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tony&rodney

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Everything posted by tony&rodney

  1. tony&rodney
    Most of the people on Twins Daily would like to see the Twins add a player or two to strengthen their roster. The difference between us is in how this is done. A few people believe the Team can sign a fair free agent or two. Others are hoping for a helpful trade or three. Seth has posited the what if - no change. The pitching could be really good. Lopez, Ober, Ryan, Festa, and SWR followed by Matthews, Morris, Raya, and Lewis is youthful but good. Paddack, if kept, could be a very solid swing pitcher. The pen is fine. No doubt the lineup of bats is unsettled and unpredictable. My preference was to improve the defense on the field through a couple of deals. Perhaps a minor improvement can be done by moving a few players. C-Jeffers & Vazquez, 1B-Lewis, 2B-Keaschall or Eeles, 3B-Lee, SS-Correa, 1B/3B/DH-Miranda, 1B/2B/DH-Julien, if/of-Castro, utility-Martin, LF-Rodriguez, CF-Buxton, RF-Wallner, DH/COF-Larnach, OF-Keirsey Jr. Yes, it would be nice to see some change, like a big RH bat but this team looks like a solid 85 win team that can easily be 91 or 79. There are still a couple of months plus left for us to wait out the roster.
  2. tony&rodney
    The smoke reveals ..... Royce Lewis.
  3. tony&rodney
    Always enjoy seeing these type of lists put together. Agree that Matthews was greeted rudely to MLB, but I'm high on the guy and he seems like a pitcher who will put what he experienced and learned to good use in developing his quiver of pitches.
  4. tony&rodney
    Beyond the no trade contract, teams are wary of injuries and Correa has high value to the Twins. If he plays 150 games in 2025 and seems to have moved past injuries there will be an entire raft of rumors next offseason. Right now there is not going to be much interest and Carlos remains the Twins only shortstop.
  5. tony&rodney
    I don't think it is fear. The economics have pinched over half of MLB to a level of spending that is half of the top revenue teams. There are a few teams that are scraping the barrel and should be spending more, such as Miami, Pittsburgh, and the A's. Most of the rest are wondering when those NFL/NBA media deals are arriving. A team like the Mets will make money on Soto because the valuation increase of that team will pay for the entire contract in a year or two, not to mention the increase in ticket sales, ads, media, and other dollars. Things are tight and it isn't just the Twins going through this stretch right now. Teams are forced to be "creative" and this applies to the Twins too. They are not at a disadvantage financially versus two thirds of MLB. We are forced to wait it out and hope for the best from the final roster configuration.
  6. tony&rodney
    Same reason. One can buy a case of Johnny Walker Blue Label or not for pretty much the same reason.
  7. tony&rodney
    I would have preferred Juan Soto to Pete Alonso but to each their own wish.
  8. tony&rodney
    The Dodgers are down to 39 players with the trade of Gavin Lux. Can they put Cartaya back on the 40?
  9. tony&rodney
    So far this offseason this has more or less been my thought - Falvey has the team he wants. Having said that, I will not be very surprised if a couple of deals are completed. I'm not as down on this collection as some but sure wish defense was a higher priority. Perhaps a key will be whether the Twins give a legitimate look at some younger players. I don't know if someone is ready but a long look in Spring Training might be a ticket for a few guys: Payton Eeles, Luke Keaschall, and Emmanuel Rodriguez. The pitching is always about health and depth. Paddack might be solid in the bullpen. I believe the Twins are better off with Festa as their #4 starting pitcher. Ronny Henriquez? Isn't he out of options? Still time for moves but the squad they have can play.
  10. tony&rodney
    Any player signed is fine as long as the main innings and plate appearances are still available for individuals rising up through the system such as an Andrew Morris or Luke Keaschall.
  11. tony&rodney
    The Royals add a fair back end starting pitcher, Michael Lorenzen. I don't believe the Royals, tigers, or Guardians are done adding players.
  12. tony&rodney
    What is crystal clear is that the Twins need to find some catchers via trades, drafts, or free agency; however/whatever way. The organization is thin at the catching position. The last two years the Twins have slid along with Jeffers and Vazquez. The performance of those two has been largely mediocre but things could be worse. The front office should be seeking out deals for a couple of prospects and despite the reality that catchers play fewer games, an overpay may be in the cards. Ryan Jeffers is aware of the shortage of catchers. He also know his limitations and strengths. My best guess is that he bets on himself unless the Twins offer at least 4/$40M. The Twins though are unlikely to extend anyone at this time unless the player is very good and signs for a team friendly number. The organization is for sale and already has three big contracts in the books.
  13. tony&rodney
    The book is still out on Simeon but he had a decent year in 2024. I wondered if Paddack, Woods Richardson, and a prospect like Billy Amick (maybe add Kala'i Rosario) could bring back Dylan Cease from San Diego? Earlier in the offseason I wondered whether a SWR for Jeferson Quero deal would work? I'm not down on Simeon at all but really like David Festa and also believe that Zebby Matthews will make the adjustments and tweak his pitches to be a very effective #4-5 starting pitcher.
  14. tony&rodney
    The Twins have hired Adrianza to work with player development. This is the best thing to happen for the organization thus far. Ehire is a great person with excellent baseball knowledge; well respected.
  15. tony&rodney
    Only saw Cartaya play once (milb.com). Bat looked broken. Defensively, Cartaya looked ok, not good or bad. I actually thought he looked similar to Jair Camargo. Again, one game means nothing but the Twins should not send anyone they believe will contribute to their team.
  16. tony&rodney
    2025 might be a pivotal year for the Twins organization. There are number of players just past the rookie level and several who should be close to making contributions. Avoidance of injuries is key. Most of the Twins affiliates were ok, with only the A and A+ teams finishing over .500. The minor leagues are for development so one should not focus much on won-loss records. It does seem like the Twins are developing some pitching and we can hope some of these guys pan out. The hitting looks a little behind right now but patience is key with prospects. Two guys who stood out were Payton Eeles and Carson McCusker. I'm looking forward to see how the minor league players perform in 2025.
  17. tony&rodney
    Winter is dark. The Twins are dark too. The light comes along later. The Twins? They seem to have the team they want. Perhaps they find a team who wants something while having a player we want. I have yet to see a single quote from the front office or owners related to the payroll being set at $130M. It is confusing to see a note in every article related to that when it hasn't happened. This is a severe hangover from Joe Pohlad's past comments on "right sizing", which were made quite a while ago. The writers need to pop a few Advils to work past that thing in their head until we actually get a quote or another "right sizing" comment.
  18. tony&rodney
    That is all that was intended. I messed up with the revenue and also didn't add a note about either BAM or TV reduction. Thus, the post was a bit of a loss. My preference for roster discussions is a focus on the possible instead of the refrain of "owner imposed" blah, blah, blah.
  19. tony&rodney
    Good question. I used articles published last November (2024), but rechecking the revenue numbers are, indeed, from 2023. I guess numbers for 2024 are not out anywhere. This does change things certainly and i apologize for the error. As such, the expenses should be from last year and not the projected 2025 numbers. The payroll numbers below are rounded using 40 man roster plus MLB costs of benefits and bonuses applied to all teams. MIL. $144 Rev. 320 45% DET $110 Rev. 306 36% CLE. $125 Rev. 315 40% KCR $143 Rev. 302 47% MIN $149 Rev. 342 44% CHW $157 Rev. 288 55% FYI Thank you the question. I don't usually go over this stuff too closely. Seems like teams are more or less doing what they can, but we might be able to see how some teams can add or understand that the White Sox are a mess.
  20. tony&rodney
    I watched several games when Gonzalez was in the outfield. My immediate response was that no Twins scout had ever seen him play before Seattle sent him over in that trade. Is that even possible? There were four balls hit to Gabriel in one game. He had a strategy. When it landed or stopped rolling pick it up and fire it back to the infield. The wide angle lens on several fly balls was damaging. Clearly he can improve and the contact rates, the swing, and his youth are all favorable. Gonzalez has a long way to go before he attracts much attention. He might be the best example of backend Top 100 players not being all that. Enough criticism .... I believe others know about him now and he can work through the issues in the next couple of years to raise his game. A bunch go change and go right in a couple of years for Gabriel. Yasser is a toolshed. He has it all but he needs a ton of repetitions and playing time to refine those skills. The swing from being a star at one level to being a bum at the next is classic baseball and Yasser will have to deal with the failure in order to polish those skills and remove the weaknesses. It's a tough job. The Twins will be patient with him because there are a number of good outfielders above him in the organization.
  21. tony&rodney
    The top 2 salaries from each team / next 24 players out of 26 person roster/ 26 man team payroll /Revenue. Seems like each team has an additional $26M in player costs. Add cost to payroll, divide by revenue for percentile of finances spent on players. Caveat on all numbers from Cots and Statistica. This always makes me think of how we hear about players receiving around 50% of revenue. Hmmmm? MIL ($42M/$59M/$101M) / $320M @40M CWS ($32M/$27M/$59M) / $288M @30M CLE ($31M/$57M/$88M) / $315M @36M DET ($40M/$63M/$103M) / $306M @42% KCR ($38M/$67M/$105M) / $302M @43% MIN ($59M/$75M/$134M) / $342M @47% Seems like the Twins have it better when it comes to spending on players beside the top two salaries. I'm guessing Detroit, Kansas City, Cleveland, and Milwaukee still have some room for additional payroll. I'm expecting those teams to make some additions. Bregman and Verlander to Detroit? The Twins look maxed out, which leaves the front office to be "creative". I'm counting on some fun gains from our guys and hope the front office finds a productive deal or two. I am thinking that a number of younger / inexperienced players make a difference.
  22. tony&rodney
    Perhaps the Twins can swing a deal for Cartaya but it would need to be a lower level prospect. Maybe returning Doncon to LAD for Diego works.
  23. tony&rodney
    Guys like Lewis, Lee, Keaschall, Castro, Larnach, Wallner, Rodriguez are pretty good. Obviously Buxton and Correa. Miranda can hit. The Twins have players. They just seem to be a mishmash to me without clearly defined roles. Maybe that shifts this year. Oh, the pitching staff looks pretty good right now. It is easily a .500 team and with a few tweaks, maybe 90. That is a fair team.
  24. tony&rodney
    Agree with this. I'm not offering the Dodgers much though. I have much more confidence in all of Larnach, Wallner, Rodriguez, Jenkins, Keaschall, and even McCusker than I do for Pages and Outman. Apparently the Dodgers aren't too high on these guys either or they would get more playing time. As far as young catchers go, the cost would be high for what we need. I would pay quite a bit. Rushing-no. Teel cost the White Sox Crochet so he isn't available. I have no idea if Quero (MIL), Romo (COL), Ford (SEA), or Basallo (BAL) are available at any price. Basallo might be more a 1B, but he will rake. Ford may not be a true catcher but he is very athletic. The Twins plan may be to go year to year with veteran catchers, which often works. I would try to squeeze Romo, Ford, and especially Quero away from their squads. Can't hurt to try.
  25. tony&rodney
    Rushing swings a big bat. I'm not that sure he ever pans out beyond a DH/1B/ poor LF though because he looked horrible with a glove on his hand whenever I watched him. I don't think the Twins are interested in Rushing. Rodriguez and Jenkins are in an entire different category. EmRod strikes out a ton which may be a problem. Otherwise, those two run, throw, and field at a high level with better power and really good hit tools. You are correct when you say the Dodgers would demand a ton for Rushing. I don't think it happens.
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