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Thrylos

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Everything posted by Thrylos

  1. Thrylos
    Problem is that he is not better now. Will he? Maybe (I don't think that he will be better than Meyer). Pelfrey and Milone have been lights out this Spring. Berrios not so. And they got to see Meyer and May who are more ready. Stauffer is not part of that equation. Berrios is in Buxton's shoes, pretty much. 2016 or 2017.
  2. Thrylos
    So it looks like 18 were cut today (between the announced and unannounced cuts,) leaving the roster at 43, with 18 more to go, 9 pitchers and 9 position players. Pretty symmetric. Trying to keep track here.
  3. Thrylos
    Gets worse: Darnell, Polanco, Salcedo, Diaz, Wheeler & Oliveros all also cut. Farris and Grimes likely as well
  4. Thrylos
    Sano was cut too. That, I don't understand.
  5. Thrylos
    Nah. Two words: Nick Blackburn
  6. Thrylos
    Thanks for the masterful insight.
  7. Thrylos
    Hard to tell that early during ST... 3 more weeks left. If he continues like that he should be DFA'd...
  8. Thrylos
    The Twins are looking for a Lefty reliever too, and Duensing has been lights out this spring. No hits ho walks, 3 strikeouts. They can give them Thielbar for free, or close to it.
  9. Thrylos
    The thing is that Berrios will not make the Twins. There is a pretty sizable battle for the 5 rotation spot and they are remaking the bullpen. It is better to give innings to players who have a change to make it, so they can evaluate them against MLB hitters, than to Berrios. He will be better off learning to throw to the catchers he will throw in AA as well...
  10. Thrylos
    They will probably got to the New Britain Chattanooga Group, which is likely group 1. Not much bumping yet. That will start when the extra 27 players in the Twins' MLB camp (that is the Rochester roster plus) start to getting cut... The players who got cut here are AA and high A
  11. Thrylos
    I like the first idea, but I would include Pinto in that trade, who would be expandable. Trading Sano instead of Plouffe does not make much sense. Every team that moved their top prospect has regretted it and it has always been done to win now. The Red Sox are the masters of regret (Schilling, Bagwell, HanRam). You got to trade players at (or close to) the peak of the careers and Plouffe might be there. Sano can anchor the Twins lineup for years, in the manner that the Killer and Kirby did. Since Kirby's retirement, the Twins lack that player and has been painful. Sano is that kind of talent. You don't trade that. Plouffe on the other hand...
  12. Thrylos
    They so did. The problem was that their whole rotation was comprised by those 5th starter types
  13. Thrylos
    .289/.397/.408, 135 OPS+, .356 BABIP (career average .348) 0.81 BB/K, second half of 2015. I am really not worried about Joe Mauer
  14. Thrylos
    Can say the same for Pelfrey. They pitched identical number of innings and their numbers are very close (both 0 ERs, Pelfrey allowed one more hit and has one less K)
  15. Thrylos
    Yes they do. And we got the data to prove it: 99 + 96 + 96 + 92. No player in those teams should be untouchable. If they were all that valuable, the Twins would not have been that horrible. Unless it is all the manager's and the pitching coach's fault. Cannot have it both ways. If they were all decent the Twins would have had a decent team.
  16. Thrylos
    Would you trade him and (let's say) Darnell or even Milone, for Liriano?
  17. Thrylos
    Trade Dozier or even Santana. Their perceived value is higher than Escobar's, so the Twins will get something better back. And I think that their perceived value is about at their peak, so... Neither of those 3 should be blocking Polanco.
  18. Thrylos
    Seth, really agree with your train of thought here. But you got to go one more level deep: there is another stat that drives BA, and pretty much tells what kind of hitter one is. This is BABIP. Unlike, pitchers' BABIPs (that indicate how lucky a pitcher is, since BABIPs should approximate the league average of around .290), hitters' BABIPs indicate performance. And the higher the batting average in balls in play, the higher the batting average. Hitters with high BABIPs are slap hitters. Ben Revere's and Denard Span's career BABIP is .320 or so. Gary Gaetti's career BABIP (who I think might be a good comparable for Dozier's power ceiling) is .270. I spent some time graphing Dozier's BABIP and IsoP thought out the years. Here: So it looks like when Dozier used to hit for a high average with a High BABIP, he hit like Span and Revere. And as his IsoP increased, his BABIP decreased to the point that his BA was suppressed. Gaetti had a career .179 IsoP, a career .270 BABIP and a career .255 Batting Average. I think that this is where Dozier might be heading or towards the career numbers of his current hitting coach, .188 IsoP, .259 BABIP, .245 BA, if you want another example
  19. Thrylos
    Would you say the same about Buxton? At least Rosario hit well in the AFL, something that Buxton never did, And Rosario did hit .284/.330/.412 in AA in 2013, which in that league is not that bad. Last year was a lost year for him in any manner.
  20. Thrylos
    I think that Santana's ceiling is utility player in a competitive team. Casilla/Guzman + Not bad, but not starting material for a team that want to be competitive in the postseason, when there are better options. Speaking of, as soon as July maybe, the Santana vs Escobar discussion might be academic, since Polanco looks pretty darn ready to me right now, and he is a better option than both.
  21. Thrylos
    You think playing a kids' game and having fun as an adult and getting paid $ to do it, is "wasting someone's life" (whatever that might mean?) His deal. It is not like he is robbing 7-11s and doing time in jail or something....
  22. Thrylos
    Santana is better suited for utility and late inning PR role than Escobar. Not sure that he is starter material will Polanco and Michael and Gordon coming down the pipe. Heck, Escobar is still before his prime too...
  23. Thrylos
    We all know him, we all love him. How can we not. But (and don't search the web) how many of us know his first name? And what is his first name?
  24. Thrylos
    No. That would be Polanco (and Meyer) if you are counting pitchers. Burdi too, and Reed close. All of those are more MLB-ready than Rosario.
  25. Thrylos
    Who is Joe Schmit? Rosario can make the team, but he is really competing with Schafer and Robinson and Nunez at this point.
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