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DaveW

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Everything posted by DaveW

  1. The only way trading Gibson makes sense is if the Twins think Berrios is ready as of today to come in and take his spot in the rotation and be effective. I don't think that is the case, so I would be very very surprised if Gibson was moved period. I think a playoff rotation of: 1. Gibson 2. Hughes (has pitched very well as of late) 3. May 4. Milone Could hold their own.
  2. I dunno, again there you are getting 3 low cost players, May is a mid rotation guy, and Rosario looks like he could at least be a league average CF and has some pretty decent upside.
  3. I will give you 5:1 odds that Polanco doesn't put up a third of the career WAR that Tulo does.
  4. Hmmm. hyperbole much? If you wanna go with the "Tulo is gonna decline" meme, then at least have him move to third base.
  5. If you have this lineup for the playoffs, I think you honestly have as good a shot as anyone in the AL. The pitching would need to step up, but Gibson, Hughes and May at least have shown flashes of brilliance at times. 1. Dozier (30+ HR power) 2. Mauer 3. Sano (30+ HR power) 4. Tulo (25+ HR Power) 5. Plouffe (20+ HR power) 6. Hunter (20+ HR Power) 7. Rosario 8. Hundley 9. Hicks Arcia/Buxton as depth if needed.
  6. Gagne put up 14.8 WAR from 1987 to 1991. Basically 3 WAR a year, and had a .700 OPS. Not all star numbers but he was clearly better than anything the Twins have trotted out since.
  7. I have an issue with this, he has a .866 OPS this year, if that is a "decline" I am perfectly fine with it (Career .889 OPS guy). Additionally this year on the road he has a .820 OPS, which mirrors his career .819 OPS on the road. None of the above scream "decline phase" to me.
  8. As history has proven, a hall of fame caliber guy at a premium position is much more valuable then a #2/#3 type pitcher.
  9. After the last 20 years of watching horrible SS play, I am blown away that people don't want to trade for a hall of fame caliber SS.
  10. I have watched enough baseball and seen enough at bats to know what should be a routine play, the only excuse that Escobar would have is if he was running over to cover a SB attempt, of course since there was no player on 1st at the time that isn't the case. I also have been to enough games in person to come to the realization that Escoabr just doesn't have the range to be a major league SS. It's nothing against him, it's just the reality of the situation. Santana on the other hand has the range, but makes too many mistakes defensively overall and there are big questions about his bat.
  11. This is a good point, catchers decline significantly quicker then SS and are at much more of a risk to "fall off a cliff" production wise. Hell look at guys like Weiters and Posey, both the future(s) of the position, neither one are playing every day at the position and Posey is looking more and more like 1B will be his primary position sooner rather than later.
  12. Call me crazy, but I have never bought into Lucroy fully. I think he is a very nice catcher, but isn't going to ever be the offensive beast he was last year, which is probably the value the Brewers will be asking for.
  13. It is costing less, that is why the Twins wouldn't trade Sano or Buxton for him.
  14. Turner is a decent Catching prospect, he has been hitting better as of late. He has his issues no doubt, but so do Polanco and Santana as mentioned above. The reality is its a lot harder to find a SS who sticks then a catcher.
  15. I personally would start with an offer of Tulo and Hundley for Kepler, Polanco, May and one of Meyer/Arcia/Vargas. In that deal you get a couple prospects who could crack the top 100 very soon, a mid rotation cost controlled guy in May, and a high risk.high upside guy in Meyer/Arcia. Or maybe you offer Stewart+Polanco+May, I'd be ok with that as well. Stewart is a top 30 prospect, and you still get some close to ML ready help with Polanco, and a ML mid rotation guy in May. It would suck to get rid of Berrios, but at the end of the day I would be ok with it, especially once Berrios gets up to the ML level and gets shelled in Coors
  16. It should be noted that Joe Mauer's contract hasn't prevented the Twins from making any moves, keeping players around or signing any FA, in fact, the last two off-seasons have seen the Twins hand out the two highest FA contracts in the teams history. In fact, the Twins are still well "under budget" of where they should and could be. In fact, Joe Mauer has actually provided pretty good production with his contract other than 2014 and the first half of 2015.
  17. Exactly. All this talk of internal SS options, it should be pointed out that the Twins haven't had an actual productive major league SS since Christian Guzman, and he wasn't even that good, just not fall on his face embarrassing like Nishioka, Castro, Escobar etc The Twins under TR and co have always managed to find decent catchers, its a low point now, but it can be fixed easily, I have much more faith in the Twins finding a catcher without having to give up much then finding a decent SS.
  18. Nobody is suggesting the Twins give up Sano or Buxton for him, nor would the Twins even entertain it. It's highly questionable that Lucroy is even on the block anyways.
  19. 2016 Twins lineup: 1. Buxton CF 2. Mauer 1B 3. Sano DH 4. Dozier 2B 5. Tulo SS 6. Plouffe 3B 7. Rosario LF 8. Hundley C 9. Hicks RF That's a world series capable lineup right there.
  20. in 2018 he will only be 33, we are't talking about a current 35 year old player, he is only 30 now, to imply he suddenly won't be an asset in his early 30's is pretty silly. Even if he has to move off of SS in 2018 (pretty unlikely) his .819 road OPS still plays anywhere (almost .50 points higher then Plouffe in his breakout year this year)
  21. Sign, you can be such a baseball pleb at times Brock. Getting Tulo in no way prevents the Twins from finding an upgrade for Suzuki. They can get AJ for next to nothing or have the Rockies ship over Hundley as well. Plus in the off-season you can always trade a guy like Plouffe or Arcia for a longer term fit at catcher if you need be.
  22. But Tulo gives the Twins a better shot at winning the world series not only this year, but also as well in 2016, 2017, 2018 and 2019.
  23. Trading just ONE (berrios) of the Twins prospects and a couple other solid but not great prospects in a very deep system is not pushing all of the chips into the middle of the table. Maybe if it was for a rental, but Tulo is not a rental and would be a significant upgrade for the next 4 years at the very least.
  24. Yeah there is, and that reason is he isn't a good defensive SS at all and he has zero range. If he was good or had any range, then the Twins wouldn't have lost the 10 inning game against Oakland, any real SS would have made the routine play and had the Oakland hitter out by 4 steps, instead you have Escobar who had to dive because of his lack of range, and his lack of arm failed to even get the runner at that point anyways.
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