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Danchat

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Everything posted by Danchat

  1. Danchat
    So I take it Duffey's no longer in the run for a rotation spot? I guess he'll be the 6th/7th reliever in that case.
  2. Danchat
    This may not quite be on topic, but I'm not sure if Hildenberger is going to make the opening day roster. He just got shelled again and is at a 7.50 ERA.
  3. Danchat
    I'm surprised Mejia is already out of the race, so it's basically Hughes vs Duffey for the 5th starter at this point... although they won't need a 5th starter until the 2nd-3rd week of the season. It'll probably be Hughes, methinks.
  4. Danchat
    I'll have to disagree with this. Both of those teams' rotations have legitimate aces that can shut our offense down. The Twins lack that and last we saw Berrios and Santana in a playoff game against the Yanks, things didn't go well. Lynn's a nice addition but I don't think Odorizzi is going to help as a starter in the playoff hunt. I can't see the Twins rotation silencing the Astros lineup either. I would have still made the Darvish move but Plan B seemed to be just as good as Plan A.
  5. Danchat
    If the Twins wanted him as a reliever, I think he's ready to start in the big leagues. However, since he's more likely to continue forward as a starter, he needs to continue ramping up his pitch count and getting deep into games. He needs more AAA time if they want him as a starter. But he's a great option to have if the Twins bullpen needs a mid to late season injection of talent.
  6. Danchat
    Arrieta's still getting a substantial amount of money, even for the slow offseason. He's making $30M in 2018, which is too rich for my taste.
  7. Danchat
    Reminds me of when some here wanted Matt Hague on the roster last year. LaMarre struggled to hit in AAA and he has a very small sample size thus far... I'm not worried about Grossman and we have no room on the 40 man roster for journeyman outfielders.
  8. Danchat
    FIFY.
  9. Danchat
    I'm not worried about that happening, Lynn still has a few weeks before the season starts. Morales signed in May, when the season was around 33% progress. I would hope Sanchez or Kinley, but maybe it'll be Vargas. The only reason he's still here is just in case Mauer/Morrison gets hurt, which I think they can risk. If not, Slegers/Enns might be next up because they don't project to be anything more than AAAA pitchers.
  10. Danchat
    Well, I certainly didn't expect to see this happening. I'm surprised he took the Twins deal, especially when we heard that they had offered him something in the ballpark of 2 years $20M. The rotation of Berrios-Lynn-Odorizzi-Gibson-Mejia/etc. is really solid now with Ervin due back mid May and with other guys like May and Gonsalves on the way. Tons of depth, only cost $12M, great stuff! I trusted this FO to make some signings this season even when some despaired after not getting Darvish... I say great job to Favley/Levine taking advantage of the slow market and nabbing Morrison and Lynn. Clearly the Pohlads didn't object to the payroll increasing to approximately $135M. In summary: Fernando Rodney, Zach Duke, Addison Reed, Logan Morrison, Jake Odorizzi, and Lance Lynn. That's one heck of an offseason, outside of not netting an ace. And there's still plenty of prospects in the system if they need to go out and make a big trade midseason.
  11. Danchat
    Really? I hadn't heard anyone talking about this and I was assuming Dozier would get $60-80M tops on a new deal. I would offer Dozier a deal in the 4 year $60-70M range but if someone's offering $90-100M, then that's goodbye. Eddie's a free agent in 2019 too so there's no guarantee he's back. I doubt they go into 2019 with him re-signed as the starter.
  12. Danchat
    Unfortunately (IMO) you're right that Hildenberger isn't a lock. When interviewed, Hildy said that he was pitching as if he was competing for a spot in the bullpen. I'm not sure how much we should care about spring training box scores though. Grossman is what he is at this point, I don't think a poor ST signifies anything.
  13. Danchat
    You don't say? It seems Moustakas severely overestimated the market and he's somehow losing $10M from not taking the qualifying offer. I'm shocked he couldn't have landed a bigger deal.
  14. Danchat
    I have faith in Berrios and Odorizzi, and that's it. I want to trust Mejia but he's got a lot to prove.
  15. Danchat
    Yup, that was a bullet dodged. I remember hearing the Dodgers had at least offered De Leon and one or two more prospects, but they weren't good enough for Falvey/Levine.
  16. Danchat
    If he has another good season, which I think he will, offer him the one year compensation contract, and after he declines, let him hit FA but I'd be OK if they offered him a deal. He deserves to be paid. Offer him a deal and see if anybody else tops it. If so, the Twins could trade Gordon for starting pitching as he won't be getting a starting role then.
  17. Danchat
    I'm glad they're giving the backup catcher job to Garver. I think he'll provide some value on offense and be a solid pinch hitter late in games when Castro's catching. Hopefully Garver can improve his defense too. I wonder how Stuart Turner (Garver's counterpart) is doing. I see he provided -1.2 WAR of value in just 89 PAs for the Reds last year. I wonder if he'll be on the Reds 25 man roster this season?
  18. Danchat
    The Spring stats don't mean a whole lot, 'cause if Hughes should be outed because he pitched poorly today, Duffey basically had the same line (2.2 IP, 5 H; 4 ER) and we should be calling for his release too then. But yeah, Hughes is most likely toast at this point. I hope the FO has the guts to sink that $27M cost when they need somebody to take his roster spot. (Duffey's no lock either. He was pretty bad from 2016-17.)
  19. Danchat
    This had better be Hughes' last chance to stick on the roster, because I don't want to put up with another 5.87 ERA 1.58 WHIP with feeble K% numbers. I kinda wish the Twins could have re-signed Dillon Gee to fill that role. I think Pressly is a virtual lock as they tendered his contract. He has the potential to be a really good reliever (1.16 WHIP w/ 9.0 K/9 last year) but gave up too many runs. This is his make it or break it season - the Twins need to move on if he can't improve his game. In Spring Training, Hildenberger was talking like he wasn't guaranteed a job, so unless he falls apart in some March games, he should be a virtual lock. Rogers and Duke are locks as well.
  20. Danchat
    It's basically confirmed that Vargas will be gone. If the Twins can get anything for him in a trade, they'll move him sooner than later. By the way, this eventual move will open a 40 man spot. I wonder how that might be filled?
  21. Danchat
    Y'know, the NFL reduced their number of commercials this past year in order to increase the pace of play (no more commercials - kickoff - commercials). My main problem with commercials for Twins games is that the same 6 ones seem to play every single time... I just can't watch them anymore.
  22. Danchat
    I'm not sure if age is a great factor to determine if a player was rushed or not. I would determine the value on how much the player got to play in the upper minors (AA & AAA). Jose Berrios started 29 games in AAA before debuting in the majors. He was dominating and clearly ready for the big leagues, but the transition was very rocky and it took longer than expected.
  23. Danchat
    I'm all aboard this deal. Morrison was worth 3.6 WAR (source: Baseball Reference) and hit 38 HRs. He can slot in at DH/1B and give us a reasonable option to play 1B in 2019 if Mauer leaves. With the 1B/DH market being slow the past couple years, I'm expecting the Twins will be able to pay him a fair price. Getting Morrison ABs over Grossman and Vargas is definitely a win. This also explains why Chargois was outrighted. I'm thinking this will be the Twins last FA move, as I don't think they're going to sign Lynn or another other starters. I wouldn't complain if they did but that's just my hunch.
  24. Danchat
    Morrison is coming off of a .868 OPS season with 38 HRs... I would absolutely be on board if he could replicate those stats at a likely discount. Problem is he has never hit with that much power before and never hit that well since 2011. Morrison might be the only FA I take over Vargas.
  25. Danchat
    Looks to me like the FO gave up on him and he wasn't close to making the 2018 roster. He's out of options in 2019 and who knows how much experience he'd have in the majors by then. I'm not happy to see Chargois gone especially when guys like Sanchez and Kinley are on the 40 man roster. I'd guess Falvey & Levine know something about him we don't know.
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