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Thrylos

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Everything posted by Thrylos

  1. Thrylos
    I still like to see them add a starter and a reliever, and they will likely add the latter. Maybe the smart play here is to wait until the deadline and if they are in it, make substantial additions. The point being is that there are several prospects that either need to be traded before they lose their value and/or become minor league free agents
  2. Thrylos
    This assumes that the Twins will not re-sign any of their free agents, extend players, or sign other free agents. Highly unlikely. Javier is a better fielder at SS than Lewis; if anything he would be the SS.
  3. Thrylos
    This is part of what I wrote on Gonsalves in my 2018 off-season prospect rankings. He was 9th: "He has some difficulties in repeating his delivery which results in occasional loss of command and that is translated with an increase in walks and decrease in strikeouts. When that happens, Gonsalves has been successful so far by inducing weak movement. Pitching to weak contact and needed to paint the corners to succeed is a risky recipe for success and despite Gonsalves doing it in every level, there is a feeling that it will just take him that far, especially when he has a long frame and with the difficulties in repeating his delivery, which results in the up and down command issue, not to mention the shoulder considerations." Still stand by it and it is exactly what we have witnessed in his ~25 IP sample size in the majors, as well... Will never be a top of the rotation guy, and the Twins have many 5th starter types not to take advantage of his national regard and trade him, selling high...
  4. Thrylos
    A. Gonsalves has been a top 100 prospect in both the MLB and BA rolls. B. Throw in Nick Gordon who is a top 100 prospect C. Sell High. Cannot wait until a prospect is well baked before you turn that asset into someone who can play Certainly Gonsalves + Gordon + another prospect or 2, plus taking over $ can bring in a top of the rotation starter. Verlander was traded for Daz Cameron (#74 BA the season before trade, unranked season of trade), Franklin Perez (#54 BA) and Jake Rogers (unranked.)
  5. Thrylos
    This is an interesting writeup from November on what the Angel's pitching coach Scott Radinsky had to say about Blake Parker (and the rest of his pen). Scroll down a bit.
  6. Thrylos
    2018: Opponents slash line with RISP Blake Parker: .150/.239/.254 Trevor Hildenberger: .326/.440/.605 Tyler Duffey: .240/.269/.565 Overall WPA: Blake Parker: 0.68 Trevor Hildenberger: -1.98 Tyler Duffey: 0.01 Much improvement over these 2...
  7. Thrylos
    That was part of the problem then. Too much minor league system in the majors
  8. Thrylos
    Stateside, I'd add Janigson Villalobos (of Phil Hughes trade fame), Trevor Casanova (13th pick in 2018), David Banuelos (who had some helium when came from Seattle last off-season, but has been hurt all of 2018 practically), plus Jeferson Morales at the DSL who was signed in 2016 and had his first healthy season in 2018 and is coming stateside next season. Not necessarily in that order.
  9. Thrylos
    If you look at the Romero of 2016 vs this of 2017 and 2018, the one number that jumps out is BB%. It doubled the last 2 seasons. This is something that needs work and adjustment. His 10.2% Swinging Strike percentage was third behind Gibson and Berrios among the Twins' starters in 2018, but pretty mediocre for a reliever. It will likely tick up with increase in his FB and SL velo in the pen. Maybe a pen stint can help him with decreasing the BB% if he attacks the strike zone more during shorter outings. Will it be better for the Twins for Romero to go to the pen? Cannot answer this yet. Need to see what they are going to do before Spring Training starts. If they are not going to get any other starters, the Twins might be better of with Romero at the last starting spot than with any of their other young pitchers (Gonsalves, Stewart, Slegers, etc.) who pitched worse than Romero last season, they are not ready and might never be. Mejia is the wild card here since he is out of options and the only lefty starter who is ready. It is a long off-season.
  10. Thrylos
    Hard to argue with this list I would expect to see Ryan Jeffers some place there. 35% extra base hits at Cedar Rapids first season with wood is really promising. Michael Helman (11th round pick in 2018.) Any player who hits near .500 at any level is interesting. He put a .487/.567/.829 line at JuCo in 2017 and had this worse hitting line ever at Cedar Rapids this season hitting .355/.398/.486. Have not yet seen him play, but color me intrigued. I am not going to mention any Dominicans, other than the fact that no Twins minor leaguer outside the DSL had more walks than strikeouts this season. I think that aggressiveness has been a Philosophy shift in the organization (this includes the majors.) Quick sampling, back in 2016, just 3 seasons ago, there were 6 players in the minors outside the DSL with at least as many walks as strikeouts. What does this can to do in a tools post? The definition of the "hitting" tool might be changing league wide. Also, unless there is a massive number of injuries, there is no way that Kirilloff will be in the majors in 2019. I understand the helium, but lets see the kid hit AA pitching first before we proclaim him "ready".
  11. Thrylos
    They are about the same pitcher, with Gibson getting more into the games and being better against LHB, Odorizzi striking out slightly more, being better against RHB and younger. Career: Odorizzi: 4.20, FIP Gibson: 4.30 2018 vs LHB: Odorizzi: 4.54 FIP, Gibson: 4.16 FIP 2018 vs RHB: Odorizzi: 3.92 FIP, Gibson: 4.10 FIP 2018 Odorizzi: 164-1/3 IP, Gibson: 196-2/3 IP 2018 Odorizzi: 22.8 K%, Gibson: 21.7 K% 2018 Odorizzi: 12.9 K-BB%, Gibson: 12.1 K-BB% 2018 Odorizzi: 1.34 WHIP/ .290 BABIP, Gibson: 1.30/.285 Should the discussion be why the Twins should extend their future number 3 or 4 starter? It should not. I would extend neither and see if I could trade either in a package for a top of the rotation pitcher.
  12. Thrylos
    That will probably be Jim Kaat
  13. Thrylos
    They should retire 36 (and that can go both ways, and it will be fun to see two names,) and then 38 after that, but they will unfortunately retire 48 next.
  14. Thrylos
    The Twins need to start trading 3-4 of these guys for 1 impact guy. .283/.368/.561 and .370 wOBA: Taylor Rogers's RHB opponents in away games. He is ok in his comfort zone at home against righties, but you don't want to pitch him away against them. Bottom line: For this team to be relevant in this season well into the post season, they need 2 SPs better than Berrios and 2 RP better than May (and Rogers, and Reed.) They have plenty of trade bait. I'd include Odorizzi and Mejia in the trade pile, as well as Nick Gordon, LaMonte Wade etc. They should just go get them if they want us to believe that they want to compete... Because dragging Hildy's sorry league worst WPA for another season will just not cut it...
  15. Thrylos
    FTFY
  16. Thrylos
    FWIW here are the results: 1. Orioles — Richie Martin, SS (from Athletics) 2. Royals — Sam McWilliams, RHP (from Rays) 3. White Sox — Jordan Romano, RHP (from Blue Jays) 4. Marlins — Riley Ferrell, RHP (from Astros) 5. Tigers — Reed Garrett, RHP (from Rangers) 7. Reds — Connor Joe, C (from Dodgers) 8. Rangers — Chris Ellis, RHP (from Cardinals) 9. Giants — Travis Bergen, LHP (from Blue Jays) 10. Blue Jays — Elvis Luciano, RHP (from Royals) 11. Mets — Kyle Dowdy, RHP (from Indians) 13. Phillies — Drew Jackson, SS (from Dodgers) 15. Diamondbacks — Nick Green, RHP (from Yankees) 19. Mariners — Brandon Brennan, RHP (from Rockies) 39. Giants — Drew Ferguson, OF (from Astros)
  17. Thrylos
    Well... That was that
  18. Thrylos
    He had options when they traded for him. Molitor just sat him longer than he should have had...
  19. Thrylos
    Hope that Austin does not get a 50-game suspension for being a Biogenesis client like Cruz did...
  20. Thrylos
    Austin was traded on July 30th. In the following 56 games he appeared in 35, including 12 starts at 1B and 21 at DH. He was in the minors for a week before Morrison went down and he was recalled. So he appeared in about 70% of the games he was in the majors. Molitor missed the chance to use him more, and he made some silly choices in those games, including starting Adrianza and Gimenez at 1B twice and Garver once with Austin out of the lineup. So that one is on Molitor. The Twins front office did well with signing the arbitration eligible Cron to a contract that is pretty much disposable at ST. The more competition the better, and with the ousting of Grossman, there is room for both Cron and Austin in the lineup. Austin can play RF as well. He has 339 games (2841-1/3 innings) at the OF (mostly RF and mostly in the minors) with 11 cumulative errors and 30 assists. For comparison's purpose Grossman in the minors played 726 OF games (6194 innings, mostly LF) with 22 errors and 40 assists. Their gloves are comparable with Austin having a better arm. I see him play OF considerably this ST...
  21. Thrylos
    I think that they will be fine staying pat as far as position players go. They need pitchers badly, and they will need them even worse next off-season when Gibson, Odorizzi, and Pinesa are all free agents.
  22. Thrylos
    Then if a batter has his body parts outside the batter's box towards the plate, it should not be the pitcher's fault if they get hurt with the ball...
  23. Thrylos
    One of the 4 was left exposed to the Rule 5 draft and was not taken. Guess who?
  24. Thrylos
    They need to eject, suspend, and fine hitters who hit catchers with back swings, not unlike pitchers who intentionally throw at hitters. That will help a lot with concussions.
  25. Thrylos
    Hildenberger and Rogers are different pitchers. Rogers was a starter in all of his career in the minors and became a reliever in the majors. The same path that Swarzak and Hendricks (and Joe Nathan) followed among others. And Rogers has been successful. Hildenberger was awful last year, has been a reliever all his baseball career. He had the absolutely worst ERA and WPA and 3rd worst FIP, in the majors among relievers who pitched 70 innings or more. That is sucking not success. Can Stewart or another pitcher make a successful transition into a reliever? Sure, if his fastball gains a few ticks from his 92.2 mph average as a starter, and he is mentally ok with relieving. It took May about 3 seasons to be mentally ok with it... Time will show, but there is no reason that Hildenberger and Rogers belong in the same sentence as far as quality goes...
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