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drjim

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Everything posted by drjim

  1. drjim
    Not in that few of innings, and especially not when projecting effectiveness going forward. And especially not for relievers.
  2. drjim
    Clearly that's the floor. Jay should break camp in the bigs as the 8th inning guy setting up Chargois.
  3. drjim
    What does this even mean? I recommend this interview with Perkins for some player perspective on why constantly shifting roles doesn't work over the long haul of a season. https://soundcloud.com/ringermlbshow/ep-55-a-stat-savvy-closer-with-glen-perkins
  4. drjim
    I used to think I was too high on prospects and young players.
  5. drjim
    ERA is much less important than say k/9 and k/bb. The alternatives right now are Pressly and Rogers bridging to Kintzler, not Berlisle and Breslow. I would take Pressly and Rogers way, way ahead of Chargois right now. I endorse Chargois making the opening day roster as the last reliever (non long-man) and giving him opportunities to prove himself. If he does well, increase his role. But throwing him into the 8th inning now is setting him up for failure and potentially sinking the season before it begins, and for nothing gained.
  6. drjim
    Breslow seems like a good bridge to Jay in this scenario.
  7. drjim
    Based on what? He was ok down the stretch last year but hasn't exactly lit it up this spring. Why the hurry to put players in significant roles they've done nothing to earn?
  8. drjim
    I haven't looked at the bracket since the Nova game, I assumed all was going well.
  9. drjim
    I thought that was Dozier driving.
  10. drjim
    They still might clean house. I think that is a very difficult thing to pull off in an offseason. There might be some talent in the front office too that needed to be resourced or empowered. There is wisdom in hanging back for a stretch, evaluate what you have, and then make changes. I suspect some of the moves will start trickling out throughout the season.
  11. drjim
    He has also gotten hurt the last two years. And he's still not close in 2018 to what you want in a starter. A whole lot of things would have to go right for him to make it, they are making a cold rational decision.
  12. drjim
    None of this has anything to do with the other. And citing rookies is arbitrary. They'll have at least 6 everyday guys with less than 2 full years, likely 1 starter with less than a year (possibly even a rookie!), and a couple young relievers too (maybe even another rookie!). Very young team.
  13. drjim
    At this point it would be very difficult for him to handle a full season in 2018, probably not even 2019.
  14. drjim
    The more I think about it the more the move probably makes sense to me. With his shortened season, it is realistically going to take until 2019, and probably 2020, before he can be built up to handle an entire season's workload as a starter. And that's assuming that everything going forward goes on without a significant hiccup (which is unlikely over 2 years). Contra some others, I don't mind the strategy of drafting college relievers and trying to turn them into starters if they have multiple pitches and the right frame (such as Duffey). But that has to be done for people taken after the 3rd round at the earliest. The #6 pick is just way too high risk and way too much lost value to be messing around with this with. Do think if he stays healthy good chance we'll see him later this year. Not a wasted pick, but a huge blunder overall.
  15. drjim
    Seems I missed a riveting thread.
  16. drjim
    I'm not exactly sure how anyone could feel *good* about the current options.
  17. drjim
    So Norris started the year in the rotation, got kicked to long man, and then made spot starts later. Richard was a bullpen piece that had to change orgs to start. Wood was a reliever from day 1 in 2016. In 2015 he started the season in the rotation and was bounced to the pen in May (did make 2 starts in Sept). Your examples pretty explicitly argue against the strategy you want to start the season employing.
  18. drjim
    Slegers wasn't a first round pick and Wimmers got hurt. Perkins is an acceptable outcome where he was picked. You should definitely want more out of a #6 pick, even if Jay becomes a dominant reliever. And there was clear alternatives at the time.
  19. drjim
    All for nothing.
  20. drjim
    Yes, that certainly makes the Jay pick a disaster, especially considering who went in the picks right after him.
  21. drjim
    Don't look too long. The strategy as described doesn't exist. What it gains in innovation it loses in being a bad idea.
  22. drjim
    Just to clarify, you want to put veteran starters into roles that haven't done in years and cut out much of the rotation and reliever depth from AAA in the process just to make sure you get guys who have proven nothing in the majors into the rotation on opening day? And if they don't perform or they have injuries, the plan is to bring those veterans back from the pen and insert them into the rotation while they have not been properly stretched out? Again, just to get two guys who have proven nothing into the rotation on opening day?
  23. drjim
    I'll let Bird handle that. I would not want to seem that absolute. But I would say track record and experience would be a part of "merit" for me.
  24. drjim
    Voters aren't that stupid either. Most of Obamacare didn't come into effect until after the midterms and it still didn't stop the Dem massacre.
  25. drjim
    Counterpoint: Elections in our country always go in cycles. It is much easier to rally against the President than it is to support. If Trump is not on the ballot, you may see enough of his core supporters stay home, while disgusted Republicans on the margins defect, to flip both the House and Senate. Trump's approval rating is still quite low, which correlates with midterms more than anything, and that will absolutely bleed into governor and state legislatures. Of course this would require a somewhat strategic effort from the Dems.
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