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Otto von Ballpark

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Everything posted by Otto von Ballpark

  1. Otto von Ballpark
    Yes. Likely Duffey goes down today, Stewart comes up for the start. Then Stewart goes down tomorrow, and Magill is activated.
  2. Otto von Ballpark
    Yes, both are on 4+ days of rest.
  3. Otto von Ballpark
    Quick, let's fabricate a "23 And Me" report for "Korea" Kimbrel, and deliver it to 1 Twins Way!
  4. Otto von Ballpark
    Actually, I think Seattle might be on that pace (at least by OPS+). So maybe we'll only finish with the second best lineup in history.
  5. Otto von Ballpark
    May was optioned to the minors for awhile last year too, so he's actually up to 65.2 regular season innings since the surgery. That's basically a full season for a reliever. (Plus another 8 innings in spring training.)
  6. Otto von Ballpark
    From 1989-2012, MLB averaged 1 new stadium opening every year. Since 2012, the only new park has been Atlanta's (2017). It's definitely complicated, but I feel the 2000-2010 period attendance was probably inflated by this factor.
  7. Otto von Ballpark
    Up to 20 days for position players, up to 30 days for pitchers. Magill was actually healthy for most of spring training -- he made 5 appearances, up through March 13th. So I suspect he won't need to full rehab period. (Although one could argue he's marginal enough that he should use it, to postpone the roster decision.)
  8. Otto von Ballpark
    Someone would have signed him to the 2 year contract last year. Those seem pretty standard now.
  9. Otto von Ballpark
    Yeah, I am sure Pineda can contribute some value. But it's likely much closer to Odorizzi 2017-2018 value than Berrios value.
  10. Otto von Ballpark
    Be careful what you wish for!
  11. Otto von Ballpark
    I'm not so sure. Graterol's high for innings is 102. Barring injury, he'll probably be in the 140 range by September and they'll probably just shut him down. Also, while Graterol adjusted well to high A relative to his age, I don't think his performance there stood out relative to the league. Graterol: 8.8 H/9, 0.0 HR/9, 2.8 BB/9, 8.3 K/9 League: 8.6 H/9, 0.6 HR/9, 3.2 BB/9, 8.2 K/9 He's doing very well at AA right now, but also worth noting his AA league is off to a poor start hitting too: .646 league OPS, as compared to .701 last year. And Graterol's two standout stats so far this year are limiting hits and HR.
  12. Otto von Ballpark
    Google Maps tells me they were born 95 miles apart! (Also 12 years apart ) Too bad Graterol's not on the King Felix timeline...
  13. Otto von Ballpark
    Worth noting that the FSL, never a hitter's league, is even more extreme right now. As I posted yesterday: ".627 league OPS so far this year, down from .691 last year." Watson is almost 22 years old, 4 years pro, and still in high-A, so I'd hope he could do pretty well in the FSL. He's also Rule 5 eligible after this season.
  14. Otto von Ballpark
    Keep in mind, Pineda has a career 102 ERA+ (although his FIP is better). His career high is 175 IP. As Matthew mentioned, he's had shoulder surgery, in addition to Tommy John surgery, and he's 30 years old. Pineda has talent and a big frame, and could still put it all together for a very good year, but I don't expect him to dominate or be a workhorse. A couple solid 5-6 inning starts, followed by an iffy start, is pretty much in character for him. His 4.66 FIP through 4 Twins starts so far is an exact match for his 4.66 FIP in his last season with the Yankees in 2017.
  15. Otto von Ballpark
    FWIW, the Florida State League is playing like the deadball era. .627 league OPS so far this year, down from .691 last year. Lewis is at .675 this year, after .726 last year, so he's at least holding steady, relative to league. Still, he's not quite 20 years old yet. Definitely room for him to improve.
  16. Otto von Ballpark
    Stud horse, like, for breeding more pitchers?
  17. Otto von Ballpark
    The line isn't that long right now! De Jong and Vasquez are still ineligible to return. Magill and Moya just started rehab. Reed is still out, as is Gonsalves. The only 40-man options are Romero, Stewart, Littell, and Thorpe. Romero pitched 2 innings yesterday, just like Duffey. Thorpe and Littell appear to be Rochester's probable starters the next 2 games. Not sure what is up with Stewart, he hasn't appeared since April 9 and may not start until April 19.
  18. Otto von Ballpark
    I don't think the Angels have sacrificed many good prospects, as much as they simply failed to sign/draft/develop good prospects in the first place.
  19. Otto von Ballpark
    The Pirates or any other team simply has to roster Burdi until May 25th (or longer, if he goes on the DL between now and then), and he can no longer be returned to the Twins. I'd say the odds are near 100% that he isn't returned. Edit: coke to Zoilo.
  20. Otto von Ballpark
  21. Otto von Ballpark
    I wonder how meaningful that is -- ERA on zero days rest. For a middle reliever especially, it seems like it would have a bit of bias toward facing good hitting teams -- generally speaking, that a team would need to use the same middle reliever on consecutive days suggests the other team was hitting pretty well! (There are other circumstances too, of course.) Not that I wouldn't expect some performance drop-off, but it might be hard to tease out the real magnitude of that drop-off, from all the noise.
  22. Otto von Ballpark
    Will it? I'm never too eager to roster another marginal corner player without a useful place on the MLB roster. Hopefully. But you'll probably be helping the squad with guys like Dozier, Lynn, etc. We probably would have had equivalent expendable assets available to swing those type of deals regardless of what we did at the 2018 deadline.
  23. Otto von Ballpark
    I'm not sure that's a useful way to look at it, though. As of July 31, 2018, Dozier had a bit of value -- I'd estimate approximately Raley/Smeltzer value. I'm certainly not saying it was a bad return, but it also doesn't look like a steal or anything. We haven't missed Dozier, but I doubt the Dodgers miss Raley or Smeltzer either, even if Dozier didn't do much for them. I've previously read in these pages that the Twins made great deals after the early minor league returns of Littell, Busenitz, etc. It takes a lot more than minor league success to really make a great trade. (Again, not that they did poorly with those deals.)
  24. Otto von Ballpark
    I assumed this was hyperbole. But it's not! https://www.milb.com/gameday/ironpigs-vs-red-wings/2019/04/13/575862#game_state=final,lock_state=final,game_tab=box,game=575862
  25. Otto von Ballpark
    Keep in mind, guys can put up great minor league numbers and still be pretty marginal prospects. Also, Raley and Smeltzer could start costing us 40 man roster spots soon, whether they are ready to contribute in MLB or not. (Both would be Rule 5 eligible this winter.) I'd say it still looks like a fair return for what Dozier was, at the time.
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