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drjim

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Everything posted by drjim

  1. drjim
    Gibson might have been a stud if he hadn't had the injury problems. But reading those scouting reports I would rank Wright ahead of Gibson. One of the flags for Gibson is that there was no improvement during his time at Missouri. Gibson's fastball was a tick or two behind Wright, and the secondary pitches seem comparable, though I would prefer Wright because of the extra offering. The control/command seems to favor Gibson. The injury issues could certainly happen to Wright. Or Greene. Or any pitcher.
  2. drjim
    That scouting report would put him a tier below Wright going into the draft, not even accounting the stress fracture. And once you get hurt all bets are off.
  3. drjim
    Gibson does not presently and never had that arsenal. FWIW, Wright doesn't have it either, but could potentially get there, which would a great pitcher.
  4. drjim
    I have not seen Wright ranked lower than #2 on anyone's list. I understand seeing Greene as having the highest upside, but Wright also has significant untapped upside. He could end up with 3-4 plus pitches while also throwing mid 90s, and is working with a 2 seamer. That's a #2 with the potential to be an ace. He's behind Strasburg because he doesn't have the velocity or the hammer, and is not as high as Price because he's not a lefty, but he strikes me as pretty close to as good a starter prospect as we've seen in the past decade.
  5. drjim
    Brewers are generally considered a top 5 system. And their #8 pitcher is not better than the Twins third best. The Twins are certainly light in pitching prospects, but this greatly overstates what is happening in other systems.
  6. drjim
    Don't get cute. Pay Wright his money.
  7. drjim
    Likely a 4th of, but on pace to get some run in the bigs, could turn into more. Not very much trade value at the moment, maybe gets you a solid reliever with 1.5 years of control or a decent corner bat rental.
  8. drjim
    The Rangers would be ecstatic.
  9. drjim
    Sure, but the Twins don't have a prospect on the level of any of those mentioned in the Cards system, other than Romero. I endorse the theoretical idea, just haven't seen actual pitchers in the system to execute the strategy with.
  10. drjim
    This isn't close to true.
  11. drjim
    I think the lesson is pitchers get hurt, might as well maximize their effectiveness in the majors.
  12. drjim
    True, but the bigger issue is that very few aces even reach free agency. If they can hit on another 2-3 type that would be a great get. I don't think they are going to trade Santana now for a future ace (though they'd probably get a decent package), which was what prompted my thought that keeping him and letting him walk at the end of the contract (assuming the Twins are competing), and then replacing him with another free agent isn't the worst outcome.
  13. drjim
    They did spend on Santana, to reference the relevant example.
  14. drjim
    It does, but there will be other free agents.
  15. drjim
    I think Sickels is high on Diaz, so he'll probably stay on the tier I mentioned, and it is likely Mejia will graduate. I don't think he dings hitters (rightfully) as much for tommy john, and he is still young enough. It's only a couple of spots, but I am surprised that Javier is as low as he is, he strikes me as the most likely to sneak into top 100 lists.
  16. drjim
    Sure, but it might not be until 2019.
  17. drjim
    If the team can hang around, they should have a chance to add a DH bat, acceptable reliever and a backend starter for nothing they will regret in the future. I would still strongly consider moving Romero to the pen, perhaps as early as July, and if Gonsalves stays healthy he could make the mlb rotation by August, and have enough innings to finish the season strong. They have a couple of pieces that could provide a boost, even without a trade. And though it won't be 3 rookies at once, I do think they'll start rotating a few of the reliever through over the next several weeks, maybe 1 or 2 of them will pop. Not impossible to think Pressly might figure it out, or Hughes or Chargois can provide something back from injury. Not all of this is going to work, probably not even most of it, but it is enough to think there's no need to radically change course at the moment. Worth it to see how it plays out.
  18. drjim
    Good point. Just don't see a clear replacement. I would be a little hesitant to put three guys with no experience in the same pen, but if it is low leverage garbage innings, perhaps it doesn't make a difference.
  19. drjim
    Whether or not I'm deluding myself, which I might be, the bigger point would be there isn't anyone in the minors right now that clearly should be up right now. Maybe Melotakis and Hildenberger if you really squint, but a handful of weeksore in the minors isn't going to make or break it. Might as well try to win. I would agree Cleveland is the best team in the Central, but it's not like they're without problems, and there isn't a clear second wildcard either (assuming Houston, Yanks, Boston are looking good). Things could easily change over this stretch before the break, I accept that, but let's allow it to actually happen.
  20. drjim
    Since they are still in first place, and the division is mediocre, I would still prioritize winning right now over trying to figure out if marginal guys currently in the minors might be able to help next year.
  21. drjim
    Don't know how it compares, but they've had Wainwright, Garcia, Lynn, Wacha, Rosenthal all go down with serious injuries the last 3 years. Probably a couple more.
  22. drjim
    A lot is an overstatement, but he is the type of pitcher it might work with. It's still a development strategy with some risk. Teams don't like flipping roles, dor better or worse. Plus, he might be so good in the pen they won't move him back, which would be an outcome I would support. He is a 6'0 RH, injury history, not clear he has a good enough 3rd pitch. Put him in the pen!
  23. drjim
    The Cardinals have done it for a couple of guys, but I think this is overstating it.
  24. drjim
    They will likely keep him as a starter as long as possible. Having him pitch out of the pen the last two months before putting him back in the rotation next spring shouldn't be a huge deal, it's a development path other teams use, especially to limit innings, which he needs to do this year. I personally think he ends up in the pen, so I'd do the move quicker, but I understand wanting to give him every shot to ve a starter. What happened to May shouldn't impact this.
  25. drjim
    Barring a sell off, picks 35 and 37 will probably slot after Kirilloff. Not a great sign.
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