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Johnny Ringo

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Everything posted by Johnny Ringo

  1. The Twins Daily faithful are a family; a really big, ugly, dysfunctional family. But can we take a moment and pause, spiritually clink glasses and cheers to "Man, that was a gooooood one." ?
  2. Pagan should leave for Vegas tonight. Eventually, that lucky horseshoe will fall out of his pocket. His 1.46 WHIP is not particularly inspiring as to future expectations. Sooner or later, the luck (and the bad teams) run out.
  3. Most cocktail parties are fun an hour in. By midnight, they can be magical or turn ugly. They need to figure out first base. Sano seems utterly lost. His move to the "IL" was predictable. The only thing really injured is his OPS. I am an Arraez fan but he is not a corner infielder on a championship team. He is a great bat, tons of watch but is a minus defender everywhere. DH him. Use him off the bench. Promoting Miranda to third and moving Gio to first intrigues me. Gio is certainly athletic enough to be a better defensive alternative than Sano or Luis. Miranda/Gio has to be accretive to Gio/Arraez or Arraez/Sano. But in any case, lets enjoy this!! As the poet Crash Davis said about a winning streak, "they don't happen very often." Ps. Good post Doc.
  4. Is he the best? Who knows? That's the kind of unanswerable question that just makes windbags like Stephen A. and Skip Bayless bloviate and rich. The moment could pass. Injuries follow him like they are tied to the back of his car. He sure is great though. Like franchise and generationally great. The world is cruel. The world is harsh. Let's just soak this in and really enjoy it while it lasts. Let's hope Buck is enjoying it too.
  5. I live out of market and I watch a lot of baseball through the MLB app. If you have a smart TV, it can be watched right on your screen. Sign up to support the Major League Baseball Alumni Association for $25 and you can get the app for half price. Great cause; great price. I am sure Dick is a nice man. But the more I watch out-of-town ball, the less I appreciate our broadcasters. The allure of Gladden is just inexplicable to me. He is arrogant, pedantic and constantly contradicts himself in his criticisms. To me, he is the reason the mute button was invented.. I had to turn off Dick last year and have only periodically returned. Through the app you have the option of listening to the opposing team's feed. His nonstop excuses for the Twins 2021 train wreck were just relentless. This just in Dick; other teams have to contend with COVID, injuries and weather too. You don't have to be a bummer but the dog-ate-my-homework torrent is just unnecessary and insulting. To put it politely, Morneau (I can't take any silences!!) and Smiley are both a work-in-progress. For my money, the Mets and Boston broadcast teams are the best. I guess this is unsurprising given their organizational commitment to excellence. Ron Darling is really a gem; brilliant in his knowledge and style but truly likeable too. He works terrifically with play-by-play guy Gary Cohen (no relation). The game is beautiful and can be told poetically. But sadly as Twins fans, we need to settle for the town crier. "All is well, people!! All is well!!"
  6. According to Bonnes' boss Gleeman ; all replacement players would yield low 50s wins in a season per the sims.
  7. I think it is entirely possible that the FO had no intention of contending in 2022 (they didn't sign a legitimate free agent pitcher, they didn't fix the bullpen, traded Donaldson in a salary dump and got weaker at third and catcher in the process) but then Correa literally fell into their lap. They got back on the "next year" track by trading Rogers to get younger and cheaper. The Correa signing confused fans and maybe confused the FO a little too. Inking him is hard to criticize though because, in the worst case, they may feel he represents value for $17.5 million (his salary for half a year) in the form of trade value and optionality if lightning somehow struck Of course, they could never cop to not contending as their tickets sales have been shakier than the lead singer in a rhumba band. Four dollar gas and chicken for millionaires only isn't going to shore that up either.
  8. A solution would be to cut Sano, call up Miranda (somewhat struggling so far in St. Paul) and play Gio at first. Gio doesn't really have history there but I can't imagine he is a worse defensive option. But as fans, we really don't know the story behind the scenes. Does Miguel work hard? Does he care? Those attributes can lift players out of slumps. I don't have that insight. But those are important considerations in evaluating marginal players and sadly, that is what Miguel has become. For years on these pages, people said " Sure cut him and watch him become the next Ortiz." I don't know much, but I do know that is no longer a risk.
  9. Boy, the saber guys need to go back and recalc Paul's WAR stats in those years because they are off by 25 games.
  10. The Twins were 216-270 in the Molitor years and the game is entirely different now in how it is understood and played.
  11. There is a real reason Luis is a fan favorite. He is joyful and invigorating. He gives a professional at-bat in every plate appearance. He is an exceptional hitter against righties and is competent against lefties. But, despite neutral saber stats, he is a minus defender everywhere. In last night's game, he looked like he was plucked from the crowd to play third. This is not recency bias. If you take off the glasses of well-deserved fan bias, this has always been present. If you shot Rocco full of truth serum, I am sure he would agree. He has bad knees. He does not hit for enough power to be a full-time DH. Last year was by far his biggest sample size and he posted a .733 OPS which is about the league average. (Cruz put up a .907 OPS stat line for the Twins last year.) So, he presents a quandary. I love the guy but how to use him is one of Rocco's many challenges. I have often thought he might represent interesting trade bait to one of several tanking teams who are looking for cheaper players that can sell some tickets. That smile is a ticket promotion in itself.
  12. This can be a short convo. Low risk, likely low reward. If anyone wants to know how Tampa miraculously competes every year; start with the Chris Archer case study.
  13. Look at the bright side. If someone in the FO has a couple too many, they now have a ride option home for the few months. Too soon?
  14. We can't seem to beat the Yankees on the field but we just beat them like a rented mule here. Almost surely Correa will opt out next year but who cares? This game is year to year as we all know. This is an audacious and great move by Falvine. I said in an early post, we should wait to judge the FO once the dust had settled. I think the dust is still swirling a bit
  15. I wish Rortvedt all good luck but he reminds me of a girl we never paid much attention to until she started dating a friend of ours. Now he is filled with mystical qualities and intrigue. Godoy seems likes Sanchez buyer's remorse. Sanchez is a "catcher" like I am "golfer". If he is flippable, I would flip. The sensical thing, of course, is to put Kirilloff at first (a big upgrade over Sano defensively) and put Sano at DH (a big upgrade over Sanchez). Pairing Sanchez with a young pitching staff is like pairing Charlie Sheen with your car keys.
  16. The Josh Donaldson bashing is maddening. He was/is EXACTLY the player the FO thought they were getting. Twins fans always berate players over money. Half of the posts on TD historically have been about the alleged criminality of Joe Mauer. (Don't let facts destroy a good narrative; Joe was underpaid for his career given his WAR). I am sure all of them, given the opportunity, would turn down the money or give it to charity. Was Donaldson a little prickly? Yes. Well, I got news for all of you sitting around the campfire. A lot of great players are great players because something burns within them and they can't or don't choose to subjugate that.
  17. Even if you sign Story, the Yankees trade is torturously bad. You have gotten worse at both positions and all you have done is save money. I guess the best thing you can resolve is to wait under the dust settles and view the remodeling effort in its totality.
  18. It feels like two guys are in the cockpit and they keep wrestling the controls away from one another. If I could say only one thing to Falvey it would be "with 12 team playoffs and residing in the worst division in baseball, there is no reason not to try to compete in 2022."
  19. This is a disappointing trade. Not awful in isolation, but discouraging for what it portends. The only reason to do this versus signing Simmons or Iglesias is to save money. They all are a bit different but they are, mas o menos, the same player. The signing of Gray does nothing to change my POV. I am not an ownership basher. I think the Pohlads are perfectly fine owners. They will not dip into their pocket to fund the team like the Mets' Cohen, but neither do they live off the league feedbag like the Orioles or Guardians. But with the expanded playoffs and residing in the worst division in baseball, to spend just a bit more than comfort seems to be what an owner as a fan would do. All the quality free agent SP are gone. That leaves only trades. I would rather have Garver and a few less dollars when I went shopping. As an aside- why do people bash Donaldson on this site? He is exactly the player the Twins expected when they signed him.
  20. "Shortstop" prospects are often not really shortstops. Youth baseball favors putting toolsy players there who are simply the best athlete on the team. That skillset often doesn't translate into the majors. I think that is clearly the case with Gordon and I like Nick. His attitude seems to be of All-Star caliber if his game is not. With Lewis and the others, we simply do not know their real viability at the position. COVID and injuries have certainly obscured any conclusions. The Twins' problem at shortstop is just a part though of the club's poor drafting and development challenges more broadly. For instance, our track record of producing home-grown pitchers is just flatly bad. The current crop is promising, but on that too, we shall see.
  21. On a $150mm contract playing in MN costs a FA $7.5 mm versus Florida, Seattle or Texas. That is 150 times a 10% marginal tax rate divided by half the games. That assumes marginal tax rates are steady throughout the contract which may be a gutsy call. The DFL wants them higher. It is a freckle more expensive tax-wise in NY versus MN. The FA can also earn substantial endorsement monies on a state income free basis which can be worth a great deal more. It ain't, as they say, nothing. Having lived in both, NY does not have sameish weather to Minnesota. Like many Midwestern held beliefs about New York, that is simply not true.
  22. If one wanted to view this question dispassionately and not through the lens of fandom, they would conclude that Minnesota is a bottom 10, perhaps even a bottom 5 destination for free agents. Bad weather, bad taxes, a track record of dealing players when they approach market rates and 30 years of playoff irrelevancy are all negatives individually and collectively they cast an ominous repellent. Minnesota can only compete where they flatly outspend the field (Donaldson, Cruz). That's why judging the front office is so difficult. In team construction, they can't think in terms of who they want but who they can get. Did they inherit this problem? Yes. Did they perpetuate it. Yes. So the analysis of that conundrum and its attribution really is central in evaluating Falvey and Levine.
  23. I love the Twins, but the FO doesn't love us back much. Does all of this noodling feel a little like desperation? The Pohlads, for all the grief they get (some deserved, some not) were good to their people during COVID. It feels like they are in the mode to get some of their money back. I know many will chuckle or spit-up at that statement. There is nothing to indicate they will open their wallet for Story. A slew of really good shortstops signed, by modern standards, at reasonable prices prior to the lock-out. You didn't hear a peep that the Twins were in the hunt for any of them. The Astros don't seem particularly budget conscious. I'm sure Odo is available at a price, but it will be one undoubtedly rich in prospect terms.
  24. Golly. You would have him for 1 year (2023) after his TJ recovery before he becomes a free agent. With the Berrios episode, the Twins have demonstrated their lack of appetite for market-based SP contracts. So what are you going to give up for that one questionable year? Now for the bad news; the Tampa Bay FO has proven to be far better than ours. That is not really even an opinion. That is pretty close to a closed-case fact. They have done way more with way less. So almost by definition, if you could strike a deal with them; you have paid too much. As long as I am taking the punch bowl away, there is a better chance that Aaron Rodgers signs with the Twins than Zack Greinke. He's a gazillionaire. Do you really think his coda will be giving free tips to eager youngsters while smiling his way through a 65 win season in freezing weather? The Hallmark Channel called. The script has been rejected. Way too syrupy. It tested poorly even with the ladies in the nursing home.
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