie the Rally Goat
    If MLB took control of broadcast away from individual teams to stream every game and air many on MLBN to a nationwide audience, would that bring the model close enough to NFL for revenue sharing/parity improvements like a salary floor be feasible?
  13. Richie the Rally Goat
    Rosenthal is the Ex. Rosenthal was an MLBN employee, not an MLB employee. MLB employees like union negotiators and lawyers are the spouse.
  14. Richie the Rally Goat
    That’s when you have a frank conversation with your spouse, not do something rash about their ex….
  15. Richie the Rally Goat
    There is much precedence of having a season without a CBA or with major disagreement about what should be in a current agreement. The season would have occurred status quo. the owners lockout of the players is to take away leverage from the players. the players would have most certainly waited to strike until opening day or later, to exert pain on the owners. With the owners locking out the players in December, there is now a deadline to hit.
  16. Richie the Rally Goat
    Ok, the social media thought was a bad example. however regarding IP, if I were to share my employer’s trade secrets with Ken Rosenthal, and he writes a news story about it, Rosenthal wasn’t the leak. That would be me. I would be the one in hot water for violating confidentiality, not Ken Rosenthal.
  17. Richie the Rally Goat
    What scale of contracts and for what types of organizations? Specifically, was it organized labor? If organized labor, approximately how many members? Didn't the first official meeting happen shortly after the lock out?
  18. Richie the Rally Goat
    My understanding is you are correct, the 40 man roster is impacted by the lockout. Non-40 man minor leaguers can still play. Typically minor league spring training overlaps major league by a week or two. non-40 man no ST Invite minor leaguers don’t show up until late in March. I wonder if Lee county complex might have some minor league training happen early?
  19. Richie the Rally Goat
    I have my flight booked for Fort Myers at the end of February. At this point it’s wishcasting. If there’s no baseball, I guess we’ll go to the beach or drive up to Disney… by the end of February I’ll desperately need to escape the cold anyways. I am trying to become pessimistic to protect my feelings. If I lower my expectations, maybe it won’t hurt so bad when baseball breaks my heart again.
  20. Richie the Rally Goat
    This is a news reporter, not an executive. He’s only a security risk if the executives in the room let him be one. If employers canned every low level operations employee for disparaging their employer on social media, most companies would have to close up shop because they fired too many workers.
  21. Richie the Rally Goat
    The source is the NY Post that cites sources. I’m giving credence to journalistic integrity.
  22. Richie the Rally Goat
    I get the ageism idea, and it is less sexy than anti-Manfred, but this needs more proof not just get tossed out there
  23. Richie the Rally Goat
    If the article from August of ‘20 was the reason for letting him go… then why extend him for ‘21 to let him go now?
  24. Richie the Rally Goat
    From the NY Post “His contract was up at the end of last year.” the context leading up was a flap about his criticism of Manfred August of ‘20. Did he work for a year without a contract? Did MLBN extend him for a year after the kerfuffel and just now pull that card? Either way, my questions still stand
  25. Richie the Rally Goat
    The timing is odd. Why now? Why not December 3rd? Or End of last season or this one? Does it mean something pertaining to the lockout or to what Rosenthal was working on?
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