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In his first full season as manager of the Minnesota Twins, Tom Kelly guided to the team to the first World Series title in franchise history. After Kelly retired in 2001, Ron Gardenhire took the helm, and in his first season he led the Twins to the American League Championship Series. Your move, Paul Molitor.The Twins have been in a losing funk for such a long time that it can be difficult for fans to remember just how quickly fortunes sometimes turn. But it can happen, and it has. The dramatic shifts that have coincided with the last two managerial changes provide evidence enough of that. Kelly originally stepped in midway through the 1986 season, with the Twins on their way to 91 losses. At the time, they had not finished above .500 in eight years, but the club experienced a renaissance under Kelly, capturing two championships in his first five seasons. After this successful stretch, they fell back into a rut, and by the end of the 90s they were caught in an extended losing spell similar to the one they are presently trying to escape. The Twins lost 90 or more games every year from 1997 through 2000, and while it appeared they were headed for a division title in 2001, they collapsed in the second half and fell short. Gardenhire took over the following year, and we all know the rest of that story. In light of this history, Molitor shouldn't feel too intimidated as he takes the reigns and seeks to steer the Twins out of the darkness. Despite the timing, it likely wasn't the changes in leadership that primarily drove these last two turnarounds, but rather influxes of prospect talent and emergences of young star players, as well as savvy veteran additions. The team is in a comparable position now as Molitor embarks on his journey, so it's not hard to draw a parallel and envision a similar outcome. It stands to reason that the new skipper himself -- uninterested in sitting through multiple years of stagnation -- is doing so. Will the resurgence be as abrupt as it was in those aforementioned instances? Of course, the answer is 'probably not.' The Twins need to get back to the .500 range before a deep postseason run becomes a consideration. Talk of a worst-to-first swing in the Central is mostly just rosy optimism that always tends to manifest at this time of year. Mostly. It's hardly unthinkable that the Twins could find themselves in contention for the division late in the season. Obviously they need to stay healthy and get a lot of good individual performances. But, in a broader sense, two things need to happen: 1) Fast start. The team needs to put itself in a competitive mindset with a surprisingly strong start, and a record at or above .500 heading into July. This would set them up as "buyers" at the deadline, allowing them to upgrade in areas of need midway through the season. It would also make more urgent the calling up of prospects who could make a positive impact (e.g., Byron Buxton and Miguel Sano). 2) Weak division. This part, unfortunately, isn't really in the Twins' control. During his Q&A at the Winter Meltdown event, team president Dave St. Peter opined that the AL Central might be the strongest division in baseball. Well... that needs to be not the case. Not so much because the Twins need to be able to come out on top -- the addition of an extra wild-card spot somewhat negates that aspect -- but because they need a team or two they can beat up on and pile up wins against. In 2010, when the Twins won the division, they went a combined 26-10 against Chicago and Kansas City. In 2009 they went 24-12 against those same two clubs. Between '02 and '03 they won 29 of 38 games against the Tigers. With baseball's unbalanced schedule, taking care of business against the division's bottom-feeders is critical to contending for October. For the last few years, the Twins have been that bottom-feeder; they need to swap out of that role. It's a little difficult to envision such a scenario this year -- the Royals and Tigers ain't what they used to be, and the White Sox and Indians both look pretty good on paper -- but you never know. What do you think? What will it take for the Twins to be competitive in the division and in the American League this year? Click here to view the article
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The Twins have been in a losing funk for such a long time that it can be difficult for fans to remember just how quickly fortunes sometimes turn. But it can happen, and it has. The dramatic shifts that have coincided with the last two managerial changes provide evidence enough of that. Kelly originally stepped in midway through the 1986 season, with the Twins on their way to 91 losses. At the time, they had not finished above .500 in eight years, but the club experienced a renaissance under Kelly, capturing two championships in his first five seasons. After this successful stretch, they fell back into a rut, and by the end of the 90s they were caught in an extended losing spell similar to the one they are presently trying to escape. The Twins lost 90 or more games every year from 1997 through 2000, and while it appeared they were headed for a division title in 2001, they collapsed in the second half and fell short. Gardenhire took over the following year, and we all know the rest of that story. In light of this history, Molitor shouldn't feel too intimidated as he takes the reigns and seeks to steer the Twins out of the darkness. Despite the timing, it likely wasn't the changes in leadership that primarily drove these last two turnarounds, but rather influxes of prospect talent and emergences of young star players, as well as savvy veteran additions. The team is in a comparable position now as Molitor embarks on his journey, so it's not hard to draw a parallel and envision a similar outcome. It stands to reason that the new skipper himself -- uninterested in sitting through multiple years of stagnation -- is doing so. Will the resurgence be as abrupt as it was in those aforementioned instances? Of course, the answer is 'probably not.' The Twins need to get back to the .500 range before a deep postseason run becomes a consideration. Talk of a worst-to-first swing in the Central is mostly just rosy optimism that always tends to manifest at this time of year. Mostly. It's hardly unthinkable that the Twins could find themselves in contention for the division late in the season. Obviously they need to stay healthy and get a lot of good individual performances. But, in a broader sense, two things need to happen: 1) Fast start. The team needs to put itself in a competitive mindset with a surprisingly strong start, and a record at or above .500 heading into July. This would set them up as "buyers" at the deadline, allowing them to upgrade in areas of need midway through the season. It would also make more urgent the calling up of prospects who could make a positive impact (e.g., Byron Buxton and Miguel Sano). 2) Weak division. This part, unfortunately, isn't really in the Twins' control. During his Q&A at the Winter Meltdown event, team president Dave St. Peter opined that the AL Central might be the strongest division in baseball. Well... that needs to be not the case. Not so much because the Twins need to be able to come out on top -- the addition of an extra wild-card spot somewhat negates that aspect -- but because they need a team or two they can beat up on and pile up wins against. In 2010, when the Twins won the division, they went a combined 26-10 against Chicago and Kansas City. In 2009 they went 24-12 against those same two clubs. Between '02 and '03 they won 29 of 38 games against the Tigers. With baseball's unbalanced schedule, taking care of business against the division's bottom-feeders is critical to contending for October. For the last few years, the Twins have been that bottom-feeder; they need to swap out of that role. It's a little difficult to envision such a scenario this year -- the Royals and Tigers ain't what they used to be, and the White Sox and Indians both look pretty good on paper -- but you never know. What do you think? What will it take for the Twins to be competitive in the division and in the American League this year?
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Is anyone saying that? The question is who should be in line for the fifth starter spot. As noted in the article, if May is a mess in spring training then you make adjustments (same goes for Nolasco, and anyone, really), but based on everything at play he looks like the best option going in. It's not a scholarship, it's an evaluation based on the evidence at hand. Obviously more evidence comes into play during the month of March, I just don't think what happens in Ft. Myers should be the overriding factor in the decision. Their plan should be to have May in the rotation. Plans can change.
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With the addition of Ervin Santana via free agency, the Twins have essentially sealed up four of five spots in the 2015 rotation. Barring an injury or a dramatic turn of events in spring training, Santana, Phil Hughes, Ricky Nolasco and Kyle Gibson are all going to be there on opening day. That leaves one final opening, with several names in the mix to fill it. Who should be the leading candidate?Personally, I'm not a fan of the whole "spring training position battle" concept. Deciding who will fill any roster spot -- particularly a rotation spot -- is weighty, and should not be dictated by performance in a couple of dozen (or fewer) exhibition games, where the competition ranges from established starters getting their work in to minor-league journeymen. Going into camp, the Twins need to have a good idea of who they want rounding out the rotation. If they currently have a preference among a list that includes Mike Pelfrey, Tommy Milone, Alex Meyer, Tim Stauffer and others, they haven't been too forward about it. But for me, there's one clear choice, and that is Trevor May. May has nothing left to prove in the minors. Last year, he was one of the best starters in the Class-AAA International League, posting a 2.84 ERA, 1.16 WHIP and 94-to-39 K/BB ratio while allowing just four home runs in 98 innings. It seems silly to send him back there at age 25 after that kind of performance, especially when you consider how many innings May has already logged in the high minors. Between Double-A and Triple-A, the right-hander has made 73 starts; for comparison, Meyer -- who many believe has spent plenty of time in the minors already -- has made 40 starts between those two levels. One could point to May's unimpressive results during a late-season audition for the Twins, but he pitched better than most people believe. For instance, you might think May's control was a complete and total mess during his time with the Twins. That was sort of true... in his first start. But after that brutal, jittery debut in which he issued seven walks, the righty handed out 15 free passes in 43 2/3 innings (3.1 BB/9) while throwing strikes at a 65 percent rate, which is league-average. During that same span, he also notched 44 strikeouts, burning big-league batters with a 92 MPH fastball and quality secondary stuff. He certainy demonstrated that his stuff plays in the majors. None of that really takes away from the fact that he gave up a ton of hits and a ton of runs, but that's hardly uncharacteristic for a rookie getting his first taste of The Show and learning that some of the pitches he could get away with in the minors aren't going to play. We saw the same thing occur with Gibson, who was crushed in his 2013 call-up before putting together a solid first full season in '14. In many ways, May's debut was more impressive than Gibson's. When you consider the positive signs May showed last year, and his age, and his lengthy minor-league service, and his potential importance to the future of this rotation, it seems clear to me that he should be first in line to get a crack at that fifth rotation spot. Obviously that changes if he gets hurt or is a total mess in spring training, but the Twins simply have much more to gain from giving May a chance to take hold of that job than they do with someone like Pelfrey or Milone -- both short-term and long-term. The only question is whether the club is willing to set aside factors like experience and salary in making that decision. Click here to view the article
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Personally, I'm not a fan of the whole "spring training position battle" concept. Deciding who will fill any roster spot -- particularly a rotation spot -- is weighty, and should not be dictated by performance in a couple of dozen (or fewer) exhibition games, where the competition ranges from established starters getting their work in to minor-league journeymen. Going into camp, the Twins need to have a good idea of who they want rounding out the rotation. If they currently have a preference among a list that includes Mike Pelfrey, Tommy Milone, Alex Meyer, Tim Stauffer and others, they haven't been too forward about it. But for me, there's one clear choice, and that is Trevor May. May has nothing left to prove in the minors. Last year, he was one of the best starters in the Class-AAA International League, posting a 2.84 ERA, 1.16 WHIP and 94-to-39 K/BB ratio while allowing just four home runs in 98 innings. It seems silly to send him back there at age 25 after that kind of performance, especially when you consider how many innings May has already logged in the high minors. Between Double-A and Triple-A, the right-hander has made 73 starts; for comparison, Meyer -- who many believe has spent plenty of time in the minors already -- has made 40 starts between those two levels. One could point to May's unimpressive results during a late-season audition for the Twins, but he pitched better than most people believe. For instance, you might think May's control was a complete and total mess during his time with the Twins. That was sort of true... in his first start. But after that brutal, jittery debut in which he issued seven walks, the righty handed out 15 free passes in 43 2/3 innings (3.1 BB/9) while throwing strikes at a 65 percent rate, which is league-average. During that same span, he also notched 44 strikeouts, burning big-league batters with a 92 MPH fastball and quality secondary stuff. He certainy demonstrated that his stuff plays in the majors. None of that really takes away from the fact that he gave up a ton of hits and a ton of runs, but that's hardly uncharacteristic for a rookie getting his first taste of The Show and learning that some of the pitches he could get away with in the minors aren't going to play. We saw the same thing occur with Gibson, who was crushed in his 2013 call-up before putting together a solid first full season in '14. In many ways, May's debut was more impressive than Gibson's. When you consider the positive signs May showed last year, and his age, and his lengthy minor-league service, and his potential importance to the future of this rotation, it seems clear to me that he should be first in line to get a crack at that fifth rotation spot. Obviously that changes if he gets hurt or is a total mess in spring training, but the Twins simply have much more to gain from giving May a chance to take hold of that job than they do with someone like Pelfrey or Milone -- both short-term and long-term. The only question is whether the club is willing to set aside factors like experience and salary in making that decision.
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We at Twins Daily are ecstatic that one of the three featured speakers at this Saturday's Winter Meltdown event will be Jacque Jones, who was a member of three division champion teams during his seven seasons in Minnesota from 1999 through 2005.If you'd like to see Jones, along with Twins president Dave St. Peter and former player Tim Laudner, answering questions from John Bonnes and Aaron Gleeman, there are still a few tickets available for the big party this Saturday. In honor of Jones' return to Twins Territory, we thought we'd run through five of the most memorable moments of his career. 5. Drafted by the Twins in 1996 After a very successful college career at the University of Southern California, Jones was taken by the Twins in the second round of the '96 draft, with the 37th overall pick. Since first-rounder Travis Lee never actually signed, Jones was the highest selection to join the organization in that draft and he made good, cruising through the minors in three years and debuting in the majors at age 24. 4. Arm and hammer: Jones doubles off Spivey Though he came up through the minors as a center fielder, Jones was pushed away from that position in the big leagues by the presence of Torii Hunter, moving first to left and eventually to right. In the corners, Jones' high-end athleticism made him a real defensive asset, and he displayed all his tools on this play in a 2005 game against the Brewers. Watch as Jones sprints backwards to haul in a fly ball, then springs off the Metrodome baggy and delivers a laser beam from the warning track to Justin Morneau at first base, doubling off Junior Spivey. http://m.mlb.com/video/v37114801 3. A rocket against "The Rocket" Jones hit 165 home runs in his decade-year career, and although most of those came in a Twins uniform, the most prodigious might have come during his brief stint with the Cubs. In a 2006 game against Roger Clemens and the Houston Astros, Jones launched a home run over the center field wall at Minute Maid Park that was estimated to have traveled over 440 feet. This was in the same season that Clemens posted a career-low 1.87 ERA, and the majestic shot off Jones' bat was one of only 11 homers surrendered by Clemens in 32 starts. 2. A farewell in Minnesota He was very good in his prime, but unfortunately Jones saw his production tail off rather abruptly after he left the Twins. He enjoyed a couple of solid seasons in Chicago, then made brief appearances with the Marlins and Tigers, but he was done as a big-leaguer at age 33. In 2010, he returned to Minnesota on a minor-league deal, and while he didn't get back to the majors, he did get the opportunity to play at brand-new Target Field when the Twins faced the St. Louis Cardinals in a pair of exhibition games in early April. Jones was greeted by fans with a standing ovation. He retired a few months later, in June. 1. "Contract This": The 2002 season-opening homer. When I think about Jones, this is always the first memory that comes to mind. In the offseason preceding the 2002 season, just as I was really beginning to grow into a Twins diehard, rumors had swirled that the club might be contracted. Like many other fans -- not to mention players and employees -- I was nervous that Bud Selig and Major League Baseball would simply erase the team I loved from existence. On Opening Day in '02, the Twins faced the Royals in Kansas City, and on the second pitch of the game from Jeff Suppan, Jones launched a home run into the Kauffman Stadium fountains. It was the first of two homers in the game for Jones, kicking off what would be the best season of his career, as he'd go on to hit 27 bombs with a .300 batting average and .852 OPS. It was emblematic of what Jones brought to the table as a leadoff hitter -- the ability to put his team ahead 1-0 in the first at-bat, in any game. But more than any of that, it was an emphatic statement that the Minnesota Twins weren't going anywhere. They went on to win 94 games on the way to a division title and a trip to the American League Championship Series. That September, an issue of ESPN Magazine, with a cover featuring Jones and three of his teammates, dubbed Minnesota "The Team That Saved Baseball." http://espn.go.com/i/magazine/new/5_20_lg.jpg If you'd like to hear Jones discuss these moments, and many others, make sure to grab your ticket for this Saturday's event! Click here to view the article
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If you'd like to see Jones, along with Twins president Dave St. Peter and former player Tim Laudner, answering questions from John Bonnes and Aaron Gleeman, there are still a few tickets available for the big party this Saturday. In honor of Jones' return to Twins Territory, we thought we'd run through five of the most memorable moments of his career. 5. Drafted by the Twins in 1996 After a very successful college career at the University of Southern California, Jones was taken by the Twins in the second round of the '96 draft, with the 37th overall pick. Since first-rounder Travis Lee never actually signed, Jones was the highest selection to join the organization in that draft and he made good, cruising through the minors in three years and debuting in the majors at age 24. 4. Arm and hammer: Jones doubles off Spivey Though he came up through the minors as a center fielder, Jones was pushed away from that position in the big leagues by the presence of Torii Hunter, moving first to left and eventually to right. In the corners, Jones' high-end athleticism made him a real defensive asset, and he displayed all his tools on this play in a 2005 game against the Brewers. Watch as Jones sprints backwards to haul in a fly ball, then springs off the Metrodome baggy and delivers a laser beam from the warning track to Justin Morneau at first base, doubling off Junior Spivey. http://m.mlb.com/video/v37114801 3. A rocket against "The Rocket" Jones hit 165 home runs in his decade-year career, and although most of those came in a Twins uniform, the most prodigious might have come during his brief stint with the Cubs. In a 2006 game against Roger Clemens and the Houston Astros, Jones launched a home run over the center field wall at Minute Maid Park that was estimated to have traveled over 440 feet. This was in the same season that Clemens posted a career-low 1.87 ERA, and the majestic shot off Jones' bat was one of only 11 homers surrendered by Clemens in 32 starts. 2. A farewell in Minnesota He was very good in his prime, but unfortunately Jones saw his production tail off rather abruptly after he left the Twins. He enjoyed a couple of solid seasons in Chicago, then made brief appearances with the Marlins and Tigers, but he was done as a big-leaguer at age 33. In 2010, he returned to Minnesota on a minor-league deal, and while he didn't get back to the majors, he did get the opportunity to play at brand-new Target Field when the Twins faced the St. Louis Cardinals in a pair of exhibition games in early April. Jones was greeted by fans with a standing ovation. He retired a few months later, in June. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XE2JVY7ll64 1. "Contract This": The 2002 season-opening homer. When I think about Jones, this is always the first memory that comes to mind. In the offseason preceding the 2002 season, just as I was really beginning to grow into a Twins diehard, rumors had swirled that the club might be contracted. Like many other fans -- not to mention players and employees -- I was nervous that Bud Selig and Major League Baseball would simply erase the team I loved from existence. On Opening Day in '02, the Twins faced the Royals in Kansas City, and on the second pitch of the game from Jeff Suppan, Jones launched a home run into the Kauffman Stadium fountains. It was the first of two homers in the game for Jones, kicking off what would be the best season of his career, as he'd go on to hit 27 bombs with a .300 batting average and .852 OPS. It was emblematic of what Jones brought to the table as a leadoff hitter -- the ability to put his team ahead 1-0 in the first at-bat, in any game. But more than any of that, it was an emphatic statement that the Minnesota Twins weren't going anywhere. They went on to win 94 games on the way to a division title and a trip to the American League Championship Series. That September, an issue of ESPN Magazine, with a cover featuring Jones and three of his teammates, dubbed Minnesota "The Team That Saved Baseball." http://espn.go.com/i/magazine/new/5_20_lg.jpg If you'd like to hear Jones discuss these moments, and many others, make sure to grab your ticket for this Saturday's event!
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When you look up and down the Twins' projected starting lineup for 2015, there are a number of potential weak spots. Neither Danny Santana nor Kennys Vargas is a lock to maintain their stellar rookie performances. Joe Mauer is a giant question mark at this point. We still don't really know who's going to play center field. But one area that few people are talking about is catcher, where the Twins are counting on Kurt Suzuki to back up one of the best seasons of his career. What happens if he can't?At the trade deadline in 2014, with Suzuki's name floating around in rumors, Terry Ryan decided instead to lock up the veteran backstop with a two-year extension. At the time, Suzuki was batting over .300 with an above-average OPS, and his strong first half had even earned him an All-Star appearance. Yet, in the context of Suzuki's career, the quality offensive output looked somewhat unsustainable -- his .760 OPS at the end of July was 70 points higher than his career mark, and he hadn't even finished above .700 since 2009. Had he really recaptured the ability that made him a major asset for the Athletics in the earlier portion of his career, or had he simply enjoyed a few good months? When your production is based so heavily on putting the ball in play and collecting singles, things can turn around in quite a hurry. Unfortunately, that's just what happened to Suzuki. After signing his extension, he hit .248/.290/.366 the rest of the way. Those numbers line up far more closely with his career slash line: .257/.314/.376. That kind of production wouldn't exactly be disastrous -- American League catchers hit just .241/.301/.374 overall in 2014, meaning Suzuki was essentially average even in his diminished second-half capacity -- but what if the 31-year-old continues to slide toward the sub par level he was at in 2012 and 2013? This brings us to a question that is likely be discussed frequently this spring and summer: What do the Twins really think of Josmil Pinto? The 25-year-old's future became murky after Minnesota extended Suzuki's contract for two years; would the team have committed $12 million to the veteran if they truly envisioned Pinto taking over the reins any time soon? The answer is... maybe. Suzuki's $6 million salary wouldn't be all that ridiculous even if he's only playing part-time, especially when you consider the depth he adds at a position that -- outside of Pinto -- is almost barren at the highest levels. (Beyond these two, there are no catchers currently on the 40-man roster.) Suzuki's presence allows the Twins to be very patient with the development of Pinto's defensive skills, and that likely played a big part in the decision to keep him around. But what if Pinto's proficiency behind the plate does not improve, or Suzuki's regression hits harder and faster than expected? With a lack of appealing alternatives on the extended roster -- or, really, anywhere in the organization -- it's hard to say at this point. Unless they are willing to make some concessions defensively and let Pinto's bat carry him, the Twins might be tied to Suzuki -- for better or worse. Click here to view the article
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At the trade deadline in 2014, with Suzuki's name floating around in rumors, Terry Ryan decided instead to lock up the veteran backstop with a two-year extension. At the time, Suzuki was batting over .300 with an above-average OPS, and his strong first half had even earned him an All-Star appearance. Yet, in the context of Suzuki's career, the quality offensive output looked somewhat unsustainable -- his .760 OPS at the end of July was 70 points higher than his career mark, and he hadn't even finished above .700 since 2009. Had he really recaptured the ability that made him a major asset for the Athletics in the earlier portion of his career, or had he simply enjoyed a few good months? When your production is based so heavily on putting the ball in play and collecting singles, things can turn around in quite a hurry. Unfortunately, that's just what happened to Suzuki. After signing his extension, he hit .248/.290/.366 the rest of the way. Those numbers line up far more closely with his career slash line: .257/.314/.376. That kind of production wouldn't exactly be disastrous -- American League catchers hit just .241/.301/.374 overall in 2014, meaning Suzuki was essentially average even in his diminished second-half capacity -- but what if the 31-year-old continues to slide toward the sub par level he was at in 2012 and 2013? This brings us to a question that is likely be discussed frequently this spring and summer: What do the Twins really think of Josmil Pinto? The 25-year-old's future became murky after Minnesota extended Suzuki's contract for two years; would the team have committed $12 million to the veteran if they truly envisioned Pinto taking over the reins any time soon? The answer is... maybe. Suzuki's $6 million salary wouldn't be all that ridiculous even if he's only playing part-time, especially when you consider the depth he adds at a position that -- outside of Pinto -- is almost barren at the highest levels. (Beyond these two, there are no catchers currently on the 40-man roster.) Suzuki's presence allows the Twins to be very patient with the development of Pinto's defensive skills, and that likely played a big part in the decision to keep him around. But what if Pinto's proficiency behind the plate does not improve, or Suzuki's regression hits harder and faster than expected? With a lack of appealing alternatives on the extended roster -- or, really, anywhere in the organization -- it's hard to say at this point. Unless they are willing to make some concessions defensively and let Pinto's bat carry him, the Twins might be tied to Suzuki -- for better or worse.
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I think I mentioned this in the last mailbag, but my ideal course with Hicks would be to mostly shield him from righties early on, and then hopefully let him build up some confidence with success hitting from the right side. At that point, start to feed him more starts against RHP and hope that he takes off and turns into the player many of us believe he can be.
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- joe mauer
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With temperatures outside dropping well below zero, we're here to warm you up by serving hot takes to answer all your burning Twins-related questions! Sorry. That was very lame. Anyway, moving on...Twins Daily Member Kirby_waved_at_me: How bad does Ricky Nolasco have to be to lose a spot in the Twins' rotation? Conversely, how good does Alex Meyer have to pitch to earn a spot? If Nolasco pitches as badly as he did last year, they're going to remove him. But if that's the case, some sort of significant injury is going to come to light. He's got too much ability to keep getting rocked to that extent unless there's an underlying issue. The bigger question is, what do they do if he's performing badly but not terribly (i.e. 4.75 ERA) and there's a guy on the farm who's clearly ready to step in (like, say, Meyer)? I don't know the answer, but I'm very curious to find out. Twins Daily Member mike wants wins: Which minor league RP will we see up early? Not a big fan of not using your minor league system for those guys fast, before they get hurt (which seems to be what many, not all, other teams are doing now). Michael Tonkin will be up early, if not out of camp. A.J. Achter has a chance. Neither Nick Burdi nor Jake Reed has pitched above Single-A, but it wouldn't shock me to see either (or both) up and making an impact in the second half. Those guys can bring it. @MrNewBrighton on Twitter: What kind of season can we expect from Joe Mauer in 2015? (I'm hoping for .315 15 HRs 100 RBI #MNTwins I like the optimism. I won't venture to guess at this point on his home runs and RBI, but I do think he'll get back to batting over .300 with an elite OBP. Nice piece to have around the top of the lineup. Twins Daily Member stringer bell: Are the Twins really going to go with their current options for center field? Related question--will Danny Santana see considerable time in center this year? There's still plenty of time to grab a free agent stopgap -- Colby Rasmus, Nyjer Morgan and Eric Young Jr. are among the remaining available names -- but it looks like they're comfortable rolling with Aaron Hicks and Jordan Schafer. Nothing wrong with that, in my mind. Those two fit nicely as platoon partners and can both offer solid defense. Byron Buxton should be along shortly. @Ex_Twins_News on Twitter: MN Native Mark Hamburger has an invite to Spring Training. Does he have a shot at appearing with the big league club in '15? Hamburger is a great story, so I'm certainly hoping so. He's got a steep hill to climb though. He was unspectacular as a 27-year-old in Triple-A last year and the reliever pipeline is pretty flush in this system. @Twins_guyTJZ on Twitter: With enough internal depth at first base i.e.Vargas and Adam Brett Walker, where does Mauer fit into the Twins long-term future? Hard to say at this point whether Vargas' bat is legit. He's exceptionally strong and certainly looked the part last year, but he doesn't control the strike zone well and pitchers started to take advantage in the last few weeks. He needs to prove himself in 2015, and even then, I think he's a DH. Walker hasn't played above Single-A. Actually, the name we should be wondering about in this conversation is Sano. @Nieman1499 on Twitter: Thoughts on Lewis Thorpe? He had a great first year - Does he project as a reliever or starting pitcher? He was phenomenal at Cedar Rapids last year, blowing away opposing hitters as an 18-year-old. But his season ended on an ominous note health-wise, so it'll be interesting to see how he looks and feels in the spring. If all goes well, he has a chance to start, but Low-A is a long way from the majors. Twins Daily Member jharaldson: Ron Gardenhire was either first or second in the AL for Manager of the Year 6 times and has been linked to 0 manager jobs this offseason. Joe Maddon was either first or second in the AL for Manager of the Year 2 times and a team fired its current manager and hired him almost immediately after he came available. Why has Ron Gardenhire generated almost no interest in the MLB community? I get the sense that he's more than content taking a year off. Why wouldn't he? He's still getting paid by the Twins and has no obligation to do anything really. If I were him, I'd enjoy a summer with the family and then see how things shake out around the league. Maybe something opens up that appeals to him, or maybe a club makes an aggressive run at him. But it also bears noting that all those Manager of the Year votes are well in the past, and the last time he oversaw a winning team was five years ago. Twins Daily Member SwainZag: What's the timeline for Nick Burdi? Any chance that Sano and Buxton both start the season in Rochester? Burdi is interesting. He'll start the season at Double-A most likely, but I can't imagine he'll be there long. He could be up very quickly. He's filthy. I think both Buxton and Sano are pretty much locks to start in Chattanooga. Twins Daily Member youngpadawan: Could Gordon pull off a Buxton-esk first full season and shoot up prospect rankings? How do their first half seasons compare? You can't really expect anyone to follow in Buxton's footsteps -- he's a very rare talent. Gordon should take a step forward but it wouldn't shock me if his bat takes a while to develop, especially the power. He's still a wiry teenager. Twins Daily Member Halsey Hall: Who's the cream of the crop in the Central Division this year? The Tigers will be strong again, with or without Max Scherzer. Chicago has obviously loaded up big-time. They're probably the two front-runners, though Cleveland is sneaky good with that young rotation. I expect Kansas City to take a major step backward. Twins Daily Member Bark's Lounge: Based upon what you know about the Twins players behind the scenes (leadership, respect, preparation, etc.), if the Twins were to name a Player or Players a Captain - who do you think would get to wear the "C" on their uniforms? Brian Dozier is the first name that comes to mind. Very personable, very approachable, and an excellent example of someone who works hard and maximizes his ability. He was an eighth-round draft pick and middling minor league prospect who has turned himself into a borderline All-Star second baseman in the majors. Hard not to respect that. Twins Daily Member Tibs: What is it going to take for the Twins to win the division? I'm done with this 90 loss stuff. Win Twins! Couldn't agree more. It will take sustained high-level production from the offense, and massive improvements from the starting staff. Neither is implausible. But more than anything, it will take a soft division. The Twins need a team or two they can beat up on (that's basically always been their recipe for AL Central titles), and they'd probably need to be able finish first with a high-80s win total because 90-plus is too much to ask at this point. Click here to view the article
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Twins Daily Member Kirby_waved_at_me: How bad does Ricky Nolasco have to be to lose a spot in the Twins' rotation? Conversely, how good does Alex Meyer have to pitch to earn a spot? If Nolasco pitches as badly as he did last year, they're going to remove him. But if that's the case, some sort of significant injury is going to come to light. He's got too much ability to keep getting rocked to that extent unless there's an underlying issue. The bigger question is, what do they do if he's performing badly but not terribly (i.e. 4.75 ERA) and there's a guy on the farm who's clearly ready to step in (like, say, Meyer)? I don't know the answer, but I'm very curious to find out. Twins Daily Member mike wants wins: Which minor league RP will we see up early? Not a big fan of not using your minor league system for those guys fast, before they get hurt (which seems to be what many, not all, other teams are doing now). Michael Tonkin will be up early, if not out of camp. A.J. Achter has a chance. Neither Nick Burdi nor Jake Reed has pitched above Single-A, but it wouldn't shock me to see either (or both) up and making an impact in the second half. Those guys can bring it. @MrNewBrighton on Twitter: What kind of season can we expect from Joe Mauer in 2015? (I'm hoping for .315 15 HRs 100 RBI #MNTwins I like the optimism. I won't venture to guess at this point on his home runs and RBI, but I do think he'll get back to batting over .300 with an elite OBP. Nice piece to have around the top of the lineup. Twins Daily Member stringer bell: Are the Twins really going to go with their current options for center field? Related question--will Danny Santana see considerable time in center this year? There's still plenty of time to grab a free agent stopgap -- Colby Rasmus, Nyjer Morgan and Eric Young Jr. are among the remaining available names -- but it looks like they're comfortable rolling with Aaron Hicks and Jordan Schafer. Nothing wrong with that, in my mind. Those two fit nicely as platoon partners and can both offer solid defense. Byron Buxton should be along shortly. @Ex_Twins_News on Twitter: MN Native Mark Hamburger has an invite to Spring Training. Does he have a shot at appearing with the big league club in '15? Hamburger is a great story, so I'm certainly hoping so. He's got a steep hill to climb though. He was unspectacular as a 27-year-old in Triple-A last year and the reliever pipeline is pretty flush in this system. @Twins_guyTJZ on Twitter: With enough internal depth at first base i.e.Vargas and Adam Brett Walker, where does Mauer fit into the Twins long-term future? Hard to say at this point whether Vargas' bat is legit. He's exceptionally strong and certainly looked the part last year, but he doesn't control the strike zone well and pitchers started to take advantage in the last few weeks. He needs to prove himself in 2015, and even then, I think he's a DH. Walker hasn't played above Single-A. Actually, the name we should be wondering about in this conversation is Sano. @Nieman1499 on Twitter: Thoughts on Lewis Thorpe? He had a great first year - Does he project as a reliever or starting pitcher? He was phenomenal at Cedar Rapids last year, blowing away opposing hitters as an 18-year-old. But his season ended on an ominous note health-wise, so it'll be interesting to see how he looks and feels in the spring. If all goes well, he has a chance to start, but Low-A is a long way from the majors. Twins Daily Member jharaldson: Ron Gardenhire was either first or second in the AL for Manager of the Year 6 times and has been linked to 0 manager jobs this offseason. Joe Maddon was either first or second in the AL for Manager of the Year 2 times and a team fired its current manager and hired him almost immediately after he came available. Why has Ron Gardenhire generated almost no interest in the MLB community? I get the sense that he's more than content taking a year off. Why wouldn't he? He's still getting paid by the Twins and has no obligation to do anything really. If I were him, I'd enjoy a summer with the family and then see how things shake out around the league. Maybe something opens up that appeals to him, or maybe a club makes an aggressive run at him. But it also bears noting that all those Manager of the Year votes are well in the past, and the last time he oversaw a winning team was five years ago. Twins Daily Member SwainZag: What's the timeline for Nick Burdi? Any chance that Sano and Buxton both start the season in Rochester? Burdi is interesting. He'll start the season at Double-A most likely, but I can't imagine he'll be there long. He could be up very quickly. He's filthy. I think both Buxton and Sano are pretty much locks to start in Chattanooga. Twins Daily Member youngpadawan: Could Gordon pull off a Buxton-esk first full season and shoot up prospect rankings? How do their first half seasons compare? You can't really expect anyone to follow in Buxton's footsteps -- he's a very rare talent. Gordon should take a step forward but it wouldn't shock me if his bat takes a while to develop, especially the power. He's still a wiry teenager. Twins Daily Member Halsey Hall: Who's the cream of the crop in the Central Division this year? The Tigers will be strong again, with or without Max Scherzer. Chicago has obviously loaded up big-time. They're probably the two front-runners, though Cleveland is sneaky good with that young rotation. I expect Kansas City to take a major step backward. Twins Daily Member Bark's Lounge: Based upon what you know about the Twins players behind the scenes (leadership, respect, preparation, etc.), if the Twins were to name a Player or Players a Captain - who do you think would get to wear the "C" on their uniforms? Brian Dozier is the first name that comes to mind. Very personable, very approachable, and an excellent example of someone who works hard and maximizes his ability. He was an eighth-round draft pick and middling minor league prospect who has turned himself into a borderline All-Star second baseman in the majors. Hard not to respect that. Twins Daily Member Tibs: What is it going to take for the Twins to win the division? I'm done with this 90 loss stuff. Win Twins! Couldn't agree more. It will take sustained high-level production from the offense, and massive improvements from the starting staff. Neither is implausible. But more than anything, it will take a soft division. The Twins need a team or two they can beat up on (that's basically always been their recipe for AL Central titles), and they'd probably need to be able finish first with a high-80s win total because 90-plus is too much to ask at this point.
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In a large sense, 2014 will go down as another year of stalled movement for the Minnesota Twins organization, characterized by more setbacks for top prospects and minimal progress in the W/L column. However, a deeper look shows that very important strides were made in a few areas the bode well going forward. Here are five developments that should have you feeling a whole lot better as we look ahead to 2015.Big Changes in the Coaching Staff For the first time in nearly three decades, the Twins fired their manager, dismissing Ron Gardenhire one day after the conclusion of the season. The move was warranted following a fourth consecutive 90-loss season. Not everyone viewed Gardenhire's internally promoted replacement, Paul Molitor, as a transformative change in direction, but by most accounts Molitor does things his own way and the look of his coaching staff will be very different. The most notable addition is pitching coach Neil Allen, a rising talent from the Rays organization with no meaningful previous ties to the Twins. A fresh perspective at the top, and a new voice for this embattled pitching staff, should at least provide a very different dynamic. J.O. Berrios' Incredible Year While the rest of the system's top prospects stagnated, sat out, or took steps backwards, Berrios saw his stock skyrocket with one of the best pitching seasons we've seen from a Twins prospect in some time. There were questions surrounding the right-hander entering this campaign, given his relatively small stature and his good-but-not-great results at Cedar Rapids in 2013, but Berrios made an emphatic statement by obliterating the Class-A Florida State League in the first half, then holding his own as the youngest hurler in the Class-AA Eastern League after a midseason promotion. He even made a critical late-season start at Triple-A... as a 20-year-old. Berrios' momentum hasn't stopped since he stopped playing in games. During the offseason, he's been on an insane workout regimen down in his native Puerto Rico, evidenced by the numerous photos and videos he has been sharing on his Twitter and Facebook pages. The difference in his physique since just September (at which point he wasn't exactly in bad shape) is noticeable: If Berrios doesn't pan out for the Twins, I think it's safe to say it won't be from a lack of effort or work ethic. The Spending Continues Last offseason, Terry Ryan went on a spending spree that was historic by this franchise's standards, handing out the two largest free agent deals in team history while committing a total of $84 million to Ricky Nolasco, Phil Hughes and Mike Pelfrey in an effort to reinforce their rotten rotation. The spend trend has only continued in 2014. First there was the in-season signing of Kendrys Morales -- a totally uncharacteristic move and a surprising one, given that the Twins really weren't shaping up as contenders at the time. Then, during this offseason, Ryan eclipsed Nolasco's record deal by inking Ervin Santana to a $54 million contract. In addition, the Twins signed Torii Hunter for $10.5 million and ponied up for a Hughes extension. In some respects, the Twins are simply riding a league-wide trend of increased spending as new revenues pour in, but it's still nice to see, and hopefully a sign of heightened aggressiveness to come, as they work back toward contention. Free Agent Success Stories Perhaps Ryan's new-found willingness to splurge on the open market has been bolstered by two free agent signings that would have to rank among the most successful this team has ever made (granted, that bar wasn't set high). Kurt Suzuki surpassed all expectations on his one-year deal, making the All-Star team and earning a two-year extension midway through the summer. Hughes, of course, might as well have been an All-Star, as he was one of the AL's best starting pitchers and finished seventh in the Cy Young voting. He also earned himself an extension even though there were two years left on his bargain deal. Rookie Rampage The Twins have sometimes been accused of promoting prospects too slowly, and leaving seemingly MLB-ready youngsters stagnating on the farm, which made it all the more encouraging to see Danny Santana and Kennys Vargas featured so heavily in 2014. Coming into the season, neither player looked like a candidate to log significant time in the majors. Santana was 22 and had played just one season in Double-A. Vargas, also 23, hadn't played above Single-A. Yet both were given chances and thrived, helping power a surprisingly strong offense. Hopefully the club will show similar willingness to let the next wave of promising young hitters make their case -- and hopefully with similar results. Click here to view the article
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Big Changes in the Coaching Staff For the first time in nearly three decades, the Twins fired their manager, dismissing Ron Gardenhire one day after the conclusion of the season. The move was warranted following a fourth consecutive 90-loss season. Not everyone viewed Gardenhire's internally promoted replacement, Paul Molitor, as a transformative change in direction, but by most accounts Molitor does things his own way and the look of his coaching staff will be very different. The most notable addition is pitching coach Neil Allen, a rising talent from the Rays organization with no meaningful previous ties to the Twins. A fresh perspective at the top, and a new voice for this embattled pitching staff, should at least provide a very different dynamic. J.O. Berrios' Incredible Year While the rest of the system's top prospects stagnated, sat out, or took steps backwards, Berrios saw his stock skyrocket with one of the best pitching seasons we've seen from a Twins prospect in some time. There were questions surrounding the right-hander entering this campaign, given his relatively small stature and his good-but-not-great results at Cedar Rapids in 2013, but Berrios made an emphatic statement by obliterating the Class-A Florida State League in the first half, then holding his own as the youngest hurler in the Class-AA Eastern League after a midseason promotion. He even made a critical late-season start at Triple-A... as a 20-year-old. Berrios' momentum hasn't stopped since he stopped playing in games. During the offseason, he's been on an insane workout regimen down in his native Puerto Rico, evidenced by the numerous photos and videos he has been sharing on his Twitter and Facebook pages. The difference in his physique since just September (at which point he wasn't exactly in bad shape) is noticeable: If Berrios doesn't pan out for the Twins, I think it's safe to say it won't be from a lack of effort or work ethic. The Spending Continues Last offseason, Terry Ryan went on a spending spree that was historic by this franchise's standards, handing out the two largest free agent deals in team history while committing a total of $84 million to Ricky Nolasco, Phil Hughes and Mike Pelfrey in an effort to reinforce their rotten rotation. The spend trend has only continued in 2014. First there was the in-season signing of Kendrys Morales -- a totally uncharacteristic move and a surprising one, given that the Twins really weren't shaping up as contenders at the time. Then, during this offseason, Ryan eclipsed Nolasco's record deal by inking Ervin Santana to a $54 million contract. In addition, the Twins signed Torii Hunter for $10.5 million and ponied up for a Hughes extension. In some respects, the Twins are simply riding a league-wide trend of increased spending as new revenues pour in, but it's still nice to see, and hopefully a sign of heightened aggressiveness to come, as they work back toward contention. Free Agent Success Stories Perhaps Ryan's new-found willingness to splurge on the open market has been bolstered by two free agent signings that would have to rank among the most successful this team has ever made (granted, that bar wasn't set high). Kurt Suzuki surpassed all expectations on his one-year deal, making the All-Star team and earning a two-year extension midway through the summer. Hughes, of course, might as well have been an All-Star, as he was one of the AL's best starting pitchers and finished seventh in the Cy Young voting. He also earned himself an extension even though there were two years left on his bargain deal. Rookie Rampage The Twins have sometimes been accused of promoting prospects too slowly, and leaving seemingly MLB-ready youngsters stagnating on the farm, which made it all the more encouraging to see Danny Santana and Kennys Vargas featured so heavily in 2014. Coming into the season, neither player looked like a candidate to log significant time in the majors. Santana was 22 and had played just one season in Double-A. Vargas, also 23, hadn't played above Single-A. Yet both were given chances and thrived, helping power a surprisingly strong offense. Hopefully the club will show similar willingness to let the next wave of promising young hitters make their case -- and hopefully with similar results.
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The Twins' signing of veteran right-hander Tim Stauffer slipped under the radar to a large degree as a fairly minor acquisition that fell amidst a holiday week. But in adding the 32-year-old, the team is ponying up a couple million in guaranteed money to address a unit that already seemed somewhat crowded. How does Stauffer fit?Stauffer's one-year, $2.2 million deal isn't significantly different from what the Twins would have given Anthony Swarzak, who was the only arbitration-eligible player they chose to non-tender. Considering the similarities between the two pitchers, this looks like a straight-up swap. Like Swarzak, Stauffer has spent time as a starter and as a reliever. And like Swarzak, he's been much better in the bullpen, where he has a 2.65 career ERA. But unlike Swarzak, Stauffer has actually had some success as a starter. In that role, the veteran has a 4.29 career ERA -- compared to 5.87 for Swarzak -- and in his most recent season as a full-time member of the rotation (2011), Stauffer put up a solid 3.73 ERA and 1.26 WHIP over 31 starts. Now, all of those numbers were accrued in the National League, with Petco Park as his home field, so the skill difference between Stauffer and Swarzak might not actually be as large as the statistical gap suggests. But the newcomer profiles as a better reliever, capable of missing more bats and filling a more impactful role in the bullpen, so he's a welcome addition. He also looks like a guy who can step in and make a good spot start in situations where the Twins need someone and don't want to make a roster move. That is a weapon that any team likes to have available somewhere in its bullpen, and it's an area where Swarzak never really proved adequate. With all the talk of improving the quality of their starting pitching depth, this may have been the key consideration for the Twins in replacing Swarzak with Stauffer. It's not a huge upgrade, but it does make the team slightly better, and getting slightly better in many different areas is a good way to move the needle in a larger sense. Click here to view the article
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Stauffer's one-year, $2.2 million deal isn't significantly different from what the Twins would have given Anthony Swarzak, who was the only arbitration-eligible player they chose to non-tender. Considering the similarities between the two pitchers, this looks like a straight-up swap. Like Swarzak, Stauffer has spent time as a starter and as a reliever. And like Swarzak, he's been much better in the bullpen, where he has a 2.65 career ERA. But unlike Swarzak, Stauffer has actually had some success as a starter. In that role, the veteran has a 4.29 career ERA -- compared to 5.87 for Swarzak -- and in his most recent season as a full-time member of the rotation (2011), Stauffer put up a solid 3.73 ERA and 1.26 WHIP over 31 starts. Now, all of those numbers were accrued in the National League, with Petco Park as his home field, so the skill difference between Stauffer and Swarzak might not actually be as large as the statistical gap suggests. But the newcomer profiles as a better reliever, capable of missing more bats and filling a more impactful role in the bullpen, so he's a welcome addition. He also looks like a guy who can step in and make a good spot start in situations where the Twins need someone and don't want to make a roster move. That is a weapon that any team likes to have available somewhere in its bullpen, and it's an area where Swarzak never really proved adequate. With all the talk of improving the quality of their starting pitching depth, this may have been the key consideration for the Twins in replacing Swarzak with Stauffer. It's not a huge upgrade, but it does make the team slightly better, and getting slightly better in many different areas is a good way to move the needle in a larger sense.
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Article: Mientkiewicz Draws Key Assignment
Nick Nelson posted a topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
It was easy enough to see coming, but the Twins made it official last week that Doug Mientkiewicz will move up and manage the club's Double-A affiliate in Chattanooga next year. The organization clearly thinks highly of Mientkiewicz, as they interviewed him multiple times for the big-league manager opening despite his lack of experience. And while he ultimately didn't come out on top of that race, he ended up with a job that might actually be more important in the short term.While Paul Molitor's slightly revamped Twins team tries to dig its way out of irrelevance and show meaningful improvement for the first time in four years, some of the most integral components to the success of this ongoing rebuilding process will be reporting to Double-A. The stakes are high, as four of the best prospects in the system -- all at critical junctures in their careers -- are expected to open the 2015 campaign in Chattanooga. Byron Buxton, the consensus No. 1 prospect in all of baseball a year ago, lost some of his luster during an injury-filled 2014 season that was all but lost. Miguel Sano underwent Tommy John surgery in the spring and hasn't played competitively since. Eddie Rosario missed half of 2014 due to a drug-related suspension and struggled after returning, derailing the considerable momentum he'd built up heading into the season. J.O. Berrios isn't stalled out like the other three -- quite the contrary -- but he has plenty to prove as an undersized starter coming off a flat-out spectacular campaign. Can the righty shut down advanced hitters and back up his newly claimed standing as the best pitching prospect in the organization (and maybe one of the best in the game)? Any one of these players is a candidate to see action at Target Field sometime next season. In April, they'll likely be joining a Lookouts roster packed with other notable prospects. If this team, and specifically a few key individuals, kick it into high gear, it would finally set in motion plans for a youth-fueled turnaround at the big-league level. One can hardly overstate the importance of Buxton, Sano, Rosario and Berrios getting off to fast starts. Mientkiewicz worked with all four while managing at Ft. Myers, and oversaw immensely successful seasons for each. It's hard to think of a better man for the task. Click here to view the article- 28 replies
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While Paul Molitor's slightly revamped Twins team tries to dig its way out of irrelevance and show meaningful improvement for the first time in four years, some of the most integral components to the success of this ongoing rebuilding process will be reporting to Double-A. The stakes are high, as four of the best prospects in the system -- all at critical junctures in their careers -- are expected to open the 2015 campaign in Chattanooga. Byron Buxton, the consensus No. 1 prospect in all of baseball a year ago, lost some of his luster during an injury-filled 2014 season that was all but lost. Miguel Sano underwent Tommy John surgery in the spring and hasn't played competitively since. Eddie Rosario missed half of 2014 due to a drug-related suspension and struggled after returning, derailing the considerable momentum he'd built up heading into the season. J.O. Berrios isn't stalled out like the other three -- quite the contrary -- but he has plenty to prove as an undersized starter coming off a flat-out spectacular campaign. Can the righty shut down advanced hitters and back up his newly claimed standing as the best pitching prospect in the organization (and maybe one of the best in the game)? Any one of these players is a candidate to see action at Target Field sometime next season. In April, they'll likely be joining a Lookouts roster packed with other notable prospects. If this team, and specifically a few key individuals, kick it into high gear, it would finally set in motion plans for a youth-fueled turnaround at the big-league level. One can hardly overstate the importance of Buxton, Sano, Rosario and Berrios getting off to fast starts. Mientkiewicz worked with all four while managing at Ft. Myers, and oversaw immensely successful seasons for each. It's hard to think of a better man for the task.
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Pressly had at least made a successful transition to pitching in relief, albeit in a short stint at Double-A, and had also pitched extremely well in the Arizona Fall League. Graham got crushed -- CRUSHED -- after moving to the bullpen last year in Double-A. I know he had some shoulder problems, but still, I can't see them giving him a bullpen spot over numerous candidates who've done a lot more to deserve it, especially when they seem to be shifting their focus more to fielding a competitive team.
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Earlier this week we put out a call on the forum and on Twitter for mailbag questions. You guys came through in a major way. So many great submissions. We've grabbed a bunch of them to feature below. Let's get to it:TD Member Boom Boom: Should the Twins look to bring in a CF, or should they stand pat with Hicks and/or Schafer? I'd be fine rolling with those two. Hopefully Paul Molitor is open to the idea of platooning, because using Hicks against lefties and Schafer against righties would maximize both their strengths. Even then, that duo might not be anything special offensively, but they'll provide solid defense at least, and Byron Buxton might only be a year away. Plus, maybe Hicks goes on a nice roll, regains confidence in swinging from both sides and turns into an everyday player. With his patience and defensive prowess, he only needs to hit a little bit to be a valuable starter. I haven't given up on him by any means. TD Member gunnarthor: Assuming there isn't a spot in the rotation for him right away, should Meyer pitch in the pen or as a starter in AAA? Bullpen. Send him on the Francisco Liriano and Johan Santana path. He can get his first taste of big-league hitters by unleashing his best stuff during short stints, then once someone inevitably gets hurt or needs to be replaced, the Twins can stretch him out and let him step in. There's a lot of benefit to keeping Meyer's innings in check early in the season, since he'll be on a workload limit once again. TD Member goulik: What type of influence do you see Hunter having on Hicks developing into the outfielder he should have become by now and also on Buxton? Has he ever been given credit with mentoring younger players or are we expecting too much from that part of this signing? Hunter has a well known rep in that department. He's been credited with helping mentor Mike Trout into the big leagues, and that's a pretty nice notch in the belt. I don't think he's going to directly affect how they play -- he can't teach Hicks to hit left-handed or Buxton to stay healthy -- but if Hunter can make a highly stressful environment a little more comfortable and manageable for them, there's value in that. TD Member Bark's Lounge: What's the deal with Ricky Nolasco? Did he hide his arm injury last season? Is he a subversive type of player? I don't put too much into his semi-controversial comment on Twitter, but when we throw all of this material into the whole enchilada, did the Twins make a grave mistake in signing him or is there still reason to believe he can be a part of the solution and we can continue to toss pennies and nickles into the Ricky Nolasco Wishing Well? There was a combination of factors at play. He was facing tougher lineups with designated hitters. He endured some bad luck, finishing with a 4.30 FIP and 3.97 xFIP that belied his bloated ERA. And yeah, he was probably pitching through some pain. He's now had a full season to acclimate to playing here, and an offseason to rest up and get himself right physically. I'm confident he'll have a much better year. If he doesn't, it'd put the Twins in a pretty tough position. TD Member jay: With the addition of a corner outfielder and a starting pitcher so far this offseason, what's the biggest remaining need? How should they address that need? To be honest, I don't see much left to cover. You could make a case for a stopgap in center field, but as mentioned above, that can be covered internally. The rotation is full and the starting lineup is set. They've got a good utility guy in Eduardo Escobar and a backup catcher in Josmil Pinto (I guess?). The bullpen might be facing a squeeze, if anything. TD Member TRex: What are the best and worst case scenarios for Mike Pelfrey this year, and what percentages would you put on each. Best case, he goes to the bullpen, ratchets up the heater and becomes a potent late-inning weapon. Worst case, he's a sub-mediocre "innings-eater" in the rotation, blocking a younger player from gaining experience. It's really hard to see how he benefits the Twins as a starter at this point. @MrNewBrighton on Twitter Not going to ask about pitching, lets talk homers. Who leads #MNTwins in home runs in 2015? How many? #IGotArciaW/33 Oswaldo Arcia would be the odds-on favorite, I think. Brian Dozier and Kennys Vargas are also candidates. But I'm going to go with Trevor Plouffe. @CreaAlex on Twitter does JR Graham stick the whole season? #TDMailbag It's more likely that they work out a trade to keep him in the minors if they like what they see. I don't know how you take a guy who hasn't pitched above Double-A, and has barely pitched in relief, and throw him in a major-league bullpen. TD Member OTwins: Terry Ryan has mentioned adding to the bullpen. Which reliever of the remaining free agents would be of interest? Or do you think they wait for a "good deal" I don't see a need to add to the bullpen from outside. They've got a good core in place with Glen Perkins, Casey Fien, Brian Duensing and Caleb Thielbar. Meyer and Pelfrey could both slot in as hard-throwing righties. Michael Tonkin, A.J. Achter, Ryan Pressly and Lester Oliveros are all prospects who pitched well in the minors and got a taste of the majors this past season. Nick Burdi should be ready very soon and might be better than any of them. I say roll with what's on hand. TD Member clutchhittin18: What is the long term plan for Pinto? With Mauer manning first base, and assuming Vargas continues to hit well, he seems to be the odd man out. And with a couple solid catchers a year or two away, do the Twins try to move him? Pinto's bat is MLB-ready, and it was a year ago, which the Twins basically acknowledged by bringing him north at the end of camp. There's no path to regular playing time for him here though. I guess they now view him as Suzuki's backup, but as an offense-oriented guy he's certainly not a prototypical No. 2 catcher for this team. I've got to think they're shopping him. @reinersandassoc on Twitter 2015 opening day lineup? I'll go with: Santana, SS Dozier, 2B Mauer, 1B Vargas, DH Hunter, RF Arcia, LF Plouffe, 3B Suzuki, C Hicks, CF Not too shabby, really. Click here to view the article
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TD Member Boom Boom: Should the Twins look to bring in a CF, or should they stand pat with Hicks and/or Schafer? I'd be fine rolling with those two. Hopefully Paul Molitor is open to the idea of platooning, because using Hicks against lefties and Schafer against righties would maximize both their strengths. Even then, that duo might not be anything special offensively, but they'll provide solid defense at least, and Byron Buxton might only be a year away. Plus, maybe Hicks goes on a nice roll, regains confidence in swinging from both sides and turns into an everyday player. With his patience and defensive prowess, he only needs to hit a little bit to be a valuable starter. I haven't given up on him by any means. TD Member gunnarthor: Assuming there isn't a spot in the rotation for him right away, should Meyer pitch in the pen or as a starter in AAA? Bullpen. Send him on the Francisco Liriano and Johan Santana path. He can get his first taste of big-league hitters by unleashing his best stuff during short stints, then once someone inevitably gets hurt or needs to be replaced, the Twins can stretch him out and let him step in. There's a lot of benefit to keeping Meyer's innings in check early in the season, since he'll be on a workload limit once again. TD Member goulik: What type of influence do you see Hunter having on Hicks developing into the outfielder he should have become by now and also on Buxton? Has he ever been given credit with mentoring younger players or are we expecting too much from that part of this signing? Hunter has a well known rep in that department. He's been credited with helping mentor Mike Trout into the big leagues, and that's a pretty nice notch in the belt. I don't think he's going to directly affect how they play -- he can't teach Hicks to hit left-handed or Buxton to stay healthy -- but if Hunter can make a highly stressful environment a little more comfortable and manageable for them, there's value in that. TD Member Bark's Lounge: What's the deal with Ricky Nolasco? Did he hide his arm injury last season? Is he a subversive type of player? I don't put too much into his semi-controversial comment on Twitter, but when we throw all of this material into the whole enchilada, did the Twins make a grave mistake in signing him or is there still reason to believe he can be a part of the solution and we can continue to toss pennies and nickles into the Ricky Nolasco Wishing Well? There was a combination of factors at play. He was facing tougher lineups with designated hitters. He endured some bad luck, finishing with a 4.30 FIP and 3.97 xFIP that belied his bloated ERA. And yeah, he was probably pitching through some pain. He's now had a full season to acclimate to playing here, and an offseason to rest up and get himself right physically. I'm confident he'll have a much better year. If he doesn't, it'd put the Twins in a pretty tough position. TD Member jay: With the addition of a corner outfielder and a starting pitcher so far this offseason, what's the biggest remaining need? How should they address that need? To be honest, I don't see much left to cover. You could make a case for a stopgap in center field, but as mentioned above, that can be covered internally. The rotation is full and the starting lineup is set. They've got a good utility guy in Eduardo Escobar and a backup catcher in Josmil Pinto (I guess?). The bullpen might be facing a squeeze, if anything. TD Member TRex: What are the best and worst case scenarios for Mike Pelfrey this year, and what percentages would you put on each. Best case, he goes to the bullpen, ratchets up the heater and becomes a potent late-inning weapon. Worst case, he's a sub-mediocre "innings-eater" in the rotation, blocking a younger player from gaining experience. It's really hard to see how he benefits the Twins as a starter at this point. @MrNewBrighton on Twitter Not going to ask about pitching, lets talk homers. Who leads #MNTwins in home runs in 2015? How many? #IGotArciaW/33 Oswaldo Arcia would be the odds-on favorite, I think. Brian Dozier and Kennys Vargas are also candidates. But I'm going to go with Trevor Plouffe. @CreaAlex on Twitter does JR Graham stick the whole season? #TDMailbag It's more likely that they work out a trade to keep him in the minors if they like what they see. I don't know how you take a guy who hasn't pitched above Double-A, and has barely pitched in relief, and throw him in a major-league bullpen. TD Member OTwins: Terry Ryan has mentioned adding to the bullpen. Which reliever of the remaining free agents would be of interest? Or do you think they wait for a "good deal" I don't see a need to add to the bullpen from outside. They've got a good core in place with Glen Perkins, Casey Fien, Brian Duensing and Caleb Thielbar. Meyer and Pelfrey could both slot in as hard-throwing righties. Michael Tonkin, A.J. Achter, Ryan Pressly and Lester Oliveros are all prospects who pitched well in the minors and got a taste of the majors this past season. Nick Burdi should be ready very soon and might be better than any of them. I say roll with what's on hand. TD Member clutchhittin18: What is the long term plan for Pinto? With Mauer manning first base, and assuming Vargas continues to hit well, he seems to be the odd man out. And with a couple solid catchers a year or two away, do the Twins try to move him? Pinto's bat is MLB-ready, and it was a year ago, which the Twins basically acknowledged by bringing him north at the end of camp. There's no path to regular playing time for him here though. I guess they now view him as Suzuki's backup, but as an offense-oriented guy he's certainly not a prototypical No. 2 catcher for this team. I've got to think they're shopping him. @reinersandassoc on Twitter 2015 opening day lineup? I'll go with: Santana, SS Dozier, 2B Mauer, 1B Vargas, DH Hunter, RF Arcia, LF Plouffe, 3B Suzuki, C Hicks, CF Not too shabby, really.
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Article: Purchasing A Rotation, And What It Means
Nick Nelson replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Is that true, though? After his rocky first three MLB outings, he issued nine walks in 37 innings over seven starts with a 66% strike rate, which is better than league average. Personally I think May should enter camp as the favorite for that fifth spot.- 157 replies
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Article: Purchasing A Rotation, And What It Means
Nick Nelson replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
OK, yeah, it's not out of the realm of possibility for the Twins to contend. But they've basically admitted that they're not planning around it, and it's not hard to see why. They've lost 90 games four years in a row and the rest of this division is pretty good right now. They'd need some wild-card type performances to get them over the hump, like maybe an Alex Meyer entering the mix and pitching lights-out. Which only furthers the idea that there needs to be space available for him.- 157 replies
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Article: Purchasing A Rotation, And What It Means
Nick Nelson replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Well, see, this is just the problem. The Twins aren't a contending team right now and the playoffs are not riding on these youngsters, which would seemingly make this the perfect opportunity to let them take their knocks and learn the ropes. Pretty difficult to argue that May or Meyer isn't ready for a chance at this point. But like I said, I'm not really sweating it. I agree with those who've said it's better to have too much depth than too little, considering how often the Twins have had to dig deep for starters in recent years, and I'm glad they're bringing in veterans who actually offer some ability outside of being able to simply throw innings (i.e. Correia).- 157 replies
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In the past two offseasons, the Twins have signed four free agent pitchers to multi-year contracts. Four! When you think about that -- relative to their past tendencies and against the backdrop of an internally facilitated rebuild -- that's kind of crazy. What motivated the club to enter into lengthy commitments with so many outside pitchers, and what does it mean for the young arms already in the organization vying for their own spots in a suddenly crowded rotation?Terry Ryan said what you'd expect after adding Ervin Santana last week: "This isn’t exactly the blueprint we had in mind, going out and signing a guy for $55 million,” Ryan said. “Jim Pohlad gave us the ability to do that, and hopefully it’ll pay off, but the ideal is to keep [prospects] coming through the system, through player development.” Who could argue with that? Compared to veterans signed on the open market, young homegrown starters are far less expensive and generally less liable to break down. The teams that reign over MLB are the ones that can consistently develop and produce those arms, like St. Louis and San Francisco. But the four-year deal for Santana, one offseason after four-year and three-year pacts with Ricky Nolasco and Phil Hughes, inhibits the ability of Minnesota's system to pay dividends. One internally developed piece, Kyle Gibson, has already staked his claim with a solid first full season. But the Twins are evidently skeptical of either him, or the prospects behind him in the pipeline, because they're leaving little flexibility to build around him in the rotation from within. Three rotation spots other than Gibson's are now essentially locked up for both 2015 and 2016. That leaves only one clear opening over the next two years for a trio of quality prospects who are all pretty close, if not beyond ready, for the big leagues. Trevor May logged 45 innings in the majors this year, and while his overall results were not good, he showed enough positive signs -- and dominated enough at Triple-A beforehand -- to deserve at least a long look next spring. Alex Meyer, the prize of the Denard Span trade, will turn 25 in January and he has already made 27 starts at Triple-A, where he led his league in strikeouts this year. It's hard to justify keeping him in the minors much longer. J.O. Berrios is not a credible contender to break camp with the Twins next year, but he'll likely start at Double-A and if his performance is anything like it was in 2014, he could be angling for a big-league promotion in the second half. Injuries and other things happen, so in reality a lot of this might take care of itself. That's why overall I'm a fan of the decision to bring in Santana. But I hope that when situations arise where it comes down to either giving a chance to a young guy who's ready, or stalling in favor of veteran mediocrity, the Twins will make the right choice. I'd like to think they will, because Ryan knows as well as anyone the value of going with your own prospects rather than splurging on free agents. But now, that money is already spent. Click here to view the article
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