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Thrylos

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Everything posted by Thrylos

  1. Thrylos
    Dumpster Diving and Spendtrifting, both TR trademarks, are a big crap shoot. If you are going for quantity vs. quality, that's what you get. The Twins should go after two top 20 pitchers. They have not done that since MacPhail.
  2. Thrylos
    I'd love to hear the name of the last team that made it to the World Series without an impact pitcher (or 2.) If the goal is to snick in the post-season as a wild card and go belly up again, nope, they do not need to add an impact pitcher...
  3. Thrylos
    Houston in 2012 started a certain 21 year old who hit .276/.297/.357 with 2 HR in 234 PAs. This guy will likely be the 2017 AL MVP. Rebuilding teams do not care about the present, they care about the future, and Diaz likely (need to look at the list) will have the highest potential among the available first basemen. No competitive team will pick him, but there are the Marlins and Reds and Pardes of the world out there...
  4. Thrylos
    Re: Navaretto: Unless he can hit his way out of a paper bag (.550 OPS this season), he does not belong to this discussion. Rainis Silva should be on the bubble, since a. he is better as a catcher and b. seems to have learned how to hit his way out of a paper back last season.
  5. Thrylos
    Nope. Any player on the 40-man roster can be placed on the 60-day DL to open a spot on that roster. He does not have to be on the 25-man (active) roster. As far as MiLB goes, there is only a 7-day DL and people just go there for as many days (or seasons) they need.
  6. Thrylos
    I would agree with the 3 of the 4 locks, but Jake Reed is the worst of the 3 relievers that need to be protected. If I were to protect a reliever, it would be Burdi Numbers: Jake Reed (AAA): 30-2/3 IP, 3.40 FIP, 4.14 xFIP, 3.4% HR/FB, 84.3% LOB, 1.14 WHIP/.281 BABIP, 20.7 K%, 11.6 K-BB% Nick Burdi (AA): 17 IP, 2.23 FIP, 2.22 xFIP, 7.7 HR/FB, 100% LOB, 0.76 WHIP/.222 BABIP, 32.8 K%, 26.2 K-BB% Luke Bard (AA): 52-1/3 IP, 2.56 FIP, 2.50 xFIP, 8 HR/FB, 85% LOB, 1.34 WHIP/.380 BABIP, 34.2 K%, 29.8 K-BB% For comparison purposes: John Curtiss (AAA) 24-1/3 IP, 1.86 FIP, 2.92 xFIP, 0% HR/FB, 76.2 LOB%, 0.86 WHIP/.212 BABIP, 34.7 K%, 24.2 K-BB% Trevor Hildenberger (AAA) 30-2/3 IP, 2.36 FIP, 2.86 xFIP, 4.3 HR/FB, 83.8% LOB, 1.14 WHIP/.321 BABIP, 27.8 K%, 21.4 K-BB% Alan Busenitz (AAA) 35-1/3 IP, 2.15 FIP, 3.22 xFIP, 0% HR/FB, 77.4% LOB, 0.82 WHIP/ .235 BABIP, 29.6 K%, 22 K-BB% I think that the Twins, for once, will have to trade players who cannot protect before they go away. I'd rather see what Thorpe, Stewart, Reed, and Bard would bring on the trade market, before I let them go. Would a rebuilding that is going under severe cost cutting be willing to make a deal around some of them?
  7. Thrylos
    So, if that stands true for Gibson, why should not apply to Buxton?
  8. Thrylos
    I think that May could be a wild-card that may get the Twins over the top, if he returns to his previous self; however, the Twins will be better of if their front office is not living on a prayer, but starts planning without May. Little dirty secret about one of the worst rotation in the majors: Their "Ace" will almost certainly regress next season, based on his 4.46 FIP, 4.77 xFIP, & .245 BABIP. This pitching rotation to be competitive in the post-season will need 2 pitchers better than Berrios, and Santana is not one. If that means giving Santana up in a package to get one of, let it be. If May proves to be a lottery ticket and Gibson continues building on his second half (3.76 ERA, 3.71 FIP, 3.63 xFIP, 1.28 WHIP/.319 BABIP, 8.2 K/9, 3.2 K/BB), that would be amazing. But makes zero sense to plan on it. That's like planning on Hughes coming back and repeating his 2014 numbers next season...
  9. Thrylos
    Way too early for me to even think about this, since I do most of my prospect work in December and January when there are enough moves made, but my #1 last season was Wander Javier and hitting .299/.383/.471 in the Appy League as an 18 year old, did not hurt himself. Royce Lewis might be close or overtake him. Not sure yet, but these guys will likely be #1 and #2 in some order, pending transactions.
  10. Thrylos
    Castro is partially the reason of the ERA drop from 2016. He is part of the good defense. Castro's 2017 fWAR: 1.6, bWAR 2.5; Suzuki's 2016 fWAR 0.5, bWAR 0.4. 10th best C as far as fWAR is concerned, higher with bWAR
  11. Thrylos
    That is true; however in this particular metric, there are a lot of teams bunched. In 2017 the Twins had a 9.3% SwStr%. Just an 1.1% increase to 10.4% would have tied them for 13th in the league. How do you get that 10.4 or 1.1% increase? Healthy Trevor May (13.2 % in 2016) Bye bye Colon (5.8%), Haley (6.1%), Kintzler (6.4%), Hughes (7%), Santiago (7.4%) Hello more of Moya (12.4%), Curtiss (12.1%), Hildenberger (11.9%) Hello: 2 new starters at 12% or so+, with Berrios improving and Gibson sustaining his second half improvement (heck, if we hope for Buxton sustaining his, no reason not to hope the same for Gibson.) 2+ new relievers at 13% + (Brandon Morrow @ 16.0%, and hope one or more of Jay, Reed, Burdi etc) New pitching coach and MiLB pitching coordination who will emphasize missing bats. It's not that difficult, esp. if the organization make it its centerpiece this off-season and goes after appropriate pitchers. (They would need at least 3 from outside the organization and a second pen piece would be better.)
  12. Thrylos
    I think that the Twins were fine defensively last season and the younger players like Polanco, Sano, Kepler, Buxton, Rosario etc will improve as they develop further. One sure way of improving the defense is to not put the ball in play and have pitching miss bats. That's the glaring weakness of the Twins. The rotation and pen. Not the defense. Would a DH/occasional OF with better glove be better than Grossman? Sure. Still should not be the priority here.
  13. Thrylos
    The 2015 Texas Rangers would beg to differ.
  14. Thrylos
    Not really. The Twins just drafted Buxton's replacement at 1-1 last season, and can afford to sign someone like Carlos Gomez to replace him until he is ready. Add Dozier and Santana, and there are a lot of pieces that are easier replaceable than Sano, who can land front line pitchers...
  15. Thrylos
    Harvey did not have any clubhouse issues. He had partying in NYC issues. And injuries. If healthy, getting him out of NYC might help him lots.
  16. Thrylos
    Quick: Point to the one that does not belong in the list
  17. Thrylos
    Price, Kershaw, Hamels can opt out. Harvey, Keuchel, Volquez are FA. Good luck (Harvey is attainable and I would not mind the Twins taking a flyer on him this season as a reclamation project)
  18. Thrylos
    deGrom is 29, at his peak; Sano is 24, before his peak. DeGrom has a good 4-5 years of peak left on him, Sano has 10 or so. This is a huge consideration, as far as value goes. I cannot find an acceptable trade package for Sano with a single team. Might take Rendon and Strasburg, but Strasburg's contract is a mess... (And the Nationals would not do that...)
  19. Thrylos
    Twins
  20. Thrylos
    Santana and Liriano had zero innings pitched as major leaguers. And took them 2-3 seasons to have an impact. I am talking about veteran top of the rotation pitchers.
  21. Thrylos
    Too much. If you look at the Verlander trade, it took 2 prospects ranked between 50-100 and a C type prospect. Archer is more valuable, but Kepler is more valuable than a 50-100 ranked prospect. There is no way the Twins trade Royce Lewis. Kepler, Gordon, and Gonsalves is more than the Astros paid for Verlander. Probably a fourth piece, like Felix Jorge or an A level prospect like Lachlan Wells needs to be added, but that core is fine.
  22. Thrylos
    Based on the fact that the last time a top of the rotation pitcher was acquired in an off-season was in 1991 via free agency and in 1992 via trade, a good guess is that has not happened lately...
  23. Thrylos
    (For that unrelated garbage: Not a bag of balls, but a GG AS OF buying low, a potential top of rotation guy and a ready closer - but don't let the facts get in your way) The point is for the Twins to compete deep in the post season they need a rotation better than at least half of the other contenders, not to mention of the team that won their league. Period. If that is not the goal, you might as well not spend money for free agents at the level of Nolasco and Correia and Pelfrey, and do a honest rebuilding trying to build an elite rotation with younger pitchers. If your goal is to be mediocre, go to the post season occasionally and then one and out, sure, go for it, but, of course, we do not see eye to eye, since I want the Twins to win, and apparently you don't.
  24. Thrylos
    Would these guys make the Twins' rotation better than two of the Indians', Yankees', Red Sox', Houston's? If not, they are not the right pitchers for the Twins.
  25. Thrylos
    In this organization, a coach who says that will go with each pitcher's strengths, instead using a cookie cutter approach (be it cross organiationally teaching the sinker in the zone or the change up) is a breathe of fresh air and something the Twins have not had for a few decades. On the other hand, about half of the job of the major league pitching coach is to not let stuff get into pitcher's heads and have them pitch instead of thinking about pitching out there. Last season too many pitchers were thinking. Let's see how different it will be this season.
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