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drjim

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Everything posted by drjim

  1. I do think a young player should have to beat out an older/established player. That just mirrors the reality of most other industries. This isn't "rigged". Beyond that, a big part of the disconnect is that if a player is established it is very easy to point out and hammer on their weaknesses, while on the flip side with a younger player it is very easy to dream on what they might be, even if (or perhaps especially because) they have never done anything in majors to prove that reality. I want young players to succeed and take positions, I really do. But I don't understand the hurry to give them spots on the roster they haven't done anything to earn. Or the thinking of "let's just put out there and they'll be fine." The big leagues is hard. Doubly so if players are put in a position that does not maximize their ability to succeed.
  2. FWIW I would go: Dozier Mauer Buxton Sano Kepler Vargas/Park Rosario Castro Polanco
  3. I think there's a decent chance everything you said in this post is backwards. I guess we'll see.
  4. Does anyone here, ever, lay any accountability at the feet of the young player? Or are their failures always the fault of coaching and management?
  5. It's true, not being a good pitcher all spring doomed Chargois. Your second point is a little more complex. It's not just the Twins who do that. There are issues of maintaining starting pitching depth, putting young pitchers in a position to succeed and trying to avoid shuttling them back and forth. I suspect that when Berrios is on the major league roster they want him there for good, not as a trial run. They are probably a little less concerned about Mejia and Duffey.
  6. Much more likely they keep Haley as the long man for all the reasons you mention. It will be Mejia or Duffey in the 5 spot and the other starting in AAA. Duffey has had a nice recovery this spring. I feared his starting days were over after last season.
  7. Yes, Chargois was certainly a "surprise" demotion. The spot was there for him and he blew it. Hopefully just a hiccup and not a harbinger of things to come in his career.
  8. http://s2.quickmeme.com/img/e9/e965339ef2f7ec69cd723354f029a41d30c64e75d91374cb6f7900631386feaa.jpgHave you read the posts on this thread? That was extremely restrained.
  9. I agree, he should be back up relatively quickly, but I'd pump the brakes on the other two points.
  10. This is interesting analysis. None of those players are all that similar. And I can't really wrap my head around what would make Margot a safer player than Buxton.
  11. You mean other than about half the roster? Even the greatest farm system isn't going to fill out significantly more than that.
  12. If the youth is going to perform like he did, probably better that they don't add it. His spring is a huge disappointment. The spot was right there and he coughed it up.
  13. And Chargois is optioned. He can work on his closing in Rochester.
  14. It still amazes me that these clowns are running the country. If the potential foreign policy consequences weren't so great, it would actually be quite enjoyable to watch this go down. They complained for 7 years about Obamacare (which has obviously flaws) and the best they can come up with is this tire fire. What a joke.
  15. I really hope the failure to add a good bullpen arm or two doesn't burn them. They were sitting right there on the free agent market waiting to get snatched up.
  16. Most of the models have them in the 75-77 range, which really is not that far away from being in the playoff hunt. Doubly so if the rotation stabilizes a little better than expected.
  17. I said hope, what more do you want from me? I'm actually somewhat optimistic with Buxton. While none of his injuries are good, they have generally been impact injuries which need not be as chronic as soft tissue injuries. As he gets older and more mature I think he'll play under a little more control and a little less recklessly.
  18. My comp is more Eric Davis, but with elite rather than medicore d in cf and hopefully a little healthier.
  19. Really high. All-time elite d in center and wRCs in the 120-130s, possibly higher for a couple seasons. Total WAR is not all that interesting to me, much more interested in peaks. EDIT: I'll revise the wRCs down slightly.
  20. I'm a Buxton kool aid drinker, I see Cameron as his (non-catastrophic injury edition) floor. I see Buxton with multiple 7-8 WAR seasons. Cameron never got above 5.5.
  21. Johan pitch split came to mind too, but he had elite command and an elite changeup, so I thought it was an unfair comparison. Your deeper dive does give some hope for Duffey that if he can tighten up his fastball command he could absolutely be an effective mid-rotation starter. The reverse split surprises me, I would like to see a larger sample.
  22. He should be at least mediocre in the field. He was a positive defender in both 14 and 15 - he couldn't have collapsed *that* badly in one year.
  23. I wonder if starters relying heavily on 2 pitches (~90%) is somewhat common. As you said, it can be successful with great command, but there still has to be the threat of a 3rd pitch. Santana needs a change to be able to combat lefties. The issue with a fastball/breaking ball combo is it creates problems against opposite side hitters. If Duffey is going to be a successful starter over the long run, he needs the threat of a third pitch against lefties. A slow and harder curveball (assuming command) would be very effective against righties.
  24. I don't see why a borderline 40 man arm would be attractive for the Twins. If they could get a legit lower level pitching prospect I would consider it, but otherwise, just see if Grossman can build on last year. Another half season of that and the Twins can probably get something much better in return. If he falls off, not a whole lot lost if a Pat Light type return is the alternative.
  25. Is it certain he would have been drafted that high at that point? Or was it speculation based on expected improvement over the next couple of season?
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