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Otto von Ballpark

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Everything posted by Otto von Ballpark

  1. Otto von Ballpark
    Smith would be darn near impossible to acquire, I think. FV 50 at Fangraphs, and Grandal is going to be a free agent after the season.
  2. Otto von Ballpark
    Why bother looking for a future hall of famer, when we can sign someone already in the hall of fame?
  3. Otto von Ballpark
    That list seems incomplete. Flowers, Suzuki, Lucroy... here is what MLBTR shows: Drew Butera (35) Robinson Chirinos (35) — $2.375MM club option with a $100K buyout A.J. Ellis (38) Tyler Flowers (33) Yasmani Grandal (30) Nick Hundley (35) Jonathan Lucroy (33) Martin Maldonado (32) Jeff Mathis (36) Brian McCann (35) — $15MM club/player option Devin Mesoraco (31) Miguel Montero (35) Wilson Ramos (31) Rene Rivera (35) Kurt Suzuki (35) Matt Wieters (33) https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2016/12/2018-19-mlb-free-agents.html
  4. Otto von Ballpark
    God Only Knows why Bobby Wilson is still on the roster. Wouldn't It Be Nice if we tried Astudillo at catcher?
  5. Otto von Ballpark
    So the current Twins chemistry should be maintained? I'd rather they prioritize talent acquisition.
  6. Otto von Ballpark
    No point in DFA'ing Motter until you have someone else who needs the 40-man spot to join the 25-man roster.
  7. Otto von Ballpark
    I don't think that's the kind of comp they meant. More like, the general shape of his offensive production (doubles + walks + limiting K's), and his defensive profile (corner OF) -- type of player, rather than age/career path.
  8. Otto von Ballpark
    Only 2 XBH, for a .095 ISO. Did they tell him just to stop at first base on every hit?
  9. Otto von Ballpark
    What kind of sample size is 23 inning pitched? Seems small. His overall rate with the Twins certainly hasn't improved meaningfully, across AA last year and AA/AAA/MLB this year. Also remember minor league K rates are rising just like their MLB counterparts. These kind of rates aren't all that impressive by themselves anymore.
  10. Otto von Ballpark
    Littell's K% has not generally improved, no.
  11. Otto von Ballpark
    I definitely agree about FV. But still it isn't hard to make a case that the upgrade from Ynoa to Littell wasn't worth $4 mil, especially to the 2017 Twins who were already looking at a glut of AAA starters and were just about to sign 2 more MLB SP too. (Note that at the time of the trade, Littell's AA dominance was for 7 starts, and Ynoa's rookie league scuffles had lasted 6 starts.) FWIW, Littell's walk rate and ground ball rate have both gotten worse since he came over to the Twins org. Not clear if that's Littell's true colors or the Twins vaunted player development machine at work.
  12. Otto von Ballpark
    Is that a mash-up of Flavor Flav and Adam Levine?
  13. Otto von Ballpark
    I wouldn't read too much into a single season split, much less a half season split. Judge had a .935 OPS on the road last year. I am sure he is helped at home, but probably not to the extent that his 2018 splits suggest.
  14. Otto von Ballpark
    Just realized a player on a MLB or minor league DL can't be sent outright to the minors (taken off the 40-man) unless he is healthy and ready to be activated. So if Jorge wasn't healthy and ready to be activated (I presumed he was close but maybe he had an unreported setback?), we had no choice but to trade or release him, once we did the DFA. https://www.thecubreporter.com/book/export/html/3530 Still implies no team claimed him on release waivers, although if he is still hurt, maybe they were just willing to wait it out and save the 40-man spot by signing him to a minor league deal after his release.
  15. Otto von Ballpark
    Must be some kind of health thing. He made brief rookie league rehab appearances on June 19 and June 22, then was DFA'd on June 29. He would have been a minor league free agent this winter if we didn't add him back to the 40-man anyway. So if we thought that was unlikely/impossible given his health, it might make sense just to let him go now.
  16. Otto von Ballpark
    Maybe, but they actually demoted Sano a couple days late for that. Not sure why they wouldn't try it with him too? Unless they think he will be back in September regardless. Buxton is only 13 days shy of 3 full years service now too, so if they recall him even after the minor league seasons ends in September, he will make it to 3 years. Crazy to think we may have only 3 years control left on those two guys.
  17. Otto von Ballpark
    BaseRuns? They have us at 36-47 this season. https://www.fangraphs.com/depthcharts.aspx?position=BaseRuns
  18. Otto von Ballpark
    In that case, maybe they have asked but the response wasn't noteworthy? I mean, if they ask about Belisle, and Molitor or whomever says he was great for us last year and we saw some weak spots in our pen and our depth early this season that he can help shore up -- is that noteworthy? I don't think you can do much with that, unless you are an opinion columnist. In which case, you don't really need the quote anyway.
  19. Otto von Ballpark
    It's an interesting situation. What if you know you'll get a meaningless, boilerplate response -- do you still ask the question? Can the beat guys turn that into a piece, or is that more the domain of the columnists?
  20. Otto von Ballpark
    Great minds think alike! Also our minds!
  21. Otto von Ballpark
    Kepler's career MLB BABIP is only .262. The last 2 seasons are .261 and .276. I think he might just be a lower BABIP type hitter, at least in his current form.
  22. Otto von Ballpark
    I think many overrated the quality difference between Ynoa and Littell. Fangraphs had them both at 40 FV, it is just that Littell was closer to the majors. But that also meant he required a 40 man spot almost immediately (as did Enns), while the Braves have at least until after the 2019 season to make that decision on Ynoa. Palacios was also a 40 FV prospect. That's pretty much equivalent to Ynoa and Littell territory. Obviously the Twins will have different evaluations, but of course those evaluations can be wrong too. Right now, still early, but it looks like we possibly lost the Littell move, given we paid $4 mil to get him and are stuck trying to evaluate him and break him into MLB at the same time as Romero, Gonsalves, Slegers, etc. Can Stewart re-join that group? Will it also cost us Felix Jorge? Etc. I don't think teams have a whole lot of reason to be forgiving of Lynn's poor start. First of all, teams were already wary of him, given his offseason market. Second, he hasn't been that great since then either -- still hasn't completed 7 innings in a start this year, and he's coming off consecutive suspect starts going into July. Hence why I think the rest of July is going to be important for him, just to see if anyone will bite at that 40 FV prospect level, and/or take on his remaining salary.
  23. Otto von Ballpark
    It is a common estimate of the market cost of buying a win. That would be free agency, trades.
  24. Otto von Ballpark
    Fairly fresh? 1264 innings over 9 pro seasons, including Tommy John surgery. Pretty comparable to, say, Phil Hughes over his first 9-10 pro seasons. I don't think "freshness" or "keeping in shape" really matters that much, as far as pitcher health/performance is concerned. I'm open to trading Gibson, but I doubt other teams are going to pay for him as if 2018 is his new norm. Thus, keeping him for 2019 probably has more value. Don't think I would bother with an extension yet, unless it came at a big discount (something like Hughes's initial 3/24 deal, maybe).
  25. Otto von Ballpark
    Was Jaime Garcia not a "decent 4/5 type guy"? I just listed what he fetched last year, and his ERA at the time was over a run lower than Lynn's now, and he was averaging an extra inning-plus per start too.
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