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Danchat

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Everything posted by Danchat

  1. Danchat
    Like, if they do nothing between now and just before opening day, that's a very big biggie. Then it would be time to panic. I don't think we've seen a big enough sample size to say they've shown "no ability" to fix the rotation. They stuck with Santana, used Santiago and Mejia (of whom were acquired at the 2016 deadline), plugged Berrios back in a month in the season, and got mixed results from Gibson. Was it a failure that they added nobody to the rotation last season? I wouldn't say so, but they probably should have added one arm as they needed Colon down the stretch. Getting Berrios and Mejia innings last year was more important than giving a mediocre starter a spot (the biggest deals for starters last year was Rich Hill 3/$48M and Ivan Nova 3/$26M). Free agency has been slow as molasses so far, but if the Twins fail to get Cobb/Lynn and don't trade for Archer/Odorizzi, then this has been a failure of a offseason for the rotation - but we definitely have not arrived at that point yet.
  2. Danchat
    Well of course the 2018 staff is going to look worse than the 2017 staff after the de facto ace goes down to injury and we're only 8 hours removed from Plan A failing. The rotation is the prime weakness on this team and I'm confident there will be at least one starter added. Now's not the time to start panicking... if we're a week away from Opening Day and the rotation is Berrios-Gibson-Mejia-Slegers-Tillman... then the panicking shall commence.
  3. Danchat
    I recall the report was "over" $100M. You may assume it was a "little" over $100M but we don't have any way of confirming it. It could have been in the $120M range just as much as around $102M.
  4. Danchat
    "We passed?" My guess is as good as yours but it seems to me like Darvish prefered to play for the Cubs. My current guess is that the Twins offered him 5 years $120M. The Twins were possibly asked by Darvish to go past $130M and it's possible the Twins weren't comfortable giving him an opt-out clause after the 2019 season. It just sounds like he needed more money to play in a place that wasn't a top destination of his.
  5. Danchat
    Well, when you're the worst team in MLB, you're not going to attract any of the few good free agent pitchers to play for you... I am also hoping they find a way to fix the starters. I like what they've done with the bullpen and on paper it seems they've taken a massive leap from last year's joke of a bullpen on Opening Day. Now they need to do the same for the rotation.
  6. Danchat
    So the Twins miss out on probably their first ever major attempt to offer a free agent a $100M+ deal and they miss out... and now we're all blaming the Twins franchise history and the Pohlads that it didn't happen. Sure, I'm disappointed that the Twins couldn't get Darvish in on a deal around $21M per year. That's cheaper than I thought. But you know what? They took a swing and they missed. That's something that (since I've been watching in 2009) neither Bill Smith nor Terry Ryan ever attempted. It was unlikely Falvey and Levine were going to win their first big free agent and convince him to play in Minnesota over playing for the Cubs, but at least they were one of the finalists! Falvey and Levine are not TR 2.0. I believe they will get their big free agent at some point, probably not in 2018 (though signing somebody like Cobb/Lynn is a possibility). The lack of signings in free agency in Twins past means absolutely nothing right now for this regime. I also think this "Pohlads are cheap" rhetoric is just a overused meme at this point. I am confident the Twins will be making some moves very soon to fill in their holes in the rotation - my initial guess would be signing Cobb to a multi-year deal and giving Jaime Garcia a one year deal. Plan A has failed, and that stinks. The likelihood of getting Darvish was small anyways. Time for plan B to kick in.
  7. Danchat
    Let's hope, and we can end all this waiting around and kick off Spring Training on a high note.
  8. Danchat
    This definitely sucks, but pitchers are always going to be hurting and the depth of the rotation will be annually tested. Thankfully there are plenty of FA starters available and I don't see any way the Twins won't add at least one starter (they've been in heavy pursuit of Darvish, so it's clear they want to add a starter). Just try to get Darvish and if not, go after the tier 2 guys.
  9. Danchat
    Yeah, I'd probably stick with Vargas for another year. For all the frustration he causes fans, he does deliver a passable OPS and he's a younger and simply better option than most of the FA options. However, I would consider Gomez if his price comes down.
  10. Danchat
    Darren Wolfson was saying Tillman might make $5M on a major league deal, and I have no idea why he'd earn close to that much with the horrendous 2017 he turned in. I'd welcome him in on a minor league deal but nothing more.
  11. Danchat
    I think Mejia has the potential to be a #4 starter and I definitely saw flashes of that in 2017. He'll need to figure out how to get deeper into games as it always seems the wheels came off around the 4th/5th inning. I'm hoping he will start the season as the 5th man in the rotation and make some strides forward like Berrios did.
  12. Danchat
    I could see a guy like Arrieta taking a one year deal in order to rehab his value. I'd be all for it as our payroll doesn't have much on it for 2019.
  13. Danchat
    That's exactly what I was thinking. I am a big UND fan and I was ticked off when they were forced to remove the Fighting Sioux name. From the games I've been to, the people honored the Sioux and I cannot remember a single time where the name was spat upon or made fun of. They will always be the Sioux to me. But the two situations aren't exactly the same and I can understand why the Indians are removing their logo. Now, if only they could replace the old logo with a new one with actual an actual Indian, like Viswanathan Anand (former chess world champion)
  14. Danchat
    Source
  15. Danchat
    I'm more of a "play the rookies" guy, but I'd wait for Gonsalves and Romero to ready themselves in AAA before we give them a spot in the rotation. If Gonsalves is dominating in AAA from April to May, then I would prepare to call him up - injuries happen and it'll be more than likely that a roster spot will be opened up. Romero's a little more difficult as he has the innings limit and he hasn't pitched in AAA yet. I don't think he cracks the major league roster until late summer at earliest. He might end up being like 2017 Mejia - somewhat effective the majors but unable to go deep into games. Speaking of Mejia, perhaps we'll see him take a leap forward in his sophomore year like Berrios did. His ceiling is obviously much lower than Berrios' but I think it will happen. And I'm all aboard with what Riverbrian is saying. Whether we like it or not, our #6-10 starting pitchers will probably be pitching extensive innings so they might as well stock up on options and create a "logjam". The more the merrier - they definitely need to add at least one starter.
  16. Danchat
    Thanks for posting this, I was just going to comment on it. I'm interesting to see how May might slot back in during the month of May, if he does get healthy by then. I would think Gonsalves might have the first shot at a rotation spot, and then possibly May. I don't think Duffey is going to return to the rotation but having guys like him start out as a starter during Spring Training is a common thing for the Twins (Swarzak and Duensing did this before landing in the pen).
  17. Danchat
    If Busenitz keeps those numbers up, his ERA is going to rise. However, I think he can take another step forward in year 2 and up that K rate because his stuff suggests he can get more strikeouts. If it doesn't happen, ship him off to AAA and try out someone else. Busenitz is projecting to be cleaning up games and not pitching a bunch of high leverage situations, so it's not as if he'll be pitching in high leverage situations right off the bat.
  18. Danchat
    Good stuff, I agree that the six are basically guaranteed spots on the team. I think Busenitz has a strong lead for the 7th spot and the possible 8th spot will be up for grabs. Duffey or Hughes will probably come away with it, but I suspect Moya/Curtiss/others will vie for roles once the season gets rolling. The bullpen has come a far way on paper than it was Opening Day 2017.
  19. Danchat
    And the plus to the Reed signing is now say if Rodney is the closer and he closes 2 straight games and he needs a day off, they should be able to plop Reed into the 9th inning seamlessly. We had too many examples last season of having pitchers go multiple games without breaks (Belisle, Rogers).
  20. Danchat
    Boshers should be gone with the Reed signing. I also agree that Enns is on the boundary but he should get a shot as a reliever (in AAA). Moya shouldn't be going anywhere, I think he has a bright future for the Twins.
  21. Danchat
    I don't agree... I think they are very much still in the running for Darvish. I believe they're at around $105M right now and maybe Darvish gets $25M a year? Plus they could trade Gibson if that happens and save $4.3M. I think they could house a payroll in the $120Ms.
  22. Danchat
    Yes, this is what I'm talking about. Reed's only 29 and he's had a solid career thus far (2.40 ERA, 2.81 FIP, 9.8 K/9 the past two seasons). He should be able to push Rodney for the closer's role as he also has extensive experience as the 9th inning man. $8.5M a year is a sizeable amount for a reliever but it's just for two seasons and he's been rather durable over his career. Nice signing - the bullpen should be good to go and now they just need to add one starter. And this is the first ever multi-year signing for a reliever in Twins history! Turns out Falvey and Levine aren't TR 2.0. Methinks they know what they're doing.
  23. Danchat
    I'm sure they have a plan B, as they'd had months to plan for Darvish not signing. The problem is that plan A is taking so darn long [for most teams, anyway].
  24. Danchat
    https://twitter.com/MaxWildstein/status/951226898000109573?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw&ref_url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.1500espn.com%2Ftwins-2%2F2018%2F01%2Fyu-darvish-just-add-famed-mystery-team%2F Source: http://www.1500espn.com/twins-2/2018/01/yu-darvish-just-add-famed-mystery-team/ The Twins have a legitimate chance to sign Darvish. That's great news to me, even if they're unable to sign him.
  25. Danchat
    The answer is this: balance free agent signings with developing internal prospects. Take a bunch of prospects and develop them into a strong core (Twins hitters at this point) and then add on to the weak areas (pitching) with free agents. The time to strike is now, the window has opened and we don't know how long it's going to be open, so let's spend some cash. Sure, they might have to overpay to get a good starter, but that's just the cost of supplementing the core. Let's make that signing now before the core gets more expensive. Falvey and Levine seem willing to make a signing, and we know they want Darvish. If they can't get him, I'd hope there's a solid plan B. I'd even be fine trading prospects for a reliever as long as it isn't an elite prospect (Royce Lewis) or someone who can help our team's weakness very soon (Gonsalves). Not much has happened in the MLB offseason thus far - I'm confident the Twins will make at least one bold move. Let's just hope it works out.
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