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PseudoSABR

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  1. Look you can't pretend to know which is more of a health risk for the upcoming season without looking at the medical records. You're just guessing based on your general knowledge of TJS and your lack of knowledge about Marcum's medicals. That seems pretty specious, doesn't it? Maybe the Twins made a mistake with Pelfry, but that doesn't mean that Marcum doesn't carry even more risk.
  2. I kept waiting for animation; disappointed it's not a .gif.
  3. Not that Bobby Jindal!
  4. Twins Daily logic: "I'll just continue to ignore the possibility that Marcum might have legitimate, obvious health risks, and continue to hate on the Twins."
  5. And we make both these judgments without looking at the medical records which would dictate the payoff of any risk. It would have been awesome if the Twins signed Marcum and felt their were little to no health risks, but that just isn't the case. Given Marcum's contract it's pretty fair that 29 other teams felt he was too risky too. The Twins did take risks with Pelfry and Harden, just not the board's pet health-risk. Sure there's less upside in maybe both of them, but perhaps there's lower risk (we don't know because none of us have access to the medicals).
  6. The gamble might be that there are obvious red flags in Marcum's medicals--to the point where it's not worth taking the gamble at all. It's all guess work about what kind of gamble it would be without seeing the medical records. Drawing any conclusions about the competence of the teams who passed on Marcum is specious. It'd be nice if we could actually evaluate the relative medical risk of signing guys like Marcum, Harden, and Pelfry; but none of us are in any position to do so. To come down so definitively on one side seems like a bunch of bitter hand-wringing to me.
  7. So many reasonable people are taking on faith or on Marcum's word that the medical records/evaluations really aren't that bad. It's odd.
  8. It's not like Whitesox fans can actually read...
  9. Get what you can. Milb picks are great sweetners in future trades, even if they don't end up turning into good players.
  10. Option A: 31 teams foolishly choose not to risk four million (for a total of eight). Option B: There's legitimate concerns about Marcum's health. Look, Marcum could very well have a healthy season, but it's clear that the general consensus among baseball FO's that Marcum is not worth the risk in salary. It's made clear by the contract he ended up signing. While the Twins were well positioned to take this risk, they took other risks with Peflry and Harden; just because everyone's pet health risk went to another team doesn't mean that the Twins weren't already trying to buy low on players with health risks. I just think the premise of thread is bunk and needlessly inflammatory.
  11. How is that a scarecrow? It's not. The title of the thread incriminates the Twins, as if they have any more explaining to do than any other team (but the Mets). I directly engaged the premise of the OP. Maybe if I bold parts of my post, it will pass your BS scarecrow test? Seriously, the same few posters seem to lamely reach for any piece of evidence that supports their pet narrative of the Twins FO failures. We all get what you guys think. There's no reason to start another thread about this article; the purpose is to strut and provoke, rather than have an honest discussion. Frankly, there's something juvenile about it. (To be clear this isn't directed really at any one poster, but there is a collectiveness that legitimates these discussions again again).
  12. Evidently 30 other teams have some splanin to do. Marcum could convince just one team of his health, the Mets, the envy of front offices everywhere.
  13. Made a little trade today. Wade Davis for a 2nd round Milb pick. It might not work out, but with the roster crunch coming, I was probably going to drop him (or he'd be the last guy I kept). Maybe I could have gotten more, but I needed to clear some space and I didn't want to take any players back in return.
  14. Right, but we really haven't that kind of nuance from the pessimist, and even I think you've been cringing at the negative-nancy-ism lately.
  15. This list is odd. Arcia seems really undervalued, and Hicks and Rosario, too. And I'm earnestly surprised that Gibson is at 49. Odd. Is this actually Mayo's list or is this an amalgam of different inputs and measures?
  16. No it's not. It's a reasonable assumption. Valencia played exclusively thirdbase and, evidently, had attitude issues that may have impacted his lack of improvement. The Twins seem to be giving the job to Florimon based soley on his defensive ability, so it's clear they see an improvement even if you don't. Look, when you state that it's an "awfully big assumption" for a player to improve at a position he's ostensible still learning, people are going to wonder if you're being honest in your assessment. Maybe I'm being unfair, but lately it seems that you'll spin any contentious point so that it paints the Twins FO negatively. If there's any ambiguity, you (like a train of others posting lately) will argue tooth-and-nail that such ambiguity proves how stupid the Twins have been. And for the record, I always have the higher ground.
  17. Plouffe year 2 at 3b > Plouffe year 1 at 3b Florimon at SS >> Dozier at SS (by all accounts) Dozier/Carrol at 2b = Cassila/Carrol at 2b. I also imagine firstbase defense will improve with a healthier Morneau and a more experienced Mauer. At worse it's a draw, but it's far from a downgrade in any case. Look, you're taking the half-empty approach to any ambiguous outcome, so of course, you're going to see downgrade everywhere, but I don't think that's particularly honest or realistic assessment.
  18. The infield defense should be better, shouldn't it? Yes the OF defense certainly took a hit. Span/Revere = Hicks/Parmelee in the lineup, IMO. In any case, I don't see 'significant' downgrades for lineup and infield defense, in fact, I think we could argue that each could improve.
  19. Look, we shouldn't credit Terry Ryan or Ron Gardenhire for winning seasons, but we should hold them accountable for losing seasons and the paltry playoff record. It is obtuse to try to put both the winning and losing into context, because it might work against the board's metanarrative that the Twins don't know what they are doing (and never have). Optimism is blind; pessimism is clear-eyed.
  20. A 10 place jump in one offseason is pretty significant. Marlins, Astros and Cubs also made significant jumps.
  21. Oh, everything that can go wrong does go wrong? How interesting! Indeed, let's have a sister thread where we can hold hands over all the things that can go right! Won't that be fun.
  22. Oh, don't get me wrong, I'm not championing the poor efforts some people put into their posts; I've spoken out about it many times. I was just giving the Sheriff of Discourse a little guff.
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