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drivlikejehu

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Everything posted by drivlikejehu

  1. drivlikejehu
    There's really no question that Sano is more interested in the stereotypical pro athlete lifestyle than actually being a good MLB player. Whatever the exact details in this incident, I have little hope that he will do what he needs to do to get on track as a baseball player. At this point, the Twins just have to hope he is able to do well enough to build up some trade value, either at the deadline (not in contention) or after 2019.
  2. drivlikejehu
    Well you certainly shouldn't feel any "hope" about it. Machado is not going to sign with the Twins, period. His market value is too high for the Twins to overpay him enough to make up for the reduced media exposure and reduced opportunities for perennial contention that he would get in Minnesota vs. NY, LA, Philly, etc. Anyone who advances that sort of signing as what the Twins 'should' do is creating a fantasy world. Maybe you can pull it off in Out of the Park Baseball, but it's not something that happens in the real world.
  3. drivlikejehu
    This post would be more effective as satire, but in any case, all three had less WAR than Escobar by a wide margin, the Twins don't need an oft-injured catcher, and Andrus won't opt out in any case.
  4. drivlikejehu
    Who are two players better than Escobar that would realistically sign with the Twins?
  5. drivlikejehu
    Well, it's a really weak free agent group in general, beyond Machado, Harper, and a couple good starting pitchers. Getting Donaldson or Escobar would be pretty high on my priority list, second only to a starting pitcher.
  6. drivlikejehu
    Davis is an extreme long-shot to make the Majors at all, so I doubt he'd be too upset about making it more slowly than some other guys.
  7. drivlikejehu
    Stewart is trendy sharply upward. He began the year as basically a non-prospect, so there was a long way to go, and he's not there yet . . . but at this point, his odds of contributing in some fashion are pretty decent. My inclination would be to start him in long relief next year. From there, he'd hopefully either establish a bullpen role longer-term or improve his command enough to be a starter.
  8. drivlikejehu
    I think expectations have to take account of the fact that Falvey inherited a much weaker set of talent than was believed at the time (and through the beginning of this season). The notion that the new front office could quickly field a contender was 100% based on the idea that Buxton and Sano would be at least good major leaguers, if not more. I do not see any set of realistic actions that the front office could have taken that would have changed where the Twins are at this point (except maybe to make it even worse by trading prospects). I would like to see better roster management, but even that is difficult to assess because Molitor was forced on Falvey, and I don't know if field staff-front office differences play a role. So yeah, there's ticky-tack stuff that is not great, but that's minor in the scheme of things. Falvey has clearly been leading an effort to modernize the front office and build out the infrastructure that is necessary to compete in today's game. For people who aren't happy with the standings, I guess my first question is - when did you start talking about the need to move on from the Ryan era and embrace a modern approach to management? I was saying that back when the Twins were still winning division titles, because it was obvious that the Twins were going to pay down the road for their old-school ways.
  9. drivlikejehu
    If he didn't have health and performance issues, he never would have been in AAA.
  10. drivlikejehu
    Gonsalves doesn't even profile as a reliever for me. He'll do OK in AAA next year and then get dropped from the 40-man, and float around as a AAAA guy for several years until he retires. MLB is hard.
  11. drivlikejehu
    There is no human right to reach MLB arbitration as early as possible. The Twins are under no kind of ethical obligation to call up a struggling, banged up player so that, in the event he actually becomes good, the player gets to free agency sooner. The logic behind this complaint escapes me entirely.
  12. drivlikejehu
    My opinion of Gonsalves has definitely changed - I hadn't actually seen him pitch before. He's not going to succeed in the majors. He's 24 and has no stuff or command. I guess minor leaguers can't hit his change-up but it's clearly not an issue for MLB hitters. Berrios had command issues but the stuff was obvious. I'd take Stewart over Gonsalves without hesitation, and I'm not particularly high on Stewart.
  13. drivlikejehu
    Well Davis was a non-prospect when drafted, an organizational player, so if we should be "talking" about him more, that would seemingly imply that he's actually a prospect.
  14. drivlikejehu
    Eh, he has a 6/39 K/BB ratio as a 22 year-old in low-A. Doesn't seem like he's done anything to change his prospect status. Any word on why Balazovic was DL'ed?
  15. drivlikejehu
    So what you're saying is, Falvey's bullpen has performed better in both of his seasons than the one he inherited. OK.
  16. drivlikejehu
    So, your counter-argument is that Falvey has improved the bullpen's performance in each of his first two years. OK.
  17. drivlikejehu
    Well it's not wrong to consider their position relative to the league, but it's certainly relevant that we're only in year 2 of the new regime. Not really. Posts on the 2018 bullpen have ranged overwhelmingly from skeptical to highly critical . . . I think there's a place for consideration of actual results. Drake is just the latest example (which isn't to say that he's anything special). I mean, it's the best Twins bullpen in 10 years and posters are complaining about the loss of a replacement-level lefty-specialist (Rosario). That's not a reasonable mindset to have.
  18. drivlikejehu
    The Twins' 2018 bullpen has the club's best league-adjusted xFIP since 2008 (and that's a tie). The last clearly superior bullpen was 2006. So, the 'Falvey sucks at bullpens' notion is badly lacking in empirical support.
  19. drivlikejehu
    Helman is hitting a ton of singles at CR, nothing to get that excited about yet.
  20. drivlikejehu
    I'm not sure how much "credit" is due to guys for being good in the minor leagues. The point of the draft is to acquire major leaguers. Until someone makes a difference at the MLB level, it's not really possible for them to be lacking in "credit."
  21. drivlikejehu
    Granite has been slowed by injuries but at his peak was probably better, since he can play CF. Wade doesn't have enough game power to maintain a high OBP in the Majors . . . he will have to do more damage on balls in play to succeed.
  22. drivlikejehu
    Thorpe's will never compare to the Adam Brett Walker fan club.
  23. drivlikejehu
    Thorpe has pitched fewer than 200 total innings since 2014. The idea that the Twins are moving him slowly has no basis in reality.
  24. drivlikejehu
    The problem is that with almost 1500 MLB PAs, Kepler has a career BABIP of .264. He's never hit very many line drives, which produce by far the highest likelihood of a hit. Benintendi and Bregman, by contrast, hit a ton of line drives. Average launch angle doesn't really capture this issue because flyballs and groundballs average out on paper, masking Kepler's poor distribution of batted balls. Kepler's batted ball profile has been very consistent over his career, which worries me because it indicates that bad luck is not a significant driver of his mediocre results. He will have to hit the ball harder or hit more line drives to produce beyond his current level with any consistency.
  25. drivlikejehu
    Except I guess for Tampa Bay, since he had worse peripherals last year than he does this year. If you want to look at facts and all that.
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