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bird

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Everything posted by bird

  1. bird
    Agreed, and the trade market this winter should be OK.
  2. bird
    Primarily because Pelfry and Nolasco.
  3. bird
    And if Burdi had performed lights out in AAA for more than a month, trading Perkins would make a little more sense.
  4. bird
    I believe the Twins would have signed Sano. Smith didn't make that call in a vacuum.
  5. bird
    The Twins should sell from surplus to solve deficiencies. Which relief pitcher, here or in Rochester or New Britain, has Perkin's ceiling? We don't have a surplus of this caliber of reliever.
  6. bird
    Not so sure about the window issue. Of the 6 top 50, Meyer and Berrios are a year and two years away, and Buxton and Sano are a year or so away, and Stewart and Gordon will come along one after the other. If we're fortunate, some of today's new initiates will have taken their lumps and show improvement in year two (Gibson, Arcia, Santana, Pinto). From there, the pipeline looks poised to deliver a steady trickle (Tonkin, Burdi, May, Hicks, Rosario, Vargas, Polanco). Obviously, some of these guys will struggle or flop, but there's sufficient depth. My suspicion is they retain Dozier because of intangibles perhaps as much as that they forecast his production to exceed that of Rosario or Polanco. The outward signs indicate he's charismatic and likable, and maybe provides much-needed clubhouse leadership.
  7. bird
    C'mon now, Levi. "Not the worst"? Geez. That 15 reply thread is so far from the types of very logical arguments in support of either Gardy or Ryan we've both encountered here over the past three years.
  8. bird
    None of these three have been foundational arguments expressed on Twins Daily over the past three years, IMO.
  9. bird
    $200K is essentially pocket change really. They have surplus players now for every roster and an overflow crowd in Extended from what I can tell. That's not enough to cover the training table bill in Extended.
  10. bird
    Again, Levi, after reading those comments over and over, I for one detected no dirty laundry and absolutely no public shaming there.
  11. bird
    Again, Levi, not everyone believes that a player was publicly humiliated.
  12. bird
    I'd submit that things in fact have been changing in response to the improved economics, but we haven't seen it reflected in the W-L column. They're building this for "sustainable" success, IMO. It's taking time.
  13. bird
    While I get and respect the sentiment about the need for wholesale changes in the front office and field staff, I do think it's a bit of a mischaracterization to suggest the Twins have had this 30-year suffocation at the hands of a dominant few, ownership aside. Jim Pohlad is a pretty matter-of-fact guy, and these comments merely reflect a certain resolve. He grew up career-wise in a culture that values long-term thinking, values financial results, and also values its good people. So I'd call it resolve, not impatience, and his comments are a reminder that the financial model for the baseball business has improved dramatically and the W-L record and World Series contention are the ultimate goals. I hope he speaks out with this kind of bluntness more often. It helps dispel the notions out there that they don't care about anything other than their own pocketbooks.
  14. bird
    Six out of 50 is pretty astounding when you think about it. I'm guessing that the rest of the AL Central combined has maybe 3 prospects on this list of 50. Lindor for sure, and after that, probably none ranked higher than Stewart.
  15. bird
    Obviously I meant to include the previous post, my bad. As for the attractiveness of some team's #10 prospect for Suzuki? In most systems, this prospect is a back-of-the-rotation guy or a 4th OF type. Is that really selling high? What constitutes an overwhelming return for Suzuki?
  16. bird
    How do you know this, and what relevance is it? Ryan was pursuing pitching talent, and it was by this initiative that he landed May and Meyer, correct? Washington and Philadelphia didn't thrust those key prospects upon Ryan.
  17. bird
    But the team IS growing, all around the established guys. Both in MLB and in the minors. Both more established young players like Plouffe and Parmelee and newer additions like Gibson and Santana, and a bunch of prospects getting closer, such as Tonkin, Berrios and Polanco. The established guys only enhance this growth, unless they're blocking some phenom, and that's simply not the case. Some argue that May and Meyer have been blocked, but I don't buy that..yet.
  18. bird
    Yeah, Pino is what he is, a #7-8 starter who's an upgrade over Walters, Hernandez, DeVries et al. Same with Johnson, a decent #6-7 guy. Both solid pick-ups this winter.
  19. bird
    I'm in the same camp. The most glaring and damaging deficiency with the Twins is that it appears they have no philosophy and discipline in place regarding the disposition of moveable assets. They fail to sell when the opportunities ate there way too often. They get in binds a la Hunter and Santana, and those types of failures set a franchise back big time. Having said that, I'm tempering my optimism that, even if they DO move Hammer and Correia, for example, that the return will make me catch my breath.
  20. bird
    I'm 100% in favor of putting for sale signs on virtually every player for whom we have an adequate replacement or can acquire one cheaply. The trade deadline is the best opportunity to prey on a desperate team willing to overpay to fill a need. If the player doesn't fetch a decent return, don't sell. I'd always be a seller of surplus, if possible, at the deadline. I'd have a sign on every reliever, except Perkins. I'd quietly advertise Suzuki. For sure Hammer, Correia, and Morales. I'd see how teams view Dozier, Plouffe, Parmelee just in case a stupid offer is out there. I don't view the Meyer/May situations as relevant to all this other than the fact that they are in the longer-term plans and are part of the surplus that allows you to move pitching for value now.
  21. bird
    I hardly think this line of reasoning has any chance to nullify debates with any of us. We often nullify the notion that there's some reasoned answer we haven't been exposed to from the Twins. That's my point. The Twins blunder at times, like all other teams, and we as fans are often wrong too. I'm with you on wanting to see a Gibson-like intro to MLB for both Meyer and May, although I don't think it's the only way to skin the cat. I agree that it would be advisable to find roster room, at least for September call ups. You know, at the end of each season, the Twins gather every important development staff member for a week to hash out this stuff about all this stuff, and I just don't grasp how these July 10th decisions about Johnson and Pino versus an injured May and a non-roster Meyer factor into them being more informed about those off-season decisions.
  22. bird
    I guess I'm the lone wolf then. If Meyer was 100% "ready", they would have made room for him. The Twins field staff disagrees with all of you who proclaim that Meyer, or May for that matter, would have been better options at the time for the guys they were throwing out there. No offense, but I'm going with the coaches and manager who watch every bullpen, every pitch, and are exposed to every important nuance associated with these decisions. Also, Pino, Johnson, Darnell, Meyer, and May are a far cry from the likes of Walters, DeVries, and Hernandez. This notion that it's the "same old Twins MO" is an inaccurate portrayal. Yes, Meyer and May have brighter futures and they'll be promoted eventually, perhaps even later this season, but Pino and Johnson are hardly chopped liver. This team is on the way to maybe 74 wins, so what's the fuss about the timing of the debuts of these guys?
  23. bird
    Wow. This is incredibly illuminating. Thanks for digging this up, jorgenswest. The scouting quality and the overall environment in 2014 is probably vastly superior compared to 2006/7, but still, it would be hard to contend that signing the most highly-rated prospects today is that much more predictable. It appears the answer to your first question is that it's probably still pretty much a crap shoot. The second question is impossible to answer: will the Yankees get rewarded? Even if they turn out a Teheran for roughly $14M? A lot of that might depend on if they end up suffering the consequences for cheating, i.e. no signings over $300k the following year, but then again they can still find the Arcias, Santanas, and Pintos, right? Some have criticized the Twins for not signing more of these more highly-ranked prospects, and I'd say this data suggests that the criticism is unfounded, for two reasons. First, they DO sign a number of prospects that others rank highly, such as Sano, Minier, Diaz, Barrie, Silva and Ynoa in the last two years. They sign prospects they like regardless of these dicey outside rankings. Secondly, the many success stories bubbling up support their process: Arcia, Santana, Polanco, Pinto, Sano, Vargas, Thorpe... And the Twins should NOT do the same thing, even if it would clearly work, because it cheats others and it's wrong by every ethical standard one can cite.
  24. bird
    A number of commenters have said he's ready. We as fans want to learn more about how ready he is, but it's just not within the realm of how it all works to think that the Twins, who have skilled coaches watching very pitch and every bullpen, haven't "learned" how ready he is. If he was 100% ready, they'd have made room by now. Since he isn't, they're doing what they think is best for him.
  25. bird
    A huge happy note for me is that, when a SP goes down, which is an inevitability, we have palatable solutions: Johnson, Pino, May, Darnell, and Meyer have all made a case for themselves. Another is that we're in almost every game, with very few blowouts, and this indicates that we're pretty close to having enough talent to convert a lot of those close losses into wins. Much more fun this year to watch this team play.
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