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PseudoSABR

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  1. Looks like Jill Stein may save Clinton the trouble, as Stein is preparing to request recounts in Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. I doubt any of this goes anywhere, but if it did, it will be better if Clinton isn't the face of the challenge.
  2. A smart take on the supposed Russian conspiracy from Josh Marshall.
  3. Others probably can speak better to the issue than I can, but I believe the acceptance of pitcher framing has come a long way in that time. Whether Castro's talents in "pitcher framing" prove more real than Suzuki's defense, I don't know--but I do believe there's more of statistical case for Castro.
  4. It's an asset that fits within the budget. In a year (or two), he might be tradeable in the same we are talking about Ervin Santana this offseason. We know there were at least two other suitors who had offered three year contracts. A mistake that too many rebuilding teams make is not acquiring major league assets to artificially keep the payroll low.
  5. I'm not sure it's fair or correct to compare Castro to Hughes and Nolasco. Change in front-office leadership, and the initial Hughes contract was a good one.
  6. You want them to fix the pitching, but don't want them to fix the catching? Look pass the batting average, Dave.
  7. We did something!
  8. Let's hope the new organizational pitching philosophy pays dividends with Jay, Stewart, Gonsalves, and Romero among others. Even though these guys have reached the upper minors, they are young enough to benefit from a new development philosophy.
  9. And that, my friend, is confirmation-bias. Too few are willing to admit that their predispositions shape not only their conclusions, but their analysis.
  10. The arbitration system is broken. It's stupid that every team but the Twins can pay Plouffe less money*. The forced pay increases within the system far too often force teams to non-tender their home-grown talent when they have an off-year (or injury) in the final years of arbitration. The previous salary should have no bearing on an arbitration number--perhaps time-served should or previous production (but not salary itself); if a player has a career year in his year of arbitration, but gets hurt or regresses back to the mean, non-tendering is far too often the outcome. The system deemphasizes teams retaining their own talent in such situations, when it should do the opposite. This is the right move. But Plouffe probably would have had a place on this team (or have been a tradeable asset) at a (much) lower cost. *I suppose Plouffe could have accepted a pay cut, but I doubt that outcome happens very rarely if at all.
  11. This thread is too meta. Shouldn't threads about threads have their own thread? (kidding)
  12. It can be both. Even if his acceptance of such position was based (in part) on nobility, that Romney himself would benefit (prestige, influence, padding his political resume) from Trump's election is phony.
  13. I don't know about Minnesota. In Arizona (for instance), the jury can convict on the charged crime or any "lesser-included" crime. I'll glance at the Minnesota statutes and case law, and see if I can quickly figure it out. Edit: "Second-degree culpable negligence manslaughter is a lesser-included offense of first-degree premeditated murder."  State v. Penkaty, 708 N.W.2d 185 (Minn. 2006) Although, it looks like there, the defense requested the manslaughter instruction, so I don't know if the prosecution can make the request...
  14. Murder can be down graded to manslaughter upon adequate provocation, at least at common law. And if there's a reasonable mistake about provocation, manslaughter might also fly. I think the charge is political, as typically, prosecutors will charge murder, and let the jury decide whether it's manslaughter or not. There must have been some belief that a jury would find him guilty of the murder charge, so they took that decision out of their hands. There needs to be an independent prosecution office for all law enforcement crimes.
  15. I agree with refining the roles of unions. Unions should be there for bargaining of contracts, not as an advocate in every situation which affects that group from termination to politics. But as long as we live in a Citizen's United world, taking away the political influence would be nary impossible.
  16. Of course, there's a wife gulf between pandering and dismissing. My point is that Democrats don't need to (and should not) pander, that's precisely why a Warren/Sanders liberal would have done better than Clinton, because they do speak to poor rural white's concerns. I know plenty of white guys who would have entertained voting for Sanders over Trump but were deadset against voting for Clinton. Warren may have had trouble with the liberal elitist angle, but she's very authentic messenger. She may not have 'swung the working class her way' but she'd fair significantly better than Clinton. A good deal of that working class vote for Trump was a vote against Clinton personally; Warren doesn't have the same defects, even if she still is a woman and a liberal.
  17. I don't disagree with anything you've said here. My point about pandering to rural whites was in response to the notion someone like Warren wouldn't have done better in this election. As you point out, liberals don't necessarily need to alter their message to be attractive to persuadable rural whites. I still think the analysis here is under-appreciating the lack of enthusiasm for Clinton. The loss probably has more to do with Clinton's flaws as a candidate than it does with liberal messaging. Clinton was never an authentic vessel for ideas on the left; her attributes--competency, experience, using political bureaucracy to get things done--hardened the anti-establishment critique.
  18. Warren would have gotten far, far more liberal enthusiasm then Clinton ever did. She may not have gotten the rural whites that went for Trump, but she may have turned out people from various other groups (which Clinton did not) that overcomes rural white vote. If the takeaway from this election is to pander to rural whites or lose, this country is screwed.
  19. Rarely (if ever) will the Court overturn cases, because of mere political change. Stare decisis is something the Court takes very seriously. What would need to happen is a state would have to pass a new law banning gay marriage, and then someone would sue to declare that law unconstitutional, and then it would go through the appeal process. This would all take years likely. Once the issue finally makes it to the Court, the Court would have to be pretty creative to overturn its very recent rationale, and would need a sound legal argument for such a change. What is more likely is that the Court would be able to chip away at the right. Like conservative Courts have done to abortion since Roe's passage, with their decisions in Planned Parenthood v. Casey and Gonzales v. Cahart (though this trend stopped this year with Women's Whole Health v. Hellerstedt).
  20. Noooo! Okay fine. But Levi is a doo-doo head.
  21. Whatever. In one post you say it's an echo-chamber in here, and in the a second one, you say there's plenty of middle ground. I don't think your arguments are right-wing so much as oddly liberal-shaming, a recurrent past-time of yours. Liberals can seek to restructure the EC for legitimate reasons. The assumption that you keep going back to--that desire to change the EC is rash and based on butthurtness--is the most prominent strawman in this discussion.
  22. So the EC has nothing to do with the GOP and minority voters, but the reason we should keep the EC is because the Dems ignored a minority group (in this case rural whites)? Your rationale about tyranny of the majority just doesn't hold up to scrutiny.
  23. So when everyone disagrees with you they are guilty of being an echo-chamber?
  24. This is such bluster. Buddy, you're the one who is being deadset and oddly delighting in punishing those arrogant liberals. Why the heck should the Dems be punished for ignoring rural whites, when the EC has never punished the Republicans for ignoring nearly every minority group except rural whites? The EC actually empowers what you suggests it mitigates: campaigning in only swing states is not any kind of solution to represent all the people. When every vote counts, both sides will rally every vote both rural and urban. Had the Republicans lost, would you be arguing for an increase in EC votes for urban centers so that Republicans would pay more attention to minority voters? I think not.
  25. Right. That's what's being alleged here. We need to inflate the rural white vote because only they can overcome tyranny!!!
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