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Whammy

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Everything posted by Whammy

  1. Good find. I was going to decry SSS, but this holds true through last year as well. 2015 in AAA was the opposite
  2. Righty on the mound? SIT THE LEFTIES!!!!! #MolitorLogic
  3. That's probably the case, but in my opinion that doesn't tell the whole story. Since there is almost always some sort of shift on for every batter, telling me the odds of something being a hit if everyone was where they were "supposed" to be, is relatively meaningless. Going by this, the system probably thinks Joe Mauer is super unlucky, when in reality teams have just figured out how to effectively shift him.
  4. So, given that the hit percentage was 73%, the BBIHP = 27% Since the Buxton's catch percentage was 49%, can I assume positioning increased Buxton's opportunity to catch that ball by 22%?
  5. Seems like that unnecessarily eliminates the impact of a shift. In fact, a really interesting metric would compare "defensive placement independent hit percentage" (DPIHP) with "batted ball inferred hit percentage" (BBIHP). This would give you a "Defensive shift efficacy" (DSE). The larger the difference (assuming it's positive), the better you are using the shift. --- OK. the acronyms could use some work ---
  6. My only hope is that somewhere Falvey and Levine looked at each other and at the same time they said "what the f--- is Paul doing"
  7. http://m.mlb.com/news/article/228161150/twins-byron-buxton-shows-off-blazing-speed/ Here's what I don't understand... They said Davis' batted ball had a 73% hit probability, but Buxton's catch had a 49% catch probability. a) That adds up to well over 100%. How is anything other than exactly 100% possible When I see a "49% catch probability" that would me to believe roughly half the CF in the league would make that play and there really wasn't anything special about it. Also it gets a 4-star rating, which looks like it happens roughly on the order of once per day across MLB. Calling it 49% seems like a severe undersell. Also analyzed was his triple, which was the fastest home-to-third this year..... and he let up.
  8. No rivers through those cities. Duh
  9. Brandon Kintzler: Lacks stuff. Gets job done Michael Tonkin: Has Stuff. Fails at job. I'll take Kintzler.
  10. Detroit, two Sundays ago. I suffered through that game in person
  11. I'm glad Buxton gets to bat again in this game, against what is likely not the A's best reliever.
  12. Well.... Actually.... It hit the top of the wall, so it didn't technically clear the flower pot
  13. I know we've been joking about it, but do we have an exit velocity on that Sano bomb?
  14. Well... they had some tickets and realized it was my birthday, so they invited me.
  15. 36th round pick last year. Son of someone in their organization. No details yet. Nothing mentioned on the broadcast.
  16. I still don't think he would've gotten him
  17. That slider that Gray threw on the first pitch to Dozier was NASTY. Thought he could come back with it and he hung it. DOZIER!
  18. They keep harping on that SB like Polanco screwed it up. The throw wasn't that good and he was rushing to apply the tag
  19. Of all the people that should know that W/L is a bad way to judge success, you'd think it would be Bert
  20. That Trevor May guy was pretty good
  21. But with the youth on this team, we've only just hit the beginning of the beginning of the end.
  22. ESPN Power Rankings (not that we should REALLY care) http://www.espn.com/mlb/story/_/page/powerrankings_2017week4/ranking-mlb-teams-week-4-season Last week: 20th This Week: 23rd I guess going 4-1 on the road means a 3 spot drop.
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