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PseudoSABR

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Everything posted by PseudoSABR

  1. You can't pretend to know whether Marcum is any less of a health risk than Pelfry or Harden. You just don't know.
  2. Wow is right. There really must be something in his health profile. Can't believe he couldn't get more than that...
  3. I guess the voice recordings were actually a woman according to voice experts. This **** is weird.
  4. Lady was a man... According to your story Te'o, you fell in love with a.. a man.
  5. Well, it happened last year (if you use FIP/xFIP)...
  6. I agree with this take. The Twins seem reluctant to 'game' the system in this way. Since we have payroll room, we shouldn't necessarily be trying to acquire assets to compete in 2013, rather we should be looking to acquire assets that could have trade value, and thus acquire future assets.
  7. And so should every other GM who passed on this deal? Doesn't the fact that Marcum only netted a single year deal from a bad team tell you something about his perceived value and health prognosis? I'd like Marcum as well, but I think it's ridiculous to call for the firing of a GM for not signing a specific free agent...
  8. Look, I agree the Twins plan for 2013 looks pretty muddled, but they did acquire Worley and bought low on guys like Pelfry and Harden. Yes, meager given the FAs available and when combined with Correia gives a whole bucketful of meh. But these moves didn't occur in isolation, by acquiring Meyers and Mays, the Twins blew away my expectations in what they'd get in future pitching assets. Especially without trading Morneau or Willingham (which is a boon toward 2013, if even a zero-sum non-move). My major irritation is with those who use the Correia move (and the narrative around it) as some sort of litmus of the Twins overall plan going forward. That we should remain hopeless about the present and the future until the Twins make a group-think approved big splash (or avoid overpaying for mediocre back-end pitching). There's an undercurrent throughout this thread (and in other long threads) that the Twins don't know what they are doing and that somehow this is a perfectly legitimate and popular assessment. We all have plenty of questions about the Twins FO--if anything, this offseason gives me hope for the future even if it makes me shrug my shoulders at the present.
  9. There's plenty positive to focus on about this offseason if one chooses too. I think most people would give the Twins positive marks for the offseason moves in total.
  10. You added this. To clarify, there's no hard evidence that the Twins would use their pitching philosophy for acquiring young arms to acquire veteran arms. I simply hope that they will, a reasonable hope, if such players make a major league impact eventually. I never said my thinking about all things Twins was "highly dependent" on hope. That's an insulting extrapolation on your part of what I've said, and it's obvious to anyone actually reading the thread. (Your Sheilds rant certainly seemed misplaced to me.) Look, I don't like Correia signing, but I don't believe that people who made the decision are The Stupid, so I try to understand what the FO is thinking, and I try to put that in context in both terms of the now and of the future, and I try to arrive at a nuanced assessment of any deal they make. That doesn't mean I'm a pollyannish fool. It's just hard for me to get worked up about Correia signing in a winter when we've acquired two young power arms (May and Meyers), another young mid-rotation guy (Worley), and two risk signings (Pelfry, Harden).
  11. If it turns out they were right, they were right, and should feel vindicated. It seems that no matter how good or bad Correia ends up being he simply proves that the management was offbase in their assessment. That seems pretty ideological to me.
  12. Pejorative? By calling you smug? Look, it's not at all classy to say "See there, I linked the dots for you, no charge." It's snotty and smug. I'm not attacking you, I'm attacking your tone. You use plenty of pejoratives throughout your post(s), and consistently condescend. Idea-dearth? Come on, man; you have no place to complain about the use of pejoratives. Look, if you don't think I have any ideas, don't read my posts.
  13. Honestly, if you're going to be smug, at least attack ideas people actually have.
  14. That's a fair point; but I think the Twins have even openly admitted that they were willing to take more chances on high-ceiling, high-velocity arms. While it might not be new, it's a welcome resurrection then, and I hope it results in a tangible change in philosophical approach, because frankly there's a large gap between the 2005 arms and now.
  15. How the heck can I do that? I hoped that the philosophy that drafted Berrios and the high-velocity relievers last year and acquired Meyer and Mays would graduate to major league transactions. I wasn't speculating or surmising; I was thinking wishfully.
  16. Those aren't meager numbers to me, when you factor in the innings pitched.
  17. Well you're certainly no Plato, what with your allegories and caves. It's not exactly clear what your beef is. What is clear is that the Twins have a NEW approach to acquiring young high-ceiling, high-velocity arms; one they have not implemented on the major league level. Are you suggesting that the reason for the disparity is simple incompetence? Because that seems pretty glib.
  18. Did you put those numbers into context? Correia pitched 6+ innings 19 times (14 times exactly 6 innings); in any case, the Twins will leave him out there longer, as there's no need to pinch hit in the American League.
  19. The win discussion sidesteps, the actual discussion of where guys like Correia (or even Blackburn in his prime (Ha!)) actually have value. Innings matter, and the capacity to pitch deeply into games even when doing poorly matters, it saves the bullpen at minimum. At the major league level, consistent mediocrity is preferable to scattershot success and failure (like say Liriano or Deduno), even the though the latter gives you something to dream on.
  20. I recall (maybe in the Twins Daily Offseason Handbook) Terry Ryan speaking about scouting accountability at some length. At certain point, those who end up recommending the likes of Marquis and Correia (if indeed he ends up a lemon) need to have less influence. We'll see. I doubt it's the same scout or even group of scouts that are recommending the bulldog Correia and championing the likes of Meyer and Mays. It's just too bad there isn't more public accountability for scouts--as it'd make good forum fodder, and more precise criticisms. Overall though, the minor league/draft philosophy on pitchers seems promising and a marked shift from what we knew as the Twins; if some of these pitchers work out, and the scouting philosophy looks sustaining, maybe it can graduate to the major league level and into our evaluations of free agents. We can hope.
  21. Dude, I'm just not going to respond to your accusations of smugness, pardon me. You're using the payroll after two losing seasons as a model for how the Twins will run their business during their next competitive window? Really? I just don't think that's valid at all. The Twins signed Doumit/Willingham/Carroll/Marquis all after a losing season, just last year. That's the kind of signings I've always been talking about. The notions that the Twins payroll will actually be around 60 million and that the Twins won't acquire players to supplement their roster in 2015 seem baseless to me. (As an aside, when correcting someone on their smugness, one probably should resist the urge to be smug. Again, I really don't think you even disagree with me here, you're just taking pot-shots.)
  22. Age doesn't matter in terms of developing potential? Oh boy.
  23. No, they shouldn't overpay. But i also think their continued frugality (cheapness) is non-tenable. They just aren't going to have a payroll of 60 million in 2015/16. They will acquire vets with larger contracts either in FA or in trade. Look, I don't think they will go out and sign stars, but they will sign another round of Doumits, Willinghams, Saunders during 2015/16; that's not crazy, that's completely reasonable. To argue this point is puffed-up negativity.
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