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Kwak

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Everything posted by Kwak

  1. Kwak
    Sale will turn 26 in March--not old and in decline phase. Sale could just as easily be improving as declining.
  2. Kwak
    Gosh, for minute I thought you were commenting about the Twins. All posts that begin with: "If so-and-so gets injured..,--all projections are off". That can be said for every team.
  3. Kwak
    "There's also a dynamic wild card in the mix here..." Absolutely! If the SOX believe their bullpen problems are controlled, placing Rodon in the rotation elevates their staff to the top of the ALC. Their offence likely not to DET's level (yet) but I totally agree with the forecast of 81-91 wins in 2015.
  4. Kwak
    Horrendus is way too strong, that's Nishioka territory.
  5. Kwak
    Not necessarily--it's just money. It is wrong to assume that other teams manage the same way as the Twins.
  6. Kwak
    Plus, the Tigers have shown a willingness to add quality veterans mid-season--as opposed to the local team. The Tigers owner has demonstrated that he will spend on his sports teams to enjoy his money now rather than just accumulate for others. The estimate for this season's win total (by TD posters) likely didn't include any significant roster changes (on any team). But, there will be changes made.
  7. Kwak
    The trend for KC is: UP. Following a trend makes more sense than predicting that the trend should immediately reverse. This seems (to me) more true for KC because their players are young, but experienced and should be moving into (or already there) the prime of their careers. One should expect a slight improvement is more likely than a "step back". My comments for other teams will be delayed until their threads have been started.
  8. Kwak
    The premise of "money was spent to win now" seems valid, exspecially when juxtaposed with the October proclamation of ~$85MM payroll "should be enough". The extra $20MM has (and it should have) expectations attached. My guess: a July fire sale in Minneapolis.
  9. Kwak
    I never cease to be amazed by those who see success--and then conclude that said person/team must regress the next season. That is akin to watching coinflips then predicting that the next flip must be ... because of the previous flip or two. If there is to be a regression I believe it is most likely by those at the extremes (Detroit and Minnesota)--Detroit is aged and has demonstrated overconfidence after "seeming" taken control of the regular season. The Twins are built around assumptions that virtual rookies and the streaky tendencendies of Dozier, Plouffe, and Arcia can consistently produce the offense. The older veterans could easily fall into decline if the team falls out of realistic contention. The other three have plenty of youthful veterans whose career is building. KC will have oodles of self-confidence and will be mentally tough. CHI has added a lot and (at least as far as TD) have mentioned the very likely addition of Rodon to their staff, even if only as a RP (like Sale). CLE is farther down the rebuilding road than the Twins. The Twins will need a small miracle to escape the cellar. The others will battle through September for 1st place--and any of them could prevail.
  10. Kwak
    Preferred Option? Who are you talking about? Molitor or Ryan? Molitor stated he wanted Santana at SS. This is not surprising because Santana displayed many flaws as a CF (hitting independent of position) and SS was "his position" while developing as a player. Escobar, well I think we saw his best last year as a SS--saying no more. This leaves the options concerning Hicks and Shafer as Molitor's preference for CF. There isn't enough information to say if one option (player/platoon) or another is Molitor's prefence. Then there's Ryan's preference. It sure looks like he wants Santana at CF and Escobar at SS. This isn't surprising because that option was his "brain child" last year. There will be another "position competition" in Spring Training (very similar to previous competitions of seasons past). The date that the final decision is made (as well as the decision made) will be "telling" to the future direction of the team.
  11. Kwak
    It seems that this thread has followed the same course as the others with a similar vein: "there is a problem"; followed by a supporting premise, ... . Some posters agree, and perhaps add some more data, then quickly followed by the defenders of the organization enter using the arguements of: 1) "not their fault" 2) "who could have done better?" 3) "the initial premise is wrong" and 4) "we need just a bit more time because this next group of minor-leaguers will set MLB on fire", thus demonstrating that the organization is just fine. One thing that is overlooked--the thread never pointed a finger at anyone thus no one needs defending. One can disagree with the premises of 1st Round Busts, WAR, or that the time frame is invalid--but not who did the player selection or why someone was selected--because those weren't the premise of the thread. I believe that a slightly longer period is actually more relevant because those players would either still be with the team or have been replaced (via trade or draft compensation) to support that the Twins 1st Round draft selections have been poor. But it's not my thread so I'll run with the time frame selected. So, YES, I agree with the premise. But I firmly believe that there are several more factors responsible for the poor seasons of the recent past.
  12. Kwak
    The development aspects were but briefly mentioned--but it is crucial to success. Unmentioned is the correlation of the skills evaluation (consensus opinion) of the player and how closely that they fit with the organization's ("The Twins Way") use of said skills. I cringe when I read that the organization wishes to make major changes in a player's mechanics (swing, delivery, approach, etc.) because it renders much of the initial evaluation useless, ergo, why this guy was selected so early in the draft.
  13. Kwak
    Like virtually every Twins game?
  14. Kwak
    So, it's all settled--Gardenhire is to blame for this mess.
  15. Kwak
    Hope I'm wrong, but that article read like a eulogy.
  16. Kwak
    Or, they can just buy it--like they actually did!
  17. Kwak
    Revere wasn't the only OF traded, Span was also traded. Their "replacements" have made a mess of the OF especially when one considers the cattle-call that filled the entire OF. Trading for future talent (especially better talent) is a fine move, but if May and Meyer aren't SPs--the moves were downright terrible.
  18. Kwak
    Some people are reluctant to admit a mistake--especially one that they repeated!. On a serious note, if neither May or Meyer are "good enough" to be on the rotation then Ryan should be fired. He gutted the OF for "starting pitching"--and none were "deemed 'good enough' to be in the rotation".
  19. Kwak
    Most years there are teams that experience a significant injury to a starter in Spring training and are on the lookout for a stop-gap/full-season replacement. That is the best use for Milhone. Face it it, the Twins have plenty of holes and question marks. Trading Milhone to address one of them is the best course for the Twins.
  20. Kwak
    My guess is Colorado. This fits with the claim that COL is looking to trade to acquire SP since "they can't sign [any]."
  21. Kwak
    The entire concept is misguided. Don't trade to acquire a hole-plugging mediocrity, demand a high-quality player, someone who would be a core player of a playoff team. Else, just line-up who is at hand and wait for the truly high-quality player.
  22. Kwak
    Flies in the "play at AAA option": 1) hitting success at AAA hasn't proved anything, 2) only proof for hitting at the major league level--is hitting at the major league level, 3) The need to push Buxton to Rochester by mid-season. There is way too much riding on Buxton to help turn this wagon around and Hicks must not be clogging-up the works for Buxton's progress--or anyone else's progress, like a sound hitter in search of a position to play.
  23. Kwak
    Basically you answered your own question--RPs gravitate toward the "closer" role due to the substantial pay raise and status associated. A RP can be elected to the HOF because of a huge number of "saves", but never a "set-up" guy. A team might be fortunate enough to have three RPs as skilled as CINN's "Nasty Boys"--but they wouldn't be able to keep them very long before some would leave in free-agency to be the closer for another team--with the benefits the come withe role. Then there's the management angle--keep things simple and do what others have proven successful--even if it isn't successful for your team.
  24. Kwak
    No--not even close. TheTwins thught they had a pipeline for 08--Slowey, Garza, Blackburn, Liriano, and Perkins. None left because of high price. Perkins had to be reinvented as a RP, Garza was traded ofll the need fo a RHH OF, Slowey and Blackburn couldn't hack it any longer, and the Twins lost confidence in Liriano (with some justification). After that what were the "internally" developed starters? Gibson, May(?), and maybe Meyer--none of which can be claimed to be "sure things". The Twins didn't commit mega-millions on free-agent pitchers because they had a full pipeline! They did it because the pipeline wasn't full, and the "dumpster-diving" didn't work.
  25. Kwak
    This is the real problem--pitcher development by the organization. It is impossible for the Twins to draft so early and so consistently such that a major league-ready pitchers fall into the organization, keeping the pipeline full. Nearly all pitchers are developed (by one organization or another) and the Twins must learn to be better than ML average for success. The entire organization system and philosophy must be corrected, even if it means clearing-out "the ole-boys-club".
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