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Greglw3

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Everything posted by Greglw3

  1. It seems like a lot to give up for Crochet but it’s a trade that would be hard for Sox to pass up on and pitching of that caliber is ultra important. If they could pair that with using their whole int signing pool for Sasaki, Twins could be hard to beat! I like Miranda at 1st base. It’s good for the payroll and I still like his upside. Not too many players, much less a sophomore, have stroked 12 consecutive hits! I also like E Rod in a place where he would probably get 400 AB, minimum. I, too, had Lewis at 2nd and Brooks Lee at third. I think it’s probably better suited for their respective arms.
  2. This is a good idea and a fun project to undertake for Twins fans, at least this one had fun with it and learned a few things, like all the rules surrounding Sasaki’s posting and the Twin’s advantage in 2025 international signing bonus money. Thanks for the work to put this together!
  3. 1-Trade Willi Castro for prospects 2-No contract for injury ? Topa 3-Profar 15MM 3/45MM 4-With Twins, Tigers, Ms, As, Rays having most International bonus pool money at 7.555 MM, pay Sasaki entire 7.555 million. 5-Trade prospect (15-20) w Vazquez instead of eating money 6-Sign JessevWinker for 2/7 7-Sign Jose Iglesias 2/4.5MM Trade Larnach for LHP to replace Funderburk, if possible Iglesias .333 avg. last yr .381 OBP, Winker .360 OBP last year, traditionally solid hitter, above average. Iglesias is quite plausible replacement if Correa misses time. I’m pretty high on Austin Martin, lost in the disappointment of 2024 was that Martin, as a rookie, had a well above average batting average. Plus, he’s very fast and they may be able to get a little running game around Profar, Martin, Buxton?, Keirsey, Jr. I like DaShawn Keirsey as Buxton insurance and he can serve as a 5th OF and play CF on Buck’s days off. With Jax in the rotation and an aggressive run for Sasaki, the Twins Rotation could be WS capable. Advantage to smaller market (per little birdie) and MAX that any team can offer. Under team control for 6 years. C: Ryan Jeffers ($4.70M) 1B: Jose Miranda ($0.80M) 2B: Royce Lewis ($2.3M) 3B: Brooks Robinson Lee ($0.8M) SS: Carlos Correa ($36.00M) LF: Jurickson Profar ($15.00M) CF: Byron Buxton ($15.00M) RF: Matt Wallner ($0.80M) DH: Jesse Winker ($3.5M) 4th OF: Austin Martin ($0.80M) Utility: Jose Iglesias ($2.25M) Utility: DaShawn Keirsey ($0.80M) Backup C: Jair Camargo ($.8M) NA: Dead Money Here ($0.00M) SP1: Roki Sasaki ($0.8M) SP2: Griffin Jax ($2.60M) SP3: Pablo Lopez ($21.75M) SP4: Joe Ryan ($3.80M) SP5: Bailey Ober ($4.30M) RP: Jhoan Duran ($3.70M) RP: Funderburk ($0.8M) RP: Simeon Woods Richardson ($0.8M) RP: Jorge Alcala ($1.50M) RP: Cole Sands ($0.80M) RP: David Festa ($0.8M) RP: Louie Varland ($0.80M) RP: Danny Coulombe ($3.0M) Payroll is 0.77% under budget
  4. By backloading the real money on Bieber, they assume new ownership is in place by 2026 and the $17 may be just fine.
  5. That’s a good and very thoughtful plan, creative and with a will to win. I especially like the signing of Bieber, who my brother and I were just talking about for the Twins yesterday! He’s a Guardians fan. I think the cherry on top would be to use their entire international signing pool on Sasaki. Now you have a contender!
  6. I wouldn’t trade him. His ceiling is too high. 1B is most logical.
  7. To be clear, I would be dumping 5MM for Vazquez. Another catching needy team could have him for 5MM. WHat’s your solution? How can we win 90 games next year or make a jump remotely close to KC this last season?
  8. All garnered from Fangraphs/MLBTR so not my predictions. I took the numbers that were printed. Perhaps there will be higher updates. Do you like this rotation and concede that I’ve wildly improved the backups for SS & 2B and have a better lineup than 2024 and Grichuk vastly better than Margot?
  9. Career 118 OPS+ career .804 OPS, career .367 OBP in well over 2000 AB. Which other Twins have a lifetime BA over .262 with a lifetime OBP over .367??? Winker would be a proven steady bat and he’s hit 24 homers in a season as well.
  10. With a quality new ownership group dedicated to excellence, those 4 moves are entirely possible. Salary could be in the 160 or 170 range. In addition to Vasquez or Jeffers, farmer, Kepler, Margot also include Santana’s 6MM. I’d be inclined to trade Paddock for prospects. Lopez, Ober, Manea, Kikuchi, Richardson and Festa and maybe later Matthews, Andrew Morris should do well.
  11. Profar and Winker would have lifted the Twins toward the +16 just themselves. Two players I’ve lobbied for on here and/or Twins twitter. Both available free agents now.
  12. Hmm. Barnes had a batting average 24 points above AL league average at .264 and he can’t hit it past second base. You really do need higher batting averages on the Twins. Teams with lots of low batting averages bog down as we’ve seen from the Twins the last few years. .264 for a catcher is very very good. I’m just trying to solve problems and make this nondescript team better. I also suggest signing Jurickson Profar for LF and Jesse Winker for 1B/RF/DH. Profar, Buxton, Wallner, Lewis, Correa, Lee/Julian, Winker, Also sign Manea and Kikuchi. Savings on Jeffers salary or Vazquez’s, Kepler’s salary, Margot’s salary and Farmer’s salary plus new owners likely to restore spending to competitive levels. Sign Danny Jansen if you don’t like the others.
  13. Twins were 16 points above league batting average in 1977 and 6 in 2024. The noteworthy part is they had Carew .388 1b #1 +122 Bostock .336 lf #1 +70 Adams .338 dh #1 +72 Hisle .302 cf #2 +36 Then around league average were Rf Dan Ford, C Butch Wynegar, 3B Mike Cubbage and below average at SS with one of Roy Smalley’s off years and at 2B with Bobby Randall and Rob WIlfong. If Calvin Griffith could assemble a group of just 4 hitters like that, why can’t a new ownership group who is coming in aspire to something similar (except Carew’s .388). This is what I grew up with and several other teams like it in the 70s. The Twins were known for their good hitting. Not any more as we accept .190 hitters (Cave), a .177 hitter (Gallo) and low .200s hitters like Vazquez and Jeffers. There are good hitters out there. Go get free agents Jurickson Profar for LF and Jesse Winker for RF/1B/DH.
  14. 10 thumbs down but by making these cuts the Twins could, with a new and hungry front office have an outfield of Lf Jurickson Profar, Byron Buxton, Matt Wallner, Jesse Winker (RF/DH). Grichuk An infield of 3B Lewis, SS Correa, 2B A. Rosario/B Lee/Keaschall, 1B P Goldschmidt Starter Manea, Kikuchi
  15. But it is significantly below average. Is that what we want for our Twins with new ownership coming in? Yes, I’m old school but I grew up on Twins teams with .270 and even .280’s team batting averages (1977 with Rod Carew, Lyman Bostock, Glenn Adams, Larry Hisle, Dan Ford, Mike Cubbage). The Twins can do so much better with a championship standard as their guide. For me, the whole house, top to bottom needed to be swept clean: ownership, Falvey and Baldelli. By rehiring Baldelli, we missed a chance at Hall of Fame manager Terry Francona. We need a GM like Andy McPhail and an organizational change from one dimensional offense to a more dynamic, multi-pronged offense like the Royals, Guardians, Rays. I remember too many games where teams like that conducted a track meet and ran the Twins off the field in the late innings. All of this was why I listed several non keepers, because I didn’t think they represented the level of excellence the Twins should be striving for and kept the real keepers like Buxton, Correa, Lewis, Lee, Santana, Miranda. This drew me a possible record 9 thumbs down but I've seen what’s possible from 1965-2024 and the Twins could really do it with the right ownership, GM and manager. By far their best attribute is scouting and drafting, which is why Sean Johnson should stay in place.
  16. You like the .226 batting average and the too frequent long, deep slumps? If I’m rebuilding the team, I aspire to much better than a .226 hitter at every position. For me, lineups littered with .190 and low .200 average hitters, like the Twins have tolerated for the last few years, is the height of insanity.
  17. I’m keeping prospects Raya, Rosario and Cespedes. Let go: Kepler, DeSclafani, Castro, Jeffers, Tonkin, Topa, Stewart. Retain: Ober, Jax, Alcala, Ryan, Duran, Lewis. Larnach is a 50/50 call, I think they can do better in LF. As of now, retain Santana or get a free agent but don’t depend on Kirilloff in team plans at all. The new owners have some work to do. Must get a viable backup SS and CF unless they feel Keirsey can handle backup.
  18. They needed to and could have taken that 2nd and 3rd options at every position for the last few years but refuse to do it, waiting for the bottom of the bargain bin while the KC’s, Dodgers, Astros, Braves of the world aggressively grab up all the good places. Thus Margot, Jake Cave, Rob Refsnyder, Farmer this year. What happened to the 2018-2019 Twins FO.
  19. I don’t think guy that has played at Santana’s level at 38 is any certainty to drop off by Feb./Mar. next year or during the season.
  20. How can Miranda be the better player at 1B when there’s a chasm the size of the Grand Canyon in their defensive abilities? He hit 26 homers in 2023.
  21. Apparently you weren’t paying attention when Nelson Cruz was hitting OPS of 1.031, .992, .907 in his age 38-40 years? Santana is also in excellent shape. Dave Winfield and Paul Molitor were both tearing it up at age 40.
  22. 100% Yes. He’s the Twins best clutch hitter, takes the best at bats of any Twins hitter consistently and has pounded 22 HR with the near certainty that he wins the Gold Glove at 1st base. And he deserves it. I guarantee if the Twins let him go they won’t find such a dynamic, fundamentally sound, clutch, gold glove winning player at 1st base.
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