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Everything posted by ashbury
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Very true. I was responding to someone's plea to cut Outman. If I were in charge, I would call up ERod to replace Wallner who I would send down to AAA for some kind of tuneup. Outman's role limits the harm he has done so far at the plate. Wallner's not very suited as a backup, and if his bat isn't producing he doesn't even have the other tools that Outman does.
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Ddoouubbllee Ppoossttiinnggss
ashbury replied to ashbury's topic in Twins Daily's Questions About The Site
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Ted Six is a new nickname to me, but the Red Sox were in the postseason in 2021 and 2025.
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The consistent use of the word "anyone" permeates roster discussions, and honestly I don't find it constructive. We can release Rogers. The next guy will probably have an ERA in the 7s as well. The FO owns this, and by extension ownership does. We don't, and it's not up to us to cast about for solutions among the wreckage.
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Releasing dudes that offend us is the easy part. Who do they get replaced by? Simply calling up guys who aren't ready or never were or never will be is not a solution. Outman for ERod is the only combination that makes any sense with this depleted roster.
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Alex Jackson has superficially decent overall AAA stats, but I looked at his game logs and he has base hits in only 5 of his 12 games. For reference, Ryan Jeffers has had base hits in 11 of his 17 starts at catcher or DH, and that's against major leaguers. Baseball averages are basically the "mean", and I've often wondered whether a second-order measure such as "standard deviation" would be revealing about certain players having uneven performances, but I've never invested the time to try to investigate. Anyway, my working theory (lacking real analytics) is that Jackson is one of many hitters who knows how to feast against lesser opponents, with Plan A being "wait for your pitch," but who has no Plan B and flails when the opponent has the command to put his best stuff where he wants it time after time. Last year's breakthrough at Baltimore appears to have been a mirage. If the need arises to bring Jackson up, I don't expect good results. I realize this is a controversial take, not to mention answering a question no one has even brought up. 🙃
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Former Twins. Where are They Now? 2026 Edition
ashbury replied to stringer bell's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
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Twins (Bradley) vs Rays (Rasmussen): 4/24/24, 6:10pm
ashbury replied to Brandon Glick's topic in Archived Game Threads
Do you remember the illustrious Twins career of Jaime Garcia? Recker was part of that fascinating sequence. The Twins stashed him at Rochester for the remainder of the season. -
If you have one apple, and someone takes one apple away, how many apples do you have left? 😁
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Twins (Bradley) vs Rays (Rasmussen): 4/24/24, 6:10pm
ashbury replied to Brandon Glick's topic in Archived Game Threads
Will our offense find a way to surmount this deficit? -
Question of the week: should Emma get the call?
ashbury replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
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There are too many names on the 26-man roster that don't belong on a contending team, and not enough replacements worth an audition. Who can they bring up to replace Banda that will make the team better? I'm sure you'll say "anyone!!!", but as soon as that replacement from St Paul puts up an ERA of 7.00 we'll all be lobbying for someone else again, as though magic will make a AAA player like Matt Bowman suddenly become an asset. Who can they bring up to replace Clemens that will make the team better? I'm sure you'll say "anyone!!!", but, well, there isn't anyone. Different warts on the next guy perhaps, but just as many. ERod is the only one at St Paul who seems like a good bet to deliver average offense or better (though some worry that the Ks will loom larger in the majors), and promoting him makes sense as a replacement for Outman but doesn't do much to fix the problem we all see with Clemens. If ownership is really serious about this year being one for contending, they need to let the FO take multiple steps to fix things. But I don't really buy that PR in the first place.
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Twins (Bradley) vs Rays (Rasmussen): 4/24/24, 6:10pm
ashbury replied to Brandon Glick's topic in Archived Game Threads
Reunion time for Taj! Hope there's lots of handshakes and good vibes. -
Friday Forum: Mick Abel, Luke Keaschall, and James Outman
ashbury replied to USAFChief's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I think they are not for you and me, who scan most articles daily and contribute to some. TD broadcasts some of their articles outside the website itself, and this series strikes me as in this "marketing" vein.- 4 replies
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Twins (Ryan) vs Mets(Scott): 4/23/26, 6:10 pm CDT
ashbury replied to C-Gangster's topic in Archived Game Threads
Just about how you'd expect a couple of bad teams to slug it out. -
Video: Why Dasan Hill’s Start To The Season Is Alarming
ashbury replied to Sam Caulder's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
I haven't seen him pitch but there's now one more start to look at. On Wednesday April 22, whatever command issues were present in his first three games "magically" went away - 0 walks in his 4 innings. The strikeouts were fantastic, as well - 7 of them - and Peoria so far has been leading the league in runs with very few strikeouts, so that's quite an accomplishment. Only four base hits, so that should be a pretty good WHIP for the game. His first three innings were clean. Immaculate, even*. One fly out, one ground out, and the 7 Ks. And yet - ultimately it wasn't a good outing, because he gave up 3 runs in the fourth, due to a sequence that involved all four of the base hits and culminated in a home run. It might have been even worse, except the first of the base runners got picked off. The game lowered his season ERA to 10.50 - that's how bad things had been across the first 3 games. Oddly, his already unsightly BABIP for the season went up - the four base hits came from among a small number of balls in play because of all the strikeouts. BABIP is one form of analysis that usually normalizes closer to .300 with time. Another way of looking at the numbers is that for the young season his OPS-against is .829, which is bad but one that correlates to an ERA of more like, say, 5.50. Sequences of hits is another thing that usually normalizes. I don't like the word "luck", but it's very possible that we'll see better game results going forward, without there necessarily being big additional changes in the pitcher. Fewer batted balls finding grass and a more typical number finding leather, plus base hits scattered more uniformly instead of bunched - it's easy to imagine far better results if yesterday's performance is a baseline. That's based on a big assumption that the walk rates in the first three games were the anomaly and that the 0-walk performance yesterday represents him figuring something out that will be lasting. It's also an assumption that the bunching of base hits isn't due to losing composure on the mound. Both are things that hopefully the coaching staff can address. So yes, a couple of big BIG assumptions. But prospects are for hopes so I'm going with that * Ha, after posting this, I went back and looked at TD writer Matt Braun's game synopsis, and he chose the same word, "immaculate." So it's a thing.😀 -
What was your favorite Eric Wagaman moment as a Twin?
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Mets 3, Twins 2: A Fun Night, a Tough Loss
ashbury replied to Sherry Cerny's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
The man's 28 years old. You're never too old to learn, but if he's still developing at that age then he qualifies as a slow learner, I'm afraid.- 68 replies
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Mets 3, Twins 2: A Fun Night, a Tough Loss
ashbury replied to Sherry Cerny's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Definitely small sample size. I'm not "worried" worried. Just a troubling start to his season.- 68 replies
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Mets 3, Twins 2: A Fun Night, a Tough Loss
ashbury replied to Sherry Cerny's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Counting stats versus rate stats. His RBI opportunities have been few, but he's not cashed them in at a good rate.- 68 replies
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Mets 3, Twins 2: A Fun Night, a Tough Loss
ashbury replied to Sherry Cerny's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
He's caught Matt Wallner Disease*, at least in the small sample of 100 PA so far this season. Bases Empty, OPS .880. Runners On, OPS .462. (Four solo HR, one two-run shot.) > 4 run margin, OPS 1.071. Situation 4 runs or closer, OPS .680. (Tie game, OPS .456.) This helps explain 7 RBIs for about 1/7 of the season. Hope he turns this around fast. * Who caught it from Joey Gallo. Unsure who Patient Zero was.- 68 replies
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