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amjgt

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Everything posted by amjgt

  1. I’ve been on vacation and am not fully caught up in the thread, but I have two quick points about Odorizzi’s BABIP.... 1) his BABIP was lower than one would expect partially because so many of his batted balls left play. I suspect the entire league has a lower than normal BABIP 2) I wonder what his BABIP would have been if you normalize his very high HR/FB percentage and consider those new “non HR” as fly ball outs.
  2. Unless the last starter you are using is below replacement. (Not that I think that is the case here)
  3. This is an interesting ramification of the depressed FA market that I hadn't thought about. Not only as it relates to Dozier but also the other 5 (?) guys the Twins would be interested in talking to about an extension. Obviously it depends on how he does this year, but I think this FA market would make it more likely that Dozier would take the ~18M qualifying offer. I mean, I don't think he'd get Cain money (5/80M), so if he was a FA right now, what could he expect? 4/60? 3/50? Especially if he had a draft pick tied to him. Same goes for less potentially stratospheric players like Rosario, Kepler, and Polanco (though I'm a big Rosario fan).... would this market make them more willing to add a couple potential FA years on to an extension? Maybe. Would Eddie take a Yelich-esque offer of 7/50M, which would buy out two of his FA years?
  4. Obviously not happening, but it's interesting to think about. Sit back and think about all of the player (supply/demand) ramifications this would have. Too many to type, but I think elite closers would become more valuable, position players with one elite skill (HR, speed, etc) would become more valuable, and 4/5th starters and just good RP would become less valuable. Also... what would that do to lineup construction? Maybe, at the same time, they do away with the DH My head is spinning!
  5. A mod needs to add “(last)” in the middle of “this week” in the thread title.
  6. Depending on what the FO thinks of Wade, it make them more open to dealing Rosario or Kepler. The issue with trading Rosario or Kepler (presumably for pitching) is that a team willing to give up a quality starter most likely wants an asset back with more than 4 years of team control left.
  7. Another website used Melky Cabrera as a comp. I think 2011-2016 Melky is Wade's ceiling. https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/c/cabreme01.shtml
  8. I can’t imagine very many people would say 4th OF is Wade’s ceiling. It might be his most likely outcome, but his ceiling is higher than 4th outfielder.
  9. I love how signing a 29yo to a long contract is somehow incredible, but a 31yo is pure insanity. We all know the bell curves, but that is over thousands and thousand of baseball players. This is one dude.
  10. I feel like getting to know this guy would be like getting to know the family that is VRBOing your neighbor's house for a week.
  11. I'd gladly take a slight drop in sprint speed for 15-20lbs of bulk that turns those flyouts, doubles, and triples into homeruns. Eddie's best attribute will always be his hands. I want some bulk behind those hands. Anything better than "below average" on defense, is a bonus, in my opinion
  12. Really enjoyed these the last two weeks. I thought your segment with Slegers was the best so far, it was the most like a conversation as opposed to an interview.
  13. I was listening to the pod while driving, with one earbud in because there were three other people in the car. About half way through, Aaron’s audio cut out. I listened for a while because a) you could barely make him out from John’s mic, and b.) I didn’t have anything better to listen to. Eventually I switched buds randomly (L to R) and then all I got was Aaron’s audio, so I listened to the final 20 minutes with both buds in. Not sure if you guys flipped a setting at some point. It happened right before the RX Bar ad break.
  14. I looked on Minnesota Sports Weekly when I posted the original question. It was not there then, but it is there now. For iPhone users, just subscribe to that podcast. I assume this will be the most consistent way going forward.
  15. I’d rather pay a much higher price for 4 years of Archer.
  16. Falvey and Levine seem like logical men. It seems completely logical to me, that if you sign Darvish, you trade for Archer (unless the asking price is just completely over the top). Signing Darvish opens the door and with a little prospect luck could move you toward WS contention. Doing both flings that door wide open and gives you a legit 4 year window of WS contention.
  17. 4/120 - yes 5/140 - yes 5/150 - reasonable, but I’m getting uneasy. 6/155 - yes 6/165 - I could talk myself into it. 6/175 - pass, but I’ll be sad 6/200 - run!
  18. Do a forum search for “2018” and sort it in ascending order. Some late 2012 and early 2013 projections werent all that bad.
  19. I'd put Baddoo over Kirilloff if I was guessing
  20. As someone who has had the daily Minor League scoreboard bookmarked in my iPhone for 5+ years, I have to say, last year was the year i used it the least. 2-3 years ago I was constantly checking out all of our prime prospects. And it seemed like there were guys at every level. And a bunch of position players that I wanted to track daily. Last year (especially before the draft) was pretty boring. The pool had diminished, a lot of the guys worth keeping track of were hurt, many were relievers with inconsistent schedules, and most of the remaining guys were starting pitchers that only needed to be checked in on once a week. I'm looking forward to a new year of checking the MiLB Twins scoreboard multiple times per day.
  21. That picture (especially the thumbnail size) looks a lot like Glen Perkins.
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