If Gordon's ceiling is Aybar or Escobar then that is very disappointing. That is a whole lot of losing just to come away with a player that can be gotten for under 10/m year on the FA market edit: re-reading the quote, the author says Gordon is "more likely" in the Aybar/Escobar mold, which suggest those might be his floor. If true, that's more re-assuring.
Go to another board? No, when the time comes I'll drown my sorrows in a bucket of ice cream and spam TD with half asleep non-rhyming couplets in tribute to the greatest Twins hitter of the past 3 years. I'll swap in a new avatar but keep the moniker, both in Hammer's memory and because I have to.
Maybe a few years ago he was 96. In his one and only appearance this year (against the Twins) he was 91-93 and looked very average, but maybe the effects of his injury were lingering. Eh, TR took a shot. You would think Morales would hit have hit better, given his age/track record. I applaud the aggressiveness.
Not if you believe the run values attributed to pitch framing. Ross (1.9m/rWAR) and Ruiz (3.8m/WAR) are right there with Suzuki (3.5m/rWAR). Even McCann, in his worst season, is still returning at 7.4m/WAR (that will almost certainly improve). If the Twins take pitch framing seriously, they sure do hide it. All we ever hear from the field staff is how great of a defender Suzuki is, but he's on pace to cost the team about 2.5 wins in poor framing. Its his bat buoying his value right now and I don't think anyone saw that coming or expects him to sustain it.
We have been over this ground before and the answer is, the cutoff for the strike zone used to build these framing reports is the point at which umpires call <50% strikes, depending on whather the batter is RH or LH. Put another way, the pitchf/x zone = the umpires zone.
Sure it can. Umpire crews handle series at a time, and rotate HP duty within those series. These are rules dictated by MLB. Multiply by the number of series and games caught (852) and I think we can safely rule out umpire bias as a cause for Suzuki's penchant for losing strikes.
Its not nearly that ambitious. All the catcher framing stats do (at least the one available at statcorner) is subtract/add strikes and ball calls from the (unbiased) pitchf/x measure of what was actually a strike and what was a ball. Whatever umpire-pitcher bias affects those calls will get washed out over several seasons (if not several games) and especially, when a catcher changes teams.
Some things are measurable, eg. strikeouts, walks, strikes above/below average, blocking runs above average, caught stealing, catcher ERA, etc. The only way Suzuki looks good defensively is is if you mystify the job he does back there.
Garza did fine out the gate throwing just fastball-breaking ball. Its not unusual to see guys start out throwing power stuff, then as their velo drops they work on 3rd and 4th pitches and start *pitching.* In fact I'd say that's the norm among power arms. By all accounts Meyer is just overpowering hitters right now so who gives a @!#$^ if if his changeup isn't perfectly polished?
I think for the vast majority of pitchers their career arcs more closely mirror their physical growth and decay than any fine tuning of a 3rd pitch or fastball command. Meyer is in his physical peak right now - possibly a bit past it actually. He will never throw harder or have as much rotation on pitches as he gets right now. He can work on a third pitch when his velo drops below 95.
Yeah Chris Archer just threw about 6 belt high 94 fastballs right by Arcia the other day. Swung under em just as Parker described. Clearly its a weakness that's being exploited. Hope he figures it out. When he's able to connect, good things seem to happen.
The Twins top pitching prospects don't line up that well with their top position prospects in terms of shooting for any kind of "window." The Kepler, Harrison, Buxton, and Polancos are all 20-21. Meyer and May are 25 already. Gibson is 26. Pitchers tend to peak earlier anyways. And if the position players go Dozier/Plouffe on us then we could be talking about little or no overlap at all. edit: all that's to say that I think it makes sense to use Meyer/May earlier than later, even if they aren't 100% ready, so they can contribute while Dozier/Plouffe/Mauer can still be expected to produce at or near peak levels.