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JW24

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Everything posted by JW24

  1. JW24
    Marwin in left, Eddie in right, Arraez at 3rd, Sano at 1st (if Cron isn't playing). Maybe not ideal, but certainly nothing the Twins aren't prepared for.
  2. JW24
    There was a thread a month ago or so trying to predict the Twins playoff roster. I was firmly in the 12 pitcher camp at the time, but without Pineda or a reliable Gibson, I don't see how the Twins can go into the playoffs with only 12 arms at this point. Adrianza's injury and Astudillo's recent lack of offensive production makes the position player roster crunch a little easier too. The bench will be thin, but I think this is the right idea now.
  3. JW24
    The way Cave was hitting prior to getting hurt will ensure he is on the post season roster ahead of Wade. Cave's July and August numbers in 70 ABs were incredible. Sure, it is a small sample size, but it shows he is capable of being a major contributor at times.
  4. JW24
    I have seen more of Wade than Miller, so my perception might a skewed a bit, but I am really impressed with Wade's at bats. I think, between his defensive versatility and how he approaches his ABs, Wade should be put on the post season roster before Miller. I hope the Twins season does not come down to needing a stolen base in a situation where everyone is expecting a stolen base. That isn't exactly how the Twins roster has been constructed.
  5. JW24
    I would be curious if the Pineda suspension has resulted in the Twins reluctance to shut Kyle down. I imagine Gibson wants to be out there pitching and helping his team, and even more so after losing Pineda for the rest of the season. I have a ton of respect for him battling through his ailments all season and never once using it as an excuse. He is a true professional. I feel terrible for Kyle. I hope he is able to regain his health this offseason. I am sure he does not take for granted being able to put on a Twins uniform every day, and I hope he can be healthy enough to do it again next year.
  6. JW24
    We've deviated a bit from the original topic, which was about how incredibly well-constructed the Twins current bullpen is, and how well they have performed recently, so I apologize for the digression. This will be my last response in regards to the FA discussion we have had. It is fine not to have the time to research who is available. Honestly, I don't have that much time myself, but Spotrac is a great resource for all things contracts/free agency/multi-year payroll views and can be quickly glanced over during lunch (which is what I am doing). Throwing out statements like "I expect Dyson to be non-tendered" with no additional information (is there a history of players with his injury this has happened to? who would replace him, where would his money be better spent?) is something I find disrespectful to other people on this site who share their opinions looking for actual discussion.
  7. JW24
    If you aren't going to bother to spend time identifying specific players, then perhaps making assumptions that the players you would like the Twins to target both exist and can be acquired with relative ease is short-sighted. I agree, it would be GREAT (!!!!) to land another high-caliber left-handed reliever. It can't just be wished into existence. I think, as fans, we assume filling the gaps left behind by solid contributors with automatic upgrades is easy. The talk at the trade deadline on this site was extremely optimistic about what the Twins could do, and I imagine free-agency will be similar (not a bad thing, it is a lot of fun to discuss). As it turns out, there might be a little more to the process than yelling, "We need better players than the above-average ones we have!" Sam Dyson was worth 1.2 WAR with the Giants prior to being traded. There isn't a whole lot of upgrading ability from there, assuming his injury can be dealt with and he is back to full strength next season, which I hope is with the Twins.
  8. JW24
    Who do you expect to be available that will be better? One of the reasons the Twins came into this season with a thin bullpen is because teams don't often let good relievers hit the market. Your posts recently have poked holes at other people's opinions without adding any substantive thoughts of your own. If you are going to make the claim that you are "guessing some [better relievers] will be available" please provide names. Otherwise you are simply refuting someone's thought with the assumption the Twins can find the rarest resource in baseball; quality, cheap bullpen arms.
  9. JW24
    Arraez is only 22, so assuming he is able to add some muscle to his frame, he might be a guy who eventually can be a solid 3rd baseman. I don't think he will ever be quick enough or a good enough fielder to stay up the middle, but if he can add a little power to both his bat and his throws across the diamond, I think 3rd might be his best landing spot. He should look to model his game after Eduardo Escobar. I think you nailed it with your assessment of Arraez. It is extremely challenging to maintain an OBP over .400 when you are not a threat to leave the ballpark.
  10. JW24
    I think the targeted Dyson specifically because of the additional year of team control he has next year. He will most definitely be back.
  11. JW24
    Also, for what it is worth, here are a couple contracts signed by guys I would consider to be of Gibson's ability level this past off-season: JA Happ - 36 Years Old - 2 years, $34M Lance Lynn - 32 years Old - 3 years, $30M Anibal Sanchez - 35 Years Old - 2 years, $19M Garrett Richards - 31 Years Old - 2 years, $15.5M Dallas Keuchel, who has a better track record than Gibson, signed a deal that could be pro-rated to 1 year, $21.21M So, I would say there is a market, but not an overly lucrative one. I could see some team offering him Lance Lynn's contract if they are confident in Gibson's health. I wouldn't be upset if that is what the Twins did.
  12. JW24
    I don't know what the market will be. I don't know how well Gibson will pitch next year. But if he is productive, someone will offer him another deal. Maybe he has to play it year by year. Or maybe someone sees something in his numbers they think they can correct and capitalize on. I can't look into the future to give you an answer. The most value I see a guy like Gibson having is to a team like the White Sox, who have minimal money committed to next season, could offer Gibson a relatively sizable 1-year deal, and either ride out the season with him (if he pitches really well/the White Sox are in the playoff hunt) or try to use him as a trade chip near the deadline. The Pittsburgh Pirates are another team who might see value in bringing Gibson in to help shore up a rotation in need of a guy who can eat innings, and also a trade piece. My primary point is that if the Twins try to low-ball him, I would expect Gibson to look elsewhere, even if that means having to play it year by year. Trying to predict the market for him is not possible, so this is the best answer I can give you.
  13. JW24
    Every athlete would prefer the stability of a long-term deal, of course. However, lets not pretend like 32 is way past peak here. If Gibson shows he can stay healthy and be productive, he could get a multi-year extension yet in his career. If Gibson feels like the Twins are asking him to sign below market value, and he has an offer elsewhere for one year at a high dollar amount, why not bet on himself?
  14. JW24
    Did Jaime Garcia jerseys ever get made? I can't imagine they went through production and were shipped to the team store in time for anyone to buy one while he was still a Twin.
  15. JW24
    I have no issues with this lineup at all. It would be tough for an opposing manager to find a reliever with a same-side (righty vs righty, lefty vs lefty) advantage for more than one hitter at a time late in games. Having Arraez lead off makes a ton of sense. After him, I think Rocco has some flexibility to shake things up. I wouldn't mind something like this: Arraez Sano Cruz Kepler Polanco Garver Rosario Gonzalez Cave If Sano is swinging a hot bat in the playoffs, I want him getting as many ABs as possible. I am also counting on Polanco to be a big run producer at 5 assuming Cruz and Kepler get on base at a high rate.
  16. JW24
    The Twins are paying north of $18M to players who don't play for the Twins this year. Coupled with $7.5M club option for Perez next year that should not be picked up, you can get to $25M for Cole without it impacting Odorizzi and Pineda's money. Additionally, Gibson received $8.125M this year, an increase of almost $4M from 2018. No way he signs anywhere for less than what he got this season. I think Gibson would consider 3/30 from the Twins. However, if I am Gibson, signing a 1 year deal somewhere else and betting on himself might be the way to go.
  17. JW24
    Nice game by Berrios last night! Reminded me of a vintage Brad Radke outing; give up 2 in the first and nothing else. Tyler Duffey was awesome last night as well. Currently in the middle of an 18.2 consecutive scoreless innings stretch (30 strikeouts to 5 walks during that time). Thank goodness the Twins bullpen has gotten healthy and incredibly reliable while the lineup has been struggling to stay on the field. Let's clinch the division soon and go into the playoffs at mostly full strength and one of the best bullpens in baseball!
  18. JW24
    ESPN's page for 2018 is broken (can get AL data, but not MLB), but here is games played by player for 2017 38 played 155+ in 2017 53 played 155+ in 2016 This does not account for pinch hitting appearances, or getting pulled from a game early. It is just appearances. I'm not saying this to either support or refute your point, just providing the data (and source).
  19. JW24
    With Cruz in a bit of a slump, the games Garver doesn't catch he should be in the lineup at DH. Should Cruz pick it up again, Garver should be in the lineup at 1B. If Rosario (and Wade and Arraez) get hurt, throw him into the OF. His bat has to get in the lineup every single night at this point until the division is wrapped up. I also completely agree Garver should have gotten an AB last night.
  20. JW24
    17 games remaining, he should get 17 starts.
  21. JW24
    Yet unfortunate that this season, where the Twins have maintained position as one of the 5 best teams in the MLB, they have to deal with a division rival who is one of the 6 (or so) best teams in all of baseball. This thread would be non-existent if it wasn't for the fact two of the best teams in baseball reside in the AL Central. The only other division that does not have a pretty clear winner is the NL Central, which is the most aggressively average division in the MLB.
  22. JW24
    This post will be worth re-visiting on Monday morning. Lets wait to see how Odo and Berrios pitch against Cleveland. If the Twins can split the next 4 games, this is a pretty moot point. If the Twins can manage a 10-7 record over their final 17 games, Cleveland would need to go 13-2 to tie the Twins.
  23. JW24
    With Edwin Jackson starting for Detroit, it was really a bullpen game for both teams. I think in a battle of bullpens, the Yanks still hold a pretty sizable advantage. I recognize my original post was pretty salty. The Twins were going to set a new record in the Tigers series at some point. The Yanks (mostly fans on Twitter) celebrating tying the Twins HR total in a game they lost to the worst team in baseball is what mostly set me off. Also, because I kind of want the Twins to have the record at the end of the season.
  24. JW24
    Yeah, but the Twins only gave up 10 runs in the game they lost!
  25. JW24
    It is a bit of a compliment to the Twins organization that they have people within the organization worth poaching. Say what you will about the spreadsheets the FO uses or the analytics stressed up and down the organization, but the Twins are clearly doing something other teams find valuable and difficult to replicate on their own. This is extremely encouraging. I would be really disappointed to see the FO move on from the Twins now that they have turned it around and built (what looks to be) sustainable success. However, if Boston comes calling, I wouldn't blame them one bit for taking that opportunity.
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