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Thrylos

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Everything posted by Thrylos

  1. Thrylos
    That is 5/7ths of the horrible Twins' second half bullpen and then with Nolasco and Abad added. #OOFDA I hope that the Twins' brass realize that the Fiens and Tonkins of the world were part of the problem and not the solution here, and start thinking outside the box. Quickly.
  2. Thrylos
    ummm: Matt.Capps. Carl.Pavano. Nic_.Blac_burn. Glen Perkins SOP
  3. Thrylos
    The WAR argument. Here is Radke's career WAR, and that of some of his contemporaries. Along with where I would draw the lines of "Great", "Very Good" and "Above Average". IMHO, Radke belong in the above average group. You might call everyone from that group and up "great", but I don't... Radke: 38.7 Mike Mussina 82.2 Kevin Brown 76.6 Andy Pettite 68.9 Roy Halladay 65.2 ------------- Javier Vazquez 54 Chuck Finley 56.9 Mark Buehrle 52 Roy Oswalt 52.5 Mark Langston: 49.2 Kevin Millwood 46.1 Jamie Moyer 48.2 Bartolo Colon 47.9 ----------------- Kevin Tapani 37.4 Livan Hernandez 34.5 Jon Lieber 36.9
  4. Thrylos
    "Great" = perennial All Star and a few Cy Young awards and borderline Hall of Famer. Radke appeared in one All Star game, the highest finish in a CY Award vote was third and he had a career 4.22 ERA/4.24 FIP. That's Scott Baker territory (4.26 ERA/4.06 FIP), Radke's teammate Rick Reed was an All-Star twice and had a career 4.03 ERA/4.21 FIP and was very similar pitcher to Radke as far as balls and strikes went. Was he a great pitcher? All three mentioned were above average pitchers in general, with some average and below average seasons thrown in. Because Radke was the best pitcher in a series of horrible teams, this does not make him "great" by any means. I hope that Gibson will be better than all the 3 aforementioned former Twins
  5. Thrylos
    Samardzija has been really consistent: lost 13 games each of the last 4 seasons
  6. Thrylos
    According to PitchF/X Abad was throwing 5 pitches: 4-seamer, 2-seamer, cutter, knucklecurve and change up. All but the 4-seamer and changeup were below average. Addition by subtraction might work for him. That and that 17.2% HR/FB rate that is not sustainable. So he will likely be better. Tipping or not. However, the important question is how much better? Would he be an 8th inning in a contender better (which is what the Twins need)? I seriously doubt it. And if he is a 7th inning guy or a mop up guy, Rogers or Melotakis would probably have similar floor and much higher upside.
  7. Thrylos
    Fact check: Nolasco had one season of 4.1 WAR (2009) one season of 4.0 WAR (2008) one season of 3.2 WAR (2013) and one season of 3.0 WAR (2011). As a comparison, Hughes had only 1 season of higher than 2.6 WAR, and that was last season (and HE took advantage of that). Gibson's highest WAR was 2.5. Ervin Santana has 2 seasons with WAR >= 3.0 2006 and 2008. Milone's highest career WAR was 2.8 in 2012... (fWAR btw) Just sayin'
  8. Thrylos
    I think that Kohl Stewart starts at Chattanooga. He should not repeat Fort Myers because of Bencomo (who might not even be a Twin after Spring Training) I think that Ryan will do what he usually does regarding the Twins' rotation, pending major ST meltdowns: Follow the $. I will be surprised if it is not Santana, Hughes, Gibson, Nolasco, Milone, in order of job safety. If someone has a crazy Spring, Milone might go to the pen, not Nolasco. The Twins really need Nolasco to have a hotter than hey start, so they can trade him ASAP. Also I think that Romero will be in the pen now. Other than that (and the uncertainty regarding the Twins' pen that might take some SPs from AAA), I think that this is spot on...
  9. Thrylos
    To tell you the truth, I kinda find that article a bit naive and targeted. Back right before the 2009 seasons started, I did a 3 part analysis, on the size of the Twins marker compared to others (using more than television ratings like this does, because, you know, if someone watches the Twins from Sturgis, is a tad different than someone watching the Twins from Hennepin and Lake.), Looking at the payroll vis a vis potential market revenue and trying to see how far could that stretch. That was the season they started with $65M payroll and their record was $71M in 2007. So, all that analysis resulted in 3 things: The Twins are (were in 2009) 21st as far as market size They could seriously sustain a $96-127M payroll in that market. (and that was in 2009 dollars) and how they could go there (highlighting 3 easy things to do) (Well they did 2 out of 3 -ain't bad, and the next season their payroll opened at $97.6M and ended at $103M, but then you know what happened.)
  10. Thrylos
    Roger Erickson. Roger Erickson. Don't know why, but for some funny reason this name sounds familiar. (wonder whether they are related)
  11. Thrylos
    Would be fun to hear what Bret will do with Mason Melotakis' name
  12. Thrylos
    Not them. Buxton will be running into them. They just would have a hard time getting away
  13. Thrylos
    That's Sept/Oct from b-r... Since when is that "good"?
  14. Thrylos
    .208/.255/.396 for September. That's borderline Buterrible. Would love to know what you think "bad" is
  15. Thrylos
    4: Over/Under the number of collisions at the OF if Buxton is surrounded by Sano and Arcia?
  16. Thrylos
    Kepler. Maybe.
  17. Thrylos
    I think that most players are too far away from Terry Ryan. And Paul Molitor is a Hall of Famer no matter what. I suspect that if someone had a conversation with players like Pat Neshek, Kevin Slowey (who btw retired and is working as a special assistant in the MLBPA), Danny Valencia, the aforementioned Kyle Lohse, Luke Hughes and several others off the record, will have a good idea about some of the managers and coaches of this team. And, I bet if one asked Manship about the current Miracle Manager (off the record - because nobody is going to say anything bad on the record, because otherwise will get blacklisted,) one might here a bit of a story....
  18. Thrylos
    Cott's? of 5.99 FIP last season? I'd rather see the Twins give the kids a chance
  19. Thrylos
    But Darnell is not a local boy, neither would he bring in 20 tickets from Stillwater, like Strong will...
  20. Thrylos
    Here is the problem with Rosario: He really is an isoD .050 player max and 0.42 isoD average. Which means that he really needs a high BA and BABIP to get on base at respectable clips. Career OBP: AA .308, AAA .280, MLB .289. That said, Last season he was a bit unlucky in the majors because his average BABIP - BA is .039. Last season with the Twins it was 0.065, so that BA has a good 0.025 or so of positive movement potential. So that .267/.289/.459 with just career average isoD and isoP and the same BABIP he hit in 2015 would project to about .308/.350/.467 for an .817 OPS which will probably have him in the top 30 OFs of the majors by OPS next season... Stud? Hardly. Better? Sure.
  21. Thrylos
    probably more. And I don't care about balls that hit the overhang. I care about misjudged balls because of it that end up with him hitting the wall...
  22. Thrylos
    in 1000 words:
  23. Thrylos
    the off-season is still young...
  24. Thrylos
    Um, you seem to forget what Terry Ryan, you and I (and most people who are reading this and their first name is not Andy) have in common: We all led the Twins in the same number of World Titles as General Managers. Just one of us had that chance to do better, but he (and his hand picked buddies who were around after he "retired") failed to do for 21 years. Got to clean house, if one has a chance to. First things first. So that's that. But that's my point of view
  25. Thrylos
    Terry has a fan base?
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