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Everything posted by drjim
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Article: Coming Soon: Starting Pitching (But How Soon?)
drjim replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Surprising move for sure. Maybe he can ambush them for a start. But I agree, not overly optimistic.- 95 replies
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- stephen gonsalves
- fernando romero
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For one thing he could have delayed signing.
- 28 replies
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- royce lewis
- shane kennedy
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For one thing he could have delayed signing.
- 28 replies
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- royce lewis
- shane kennedy
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Article: Making Zack Granite Fit
drjim replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Very Jason Tyner like if Granite gets dh reps. -
Article: Making Zack Granite Fit
drjim replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Hard to see how Granite and Rosario fit on the same roster. -
I just assume the organization encouraged him to go, and set up a plan to work around it.
- 28 replies
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- royce lewis
- shane kennedy
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For one start I would go Romero over Gonsalves. But it's going to be Gee.
- 17 replies
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- stephen gonsalves
- jonathan rodriguez
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I would say a little for sure. The hr rate has gone up, but good news is he has significantly dropped his bb rate. To me, if he maintains the low bb rate as he moves up, he's going to give up some hrs. His increase in fb% might be a small red flag too. The big takeaway is he needs a little more polish than we might think.
- 17 replies
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- stephen gonsalves
- jonathan rodriguez
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Article: Coming Soon: Starting Pitching (But How Soon?)
drjim replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Maybe nitpicking, but also important if he is going to be successful. To be clear, I like Gonsalves, think he has a legit chance to be an effective 3/4 starter for multiple years, likely by early next year. But with his profile, he should efficiently carve up AA basically every start. I would say he's about there, but I am supportive of a little conservatism here, especially because I'm skeptical he has much to add this season.- 95 replies
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- stephen gonsalves
- fernando romero
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Article: Coming Soon: Starting Pitching (But How Soon?)
drjim replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I imagine they move him with 1-2 more starts of 7ip.- 95 replies
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- stephen gonsalves
- fernando romero
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Article: Coming Soon: Starting Pitching (But How Soon?)
drjim replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Certainly not a deal breaker and it is a theory from digging into numbers rather than actual observation. Watching start to start could be telling a different story. And those are counter examples to give my theory pause (though none of them have had mlb success yet). I am thinking about Gonsalves and jis specific profile. Seems he has better command/a little lighter stuff than others cited. Relivers are a different standard to me.- 95 replies
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- stephen gonsalves
- fernando romero
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Article: Coming Soon: Starting Pitching (But How Soon?)
drjim replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
If Gonsalves doesn't make the majors but ends up in Arizona instead, he'll have enough innings built up to make it through September next year. That is the most important thing for him now.- 95 replies
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- stephen gonsalves
- fernando romero
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Article: Coming Soon: Starting Pitching (But How Soon?)
drjim replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I'm not sure he's ready for AAA. Too many 5-6 inning starts. I would want to see 3-4 more starts of at lesst 7 (with maybe 1 short start) before I move him to AAA. He has nice k/bb ratios but isn't especially economic with his pitches or perhaps not able to put away AA hitters as efficiently as he needs to. With his profile, it wouldn't fly in the bigs, especially for a team trying to compete. If the Twins fade they might give him some token starts or perhaps they get desperate enough. Otherwise probably headed to Arizona. My point on the injury is that it probably set him back too much to make his debut this year in a normal manner. Too many innings was not going to be a problem if he was healthy, he could have made it through the season.- 95 replies
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- stephen gonsalves
- fernando romero
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Hadn't seen that he cleared. Indeed we might get a little too worked up about marginal relievers on the 40 man. Still would dfa Breslow. Still can for Reed or Curtiss I suppose.
- 125 replies
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- phil hughes
- pat neshek
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Does make the Melotakis dfa even more interesting.
- 125 replies
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- phil hughes
- pat neshek
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I'm joking too. I don't really buy this injury either. It was untenable to keep him on the roster. Not sure why they went dl instead of dfa, maybe wanted to give him a "rehab" chance.
- 125 replies
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- phil hughes
- pat neshek
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Ahem, left thoracic rib cage soreness. Way more official sounding.
- 125 replies
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- phil hughes
- pat neshek
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He is. Probably should have put the man out of his misery.
- 125 replies
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- phil hughes
- pat neshek
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Twins saved you some work.
- 125 replies
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- phil hughes
- pat neshek
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Looks like Hughes up, Breslow out.
- 125 replies
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- phil hughes
- pat neshek
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Article: Coming Soon: Starting Pitching (But How Soon?)
drjim replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
The injury delayed his start and put him behind physically and probably a little performance wise. And he threw 140 innings last year, that would put him on pace for 175ish this year. Skip a start or two and he easily makes it through September. So I don't really see any benefit.- 95 replies
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- stephen gonsalves
- fernando romero
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Article: Coming Soon: Starting Pitching (But How Soon?)
drjim replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Neither the study you posted (especially) or the other research stated anything definitive about the jumps in innings. They were about other factors.- 95 replies
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- stephen gonsalves
- fernando romero
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Article: Coming Soon: Starting Pitching (But How Soon?)
drjim replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
The bigger issue is Gonsalves missed 6-7 weeks with his injury. Without that, he would already be in AAA knocking on the door. I bet they slow play him the rest of the year. His numbers back up a conservative approach at the moment, but he could push it soon with several more dominant starts in a row.- 95 replies
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- stephen gonsalves
- fernando romero
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Article: Coming Soon: Starting Pitching (But How Soon?)
drjim replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Really crazy to think they can contribute this year. I don't think putting Romero in the bullpen to end the year, partially to control innings, and then starting him in the rotation next spring is that bad of an idea. Gives him a good taste of the bigs, and then allows him to get back in the minors to work on it. The potential problem would be starting him in the bullpen next season and then trying to move him back to the rotation mid-season.- 95 replies
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- stephen gonsalves
- fernando romero
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Article: Coming Soon: Starting Pitching (But How Soon?)
drjim replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I appreciate your devotion to saying the 25% is not real and never providing anything to back it up.- 95 replies
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- stephen gonsalves
- fernando romero
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