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Han Joelo

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Everything posted by Han Joelo

  1. Nice. Thanks for the eyewitness report. More please.
  2. This is interesting to look at. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/2006_Major_League_Baseball_draft In that draft, 27 of 44 first round picks were pitchers, presumably drafted with the intention of making the starters. Kershaw, lincecum, Scherzer, and Ian Kennedy are the only ones that panned out as starters. A few had/have decent relief careers, maybe half. The Twins had at best a 50% chance of getting a MLB pitcher at all with the pick. I think Jay will be that. They can't all be Kershaw. What fun would that be?
  3. Miller was the, wait for it, 6th pick. Taken after other starters like Hochevar, Greg Reynolds, Brad Lincoln, and Brandon Morrow. And Longoria. Kershaw, of course, was the very next pick. Man, drafting is tough. Reading through Miller's career bio, it took a long time before he was put in the bullpen permanently. Maybe someone could have expedited that decision and hastened his ascendency to elitedom. Anyway, looking at that draft, Lincecum and Scherzer were taken shortly after as well. So was Kasey Kiker. Jay isn't Miller yet, but he's not ever going to be Kershaw either. In conclusion, best of luck Tyler. I look forward to watching you put out hundreds of fires over the next few years.
  4. Hmm. Lots of consternation. I like the decisiveness. I don't see why his ceiling can't be Andrew Miller, seems like that was his role in college. That's a darn valuable asset. I'm sure there were a lot of starting pitchers drafted ahead of Miller. I could care less where he was drafted. It's all hindsight, and in this case we're hindsighting a different regime. Hopefully this is indicative of their scouting acumen, and indicates they will correctly utilize this upcoming draft.
  5. There's nothing better than cheesy baby picture stuff. We did a deal where we hung a pink and a blue pinata up for a friend. Blindfolded she hit the pink. Turns out, she did have a girl, so our science experiment worked. Anyway, congrats on the family, Alex. I hope he gets a legit shot for a while this year. Reading his backstory again, he seems like one of those guys primed to have a good major league relief career for the next few years.
  6. Thanks Seth (and Bob.) Love the picture of Cabbage fielding on a bucket. Reminds me of Delmon... Anybody standing out as someone who has pushed their timeline? Seems like Granite maybe has, but what do I know. I guess I am asking if everything is playing out according to plan, or has somebody forced themselves into the conversation?
  7. Bummer, big time. Hope this doesn't affect his controller grip. Wait a second...two major video games came out in the last week... Forget Terry Ryan. I'm blaming Nintendo for this one.
  8. This guy is going to front our rotation, Radke style, for the next decade. I said style, not substance. Meaning results, not peripherals. So just hold onto your numbery rebuttals. I already know that Radke walked way fewer batters. And that he was right-handed. Houston was all over spin rate, weren't they? Didn't Castro work in Houston...with a lefty with a high spin rate who went on to win the Cy Young or not? Connect the dots, people. You don't need a computer program named Carmine or Beacon to figure this stuff out. Castro + Gonsalves = Ace, for under $30 million. Round One goes to Falvey.
  9. Let me gush some melodramatic hyperbole: this guy is going to make 14 teams look really silly. Posters on PhilsDaily are already calling for managements head for taking Mickey M. Over AK. Which reminds me, did you know that if you cut Alaska in half, Texas would be the third largest state? Same with AK, if you cut him in half, Mickey would be the third best prospect from that draft. Beast! Ok, I'm done.
  10. Seems like a deal where a bunch of crusty old guys were sitting around drinking Coors Light, candidly discussing players futures, and on the topic of Polanco playing SS, they all agreed-- he wasn't one. They were probably right, and yet…so wrong. In a perfect world, Dozier got traded at the deadline last summer (for an ace prospect,) and Polanco took over 2B. Clearly, that plan didn't work out. Nothing sums up the perfect storm of total system dysfunctionality that occurred last year than the Polanco story. Turn the page, move on.
  11. This is where dreams and reality collide. Ten years from now, Gordon will probably still be playing MLB. Wander Javier will possibly/likely be the answer to a "Remember That Guy?" question. It's like that first car dilemma I had back in '87. Do you go with the Merkur XR4TI, or the Honda Accord? (I went with a Chevy Beretta, splitting the difference)
  12. I hope he blossoms into Chris Sale. Maybe last year represented the steepest part of the learning curve. On the other hand, given the prospect hauls that Miller, Giles, and that dude from San...Kimbrel. Just remembered. Anyway, given the prospect hauls they garnered, maybe accelerating his development as a Fireman wouldn't be such a bad deal.
  13. Three-Lohs, I agree with your above comments re: Kiriloff. I'm a prospect rube, but my equation goes something like this: Potential Upside x (Likelihood) of reaching Potential Upside = Prospect Rank From my very amateurish perpsective, Kiriloff has lower upside but higher likelihood, and Javier is the inverse. For me, for some totally unsubstantiated reason, I have Kiriloff higher. I think he is very likely to make good on his tools; hence I rate him higher. But I'm really just guessing/hoping when it comes to prospects.
  14. Tempered enthusiasm. I keep thinking the difference between this list and the lists for the last 5 years is the absence of a player you could somewhat reasonably think has some sort of All-Timer/Hall of Fame upside. Sano and Buxton had that when they were on the list. (Maybe they don't now...) Javier, though raw, is as close to that as this list has. One thing all that Dozier-to-LA trade talk did was make me think about how painful that "third piece" in a trade deal can turn out to be. Kind of like Liriano. As lottery tickets go, giving up Javier in a trade would be pretty painful.
  15. Not scarlet! I was thinking more secret society-like. Skull and crossbones...maybe redone as a catchers mask and crossed bats? Honestly, the way you guys talk affectionately about that site makes me a little jealous. Cool kid envy, you know. It is probably the way my wife feels when I get together with river guide friends and we start laughing our asses off at "remember that one time" (while never finishing) or just saying the punchlines to old jokes. Actually, its exactly like that.
  16. Great stuff, thanks for sharing. Maybe BYTO community members should get a little asterisk or badge by their name. That way, I'll know when there is a conversation within a conversation going on, and I won't feel stupid for not knowing what the heck is so funny. This is a great community. I'll never forget the semester I read Crime and Punishment and Moby Dick, and I'll never forget this winter, when I read 5000 Dozier to LA comments.
  17. We should do a season long cage match smackdown thread titled "Meija V. Deleon".
  18. I hope he unleashes the full arsenal, stays healthy, and becomes the cover-boy for the story about how to develop highly touted young arms. Serious question, statistically speaking, are inning totals the best way to monitor wear and tear on a pitcher? Jose Deleon still hasn't hit over 120 innings, does that mean he has been throwing the same amount of pitches per year of development as Stewart, just less efficiently? I know the Stewart story has been talked about before, but I think he is still pretty intriguing. I'd give him one more year to "break out," and it seems like if there was a master plan, his age 22 season, at AA, would be the crux year.
  19. My answer to an above question, one I've been meaning to ask for a long time, is what the hell is BYTO? Buy Yellow Tomatoes Only? Build Your Tostada Omelette? Baste Your Two Ovaries? Blame Yonder Taliban Organization? I'm out of Y words. My virtual journey went Simmons-Batgirl-Gleeman-Seth-Nick/John/Parker. Thanks for doing it, TD. By "it" I mean go hang out in Florida.
  20. The thought just occurred to me last night, about Duffy being the closer. He seems to have the stereotypical demeanor. It was him and Chargois at Rice, correct? As co-closers? If Andrew Miller can become the multi-inning Hydra type weapon, then maybe Shaggy and the Duff-Man can become our two-headed Hydra. Too bad one's not a lefty.
  21. Thanks for doing these. I really enjoy well-thought out prospect lists. Jorge and Wade are favorites of mine. They represent the kind of under sung prospect that might become sticking points in trade discussions as potential throw-ins, at least to me. Though similarly ranked, I'd be really bummed to give up Jorge as a "third piece/junk throw in" vs. (sorry to his fans) D.J. Baxendale for instance. But then again, I probably have an irrational expectation that Jorge will achieve his ceiling of mid-rotation MLB starter. Anyway, possible the TD formatting, but your first paragraphs, the ones with all the stats, are not very visually accessible for this guy. Too many numbers densely packed in text to my eye. Just an FYI. Again, thanks for sharing; I appreciate your perspective.
  22. Like somebody said above (Nick?), if the Twins had lost 103 with scrubs, while B, B, and S kicked ass in the minors, and the tone of this offseason would be a lot different. Let them play! Don't block them! I am disappointed the Twins didn't pull off some amazing trade, but Dave Stewart was not available to trade with. Other than that, I'll drink the same Kool Aid as last winter. The rebuild depends on Buxton and Sano ascending to stardom. The rest is shuffling deck chairs.
  23. Awesome. For now, I will view Haley as a mash-up of Johan Santana and Corey Kluber. Folks will look back at this as Falvey "Rizzo" moment.
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