Jump to content
Twins Daily
  • Create Account

Otto von Ballpark

Old-Timey Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    20,669

  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    74

 Content Type 

Profiles

Minnesota Twins News, Rumors & Analysis

Minnesota Twins Videos

2026 Minnesota Twins Top Prospect Rankings

2022 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

Minnesota Twins Trade & Free Agent Rumors

Minnesota Twins Fan Guides & Resources

2023 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

The Minnesota Twins Players Project

2024 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

2025 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

2026 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

Forums

Blogs

Events

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by Otto von Ballpark

  1. Otto von Ballpark
    Yup, and by the time he reached AA (or even A), Tatis Jr. was pretty much untouchable.
  2. Otto von Ballpark
    I like the idea! Maybe it could be about a team looking for a better SP, and a pitcher looking for a better team to join, but they wind up answering each other's trade request and they laugh about it.
  3. Otto von Ballpark
    White Sox designated Adam Eaton for assignment today, to make room for another Adam with a 5-letter last name beginning with "E" (Engel). Eaton hasn't been good, but this is kind of surprising, given Eaton's status ($8 mil contract, opening day #2 hitter) and the current state of their roster. Sadly for Twins fan, it's probably a good move for the Sox!
  4. Otto von Ballpark
    So the White Sox designated Adam Eaton for assignment today. Eaton hasn't been good, but he was a veteran FA signing for $8 mil, their opening day RF and #2 hitter, and of course they have a bunch of injured position players right now, including a few key outfielders. So it's a little surprising.
  5. Otto von Ballpark
    Yeah, the 2013 season does most of the heavy lifting for Thielbar's career ERA in that list (and his career ERA actually jumped by 0.22 in the 1 game since this tweet, which is another clue of how small his career sample still is). 2013 performance still counts of course, but it's not going to command much attention or appreciation in 2021. Also, Thielbar has the lowest leverage usage of anyone on the list, by far. Thielbar's average game-entering leverage index is just 0.92. The role of low-leverage short reliever is a rather recent invention, and one of somewhat dubious value. Thielbar's done some nice things and has a good story, but in terms of contributions to the Twins, the more appropriate comps are guys like Gary Wayne or Terry Leach.
  6. Otto von Ballpark
    We actually got Berrios as a comp pick for letting Cuddyer walk.
  7. Otto von Ballpark
    An interesting path for Jake Reed — he signed a minor league deal with the Angels over the winter, but he struggled so much in his first month that he was released on June 2. Then picked up by the Dodgers, and a month later is on his way to the show. Reed’s wife is also preparing to play softball in the Olympics later this month too!
  8. Otto von Ballpark
    In 2015, Chapman had an off-field incident that resulted in a suspension and Cincinnati trading him to New York. Pitchers and reserves are not selected by fan balloting, just player ballots and/or the commissioner's office. That said, Gregory Soto has a brief and unimpressive career resume so far, so you may be thinking of someone else.
  9. Otto von Ballpark
    If you want to pick the top 5 relievers for the all-star game, Rogers actually isn’t the top 5 of AL reliever fWAR or bWAR. Chapman’s teammates Loaisiga and Green are ahead of him in both measures. So is KC’s Barlow, and Clase from Cleveland is ahead in bWAR and tied in fWAR.
  10. Otto von Ballpark
    For another perspective, by Baseball-Reference’s bWAR, Rogers (0.7) is behind Soto (1.1). Soto gets punished by FIP and thus fWAR because of his high walk rate. Soto is the Tigers token representative, but you could make a case that Jose Cisnero is the better Tigers reliever and very close to Rogers. 1.0 fWAR, 0.7 bWAR for Cisnero, compared to 1.2 fWAR and 0.7 bWAR Rogers.
  11. Otto von Ballpark
    Chapman was fantastic until that June 10th game vs the Twins. Until that point, he had 1.2 fWAR (2nd in the AL) and 1.6 RA9-WAR (1st in the AL). Even until June 23, he was pretty much even with Rogers — Rogers had a slightly better fWAR, but Chapman had the advantage in RA9-WAR. Chapman’s stats have really plummeted over his last 3 appearances, he is basically around 0 WAR now. I wonder how recent that player balloting happened, a lot of it was probably based on that pre-June 10/23 performance.
  12. Otto von Ballpark
    Cot’s Baseball Contracts at Baseball Prospectus is a great place for contract and salary info. Click on the “2021-2025 payroll and tax tracker” link for a nice spreadsheet version: https://legacy.baseballprospectus.com/compensation/cots/american-league/minnesota-twins/ For up-to-date roster questions (options, Rule 5 status, etc.), Roster Resource at Fangraphs is the best: https://www.fangraphs.com/roster-resource/depth-charts/twins
  13. Otto von Ballpark
    Not quite "most". He's been on the IL for 40 games out of 141 as a Twin, including postseason. Not great but that number should continue improving as he is apparently fine at the moment. In fact, maybe he and the team have learned a bit how to better manage his health -- his two IL trips for us were both very early in the season, 30 games missed in early 2020 and 10 games missed at the beginning of 2021. He played in 155 games in 2019 so I don't get the impression he's necessarily one of those hopeless perpetual IL cases. Edit to add: he's old enough that there is some risk he becomes that hopeless perpetual IL case, of course, but for $10/mil yr over the next 2-3 years (what was suggested we'd save by trading him), he's probably not a bad risk.
  14. Otto von Ballpark
    There are different levels of "not competing", it's not necessarily a binary choice. If you want to do a soft reload and try to stay relevant like Cleveland, you keep Donaldson rather than save $10 mil/yr or whatever. (Of course, any approach like that almost certainly requires we keep Berrios too.)
  15. Otto von Ballpark
    I'd sign a good FA SP, and also trade for one somehow (and be willing to part with prospect capital), pairing them with Berrios for 2022. For the right guy, with 2022 team control, I'd probably even trade for him right now, like the Mets did in July 2019 with Stroman. Yeah, it would suck to pay a deadline premium when you're not really contending, but it would suck even worse to get shut out or settle for a lesser pitcher in the offseason. Still might need Pineda and/or Maeda at the very back end of the rotation, although hopefully with internal candidates applying some pressure.
  16. Otto von Ballpark
    That's where I'm at -- don't trade Berrios unless we are blown away by an offer (which I doubt will happen). I mean, we may want to add a hitter or two in particular spots for 2022, sure. That's every team in every season. But overall, our offense is more or less contending quality right now and for the near future. Trading Berrios will most likely give us some combination of the following: 1. MLB ready hitters like Franmil Reyes 2. prospects that are 2-3 years away 3. pitching prospects that are ready right away but not very good (Archer-Glasnow was an outlier trade result, not the norm) Any way you slice it, trading Berrios is pretty much a punt on 2022-2023.
  17. Otto von Ballpark
    Here is a great article with data and summaries about the effect of the “no sticky stuff” enforcement so far: https://www.si.com/mlb/2021/06/28/sticky-stuff-crackdown-is-working-opener
  18. Otto von Ballpark
    Yeah, we might need to replace Cruz, but when Cleveland acquired Franmil Reyes, they already had a MLB rotation of Bieber/Clevinger/Plesac/Civale (and they still had Kluber and Carrasco around as SP assets too). If we trade Berrios primarily for a position player, we’re pretty much doomed to a very long rebuild.
  19. Otto von Ballpark
    Same reason Robles and Alcala hadn’t pitched since last Friday either — few games (2 rainouts) and lots of big early deficits. (Rogers was warming yesterday even after Alcala put us down 2 runs in 6, but then Robles made the deficit 3+ in the 7th.) In hindsight, this series unfolded a little like the 2019 ALDS in that regard, where Rogers didn’t appear until late in the final game (and we were still trailing then anyway). That’s generally what happens when you blow games early.
  20. Otto von Ballpark
    We should have saved them up to pitch an unofficial perfect game as half of a 2021 doubleheader!
  21. Otto von Ballpark
    Sure, if you can sell the lemon. I don’t think anyone is buying Sano at the moment though. We’d have to release him and we’d net no savings (even if another team picks him up and pays him league minimum, we’d presumably have to pay league minimum to his replacement on our roster too).
  22. Otto von Ballpark
    I don’t know if we’re getting our lines crossed on Burrows, but his 2022 option year is mostly irrelevant. If he doesn’t earn his way onto our MLB roster this season, he’s likely getting cut before the offseason (if not sooner). But that doesn’t mean his option year this year is irrelevant. Plenty of waiver claim projects get optioned, and there is plenty of time left to give him a look if he earns it.
  23. Otto von Ballpark
    Got to admit, I read this headline as 105 losses, not years! I guess it could be both...
  24. Otto von Ballpark
    Odorizzi was a solid acquisition in 2018 (and is starting to pay off for the Astros now too, maybe we should have kept him?). Pineda had been good when he was on the field until recently, and Hill was all right in 2020 too.
  25. Otto von Ballpark
    In fairness, Pineda went and got himself suspended after the trade deadline in 2019.
×
×
  • Create New...