Surely you don't think that's what I'm doing. If you do, feel free to look (in vain) for a similar assessment of mine on J. O. Berrios after his first three starts in the majors, or even the fourth when he really stunk it up. No, I'm not nearly the fundamental scout to make assessments. What I'm doing is piggybacking off of the scouts who are considered to be qualified, namely those of the Yankees, of the Giants, and of Sox of both the Red and White variety. The Yankees stuck with him from age 18 to 24 without ever deciding the time was right to bring him to the big club. The other three signed him and tried to make something of him for a year or so, each. But in a certain sense, yeah, 3 games seems about right. Anybody can have jitters in their first game. A second game might not go any better (as a software developer, I learned early about the Second System Syndrome, which might have a parallel to trying to correct what was wrong in one's second game). But if Version 3.0 of Nik Turley's Twins game log is bad too, then yes, I'll trust my eyes, which told me that his breaking pitch had bite to it and the radar gun on the baseball was intriguingly high, but the ball never seemed to go where the catcher was set up. I don't think it's a stretch to infer that he has teased team after team with his stuff, but by now has demonstrated that (no doubt not for lack of trying) he can't harness it with the necessary consistency.