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drjim

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Everything posted by drjim

  1. drjim
    The assignment for the first full season is much more telling in my mind. The month or two after the draft is about getting used to a wood bat and adapting to the everyday grind of pro ball. Not a huge difference if that happens in the complex or in the mountains.
  2. drjim
    Gonsalves has a ways to go.
  3. drjim
    Seems it could have gone either way. I don't mind saving some of his bullets for later in the year and Kintzler has not been used heavily recently. And I would agree that if you are going to warm Kintzler, might as well just use him from the start.
  4. drjim
    Not sure I agree on this. How would they have added higher quality second and third level minor league depth in an offseason, without subtracting from the mlb roster.
  5. drjim
    I don't see a reason not to trust them initially. I never liked the Belisle signing and they probably should have aimed higher than Breslow, though I was intrigued by his changes enough to approve the minor league signing. While they were uninspiring in major league signings, I give them much more of a pass on how the depth had shaken out. So much of the current situation is based on what they inherited. It is so difficult to add impact depth from outside the org, unless they blew up the major league roster. Levine and Falvey, fwiw, have both commented multiple times on how much of the second tier plan for relievers had been ravaged by injuries and required the scramble. This is pretty clearly true and does seem like they had something of a plan going in. All that to say, while I am critical of the major league additions to the bullpen, I don't think that should necessarily mean they don't know how to evaluate their own internal options compared to scrap heap veterans they continue to add.
  6. drjim
    Reed really couldn't have moved much quicker. I think there is clearly something more they need to see from Melo that they didn't fast track him. I don't have a good handle on Bard, he really emerged this year after several years of injury and ineffectiveness. If he's legit I would push him fast since he's an obvious injury risk.
  7. drjim
    I would probably bump Curtiss too. Seems in the Bard and Melotakis tier. They will shake out soon.
  8. drjim
    This is where looking at numbers over thinking of the actual stuff the reliever brings to the table is a mistake. Reed has a legit two pitch mix that will play in the majors, that's where the excitement came from. Bard might be there but has even more work. Hildenberger has some deception but unlikely that works. The rest are org guys. I'm not saying ignore numbers but I think of it more as red flags at that point rather than a straight comparison that is going to mean much. Reeds numbers as a college reliever in Low A are beyond meaningless.
  9. drjim
    I wouldn't be surprised if they moved Bard pretty soon, perhaps after the Rochester all star game, or other potential promotions. Bard and Melotakis are a tick behind Reed, and Hildenberger is behind all three.
  10. drjim
    I'm more basing on the way he finished last year and the reports that were coming out of spring training this year before he got hurt. Don't think a straight look at numbers from 3 years ago tells the whole story.
  11. drjim
    Seems to me they are going with a hope for a rebound from Belisle to previous production (which is unlikely) over the small chance there is any upside in the relievers still in the minors.
  12. drjim
    Maybe. I'll grant Rosario was probably a longshot based on a 40 man issue, but they did give him a chance to flash something. Clearly wasn't ready though. And I think they are at least partially still committee to Belisle and Breslow because they just don't have other options. I would personally get rid of both and replace with Pressly and a cycle of relievers, but that's not exactly an inspiring option either, especially in light of what Busenitz has done. I would expect more of the same from the rest of the oft mentioned options. Reed strikes me as the first talented relief prospect that is both healthy and close, will be interesting to see what they do with him. He may be the one that finally cooks Breslow.
  13. drjim
    I would also think having the talent of a top 30ish prospect and getting representative time at AAA helped him succeed. That has very little to do with a development schedule for a handful of borderline relief "prospects".
  14. drjim
    But why? What is it about Busenitz that you would expect to see? And which RPs so far have you wished they held on to? There is no comparison between Busenitz and Rosario.
  15. drjim
    I would agree. Basically every relief pitcher that people are lamenting about a lack of a call up are at best in that 13th/14th pitcher range. Can be up and down for stretches, some value while they still have options, but easily replaceable. And I would have no problem with Breslow being cut. Hughes they'll probably have to wait until mid next season, give a chance to recover from TOS.
  16. drjim
    Plus they have now called up Rosario and Busenitz and it wasn't exactly inspiring. And they are probably the best of the options until Reed gets here, perhaps Melotakis.
  17. drjim
    I'd be more offended if they were actually sitting on talent. Assuming some production at AAA, Reed should be up soon.
  18. drjim
    Reading those other performances and ages really does hammer home how the Twins really are rolling with young guys at several everyday positions. Hard to call for playing young guys/rebuild and then pile on when they struggle. Still part of the process. With Rosario, Kepler, Buxton, Polanco, Sano, just going to be the ups and downs of young players.
  19. drjim
    Jake Reed is the one to watch. He's the one reliever the front office likes out of the current healthy crop. A handful of good AAA outings and he likely gets a crack.
  20. drjim
    Definitely not slower to promote. They might be lighter on talent than other farm systems though.
  21. drjim
    Even 19th in the majors is not especially close to replacement level. There seems to be a lack of imagination on how much less production there could be out of the position. Don't see it with Granite or Wade.
  22. drjim
    I would count on Rooker (or a FA) replacing him before Palka and Granite.
  23. drjim
    Gordon has a lower walk rate than even Rosario. He's also a middle infielder. If a guy can hit with a high average and play a good SS and provide some value with his legs he can stick even with minimal power. Much less likely at a corner OF. If Gordon has a low average, he is close to unplayable. Very fine line.
  24. drjim
    I'm OK with signing anyone who has ever had success. Give him 2-3 starts in AAA and see what you got.
  25. drjim
    By what measure is he replacement level? EDIT: (Should say I looked at Fangraphs, by BRef he is barely above 0, so that is an accurate statement by you) And he's the 14th LF in the majors by wRC. So he hits OK.
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