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drjim

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Everything posted by drjim

  1. drjim
    If you want to be really controversial, you could say that Fernando Abad was a fluky hr rate (compared to the previous 2 seasons) of being about the same pitcher as Bastardo. A little lower k rate balanced by a lower bb rate. And I don't necessarily buy the reverse split for Abad, seems more flukey (hr rate) than reality. I still would like to see another reliever acquired. Terry Ryan keeps dropping enough hints to make me think there is a decent chance it will happen.
  2. drjim
    There is some truth though, and it does need to be acknowledged. Increasing immigration contributes to stagnation of wages, as does decreasing the supply of low skilled jobs by moving those jobs overseas. There certainly is many factors that is causing the economic uncertainty, but immigration is absolutely a part of it. And since they are close and tangible (and look different) they unfortunately bear the brunt of the blowback. I personally think immigration is worth it and should be supported, but with that support it also has to acknowledged that there is economic consequence for people who live here, especially for blue collar and non college-educated workers. And we also need to acknowledge that neither party has done a whole lot to address these economic consequences for these workers, and don't seem to be doing much better this cycle, which is why someone like Trump has such sustained support. And even when (if) Trump is eventually defeated this election cycle, this isn't going away.
  3. drjim
    Oh, I agree.
  4. drjim
    Killing unions and increasing immigration is great for ownership. Improves the bottom line.
  5. drjim
    Immigrants certainly contribute to the stagnation of wages for blue collar/non-college educated workers. There is obviously much more to it, but it is an easy scapegoat that has the benefit of being partially true. And it flows to people thinking that they are already being squeezed by taxes and more public money is being funneled to immigrants and refugees. The extent is being exaggerated but there is still some truth to that as well. I guess if I was a blue collar worker, realizing that my wages had been relatively stagnant for 30 years, facing uncertain health care costs, rising college costs for my children, an uncertain job market going forward - I wouldn't be especially enthusiastic for more immigrants and/or refugees coming in. It is fine to call out xenophobia and fear, but it is also helpful to acknowledge the truth that drives these feelings. Not sure there is an easy solution.
  6. drjim
    There is certainly xenophobia, and Trump clearly provides the best outlet for it. No explanation is going to fully explain the complete support for any candidate, but I also think he has tapped into a general sense of insecurity felt by many people in the country over a wide range of issues, from foreign affairs, economic insecurity, rising prices in critical things (health care, college), and the shifting racial demographics of the country as a whole - it probably all combines and it is nice when there is an outlet to unapologetically focus these emotions. That's my theory anyways, combined with the complete failure of both parties to do basically anything to address especially the economic insecurity that is quite legitimate.
  7. drjim
    Longer than that. And I suspect it was more than numbers that kept him down.
  8. drjim
    Which is a fair point, and certain states have unique taxes for professional athletes, who actually pay income taxes in the state they play specific games in, so who knows how it all washes out. But Minnesota does have a higher base rate than New York for highest earners. Not sure how city slices that up depending on how they tax players and where he would actually live.
  9. drjim
    Nope. Higher top rate in Minnesota. Probably a difference in cost of living though.
  10. drjim
    Not really, he got the PAs he deserved on merit. I really like Arcia, want him to do well and think he could contribute mightily, but his season was a self-inflicted train wreck.
  11. drjim
    I would have done that deal, but if I was Bastardo I would have chosen the Mets over the Twins if the deals were the same.
  12. drjim
    If you are right on Bush that would radically change this race. Or at least the media perception of it.
  13. drjim
    So, using rate stats over wildly varied sample sizes of plate appearances again. Arcia didn't get demoted to AAA for giggles, he was hurt (per usual) and was ticketed for a brief rehab that, based on his performance, needed to be extended. Unfortunately it was the whole year. Those are incredibly lame excuses being offered on his behalf.
  14. drjim
    It's the fans. Twins FO is planning on rolling with him, even if they are (wisely) downplaying it in the offseason.
  15. drjim
    I do think we'll see that on occasion, but won't be plan a out of camp.
  16. drjim
    Sure, but it was almost 3 months (counting DL time). I think only one catcher is preferable to no CFs.
  17. drjim
    http://www.1500espn.com/twins-2/2016/01/wetmore-projected-opening-day-25-man-roster-for-2016-twins/ He doesn't think Buxton is guaranteed a spot, but has him in there. Actually matches my personal thoughts at this moment 25 for 25. Bullpen strikes me as the most likely to change. Click on the link for some extra commentary. Santana Hughes Gibson Duffey Milone Perkins Jepsen May Fien Tonkin Nolasco Abad Suzuki Mauer Dozier Escobar Plouffe Rosario Buxton Sano Park Murphy Santana Nunez Arcia
  18. drjim
    I don't get the lack of confidence in Buxton starting the season in CF. It would take an injury or a terrible spring slump to keep him from breaking camp with the Twins. Twins wouldn't have traded Hicks if they had doubts. I generally think that barring injury the everyday roster is pretty close to locked in.
  19. drjim
    Unusually good in state talent this year that pretty much all stayed.
  20. drjim
    I don't, but by the standards of sociology I could certainly whip some up right quick.
  21. drjim
    I think "authoritarian" is a very loaded phrase meant for a certain reaction. I think there are other, less menacing words that would describe the same type of individuals. I am especially biased though, just never been a big fan of academic discipline of sociology and the way that it collects data and comes to conclusions.
  22. drjim
    I see "authoritarian" as way too loaded sociological nonsense. Here is the best thing I have read on Trump to date: http://theweek.com/articles/599577/how-obscure-adviser-pat-buchanan-predicted-wild-trump-campaign-1996 I have absolutely no love for Trump, but I am more sympathetic towards his supporters by the day. A generation (moving on two and three) of a substantial subset in our country that has been continually screwed by the political elite.
  23. drjim
    I also suspect that if you took out the teams that are clearly rebuilding (and would thus be in the bottom 67 percent for payroll) that would eliminate all the difference. I personally think the worst scenario a team can be in is to lock good money into players who are just good enough not to get dfa'ed - like 3 years for a decent but not great reliever.
  24. drjim
    Sorry, just repeated your first paragraph. I would be absolutely stunned at a strike/lock out. There is some things to negotiate and change, but nothing that is so huge that it is worth risking the massive revenues in the game right now.
  25. drjim
    I think it ends up 26/42, no inactives, maybe some September tweaking. Will be interesting to see what gets traded for the extra roster spots.
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