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MN Brian

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Everything posted by MN Brian

  1. MN Brian
    Others have addressed how much of an overpay this would be, and I agree. I like Jeffers, but the top paid catcher? But I think the interesting aspect of this is that the QO salary would apply to the first year of the new CBA, right? And if the owners are successful then there will likely be a cap & floor system in place that will require a significant amount of spending by the Twins. Seems likely there would need to be some transition in year 1, but think about how you can spend that money. There won't be more above average players available, same as before. But the balance of money to be spent will be towards the smaller payroll teams. Free agents that we might be interested in will likely be tough to get. Internal candidates for that spend suddenly become very interesting.
  2. MN Brian
    I was thinking there was a good opportunity for a Guinness record for most people in a Royce Lewis flash mob!
  3. MN Brian
    The question on the jersey giveaway has been answered! Now the question is what do they do with 10k Lewis jersey's?
  4. MN Brian
    You need both, I think. Opinion polls over time are quite interesting in judging shifts of opinion, but others (like this) should be point in time based. A related comment, it would be very interesting to see the opinion polls over time displayed that way. For example, what is the daily opinion of Shelton from the start of the season to now on a day-to-day basis? If it's possible to view that now, I'm now sure how.
  5. MN Brian
    @Brock Beauchamp - Does this poll reset daily? Went back in to see where it was at and it wanted me to vote again. I think a use case like this would call for a non-resetting poll ...
  6. MN Brian
    (duplicate posting)
  7. MN Brian
    You do realize that Royce is a human being, not just someone to entertain you? Have empathy for the personal impact of injuries.
  8. MN Brian
    Looks like the MLB record as of 2018 may be 12 different pitchers? I think we have a real shot at being an all-time great reliever squad =) The 1973 Rangers and 1961 Kansas City A's share the record, having 12 different pitchers record a save in the same season
  9. MN Brian
    Almost turned it off after the top of the first. But actually a really good game to watch. And my apologies to Banda for my negative thoughts about him pitching the 9th!
  10. MN Brian
    I know it's a grey zone since the pitches were thrown in a starting capacity, but given the intent of this chart it feels like Rojas' pitches on Monday need to be included to have a reasonable picture of who is available?
  11. MN Brian
    I'm OK with him playing 11st base ... but it's kinda awkward to pronounce ...
  12. MN Brian
    Dang! He was having a great season. This sounds like it is a 6-8 week timeline for return, with additional time before the hitting power returns. This also then starts to impact trade value as the deadline is only 11 weeks away. All around crap deal for Jeffers, the Twins, & the fans.
  13. MN Brian
    My lucky year! A foul ball off of Bell’s bat in the bottom of the first :-)
  14. MN Brian
    Connor Prielipp called up, Mick Abel to 15-day IL per Bobby Nightengale https://www.startribune.com/connor-prielipp-top-twins-prospect-mick-abel-injured-list-mets-mlb/601637792
  15. MN Brian
    Kendry Rojas called up, Funderburk to paternity list per Bobby Nightengale https://www.startribune.com/twins-promoting-prospect-kendry-rojas-to-bullpen/601779195
  16. MN Brian
    There was also an article in the Strib today regarding many of the same topics with the lead topic being the payroll at 24th in baseball this year: https://www.startribune.com/minnesota-twins-payroll-tom-pohlad-mlb-rank/601661789 I found this graphic in the story helpful in seeing the payroll numbers across the decades:
  17. MN Brian
    I found this interesting and a very nice summary of the business side of the Twins, thanks for sharing @East Coast Twin! Good enough to invest 50 minutes to watch. I'm not sure there is anything new in here that hasn't been discussed thoroughly on Twins Daily, but pulls it all together and offers it with maybe a bit more business perspective and less animosity than you get here =) One thing that did seem missing in the piece was how much of the debt may have been tied to the original stadium deal. While the covid times and ongoing debt service payments certainly contributed to the rise in the overall debt, no way that can explain all of it. I think that a significant portion still is likely to have come from financing with minimal payments on the Twins contribution to the building of the stadium.
  18. MN Brian
    @Cody Christie - Thanks for this detailed insight! I did not catch this covered in other sources. Kindness matters, sports is entertainment, sports should not be life, players are humans, humans have troubles, vulnerability is strength not weakness ... maybe a bunch of cliches, but also a bunch of truth. If that fan knew the backstory of what they were saying, and it seems likely they did, I am ashamed they are a sports fan in Minnesota.
  19. MN Brian
    From one Brian to another, thank-you for taking me on that explanation journey, a lot to think about and masticate on! Maybe that common Brian typo should be applied here and your screen name should be @RiverBrain =)
  20. MN Brian
    I'm not a statistics major, but I have worked a bit with numbers. The median margin of error is really not very informative here, the confidence intervals tell a much better story. If you had 5 ABS measurements which, when compared to a perfect measurement system ("source of truth"), were off by 0.05", 0.08", 0.16", 0.5", & 0.75" your median (middle value) margin of error would be 0.16". It would also be 0.16" if you had 0.14", 0.15", 0.16", 0.17", & 0.18". It is challenging to make a prediction about the next ABS measurement with just this value. The confidence values tell you statistically how likely the next ABS measurement will be within a given error. So the system is 95% confident (19 times out of 20) that the next pitch will be measured within 0.39" of the "source of truth".
  21. MN Brian
    It's all camera based during the games. Though to determine the confidence interval they would have needed another "source of truth" during testing, I presume this was likely lidar (laser) of some type.
  22. MN Brian
    What stand out to me in the lineup card is that all nine Twins have a home run whereas only 4 of the Red Sox do. Also much more balanced in the RBI's and the AVG & OPS. Emphasizing how broad the success has been with the hitters. Maybe a glimmer of hope for this being longer term success and not just a flash in the pan! I know, what am I thinking? It's not going to last =)
  23. MN Brian
    Fair enough. My comment wasn't really that Clemens was included, but that if that type of player was included in the count for the Twins that it could easily be skewing the numbers being reported for other teams even more.
  24. MN Brian
    For sure there are challenges with any selected filter. It likely goes back to the original hypothesis from my perspective, which is that the Twins have more left-handed hitting corner outfielders than other organizations. So what defines a player as a corner outfielder? It doesn't feel right to say anyone who plays there. I think that a player who plays the majority of their time in the corner outfield position might be a better criteria but certainly there are other options. You raise a great point in regards to injured players that I had not considered. To be clear, I'm not saying that Cody did choose that filter to define a narrative. No way for me to know that answer. And the answer may be similar no matter what the selection criteria may be, I haven't invested the effort that Cody did to know. But my comment is reflective of my spidey sense tingling while reading his article =) (edited to reflect the response is to amjgt not Cody)
  25. MN Brian
    I applaud the attempt to quantify this, but do you feel that a filter that captures 3 innings of work by Kody Clemens is the best filter to use here? Or was it selected to help define a narrative?
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