drjim
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Everything posted by drjim
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Are you sure there is zero evidence? Doesn't give you a little pause that no team, across all spectrums of being progressive and/or statistically driven, will push significant innings increases in young pitchers? I suspect very strongly there is some information and evidence out there even if it isn't readily available in the public domain. And even if not, we will never conclusively know because no team will take that risk on a significant enough sample of young arms. So citing "no evidence" is meaningless.
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I'm not sure. The Twins would have had to know before the season that Berrios was going to blow through 2 levels and they would have been as competitive as they were. The odds of both were low, and certainly not high enough to implement a development plan that was not optimal. It wasn't until after the all star break that it seemed he would be an option. I would have given him the May start, but if he was called up no chance he would have the innings to finish the season as a starter. The alternative would have been to curtail his innings starting in July and given him a role as a 2-3 inning reliever in August and September. I probably would have done this too, but we can't pretend this is without risk or cost. Three other teams were in similar situations (young pitcher ready and team competing) and two of them, Pitt and Tampa, did the same thing as the Twins, Houston was more aggressive. I would have been a little more aggressive but I don't fault conservatism when it comes to young arms.
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Storen is perfectly fine, but I want more than a half season to say Perkins is no longer better. If the standard is merely someone "getting the job done" why not just keep Jepsen in the spot.
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That would be cold. Perkins has been better every year since 2011 until the second half last year (and Storen didn't exactly close out gangbusters). You would risk causing that sort of problem?
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There are multiple examples of similarly regarded players as Berrios being treated exactly the same. He'll be fine. Probably not quite built up enough to make it through a season from day 1, so keeping him down a little, managing his innings, makes sense.
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I would say it is unless there is multiple injuries.
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Out of curiosity, who are you referring to? You made a pretty sweeping accusation. I think when it all shakes out, no deserving player will be kept out that has no clear linkage (if not necessarily a positive test). Bagwell should be in, but he is far from a slam dunk in my opinion, and will probably get in next year anyways. I don't see many other problems.
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I agree to a point, and do think they should add another reliever, preferably a lefty, but I'm not exactly enthusiastic about a 3 year deal either, and I do think a couple of the young guys will finally emerge this year.
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That is directly pulled by speculation from Doogie Wolfson, not any actual inside information. I'm speculating that it might not be the case, though $8.8mil is a good chunk of change for a very good but probably not elite reliever. A one year commitment makes it more palatable, but the Twins also have to give up some talent. And it's not clear how motivated the Nats are to move him.
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Where Are They Now? 2011 Top-10 Prospects
drjim replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
And those two were very much injury related. -
I agree with all of this. $108mil is the number floating around, they probably have the payroll room to at least add any of the relievers mentioned and probably even a little more, and the bigger hangup right now is the 3 years, not the annual salary for Bastardo.
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I generally agree. I think the angst of the bullpen is a little overstated, but I would like to see another lefty. I would like Bastardo, but wouldn't go three years. I still think a trade is possible, and if that fails, signing one of the other guys on a one year deal strikes me as acceptable.
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Thank you for this. So much indignation about missing a couple votes and if some marginal players picked up a vote or three. Two deserving players got in and that should be celebrated. In any large group of people you are going to have some outliers, ignore them and celebrate the end result. I personally want Clemens and Bonds in, but understand why it hasn't happened. Aside from Bagwell missing, strikes me as an acceptable class. I like that it is so hard to get in, that even 4 in is a huge outlier, and Bagwell and Raines seem well positioned for next year.
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I'm not sure I would so easily compare Sanders and Obama. For starters, Obama is an extremely talented and charismatic politician, maybe the best of my lifetime. Sanders is a cranky old dude. He has policies that are attractive to politically engaged liberals and the press wants a story, but there is ultimately no there there. Two states is my over/under for Sanders. He had a nice run, brought the party his direction on a few issues, and he'll bow out graciously soon enough.
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Running Down The Hall (Of Fame)
drjim replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I've already forgiven him.- 6 replies
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- 2
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- ken griffey jr.
- jeff bagwell
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Why would the Twins do this? Sweeney didn't even play last year, and they are going to jump him into the starting lineup on day 1 over a top 1-2 prospect in baseball with 46 games and 138 PAs? I could envision a scenario where Buxton is terrible out of the gate for a couple of months and they send him down, but barring injury he is the opening day starter in CF.
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I think being constantly dinged up, lacking any sort of consistency at the plate and completely tanking at AAA last year will help contribute to that. I don't think they want to cut him, but they certainly aren't (and shouldn't be) counting on him for anything this year.
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On another thought, does it seem the 13 position players are pretty much settles going into spring training? Murphy, Suzuki Mauer, Park, Dozier, Escobar, Plouffe, Nunez, Santana Rosario, Buxton, Sano, Arcia I have thought they should add a veteran OF, but not sure who I would want him to replace, assuming none of the tendered guys are going anywhere
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He won't get regular at bats at the beginning of the season, but I predict the opportunity will present itself multiple times. Up to him if he is going to run with it.
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And not sure if it was your point or not, but I would add on that there is a possibility that if Johan had used HGH to help his recovery maybe he would have had the chance to pitch in the last couple of years. As fans I think we are worse off that he didn't (assuming he didn't, without going down that road, shoulders are tricky no matter what).
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Positioning The Twins Lineup For Success
drjim replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I think the Twins have a good mix of upside and youth, with some depth, and possibilities for rebounds that could/should cancel out some expected regression. Great lineup seems a stretch, but it should be pretty solid. To me, and it is not especially controversial, but Buxton is such a massive x factor. I think the Twins have a very solid lineup if he puts up his Steamer line 258/309/398, which I find a little optimistic. I would probably bank on more of a 245/290/375, which is not great, but acceptable for an elite d/speed guy batting low in the order. What makes him an x factor, though, is if he can put it together much quicker than expected, puts up something like a 280/335/490 (aka something slightly worse than Correa put up) or even higher. Combine that with a decent Park and a slight rebound from Mauer and you would have a really good order, maybe even great. -
While I don't want Chapman specifically, I disagree with this reasoning. I understood (and advocated) patience until this year, now the team is on the cusp and they should be willing to add talent at all times, so long as they aren't giving up their best handful of prospects for one year rentals. They could have easily matched what the Yankees gave up without it harming their long term competitiveness, and if anything it would have helped bridge the gap as some of the younger guys continue to emerge. By all means they should go after someone in a similar situation as Chapman (contract wise and somewhat close in performance, not off the field) - though admittedly I don't know who that is at the moment.
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Positioning The Twins Lineup For Success
drjim replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I would guess Buxton starts out hitting 9th too. My opening day guess: Rosario Dozier Mauer Sano Park Plouffe Escobar Murphy Buxton -
Agree with all of this, but character issue is why he is available for this little (and I wouldn't go for him). But yes, I would absolutely trade some of our non-elite prospects for even a one year guy this year.
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You think it is "fair" now? I'd rather put it more out in the open, take advantage of medical advances, give people a chance to maximize their earnings and injury recovery. Much more preferable than the shadowy way it is currently conducted, where people who are best funded have the most access and ability to cover up usage, and primarily poorer players from the Dominican get popped due to negligence of trainers.
