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Aerodeliria

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Everything posted by Aerodeliria

  1. Aerodeliria
    Excellent article...and a heap of mind-bending comments to boot. Thanks everyone!
  2. Aerodeliria
    Heller's book Catch 22 just popped into my head. You know management wants to win because winning brings in fans and fans bring in money, but to get there you have to pay someone somewhere some money so you can start winning, and that's the catch; so, instead, aim at mediocrity and hope for a .510 winning percentage. You can pat yourselves on the back and say, "We did OK and who knows what next year, or the year after that will bring?" The Central Division by all indications will be incredibly weak in 2019, so why aim for 2021 or some other mystical year when all the explosive bats now hidden in the minor league happen to align with all of the cannon-like pitching arms that are hidden there? Teams do win while developing players, don't they? You don't have throw away every prospect, but do spend some cash to show the fans that there is at least a speck of concern about winning. Sorry, this just irritated me for some reason. I'm sure I'll get over it like I always do.
  3. Aerodeliria
    Pitching and the infield are two places the Twins need help. I think they are not that far from being very, very competitive--especially in the Central Heating Division. I'd like to land at least one infielder of decent quality. To be frank, I'm not really all that comfortable with Polanco winging throws from the shortstop side of 2nd base.
  4. Aerodeliria
    Besides the cash, no downside. With Grossman likely gone, the OBP has to be a HUGE concern for the Twins as Tom so adroitly pointed to in this piece. Walks in key situations are very exasperating for the team in the field, while strikeouts are exasperating to the team at the plate. I'm 100% behind putting Santana in Twins pinstripes. (Besides, it just doesn't seem normal not to have a player named Santana on the roster.)
  5. Aerodeliria
    Not me, but Polanco is 25, not 35. It was good for him to get busted and that it happened when it did. Cano's case is much different--10 years older and unless he was super good at the cover up, clean up untl last year.
  6. Aerodeliria
    I went over to the Mets blogosphere. The consensus seems to be that they hashed it. Here is one such post: Kelenic and Dunn are two top 100 prospects. I think that is roughly what Diaz is worth. Maybe slightly more, but not McNeil more (as I said elsewhere I don’t think I’d do Diaz for McNeil straight up). I also think Cano would probably get 5 years 50-60 million on the open market (although a lot of reporters have been speculating ~30 million). That is 60-70 million in negative value. I think Bruce and Swarzak are probably ~25 million under water. So, if we get Cano and Diaz for Kelenic, Dunn, Bruce, Swarzak and Gerson (which I think is what is being reported) and they chip in ~40 million I think that is a fair deal. But, just because it is fair value doesn’t mean it makes sense for the Mets to do. We are giving up a lot of future talent for an elite RP when the market for good RP is flooded and RP are very volatile. We are also buying high on Diaz, he will most likely never put up a season like the one he just did. I think full assessment of the deal needs to wait until we see the $$ and what other moves they make. If they then go out and sigh Miller, Ottavino and Grandal + I can maybe get behind it. Although, I also know some people are very high on Kelenic as a prospect.
  7. Aerodeliria
    I wouldn't give up a ballpark frank for Cano. There is a reason to juice at 35. I wonder what their fans think.
  8. Aerodeliria
    Love it!! I especially like the Astudillo line of thinking. I am not crazy about moving May, but I think the balance of the remaining choices sounds very exciting. I know that Astudillo will not likely keep his BA where it was at the end of last year, but we need a little Kirbyism in the line up to bring excitement back to the Twins. You don't think with promotion that Astudillo could bring in fans? That alone should be enough to get Astudillo in a Twins uniform and on the field as much as possible.
  9. Aerodeliria
    As a fielder, not really that efficient nor impressive, but as a hitter in high leverage situations, it is surprising how often he milked a walk or worked the count in his favor so he could get a pitch he could handle. And, as far as hit weak hitting at the start of last year, I can't overlook the fact that having Buxton, Morrison and Wilson in his vicinity in the batting order really didn't help matters.
  10. Aerodeliria
    Yes, very nice article, and I would keep Grossman over Adrianza if I had a choice of the two. Neither have much power but I like the fact that Grossman will always make the pitchers throw strikes. I'd take a flier on Sonny Gray if the price is cheap enough. (As the rule of thumb goes, you can never have too much pitching...especially in the era when most teams lose a pitcher or two for part or all of a season). NY is a super high pressure environment--all the time...you gotta love that kind of atmosphere and some players handle it better than others. Maybe Mr. Gray didn't thrive is said environment (on that note some teams handle the NY pressure better than others as well (I'm thinking of Bosox compared to the Twinkies here)).
  11. Aerodeliria
    "Riding a frenzied ten-speed. Man, it must be the world's easiest job. Fighting and flirting and restart, restart, restart. Well, it may work your whole life; it hasn't for me for so much as a week before everything crumbles, crumbles..." Let's hope the "restart, restart, restart" option works out and not that "everything crumbles, crumbles," in such a short period of time next spring.
  12. Aerodeliria
    There has been a lot of scuttlebutt about Hidenberger's problems. There were indicators that something wasn't quite the same after he took a severe beat down against the Cubs. He seemed to right the ship for a bit and then it all went south. In his final 30 games of the Twins' season, he posted Ricky Nolasco like numbers: Last 30 games Record: 2-4 ERA: 9.00 Innings: 27.0 HIts: 37 BB: 12 SO: 27 WHIP: 1.81 First 43 games Record 2-2 ERA: 2.71 Innings: 46 Hits: 38 BB: 14 SO: 43 WHIP: 1.13 Pretty dramatic...maybe he was just worn out (73 games)...any ideas?
  13. Aerodeliria
    I guess the clock is running on Hayato Sakamoto. I really thought he would ask the Giants to post him, but maybe he decided he'd rather just stay in Tokyo. He probably has five more years of top quality baseball left in him I would say. He keeps himself in great shape but I wonder if interest has waned because of his age...
  14. Aerodeliria
    Hitting can salvage some games, but certainly poor fielding can lose tight games especially in the playoffs where the differences between the clubs is often minuscule. The Red Sox have a spotted history of losing critical games because of miscues in the field, but now they have a team that can hit and field and voile, they are the champs--deservedly so. Here in Japan, the Japanese champion Softbank (Fukuoka) Hawks were a much weaker hitting team but matched the Hiroshima Carp in pitching and were far superior to the Carp in fielding. In my opinion, the Carp coughed up two games because of fielding miscues and another ended in a tie (yes, we still have tie games here in Japan), so the Hawks ended up winning the best of seven rather easily (4-1-1).
  15. Aerodeliria
    I'm all in on picking up an infielder who can hit. I like Polanco as a hitter but he made his share of rather poor plays in the field as a SS, so I would rather see him at 2nd as well. I wish there were a good fielder and hitter available from the Japanese leagues. I am still hoping that Sakamoto will opt for playing in the MLB. He is an excellent hitter (with some power), has good speed and is as cool as a polar bear sipping mai tais in the field.
  16. Aerodeliria
    Be buyers or sellers but what exactly are we buying? A wish and a hope so? And what exactly would we be selling? Two guys who missed huge chunks of the season, and who couldn't keep their BAs above the Mendoza line and who struck out as often as George McFly. I don't like either end of that stick, so I reluctantly am agreeing with management on this.
  17. Aerodeliria
    Very nicely done.
  18. Aerodeliria
    Saying you don't want to make Buxton a gazillionaire by offering him a long-term deal is really not quite the same as implying that Buxton is trash. And saying that Cave was a better player than Buxton LAST year is close to being indisputable. With that said, I think there are a bunch of Twinkie supporters who just want to wait and see what 2019 will bring for the Buxton express. I have always wanted Buxton to succeed, but have also wanted something a little more promising than last year as the basis to proceed with the franchise tag and the money that goes along with it. And, concerning the AAA adventure, I admit I was a bit on the fence about letting Buxton stay in AAA last September, but I also tried looking at that situation from the viewpoint of what Cave had done and was doing. In the end (for me), it was far more important to get a chance to see Cave play regularly so we all could get an idea of what kind of player he really was and could be. If Cave had ended up hitting .180 for the balance that would have told us lot, but he showed that he is probably a decent hitter and an average outfielder. He has decent speed and although he is no Buxton in the field, he wasn't chopped liver (he'll improve I believe). To sum up, I want Buxton in a Twins uniform--but not last year's version, so I hope that management takes the 'wait and see' approach for now.
  19. Aerodeliria
    All I say is keep Astudillo...for so many reasons, not the least of which is his personality.
  20. Aerodeliria
    ...but you can't get one the all time favorite Japanese ballpark snacks: dried squid on a stick. This is great for gnawing on over 3-4 innings.
  21. Aerodeliria
    So who was the least valuable player in each league (more-or-less an everyday player)?
  22. Aerodeliria
    ...you know it's actually cheaper to eat at a restaurant in Japan than in the US (you do get less food, but it is definitely cheaper). What do they charge for a ballpark frank these days? $5.00? $6.00? (I can never attend a game because I only return during the bitter winds of December.)
  23. Aerodeliria
    As many have mentioned here and in IMHO too, Buxton needs to show something before emptying a truckload of cash on his lawn. He's played well for about one half of one season, and granted, his defense can make us overlook SOME his shortcomings, but when he has been hitting poorly, the automatic strikeouts can be incredibly demoralizing, especially when it snuffs out scoring opportunities in tight games. I don't think there is anyone here who doesn't want Buxton to succeed, but he has yet to transmogrify into Andre Dawson, so let's see if he can start solidifying some of these projections of greatness before going too crazy. I love the idea of taking a flyer on Donaldson. For one thing, he can't hit big home runs against the Twins if he's playing for them. For another, he is a veteran presence and one that has some stardust sprinkles on his uniform. I think it is always good to have at least one or two of these types of players. I think small market teams need to gamble on one or two players per year in the hopes that one of those gambles pays off.
  24. Aerodeliria
    I'm down with the Jeremy strategy...big time!
  25. Aerodeliria
    BTW, I really do have a question about Moya since his name is being bandied about here on the list. His fastball speeds are around 85-87 and he's throwing change-ups and sliders in the 70s and low 80s. Is he like Tommy John or Greg Maddux or something? I would be scared right down to my socks to put him in during a tight game with this type of velocity. Am I wrong? (Remember, I don't get any chance to watch him unless the Twins are playing the Angels and the game is on the weekend, so I really haven't seen him pitch.)
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