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Otto von Ballpark

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Everything posted by Otto von Ballpark

  1. I think they've already confirmed/announced Hughes as the starter for Wednesday this week, unfortunately.
  2. Pretty much has to be Curtiss, right? 40-man is full, and Moya, Busenitz, and Slegers are still ineligible for recall. Mejia is hurt, Enns has struggled this year, and I'm guessing they wouldn't promote Romero for pen duty yet.
  3. A fracture is a type of break?
  4. Hale didn't earn anything by performance. If anything, Slegers or Romero could take Hughes' spot. (But of course, we can't recall Slegers for 10 days now since we optioned him to add Hale...) Honestly, I think I'd be fine with DFAing both Hale and Hughes, although the Slegers option and Curtiss's usage complicates immediate replacements.
  5. Two things: 1. This was Hale's destiny. Seriously, we picked him up as a reinforcement for Rochester, and I guess as an immediate mop up option. If he is unavailable to pitch for the next couple days, he has no purpose sticking around Minnesota anymore. 2. Hale shouldn't have been gassed. He has been a starter recently in the minors, had 80-something pitch counts just last week. 3 full days rest since a low-stress 41 pitches earlier in the week (while his Yankees were beating the Twins 14-1).
  6. Not really. I mean, guys go to the DL for fatigue or soreness or "dead arm" all the time. It's not like any doctor is going to question that, at least not to the point of becoming a whistle-blower and denying the DL claim. And honestly, any pro athlete can probably come up with a legit reason they are less than 100% at any given moment, if they want. Those reasons usually aren't used to justify a DL stint, but nobody but the team or player will object if they are.
  7. And actually, if we release Hughes and someone else picks him up within the next 2 years, they'd be on the hook for the prorated minimum. Seems unlikely at this point, but desperate teams sometimes turn to desperate measures!
  8. Yeah, that's only an option if the player buys in.
  9. Interesting thing about Chargois: the Dodgers are using him in high leverage. 1.65 average game entering leverage index. That leads the Dodgers, is higher than any Twin right now except Rodney, is comparable to Addison Reed's career mark, etc.
  10. With our pitching failures this week, it is tempting to promote Bard to the Twins right away, but I suspect they might at least want him in AAA for awhile to evaluate his health before sticking him on the 40/25 man rosters.
  11. Fortunately, minor league numbers don't translate in a universal way. I imagine it is fairly common for 2 players to have similar minor league numbers but very different MLB numbers. Although yeah, we don't have a lot of replacement options at the moment. Curtiss, if he hadn't just pitched last night. Nick Anderson? Matt Magill?
  12. Team ERA 9.59 since the beginning of the Tampa series. https://www.fangraphs.com/leaderssplits.aspx?splitArr=&strgroup=season&statgroup=1&startDate=2018-4-20&endDate=2018-4-27&position=P&statType=team&autoPt=false&sort=4,-1&filter=&players=&pg=0
  13. At least you're accumulating lots of favorite moments this week!
  14. And we can't call up Slegers, Busenitz, or Moya to replace him. And Curtiss threw 2.1 innings for Rochester last night. Is Buxton ready yet? Otherwise, I guess we could add Nick Anderson. Edit: if Hughes is ready for another phantom DL stint, we could recall anyone we want. (Well, unfortunately limited to our own organization, in the present universe and time.)
  15. I don't know, Enns was already a fringe guy and could be dropped from the 40-man when Ervin returns, or Trevor May. And now Enns is scuffling. I wouldn't be surprised if they are looking to replace him soon (and the replacement could be David Hale).
  16. I'm not so sure. By hit probability (exit velocity + launch angle), the first batter's ground ball was .273. Maybe not a good outcome when the pitcher is ahead 0-2 in the count? The second batter's hit probability was .259, on a 1-1 count. Both of those batters have above-average speed too, so maybe those generic probabilities are low? Maybe the defense could have done better too, but we know there is a cost to balls in play, especially when they're not pop-ups. And of course, Sanchez's hit probability was .825, with a 1.616 wOBA. With that outcome, I don't know if you can defend that as a particularly good pitch, especially with the count again favoring the pitcher at 0-1. An effective modern MLB pitcher should be expected to miss bats (especially to finish at-bats) and get some pop-ups. He's not alone among Twins who failed yesterday, but Rodney certainly failed at those objectives.
  17. Gardy's Tigers only lost once in their first series with the Yankees this year! Nevermind that the other 2 games were postponed. Looks like they fell behind, started a comeback against Betances, but Green and Chapman put out the fire: https://www.baseball-reference.com/boxes/DET/DET201804130.shtml The Tigers allowed 8 runs in that one game, which about matches the Twins 2018 average vs NY (33 runs allowed in 4 games). The Tigers scored 6 runs off the Yankees in that one game, which I guess beats the Twins 11 runs in 4 games so far.
  18. Actually, Hale was pretty mediocre in 2014 too. 3.30 ERA, but 4.0 BB/9 and only 4.5 K/9. The bulk of his work was in relief, which came with a .77 game-entering leverage index, which is decidedly mopup duty.
  19. My guess (hope?) is that we're just doing this to get him to Rochester. If we "pursued" him on a minor league deal this winter but lost out, we probably just wanted him at Rochester. And now that he is on waivers, we can claim him for a day and then put him back on waivers with the hope that he will clear and can be outrighted to Rochester. (I'm sure Hale would be thrilled, but such is the life of the fringe MLB player.)
  20. Also, they can't recall Slegers for 10 days now. At least not without an injury. So that gives Hughes some cushion, although he is well acquainted with DL stints.
  21. That's not entirely clear. Slegers was "ahead of everyone" only when they urgently needed a back of the bullpen arm to replace Tyler Kinley, and Busenitz and Moya were not eligible to be recalled. And Duffey already was. Romero might still be the top starter, those other guys plus Curtiss might be the top short relief options. Maybe Slegers will get a chance to replace Duffey soon, but if they'd rather claim Nick Tepesch 2.0 when they have a roster spot available, I'm not sure that's a good sign for Slegers. EDIT: This was before I read the Levine quote. Apparently Slegers is "next in line" to start. But I could see that changing by the time they're ready to remove/replace a starter.
  22. Yes, and it's not chump change. One day at league minimum is approximately $3k.
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