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ashbury

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Everything posted by ashbury

  1. ashbury
    Back in 2016 Falvey's promise was "a sustainable and championship-caliber team and organization that Twins fans across Twins Territory will be proud of". I'm the little kid in the back seat of the car - are we there yet? are we there yet? are we there yet? We ain't there yet. Lack of a discernible pitching pipeline and reliance on astute short-term signings isn't looking very sustainable right now. The youngest guy on the pitching staff who is delivering positive value is Berrios (Ryan's guy, need I point out), and he isn't actually young anymore.
  2. ashbury
    Very fair take.
  3. ashbury
    IMO this has reached public view because the Twins wanted it to. They are shopping him hard and want other potential suitors to know that at least one team is interested. That's all it is, at this point - marketing of a trade chip. He's worn out his welcome.
  4. ashbury
    Then you REALLY wouldn't have liked Jonathan Swift's article a while back about all the best ways to cook Irish babies.
  5. ashbury
    If you limit consideration to those who played anything other than LF less than, say, 35% of their innings while with the Twins, Ward deserves some attention. Guys like Allison played a lot of RF. OTOH Allison played a lot, period, so maybe his contributions in Left still outweigh Ward's. Left really isn't chock full of top candidates. And Ward is pretty underrated by now - never any great shakes on defense but he got the job done, and he could hit.
  6. ashbury
    No love for Gary Ward?
  7. ashbury
    The first rule of Byron Buxton is - you do not talk about Byron Buxton. The second rule of Buxton is - you DO NOT talk about Buxton.
  8. ashbury
  9. ashbury
  10. ashbury
    That has to be somewhere close to a record, doesn't it?
  11. ashbury
  12. ashbury
    It is.
  13. ashbury
    Okay, they lost a game yesterday. If they lose today, it's called "two in a row". And if they lose again tomorrow, it's called a "losing streak"... It has happened before.
  14. ashbury
  15. ashbury
    Pretty sure they called them grinders when I went to school in Providence years and years ago, and the little metrowest Boston town I'm in now has at least one sandwich shop that calls them grinders. So call it a New England thing, moreso than just CT. Possibly just southern NE, unless one of the precincts in VT/NH/ME is heard from.
  16. ashbury
    How many years?
  17. ashbury
    He got clobbered by Houston, but did OK against the Orioles. Maybe Texas will go the same for him as Baltimore. (Ignoring that the Yankees, who aren't in general setting the world on fire at bat, also clobbered him...)
  18. ashbury
    Pick the right guy to trade away... Grade: A. Pick a reasonable guy to try to develop... Grade: C-, based on results this year. Then punt it away by gambling that no bottom-feeder team would desire a guy with minor league options for 2021 and 2022, a guy you yourself had thought was promising? Grade: F. Shaking my head.
  19. ashbury
    The issues are all tied together. I feel like injury/health is the next big area that analytics can tackle - even if definitive answers can't be obtained, trends could be teased out that identify who are the good candidates and whom to steer clear of. Except... I suspect this kind of analytics is already in a pretty advanced state or close to it, and the teams that have it aren't publicizing it. As with analytics on the fundamental tools of playing the game, there is interplay between the identification and the development. Find the good candidates, then bring them along correctly. If I were younger and looking for work, I'd be really interested in getting hired to a team's analytics department, finding out the state of the art on injury analysis, and trying to push that frontier forward. Body type? Track record? Work load? Many avenues to explore.
  20. ashbury
    Go to Subway and treat the server rudely, and they'll provide you a ham, swiss and spitball sub at no extra charge.
  21. ashbury
    He doesn't. He and his agent have educated guesses. But it's still a year and a half out before they can "know". You've seen those hurricane cone maps? It's kind of like that, except probably with even more variance, and without a certainty of "weakening" like a storm will do as its geographic track plays out. We're at Wednesday AM right now. We're trying to pick a price that shuts the door on him finding out where the Monday AM location will be. Some players might accept the conservative offer, to reduce all the risk. Other players are said to "bet on themselves", and you will have to offer pretty close to the maximum in that cone of probabilities, to shut that door for them. 5 years for $80M is $16M a year. That is Kimbrel/Chapman territory - top relievers, but starters get more. Money like Bauer and Cole got may not be achievable. But I'm thinking $20M for 7 years is what's needed to get him to say, "OK, never mind about the Yankees and free agency." 1.5 years away, $140M will get his attention, $80M will not.
  22. ashbury
    Mrs Ash and I happen to be about to embark on a driving trip west, which happens on top of that to go through Bartlesville OK and then to Denver. Wichita is right on the way! Unfortunately it looks like we will pass through there on July 4, and the Surge is in Amarillo that day, and then Monday is an off day. Don't know if I can stall to when they host NW Arkansas by offering to sit through two extra days in Chicago with my inlaws.
  23. ashbury
    Of course the expectations explicitly set ahead of time might (always) be, "you're done when the skipper says you are done." I just got done expounding elsewhere about good organizational practices, baseball or otherwise. But there are some ways that baseball is vastly different from the businesses you and I worked at. You and I are pretty good but not at a level that each and every MLB player is. Managing a clubhouse of egos to match the talent may mean wide latitude in certain areas and narrow rigidity in others. I would not presume much about this instance beyond what we see publicly.
  24. ashbury
    I have established an account at FriscoGiantsDaily.com to register my views on the Total System Failure that their front office has presided over.
  25. ashbury
    PerHAPS???? 14 hits and 4 walks in 3.2 innings doesn't require ornamentation. I'm glad he turned it around and showed us his best. (No J.A. Happs were harmed in the making of this post.)
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