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Otto von Ballpark

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Everything posted by Otto von Ballpark

  1. Otto von Ballpark
    As of this date last year, Reed had faced 70 batters; Pressly 73. Rogers has faced 71 so far in 2019. Do you think he has been overused? I guess Rogers has 2 less appearances, so that's a few less warm-up pitches. But I'd hesitate to draw any direct lines about these usage patterns.
  2. Otto von Ballpark
    Perhaps, but I hope not, if Kirilloff is healthy and raking. Raley looks like a variation of Daniel Palka -- not necessarily a bad player, useful under some circumstances, but not a player you should promote ahead of an elite prospect when wins actually matter.
  3. Otto von Ballpark
    Keep in mind the International League is going through an offensive explosion right now. Raley's raw OPS of .866 there is his highest at any minor league level above rookie league so far -- but by wRC+ (his hitting relative to league), he's actually worse in 2019 (118) than he was at any level in 2017 or 2018 (129, 123, 133). A 118 wRC+ isn't bad, but from a 24 year old corner player in AAA, with a higher BABIP and mediocre K and BB rates, it's pretty marginal.
  4. Otto von Ballpark
    Option years generally aren't a factor with elite prospects. You're not going to use all of them anyway unless their performance/value plummets. That said, option years are even less of an issue for Kirilloff, because according to Jeremy, Kirilloff would get 4 option years if called up in 2019, as opposed to the standard 3 option years if called up in 2020 or later: http://twinsdaily.com/_/minnesota-twins-news/minnesota-twins/finer-points-options-part-two-the-fourth-option-r7741
  5. Otto von Ballpark
    Or the Twins weren't yet interested in paying him the market rate... (edit: which was perhaps fair, given he was still roughly a year behind Severino/Nola in service time)
  6. Otto von Ballpark
    No problem. I figured that was the case! It does sort of put some of these minor league stats in perspective when they will just release a guy who's putting up a good line (admittedly he's 28 years old, but still).
  7. Otto von Ballpark
    Anything you can share? LaVelle just said "a violation of team policy."
  8. Otto von Ballpark
    I mean, I guess we all hear things a bit differently. But I distinctly recall some instances like Chief is describing without any evident frustration from Gladden (just from the listener ). Or he'll describe a ball hit to the outfield, but not specify where or whether it's catchable in the air or not. You have to listen for further clues, like a description of advancing runners, to figure out what happened. He's not the regular PBP guy, so it's no big deal. I'm certainly not complaining, but I reserve the right to poke fun about it!
  9. Otto von Ballpark
    I don't think it has anything to do with frustration. He just omits key details from his play-by-play at times, regardless of game state.
  10. Otto von Ballpark
    Veterans coming off surgery/absences don't seem to have season "innings limits" per se. Teams can exercise some caution around their usage, but they won't shut them down or change their role or anything unless they get hurt or really struggle, like most every pitcher.
  11. Otto von Ballpark
    The best announcers lets the listeners use their imagination!
  12. Otto von Ballpark
    Nitpick, but I wonder if the Baylor and Hrbek HRs from 1987 Game 6 deserve a bit more love in these rankings.
  13. Otto von Ballpark
    No need. De Jong is already off the 40-man roster (again). They can DL IL him in the minors, or demote him in the minors, as desired the rest of the season, with no serious roster implications (beyond each affiliate's roster size, of course). (And even when he was on the 40-man, he still had an option year remaining.)
  14. Otto von Ballpark
    Littell certainly hasn't been inspiring the last year, but Ynoa hasn't really distinguished himself either. Ynoa is taking a 40-man spot now too. Probably a wash? https://www.baseball-reference.com/register/player.fcgi?id=ynoa--000hua
  15. Otto von Ballpark
    1. Yes, you have to be on the 40-man to be the 26th man. 2. Once you are on the 40-man, spending 20+ days in the minors will burn an option year. It doesn't really matter how many times you are added or removed from the 25-man during that season. The only thing different about being the 26th man, as opposed to a regular transaction, is it ignores the "10 day minimum" minor league stay for optioned players. (The 26th man could be someone you optioned less than 10 days before, or you could recall the same player again less than 10 days after -- serving as the 26th man doesn't reset the 10 day clock.)
  16. Otto von Ballpark
    Any chance it could just be backflip related?
  17. Otto von Ballpark
    They actually avoided the second miss pretty well -- Aiken didn't sign (after the Astros cut their bonus offer to him) and they got Bergman the next year with the makeup pick. And they did manage to flip Appel in trade too.
  18. Otto von Ballpark
    I wouldn't go that far. Marwin obviously has a 29 OPS+ and Cron only has a 86 OPS+. Pineda was effectively signed as a 2019 free agent, and he has a 6.21 ERA and is averaging less than 5 IP per start. Still plenty of time for those guys to contribute more, of course, but it would be wrong to say they've been "much better" than we figured.
  19. Otto von Ballpark
    Here's the Fangraphs Twins minor league leaderboard for 2019, sorted by wRC+ (so, hitting adjusted for league): https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/minor-league/?pos=all&lg=2,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,14,12,13,15,17,18,30,32,33&stats=bat&qual=y&type=1&team=&season=2019&seasonEnd=2019&org=8&ind=0&splitTeam=false&players= Cabbage still comes out on top; Chris Williams is #2. Cesar is the highest ranked AAA player at #8. This metric really doesn't like Wiel, as he drops to #12, behind Wade surprisingly -- I guess Wade's .436 OBP outranks Wiel's .600 SLG? It might include SB value too, which would help Wade.
  20. Otto von Ballpark
    The International League is going crazy with offense, though. .782 league OPS this year. That's closer to the PCL (.824) than the IL league OPS last year (.709), or any other Twins affiliate league this year: AA: .678 A+: .654 A: .683
  21. Otto von Ballpark
    Probably not right now. At best, maybe you could find a similar struggling "project" but even that might be a challenge. I notice Arizona demoted Zach Godley to the bullpen, for example, but they wouldn't really have a place to play Sano right now either (they're getting good production at 1B and 3B, and no DH).
  22. Otto von Ballpark
    I don't know about that -- Reed's minor league numbers seem pretty marginal. I suspect he might be in the same class as Bard and Curtiss before him.
  23. Otto von Ballpark
    That's not quite fair either -- Sano was definitely good to open the 2017 season. Maybe not sustainably good, but then again, maybe his rookie season wasn't either (35.5% K rate, .396 BABIP).
  24. Otto von Ballpark
    Actually, not that many strikeouts, relative to other teams. We've got the 3rd lowest K% in baseball. Polanco, Rosario, and Kepler all project as better than average in K%. (Astudillo too, obviously!) Cruz, Schoop, Cron, and Marwin are all right around average. Garver, Castro, and Buxton project as worse than average, but not egregiously so. Sano will get his K's, I am sure, but it's not necessarily a big problem for this club.
  25. Otto von Ballpark
    It's the thought (or lack thereof) that counts!
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