NYCTK
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Everything posted by NYCTK
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Well, for example, against the Rays he did this: https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/sporty-videos?playId=a27e7ac5-6234-3f02-995e-55e174d0b7b3 https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/sporty-videos?playId=efcc6ab3-1c22-30e0-90a0-8cdaa1a868e9 Worrying about the exact numbers is just pedantry. We all know he's a bad fielder that costs runs in LF. Funderburks career ERA is still inflated by 0.41 because of one inning with Trevor Larnach. Which is also why reliever ERA is nearly useless.
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Week in Review: Rough Around the Edges
NYCTK replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
That ball had a 90% catch rate according to Statcast. Buxton is not only no longer an elite CF, he's probably best viewed as league average out there.- 18 replies
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- joe ryan
- byron buxton
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I actually missed that the Twins signed Drew Smith. Good get. He could eventually slot into the high leverage mix. Absolutely. I still say there's a decent chance both that: The 2026 Bullpen performs better than the pre-deadline 2025 Bullpen The Bullpen performs the best relative to the rest of the league, compared to the offense, defense, and rotation
- 41 replies
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- byron buxton
- royce lewis
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It's not impossible they could have gotten Sproat or Jack Wenninger for the two years of Ryan. Brewers sent Tobias Myers which helped get the second Top 100 guy in Sproat, so it's hard to say, especially since the Twins lacked someone to add to the deal like Myers. Maybe Vientos. He's out of options and his defense is atrocious and I was hoping he got the chance to go elsewhere where he could play 1B/DH every day, and the Mets couldn't have asked for much in return. I think Jett and Vientos would have been really fun return for Ryan. High value athlete, and big bopper at 1B who'd have been no worse than Bell on defense. Maybe one of the many AA pitchers as a third for funsies.
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If you constantly play for one run, you'll end up scoring less runs. The middle innings of a tie game with a bad bullpen are arguably the worst time to play for one run, situationally.
- 80 replies
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- joe ryan
- byron buxton
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I'm impressed that you're now showing great confidence in the Twins bullpen in limiting runs by the opposing team. Rare opinion on this website to be sure.
- 80 replies
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- joe ryan
- byron buxton
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He's now played about 2,000 innings in the OF in his professional baseball career. I'm sorry, but getting behind a ball and knowing the situation and where you're throwing is not something that you really need time to develop. A lot of players either have the skill, instincts, and acumen for a position or you don't. Martin seems to have most of the skills, and his reads are mostly acceptable that he SHOULD be fine in LF, but his baseball IQ just seems really poor at that position. This was my read as well. I don't put any blame on Lee's positioning at all. The LF shouldn't really need a cutoff man to get it 2B from that position regardless. Martin received that flyball like an infielder, just catching it and then getting it out of his hands as fast as he could while off balance, rather than getting underneath it and crow hopping that baby in with some oomph.
- 80 replies
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- joe ryan
- byron buxton
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I mostly agree. If you're just coldly following the expectations, you become predictable and easier to defend. The element of surprise has value as well. I would hate a manager that is bunting in that situation a LOT, but they are more than welcome to do so from time to time to try to spark something.
- 80 replies
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- joe ryan
- byron buxton
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Sure, in a half season he had really good results, but his xFIP was still a pretty middling and his career before then was also middling. I'm not gonna say he's a bad pitcher, but I don't think anyone has him as a top 20 pitcher coming into the season.
- 80 replies
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- joe ryan
- byron buxton
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The Orioles don't really have an ace. So, yeah, those numbers do take all those possibilities into account.
- 80 replies
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- joe ryan
- byron buxton
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Diverging Paths: San Diego Padres Nearing $3.4+ Billion Sale
NYCTK replied to NYCTK's topic in Other Baseball
Well, at least now we're in the AI age where a bunch of idiots in charge of things think they can now cut staff rather than investing in the business. The enshitification of everything must continue. Things are going to get a lot worse yet, before they some day get better. -
Diverging Paths: San Diego Padres Nearing $3.4+ Billion Sale
NYCTK replied to NYCTK's topic in Other Baseball
I'll never buy into this reasoning all that, much. The spending didn't follow the revenue. The spending drove the revenue. Twins fans aren't avoiding Target Field because they might go to a Vikings game in 6 months. But it probably does make it easier to more quickly draw the attention of the public, and hold it too. -
Royce Lewis’s Spring Struggles: Fluke, or Red Flag?
NYCTK replied to Sam Caulder's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Last year was a pretty remarkably healthy season for a MLB team. Lopez missed half the season and the most significant position player injury was to a Rookie. 2024 wasn't really the fault of injures either, with Ryan missing a third of the season and then Lewis and Correa missing large stretches. I'd wager the Twins have been in the top half of healthiness the last 3 seasons, not the bottom half. -
Diverging Paths: San Diego Padres Nearing $3.4+ Billion Sale
NYCTK replied to NYCTK's topic in Other Baseball
It is. And who knows what the owners agree to with the new CBA, meaning this sort of spending spree might be unrepeatable. Other owners were allegedly very upset with Seidler (and Mets owner Steve Cohen). The CBA is not going to result in a salary cap, but the owners themselves are going to have quite an interesting fight amongst themselves that addresses this sort of team management. -
Royce Lewis’s Spring Struggles: Fluke, or Red Flag?
NYCTK replied to Sam Caulder's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
The Dodgers are notorious for pitching injuries actually. -
The year is 2017. The San Diego Padres and the Minnesota Twins are each coming off of 94+ loss seasons, sitting in comparable media markets, each sitting with a similar $1B valuation, but are about to take very divergent paths. At first glance, one might assume the Twins were the ones being set up for success, headed into a season where they'd make the playoffs 2 of 3 seasons, winning 101 games in one of those seasons. However, with the patriarch of the Seidler family recognizing you can't take it with you, the Padres would soon become a free spending model of success. Having been a pretty poor franchise with little success to match it, the Padres would start to become reckless spenders starting in 2018, with a near doubling of payroll which continued to balloon towards it high point in 2023. And the people took notice, with pre-covid attendance being unrecognizable from their near league-leading attendance figures post-covid. Meanwhile, well, we know what happened with the Twins. Their fiscally conservative ownership also maxing out in 2023, $120 million below the Padres, and then... As it turns out, while the Pohlads couldn't find anyone to meet their asking price of $1.6B for the Twins, thanks in large part to the fandom understandably having lost loyalty to a middling product with zero ownership commitment, the San Diego Padres fandom is alive and well, and apparently that's...good? So good, we can just about put a dollar figure on it, and it's nearly $2,000,000,000. If only someone had told the nepo-baby business geniuses in charge of the Twins the very unknown adage "you have to spend money to make money". Less than a decade to turn a franchise from a mockery into a perennial contender. But only if the billionaires are comfortable spending money. Small price to pay in order to rehab the family name, one might argue.
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Royce Lewis’s Spring Struggles: Fluke, or Red Flag?
NYCTK replied to Sam Caulder's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
If this were the case, the Twins scouting department needs to do a better job finding players that don't have such inflated egos. Mentality is one of those intangibles that teams do need to hone in on, and coach when possible. Just really, really sad to see the #1 overall pick, now 27 years old, having seemingly become a marginal player that is on the cusp of being a non-tender candidate: a .226/.278/.375 hitter with a .294 xwOBA over his last 629 PAs coming off the IL in July 2024, and a mediocre all-around baseball player providing minimal value with his defense or legs. And, yes, with questionable clubhouse presence, due to his multiple misguided comments to the press. -
Minnesota Twins 2026 Season Preview: Find The Fun
NYCTK replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
That guy had seemingly had a stroke. Someone check in on him! -
Minnesota Twins 2026 Season Preview: Find The Fun
NYCTK replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I have no expectations for this team, but I am a T-Mobile user and get MLB.TV for free. As a non-Minnesota market individual that means the next 6 months will have me getting home at night, seeing the Twins are playing and being able to watch the last 3 innings. It's not going to be pretty, and there will be far more wins than losses, but I will enjoy seeing some of the Twins play, and some of their opponents as well. I love baseball, and I'm happy to have it back on the menu. -
Can the 2026 Twins Avoid Being a Disaster Defensively?
NYCTK replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
His outfield jumps are just really bad. His instincts are poor. His route running is OK, but his lumbering nature doesn't help. He just doesn't cover much ground out there, and that's been consistent for 3 seasons now. To his credit, he catches most everything he actually gets to, and his arm does prevent the occasional extra base. But even still, he's a liability out there. I find it unfathomable that he's never played a game at 1B, at least since high school. They had to have tried him there at some point, right? Especially now that the team is an uncompetitive nightmare, they should be moving players down the defensive spectrum when they're liabilities rather than making all the pitchers jobs significantly harder. -
Can the 2026 Twins Avoid Being a Disaster Defensively?
NYCTK replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I see you're still tilting at windmills. -
Ranking 2026 Twins Top Prospects By Best Hit Tool
NYCTK replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
Don't look to biased fans for your talent evaluation. Don't even look to Twins commentators, like Provus or...whomever is radio play-by-play. This is how a lot of fans get too high of expectations for players coming up. The only player that's deserved that level of hype the last decade has been Royce Lewis. And the only one currently worthy of that sort of hype is Walker Jenkins.- 27 replies
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- walker jenkins
- gabriel gonzalez
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