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Willihammer

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Everything posted by Willihammer

  1. Willihammer
    Here's an interesting read on the value of draft picks. http://www.hardballtimes.com/how-much-is-a-draft-pick-worth-in-2014/ Average cumulative WAR during cost-controlled years for #15-20 picks taken in 1991-2005 drafts = 4.3. However there may be a trend teams missing fewer elite talents and capturing them in the middle of the first round, due to improvements in information/scouting.
  2. Willihammer
    IMO Saltalamacchia on a 1-2 year deal would be fine. AJ too. Or a trade for someone who could be better than all of them.
  3. Willihammer
    I wouldn't trade Berrios either but its worth pointing out he was a # 30+ pick. And they could sign a FA on a 1-2 year deal, keep the 17th pick, spend the savings elsewhere, and not have the inflexible roster in 2-3 years. I'm not opposed to a FA solution like that. There are times I wish the Twins made bigger splashes in free agency. Signing a 30+ year old catcher to a long term contract when they already have one under contract is not one of those times.
  4. Willihammer
    BTW can you imagine the "Twins are carrying four catchers again!" jokes if that happened.
  5. Willihammer
    I'm less concerned about payroll and more concerned about carrying a second can't catch, not good enough to DH player being under contract and hogging a roster spot. What do the Twins do with two of those players?
  6. Willihammer
    Another trade, FA, or promotion. Question for you - hypothetically, if the Twins sign Wieters to a 4/60 deal, and he pulls a Mauer or Suzuki at age 32, what is the Twins move?
  7. Willihammer
    Matt Wieters isn't the last functional catcher there will be. If the Twins scouts are able to identify a young talent in someone's system they believe can be functional for them, then that seems like a more cost effective route and quite possibly a better one in absolute terms, because we know 30+ year old catchers don't typically produce as they did in their 20s, with a few exceptions (like AJ), and very often have to be moved off the position altogether. Since the Twins already have one of those players, and he is a big fat logjam in the system, there is additional downside of having two of those types under contract. On the other hand if a cheap young catcher doesn't work out, the Twins can just outright him and move on.
  8. Willihammer
    If you define functional as an established veteran catcher then you are going to be limited of course. I would expand the definition to include younger, cheaper, less worn down and less proven players. Someone along the lines of Roberto Perez, JR Murphy or Martin Maldonado maybe.
  9. Willihammer
    His framing took a hit too, which has been known to happen as catchers age. If the Twins want to solve the position long-term this winter, a trade would be a better route IMO.
  10. Willihammer
    They have Zuke another year anyways. They can kick the can down the road another year, roll with AJ or maybe Saltalamacchia on the other half of a platoon and spend the 4/60 on other things. Like a certain Korean slugger.
  11. Willihammer
    Too old, too broken, too tall, not enough bat to transition out of C, and too expensive.
  12. Willihammer
    There is no way the Twins are forfeiting the 17th pick. I would be shocked.
  13. Willihammer
    So you're saying Santana didn't win the AL batting title? Seems likely he regressed more than he should have. Something like .270/.300/.370 next year seems reasonable if he can fix that swing. His roster spot ought to be safe safe.
  14. Willihammer
    That's an interesting way of looking at that part of catcher defense. An extra base is an extra base, whether it comes on a SB, PB, or WP.
  15. Willihammer
    An amazing career really. I only wish 100% of it was as a Twin.
  16. Willihammer
    The CS% are encouraging. I also noticed Turner allowed just 4 PBs last season in 97 games. That is not surprising as he is all of 6'3" and broad.
  17. Willihammer
    I agree with the principle that the Twins need to take the biggest upgrades they can find without bias to making the team look a certain way. If that return isn't in the rotation, so be it. The Royals are showing for the 2nd year in a row that you can go pretty far with a bunch of aging, FA 3s and 4s in your rotation. Still, it will be interesting to see how they do against the young aces in the Met rotation.
  18. Willihammer
    http://imoviequotes.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/09/201-Dumb-and-Dumber-quotes.gif http://imoviequotes.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/09/202-Dumb-and-Dumber-quotes.gif http://imoviequotes.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/09/203-Dumb-and-Dumber-quotes.gif
  19. Willihammer
    Why isn't reach ever measured, like for boxers? Or is it measured?
  20. Willihammer
    A team doesn't strictly "need" an ace to win the WS but it sure doesn't hurt and personally as a fan its fun to watch a stud pitcher take the ball and go 9 innings and dominate. We had a glimpse of that with Hughes last year but it has really been in short supply since the Santana days.
  21. Willihammer
    2/3 of the Royals 3-headed monster is under 6.' Ventura is 6' exactly. Pedro, Johan, Oswalt, Hudson, plenty of pitchers in that 6' range who did fine. Stuff's all that matters IMO and Berrios has stuff.
  22. Willihammer
    Agree completely. Gibson may yet put together a nice run of productive seasons but he's never going to be the front of the rotation arm this team needs.
  23. Willihammer
    I give the Twins creativity points for the draft-college-reliever, develop-into-starter strategy. Duffey is about the only return so far, but its too early to judge it one way or another. Watching Liam Hendriks hit 98 in Toronto the other day, I do with they were better at identifying when starters should be converted (back) into relievers before they cut bait and lose them for nothing. For a short-term strategy, trade seems like the best strategy to me. A guy like Carlos Carrasco looks like a decent bet to have a breakout, ace caliber year and is rumored to be on the trading block. Or someone who they think has the stuff but has been miscast in a bullpen role or just hasn't put it all together for a full season yet.
  24. Willihammer
    I see several benefits to keeping Buxton in AAA. 1. It would mean the MLB OFers are relatively healthy/productive 2. Weaker competition would boost Buxton's production/confidence and make it more likely his next callup is his last. 3. Bonus of passing FA and Arbitration cutoffs would save money / increase length of team control 4. The sum of these 3 could make him an excellent trade chip prior to the Jul 31 deadline, should the Twins find themselves in contention again.
  25. Willihammer
    Buxton was recalled first on 6/14, then DL'ed for the thumb (head first slide) on 6/25 (11 days). Activated in July and optioned to AAA. Recalled for the 2nd time on 8/19 where he remained for the rest of the season (46 days). So 57 days total. The Twins start 2016 on Apr 4, so Buxton would need to stay in AAA until at least June 1 to push his first FA season back to 2022. That assumes he isn't optioned again after his recall. Keeping him in Rochester until July 10 would delay arbitration until 2019, assuming the Super 2 cutoff is 2.130 days. And again assuming he isn't optioned again. Is that correct?
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