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DaveW

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Everything posted by DaveW

  1. DaveW
    If you say so.
  2. DaveW
    Also one other note when using WAR in a small sample size is that often defensive metrics (which make up a good chunk of the WAR equation) often can't be trusted in small sample sized measures. For instance, Kipinis had a combined negative 10.8 defensive value in 2013/2014, in 2015 he is at 4.4 already (on pace for 10+ overall), now it's very possible he could have improved, but to go from a below average defender to an elite in the span of 60 games? Not very likely.
  3. DaveW
    If you read what I have been saying this whole time you would see that I said he has been first in WAR since the start of 2014, instead of using a smaller 64 game sample size I am going off what he has done in the last year and half, since then he is #1 in WAR, #1 in OPS, #1 in HR, #1 in wRC+ in the 200+ games. (much more accurate sample size IMO to gather somones value)
  4. DaveW
    You are only using one stat "WAR" in a 64 game sample size. How many of those guys also lead in OPS, HR, Runs, Slugging, etc etc etc
  5. DaveW
    He is 1st in baseball since the start of 2014.
  6. DaveW
    Dozier is 1st in WAR, 1st in OPS, 1st in HR, 1st in WRC+, 1st in Runs, 1st in doubles. That is a large difference IMO from 4th, 6th, 6th, 8th, 8th, 3rd. A valid comparsion for Norris to a 2nd baseman would be someone like Kendrick or Zobrist, both good players no doubt, but not elite. A valid comparison to Dozier in re: to a catcher with similar "standings" in those categories would be Buster Posey (1st in WAR, 3rd in HR, 1st in RBI, 1st in WRC, 1st in Slugging etc) who is elite IMO.
  7. DaveW
    Comparing Derek Norris to Dozier is pretty silly. Dozier is the leader amongst all 2b in several categories over the last season and a half. Norris though a solid player no doubt is 6th in WAR and much lower in every other none defensive category.
  8. DaveW
    2B ranks since the start of 2014: fWAR: 1. Dozier 7.4 2. Kinsler 6.6 Slugging 1. Dozier .451 2. Walker .431 6th in OBP HR 1. Dozier 36 2. Walker 27 wRC+ 1. Dozier 125 (tied). Altuive 125 R: 1. Dozier 164 2. Kinsler 138 BSR 1. Dee Gordon 12.9 2. Brian Dozier 11.0 (The gap between Gordon and Dozier in this area is HUGGGGGE though) Is Dozier elite? Absolutely. Is Dozier the most underrated player in the league? Probably. Is Dozier the best hitting 2B in the league? Most likely. Is Dozier the best all around 2B in the league? Most likely.
  9. DaveW
    None of those guys listed are middle INF. If you compare him to other "elite" 2nd baseman I think you will find the average isn't a huge concern. Examples: Ernie Banks was a career .274 hitter Joe Morgan was a career .271 hitter Ryan Sandberg was a career .285 hitter And these are all "best of the best" hall of fame top 10 all time type guys. Over the past 365 days Dozier is in the top 2 or 3 for OPS, HR, R and several other categories for 2B, when you are in the top 2 or 3 in the whole league that makes you elite IMO.
  10. DaveW
    The way he is hitting this year he looks a lot like Robinson Cano (sans this year). I too would drop him to 3rd in the order in the near future. Put Buxton and Mauer batting 1-2 in front of him and let him knock those guys in.
  11. DaveW
    I would give up watching the NFL ever again if the Vikings won a super bowl.
  12. DaveW
    Is this game even gonna happen?
  13. DaveW
    I'd much rather have the twins go to a 6 man batting order
  14. DaveW
    You are just best off releasing him at this point. Some NL team might grab him eventually, but no real reason to try to even sneak him through to AAA. What I am wondering about is why the Twins continue to think they need 13 pitchers...
  15. DaveW
    Yup, draft three, if one hits enough to stick at 1B and DH you win.
  16. DaveW
    I would say 5-6 years you can see how its going to work out. 2010 is looking pretty rough, however if Rosario reaches his potential and becomes a solid every day LF with great defense and a pretty good bat (15HR 20SB) that helps that class out a lot. Guys like Dean, Achter and even Wimmers could be productive for a season or two as well and at least are decent org filler for the time being. Niko is still very much a project jury is still out on him, which shows that yeah, 8 years is probably about right.
  17. DaveW
    Way too early to say that, Stewart is still a top prospect and only 20 years old, his results haven't been out of this world but they haven't been Shooter Hunt catastrophic either. It was always known that he would be a long term project, great raw talent but best case scenario when he was drafted was saying he would be ready at earliest for 2018. Gonsalves however has been a stud from that draft class. Peterson has been an intriguing arm out of the pen.
  18. DaveW
    Wade info: 2015 Stats AB: 158 Slash Line: .335 / ..453 / 468 HR: 4 RBI: 32 SB: 7 K-Rate: 9% Pros: plus athlete, complete defender, gets on base, good speed, doesn’t strike out, squares everything up Cons: won’t hit many home runs 17418291149_42e987357e_zVittas: Wade is everything you want in a top of the order hitter. He gets on base in a variety of ways, makes consistent solid contact and is a threat on the bases. He walked 10 more times than he struck out this year (20 K, 30 BB) and drove in a remarkable 32 runs in 42 games as a leadoff hitter. After originally being tagged as second half of the draft guy, Wade’s stock is rising because of his terrific run in the NCAA Tournament. He made three run-saving plays in the Regionals, showing off his remarkable athleticism and cannon for an arm. MLB Comp: Adam Eaton
  19. DaveW
    Kendrick is a nice pick up, boom or bust guy, best raw power and you get him in the 8th round? If he makes it great! If not, no worries 8th round guys rarely work out anyways. All of the picks so far seem to be high upside guys. Love it.
  20. DaveW
    My point is they have been successful picking their spots on grabbing SP in the international market and the middle rounds of the draft, so they must be doing SOMETHING right, which is why I am fine with their current approach of picking up a few college RP here and there.
  21. DaveW
    If he makes it in the big leagues he should enjoy that 1.5 years in Miami until he is inevitably traded.
  22. DaveW
    I think they are top 3 because of a combination of things: 1. They have been drafting pretty well. 2. They have gotten great value on the international market: Sano, Kepler, Hu, Thorpe, Polanco to name a few. If there is one glaring weakness in the Twins major league team it is hard throwers, especially in the bullpen. I dont mind them using a few picks (it's not nearly as many as people make it out to be) in the middle rounds looking for hard throwing guys who can potentially stick in a ML bullpen at make a difference, extra bonus points for being LHP too. If the Twins spend their first round pick on a RP I would be concerned, but they didn't they drafted a guy who projects to be a starting pitcher who also can help out in the bullpen ASAP if needed before he is sent down to work on his third pitch to become a ML starter. If the Twins weren't singing SP in the international market I would be more concerned as well, but they have been signing some good value in that market for SP as well.
  23. DaveW
    It's really easy to find a ton of "failures" when it comes to the MLB draft, considering that the significant majority will never make the majors for EVERY organization. IMHO the Twins have done pretty well in the middle stages of the draft recently (and other non huge money international signings) when it comes to SP: Hu- international Free Agent Free Berrios- Comp Pick Gonsalves- 4th round Lewis Thorpe- Free Agent
  24. DaveW
    I'm hardly putting words in your mouth, you need to stop being so combative. TR and the org must have done something right at some point as the Twins now have the 2nd best record in the league and have a farm system that everyone can agree on is one of the best in baseball.
  25. DaveW
    I don't mind it, the one thing the Twins have been lacking this year is guys who can strike people out (especially in the bullpen), the Royals have shown us over the last year or so that if you can get 3 shut down guys in the pen, that is strong enough to take you to the playoffs and more importantly deep in the playoffs. All the Twins need is like two of these hard throwing RP types to give them a start to a formidable pen, bonus points as they are drafting LHP as well.
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