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arby58

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Everything posted by arby58

  1. arby58
    I'm amazed at those who think the Twins draft poorly. They consistently rank in the upper half of MLB farm systems, and that starts with drafting. I also think those of us who fixate on Twins injuries simply do not do the same with other teams. Using stats, the Twins were 11th of 30 MLB teams last year in games lost due to injury. 2023 they were 13th, 2022 they were 12th, 2021 they were 20th. Doesn't exactly support the rhetoric.
  2. arby58
    Seriously? Connelly was NOT hired by ARod and Lore. Nor were they in charge in 2020 when Ant was the first pick in the draft. The T'wolves got that one perfectly right. The other two consensus first picks, LaMelo Ball and James Wiseman don't add up together to Ant's career win shares (14+4.3 versus 21.6). You don't like Taylor, fine, but enough with the revisionist history.
  3. arby58
    I think Taylor learned his lesson with the T'wolves when he brought in Connelly and turned over decision making to him. Why would he do differently with the Twins?
  4. arby58
    I'm more interested in the on-field stuff. The Twins have plenty of talent, particularly in the young pitching category. Fans who think a new owner is going to change the team from being mid-market are, IMHO, gonna be disappointed.
  5. arby58
    I don't know why Taylor would (a) be interested, given that he had the T'wolves on the market and is 83 years old, and (b) drive the team into the ground. The T'Wolves were in the Final Four of the NBA last year (long time since that has been the case for the Twins) and he has a strong team in place with Connelly and Finch running the basketball operation. Ant is a bigger star (with greater potential) than anybody currently on the Twins 26 man roster. They are a bit underwhelming so far this year, but the have the talent to go far if they jell over the last third of the season.
  6. arby58
    The thing that is missing here is context - is it really all that different for the Twins than other franchises? I recall a couple years ago when the Yankees, of all teams, were ravaged by injuries and ended up at the bottom of their division. For that matter, the Dodgers have had a string of high end players miss significant time - the difference being they can just spend a couple hundred million dollars on replacements. I remember last year being amazed at the number of Dodgers pitchers that missed all or most of the season: River Ryan, Emmett Sheehan, Dustin May, Clayton Kershaw, Brusdor Graterol, Tony Gonsolin, Conner Brodgon, Ryan Brasier - plus Walker Buehler closely managed after coming back from his second Tommy John surgery. These are almost all solid MLB players (some stars), and it makes the Twins pitching injury situation last year look not nearly as bad as we think it was.
  7. arby58
    Besides, Alcala's stuff, when he is on, is electric. I'd be shocked if anyone described Tonkin that way.
  8. arby58
    The Twins were top half (tied for 13th) in average innings pitched per starter last year - and that was with two rookies having a lot of starts. The year before that they were tied for third. Baseball has definitely changed in terms of the role of starting pitchers, but the Twins actually exhibit less 'training wheel' mentality towards its starting pitchers of late than most MLB teams.
  9. arby58
    Seems to be on the verge - although I would bet (other than a series of injuries) that he rocks it in '25 at St. Paul. You have to figure (unless they unload Paddock) that Festa and Matthews are ahead of him (I'm assuming SWR is the 4 or 5 Twins starting pitcher).
  10. arby58
    Oh, come on - his WAR last year was -0.1. So why did the Yankees let him go if he was such a catch? I'm not buying a 35 year old pitcher with his track record.
  11. arby58
    I don't get why Tonkin is considered a better option than Alcala (or others, for that matter). For his career, he is 0.0 WAR, he was nothing to write home about last year, and he's 35 years old - he's not going to get any better.
  12. arby58
    Kepler, Polanco, Buxton, Jeffers, Miranda, Larnach, Wallner - and Lewis for that matter. Jury is still out on Julien and Lee, but there are others right behind them. You interestingly limited it to position players - add pitchers and the list gets longer.
  13. arby58
    You're joking, right? The Angels farm system is among the worst in baseball - and the Twins have 10 players likely to be on their 26 man roster with 3 or less years of big league experience, most of whom they developed. Minor league system rankings: Baseball America: Twins 8th, Angels 30th (last) Fan Graphs: Twins 18th, Angels 30th (last) USA Today: Twins 13th, Angels 25th ESPN: Twins 6th, Angels 28th
  14. arby58
    I think it's fair to say that if a Twins fan were asked to describe Royce Lewis and Byron Buxton in one word, it would be 'injuries.' Two words, 'talented, injuries.' Somebody already mentioned the definition of insanity (doing the same thing over and over and expecting a different result). The yang to that yin is what you will find in any financial prospectus ('past performance is not an indicator of future results'). So who knows?
  15. arby58
    Nobody traded to the Angels is a lucky guy.
  16. arby58
    They all come with varying forms of 'ick.' The first three are 36-37 years old, and while each threw some innings last year (although Lynn barely averaged 5 innings a start and comes with his own special 'don't want to be here' baggage), there is a reason they are still looking for work. Heaney is 'younger' at 33 but was 5-14 last year. Why pay more when you have several younger arms who likely can replicate those levels of 'performance?'
  17. arby58
    Sorry to semi-hijack this thread, but lumping Gallo with Margot is not fair. Margot was -0.9 WAR last year, with an OPS+ of 76, and a bad defensive outfielder. Gallo had a +0.5 WAR and an OPS+ of 100, meaning league average, and a decent defensive player. They are not even close to comparable.
  18. arby58
    I doubt a pitcher who had a solid year last year (SWR) could really lose the spot to another starting pitcher because the other pitcher had an outstanding spring. Exhibit number one is Bailey Ober, who had an outstanding spring training two years ago and still found himself at St. Paul to start the year (eventually making it back). I think the same thing here. Absent SWR being abysmal and somebody else other-worldly, SWR will be in the starting rotation at the end of Spring training. That is the way the Twins do things, and in this case, I think that is the right way.
  19. arby58
    What did you think last year when they signed Carlos Santana? How about when they signed Brock Stewart? Willi Castro? Each of them had 'cast-off' references. It's pretty insulting to suggest that paid professional baseball talent evaluators are as you describe them.
  20. arby58
    There were 14 pitchers in the major leagues last year that averaged 6.0 or more innings per start. The Phillies and Cubs each had 2, so under this reasoning, only 12 teams had an 'ace' last year. It also means Max Fried is an ace and Sonny Gray is not. Sure, innings pitched is one thing - but not the only thing - to consider.
  21. arby58
    Miranda played some at second base every year from 2016-2021, and not since then. It appears the Twins determined he was not suited for second base. Given his size, that is not surprising.
  22. arby58
    Goldschmidt in particular is 37 and coming off a season where he put up a 98 OPS+. Miranda's OPS+ was 112.
  23. arby58
    You may be right about the 'trade' last season, but the hand writing was on the wall for Headrick when the Twins signed Danny Coulombe (who they didn't have at the 'trade' deadline). Headrick's 27, and in 28.2 MLB innings has put up a 1.43 WHIP - not a good number for a relief pitcher (or any pitcher, for that matter).
  24. arby58
    It really doesn't mean anything - it's just the Twins taking a flyer on him with absolutely nothing to lose. They don't like him, ,they aren't out anything, regular season contract-wise. It's somewhat surprising France agreed to the deal, but I suspect he looked around and didn't see any Twin at the position that he couldn't beat out if he has a good spring.
  25. arby58
    What prospects are the Twins 'hoarding?' They gave significant playing opportunities the last couple of years to former prospects Festa, Matthews, SWR, Varland, Julien, Lee, Lewis, Miranda, Martin, and Wallner. All these players have three years or less MLB experience. 10 out of 26 roster spots isn't exactly hoarding mentality.
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